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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Erina is $1.35m, with units at $640k. House values have moved 1.4% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Erina has an estimated 5,062 residents, down from 5,205 at the 2021 Census — a change of 143 people, or 2.7%. That puts 989 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS demographic updates for the surrounding region and address validations completed by AreaSearch since the Census, the resident population in Erina is approximately 5,062 as of May 2026. This represents a decline of 143 residents (2.7%) from the 2021 Census, which documented 5,205 people. This shift is derived from the resident figure of 5,062, calculated by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) along with 4 validated new addresses added since the Census. With this population level, the density stands at 988 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with typical averages recorded across areas analyzed by AreaSearch.
Inward overseas migration was the primary driver of demographic growth, accounting for roughly 65.0% of all population gains in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates SA2 projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 regions lacking this coverage, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are implemented. Age cohort growth rates from these datasets are applied to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on these projected demographic transitions, population growth is anticipated to exceed the national median for statistical areas, with Erina adding 651 residents by 2041 under aggregated SA2 projections, representing a 12.9% rise over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
30 new dwellings have been approved in Erina over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 1.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of ABS building approvals assigned from statistical areas show that Erina averaged approximately 6 new residential approvals yearly, amounting to 30 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. Throughout the current FY-26, no approvals have been registered. Because the population has contracted recently, the introduction of new stock has likely matched demand, providing buyers with suitable options. Additionally, commercial approvals worth $3.0 million have been logged this financial year, highlighting that the locality remains predominantly residential. Building activity in Erina is significantly quieter than in Greater Sydney, running 69.0% below the regional per capita average.
This limited addition of new stock generally bolsters demand and valuations for established properties, even though construction activity has accelerated lately. Development levels also fall below the national average, indicating a mature residential landscape and potential planning restrictions. Incoming development is split between 25.0% detached houses and 75.0% medium or high-density options like townhouses and apartments. This orientation toward compact housing formats provides more affordable entry points, appealing to downsizers, property investors, and first-time buyers. This pattern marks a clear departure from the current housing mix, where houses make up 76.0% of dwellings, pointing to a shrinking pool of developable land alongside changing household requirements and a demand for diverse, affordable living. Reflecting a mature market, Erina has approximately 406 people for each dwelling approval. Demographic projections indicate that Erina is set to welcome 651 additional residents by 2041, according to the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. If current building volumes do not increase, residential supply may fail to keep pace with population growth, potentially heightening competition among purchasers and supporting upward price movements.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Erina
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Erina, worth an estimated $45 million. A further 54 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $3.49 billion. 8 are already under construction and 11 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure updates, major projects, and planning changes have a significant effect on regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a single project expected to influence this locality. Prominent projects include the Central Coast Grammar School Campus Expansion, the Green Point Shopping Village Expansion, The Elly Extension, and the M1 Pacific Motorway Kariong to Somersby Widening, with details of the most relevant initiatives provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Central Coast Grammar School Campus Expansion
Multi stage campus expansion at Central Coast Grammar School's Erina Heights campus delivering a new K 6 junior school, senior college facilities, performing arts centre, upgraded sports fields and canteen under the school's facilities master plan.
Green Point Shopping Village Expansion
Approved expansion and refurbishment of Green Point Shopping Village including additional retail tenancies, upgraded public amenities, improved parking and site improvements. No evidence of construction commencement was identified from official sources as of July 2026.
Central Coast Highway Upgrade - Wamberal to Bateau Bay
Transport for NSW is planning a major upgrade of the Central Coast Highway between Wamberal and Bateau Bay to improve traffic flow, safety and network resilience. The project includes corridor upgrades and has been prioritised in stages, with the Central Coast Highway and Tumbi Road intersection being delivered first under a separate construction package while planning continues for the broader corridor upgrade.
Wamberal Community Park Upgrade
Major upgrade to Wamberal Community Park including new playground equipment, improved sports facilities, additional parking, and enhanced landscaping. The project aims to provide better recreational facilities for the growing local community.
Wamberal Road Hazard Reduction Works
Road safety improvement works along Wamberal Road including installation of safety barriers, improved signage, line marking upgrades, and vegetation clearing to enhance sight lines. The project addresses identified accident black spots.
Frost Reserve Upgrades
Central Coast Council is delivering major sports and community recreation upgrades at Frost Reserve in Kincumber. The project includes a modern 750sqm regional skate park, a new 370sqm sports amenities building with accessible changerooms, canteen, and storage, upgraded car parking facilities, and enhanced sports field lighting.
Mobile Communications Tower - Wamberal Heights
New mobile communications tower to improve cellular coverage and data speeds in the Wamberal area. The 35-meter tower will provide enhanced 5G services and improve emergency communications capabilities for the coastal community.
Coastal Cycleway Extension - Wamberal Section
Extension of the Central Coast coastal cycleway through Wamberal, connecting to existing paths and providing safe cycling infrastructure from Terrigal to The Entrance. The project includes new bridge crossings and improved lighting for enhanced safety.
2,219 residents of Erina are employed, from a labour force of 2,272. Unemployment sits at 2.3%, with participation at 51.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Erina is characterized by a qualified workforce with a strong representation in essential service sectors, registering an unemployment rate of only 2.3% and an estimated 3.2% rise in employment over the past year, according to aggregated statistical area data from AreaSearch. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 2,219, while the unemployment rate sat 1.8% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%. However, workforce participation is considerably lower at 51.5% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that a substantial 32.5% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 lockdown restrictions.
The primary employment fields for local residents are healthcare & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The suburb displays a strong concentration in healthcare & social assistance, with its employment share reaching 1.5 times the regional proportion. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, accounting for 6.1% of local workers compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. Although local jobs are available, Census comparisons between the working population and the local resident base suggest that a significant portion of residents travel outside the suburb for work. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader statistical regions, the year ending March 2026 saw a 3.2% rise in both employment levels and the total labor force, while unemployment remained virtually unchanged. In comparison, Greater Sydney experienced a 1.9% increase in employment, a 1.9% expansion of the labor force, and a minor drop in unemployment. National employment forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide additional context on potential workforce demand in Erina. These five and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate future trends. Nationally, employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary widely by sector. Applying these sectoral projections to the employment profile of Erina suggests local employment could expand by 6.9% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation for comparison that does not incorporate localized population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Erina is $1,010 a week (about $53,000 a year), with median personal income at $607 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,373 a year against an average of $61,622. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode-level ATO data released for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the suburb of Erina have a median income of $44,373 and an average income of $61,622. These figures sit below national averages, and compare to a median of $60,817 and an average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates would stand at roughly $48,952 for the median and $67,981 for the average as of March 2026. Census findings place household, family, and individual incomes in Erina between the 3rd and 12th percentiles nationally.
The dominant weekly income bracket is $400 - 799, containing 33.6% of residents (1,700 people), which differs from regional patterns where 30.9% of households fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Lower-income households are highly represented, with 41.6% earning under $800 per week, pointing to financial pressures for many local households. Housing costs consume a significant portion of earnings, leaving just 80.2% of income remaining, which ranks in the 4th percentile, while the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 5th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Erina had 2,147 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 76% detached houses and 4% apartments. 24% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 55% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,146 a month. Rent absorbs 37.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 49.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing profile in Erina at the time of the last Census consisted of 75.5% separate houses and 24.5% other dwelling types like townhouses and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across the Sydney metro area. The home ownership rate in Erina was considerably higher than the Sydney metro average, standing at 54.8%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (24.1%) or rented (21.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,146 was well below the Sydney metro average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent was $380, compared to the metropolitan average of $470.
On a national scale, mortgage payments in Erina exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rent levels are also above the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Erina counted 2,147 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 42% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 57.0%, consisting of couples with children at 19.1%, couples without children at 29.6%, and single parents at 7.5%. The remaining 43.0% are non-family households, with single-person households representing 41.6% and group living situations accounting for 1.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.1 persons, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.8% of adults in Erina hold a university qualification, including 17.2% with a bachelor degree and 4.7% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.9% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 2,304 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,045 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality presents educational disparities, with university graduation rates at 23.8%, which is considerably lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This gap highlights an opportunity for targeted local educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees are most common at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.7% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational and technical skills are highly represented, with 40.1% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (26.9%). A significant proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 31.1% of residents currently undertaking formal education.
This group comprises 10.1% in primary school, 7.8% in high school, and 5.4% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Erina reaches 48 stops on 94 routes, timetabled for about 2,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 0.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of local transit shows 48 active transport stops in Erina, consisting of bus services. These stops support 94 separate routes, delivering a total of 2,535 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated favorably, with residents generally living within 205 meters of a stop. Because the suburb is mostly residential, many workers commute out of the area, with private vehicles remaining the primary choice at 89% and walking accounting for 4%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 0.9 per household, which is below the metropolitan average. A significant 32.5% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Daily services average 362 trips across all routes, which translates to roughly 52 weekly trips per transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
53.0% of residents in Erina report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 83% of areas nationally. 10.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics indicate notable challenges for Erina, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic disease rates, which affect both younger and older demographics. Furthermore, the rate of private health insurance is relatively low, covering approximately 51% of the population (~2,598 people), compared to a coverage rate of 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Arthritis and heart disease are the most prevalent health conditions, affecting 13.4% and 7.8% of residents respectively, while 53.0% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Residents of working age experience higher-than-average rates of chronic illnesses.
The suburb has a high concentration of seniors, with 45.5% of the population aged 65 and over (2,303 people), compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes for this senior cohort present challenges, with national rankings generally matching those of the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Erina is largely Australian-born, at 75.4% of residents, with 10.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.9%) and Australian (25.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Erina exhibits above-average cultural diversity, with 10.2% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 24.6% born outside Australia. Christianity is the predominant religion, followed by 65.6% of residents, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Looking at parent countries of birth, the three largest ancestry groups in Erina are English at 32.9% of the population, which is much higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian at 25.4%, which is also well above the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish at 8.9%. There are also notable differences in other backgrounds: Welsh ancestry accounts for 0.8% of Erina compared to 0.4% regionally, South Australian represents 0.8% compared to 0.5%, and Maltese stands at 0.7% compared to 1.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Erina is 61, older than 99% of areas nationally. 14.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Erina is 61 years, which is much higher than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. The age distribution shows a high concentration of residents aged 75 - 84 years (20.8%), whereas the 25 - 34 year age group is relatively small at 5.3% compared to Greater Sydney. The proportion of residents aged 75 - 84 is significantly higher than the national figure of 6.1%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 18.8% to 20.8% of the population, and the 35 to 44 age bracket rose from 8.7% to 10.1%.
In contrast, the cohort aged 85+ decreased from 13.9% to 12.0%, and the 25 to 34 group declined from 6.8% to 5.3%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections point to major changes in the age structure of Erina. The 85+ cohort is expected to increase significantly, growing by 476 people (78%) from 607 to 1,084. Population aging is set to continue, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 92% of the projected growth, while declines are expected in the 15 to 24 and 5 to 14 cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Erina
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Dec 2025 8 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Dec 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 4 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (5,205 at the 2021 Census → 5,062 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL11436). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.