Narara

Narara has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Narara's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 7,355 people. This figure represents an increase of 198 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,157. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 7,344 in June 2024 and five additional validated addresses post-Census. Narara's population density is around 955 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across other areas assessed by AreaSearch. Between the 2021 Census and November 2025, Narara's growth rate of 2.8% exceeded its SA3 area's average of 2.3%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.1% of overall population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by these data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts and latest ERP population numbers, Narara is expected to increase by approximately 837 persons by 2041, reflecting an 11.2% total increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Narara according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Narara has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 72 homes. In FY-26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.9 new residents per year have been associated with each home built between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction cost of these new homes was $260,000, which is below the regional average.

Around $3.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year. Compared to Greater Sydney, Narara has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 23rd percentile nationally for buyer options. Recent construction comprises 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% townhouses or apartments. Narara is expected to grow by approximately 826 residents by 2041, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and price increases if current development rates continue.

Looking ahead, Narara is expected to grow by 826 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Narara has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 37thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure performance is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 14 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Narara Valley Estate, Narara Ecovillage, Narara Community Centre and Library Redevelopment, and The Outlook Narara. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Narara shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Narara has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0%, lower than the national average, and there was an estimated employment growth of 2.9% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 3,954 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Narara is 65.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area shows strong specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services employ just 6.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.9% alongside labour force increasing by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Narara's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Narara SA2's income level is above the national average according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Narara SA2's median income among taxpayers is $52,821 and average income stands at $68,261, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,482 (median) and $76,869 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Narara cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals largest segment comprises 36.2% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,662 residents), consistent with broader trends across metropolitan region showing 30.9% in same category. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 63rd percentile and area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Narara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Narara's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Narara was at 32.6%, with the rest either mortgaged (47.4%) or rented (20.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Narara was $1,993, below Sydney metro's average of $2,150. The median weekly rent figure for Narara was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Narara's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Narara features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.2% of all households, including 38.0% couples with children, 26.4% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.8%, with lone person households at 19.1% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Narara aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 38.4% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (27.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.6%), secondary education (7.9%), and tertiary education (4.0%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Narara has 59 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. There are 63 different routes servicing these stops, providing a total of 1,341 weekly passenger trips.

The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 224 meters. On average, there are 191 trips per day across all routes, which equals about 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Narara is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Narara faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 54%, covering about 3,949 people. Mental health issues impact 9.4% of residents, while asthma affects 9.3%. About 66.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,234 people), which is lower than the 24.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Narara records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Narara's cultural diversity aligns with the wider region, as 80.1% were born in Australia, 91.6% are citizens, and 88.4% speak English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 52.6%, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 53.4%. The top three ancestry groups are English (29.5%), Australian (28.8%), and Irish (8.1%).

Notably, Russian (0.5%) and Spanish (0.6%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4% each, while Maltese is slightly underrepresented at 0.6% versus the region's 0.7%.

Narara's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Narara is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years but close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Narara has a notably higher proportion of individuals aged 5-14 (14.2% locally) and a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (11.1%). Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 4.1% to 5.5% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.3% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 12.9% to 11.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Narara. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 70%, adding 284 people, reaching 689 from 404. However, both the 0 to 4 and 55 to 64 age groups are expected to have reduced numbers.