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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Erina is $1.38m, with units at $674k. House values have moved 1.8% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Erina has an estimated 5,062 residents, down from 5,205 at the 2021 Census — a change of 143 people, or 2.7%. That puts 989 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Erina is home to an estimated 5,062 residents, a figure determined by AreaSearch through recent broader ABS population updates alongside post-Census address validations. This represents a contraction of 143 people (2.7%) relative to the 2021 Census tally of 5,205 people. AreaSearch established this 5,062 resident total following the ABS ERP release in June 2025 and 4 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date. With a density of 988 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Erina aligns closely with standard benchmarks observed across AreaSearch study regions.
Gains were heavily underpinned by overseas migration, which made up around 65.0% of recent population additions. In mapping out future trends for the suburb of Erina, AreaSearch incorporates 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections that use 2022 as a base year, supplemented by 2022 NSW State Government SA2 figures based on 2021 where needed. These aggregations also provide age-bracket growth trajectories applied from 2032 to 2041. On the back of these demographic forecasts, the suburb of Erina is slated for above-median expansion relative to national statistical locations, gaining 642 persons by 2041 across aggregated SA2 modelling, which equates to an overall rise of 12.7% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
27 new dwellings have been approved in Erina over the past five years, an average of 5 a year. That is 1.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Building approval figures compiled by AreaSearch from ABS statistical area data indicate that Erina has averaged approximately 5 residential approvals annually, delivering roughly 27 homes across the prior 5 financial years. Throughout FY-25 to date, no approvals have been registered. Because the local population contracted recently, this modest residential pipeline has satisfied demand, fostering a balanced environment with ample options for purchasers. Concurrently, $3.0 million in commercial approvals has been logged this financial year, underscoring that local building activity remains overwhelmingly residential. Relative to Greater Sydney, Erina exhibits subdued construction activity, trailing the regional per-capita benchmark by 71.0%.
This limited flow of incoming stock generally bolsters valuation and buyer interest across existing dwellings. Activity is similarly sluggish by national standards, reflecting an established urban fabric and prospective planning constraints. Furthermore, all recent approvals have been for attached dwellings, introducing higher-density housing choices that offer accessible price thresholds for first-home buyers, investors, and downsizers. This shift diverges from the current baseline where detached houses make up 76.0%, pointing to shrinking supplies of vacant land as well as evolving lifestyle requirements. Longer-term projections indicate Erina will gain 642 residents by 2041 compared to the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. If prevailing construction volumes persist, housing supply could find it difficult to keep pace with population expansion, potentially fueling competition among purchasers and sustaining upward pressure on values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Erina
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Erina, worth an estimated $45 million. A further 54 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $3.49 billion. 7 are already under construction and 11 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major planning programs, and regional projects exert significant influence over local property performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 1 key project positioned to influence the area. Notable infrastructure works include the Central Coast Grammar School Campus Expansion, Green Point Shopping Village Expansion, The Elly Extension, and the M1 Pacific Motorway Kariong to Somersby Widening.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Central Coast Grammar School Campus Expansion
Multi stage campus expansion at Central Coast Grammar School's Erina Heights campus delivering a new K 6 junior school, senior college facilities, performing arts centre, upgraded sports fields and canteen under the school's facilities master plan.
Green Point Shopping Village Expansion
Approved expansion and refurbishment of Green Point Shopping Village including additional retail tenancies, upgraded public amenities, improved parking and site improvements. No evidence of construction commencement was identified from official sources as of July 2026.
Central Coast Highway Upgrade - Wamberal to Bateau Bay
Transport for NSW is planning a major upgrade of the Central Coast Highway between Wamberal and Bateau Bay to improve traffic flow, safety and network resilience. The project includes corridor upgrades and has been prioritised in stages, with the Central Coast Highway and Tumbi Road intersection being delivered first under a separate construction package while planning continues for the broader corridor upgrade.
Wamberal Community Park Upgrade
Major upgrade to Wamberal Community Park including new playground equipment, improved sports facilities, additional parking, and enhanced landscaping. The project aims to provide better recreational facilities for the growing local community.
Wamberal Road Hazard Reduction Works
Road safety improvement works along Wamberal Road including installation of safety barriers, improved signage, line marking upgrades, and vegetation clearing to enhance sight lines. The project addresses identified accident black spots.
Frost Reserve Upgrades
Central Coast Council is delivering major sports and community recreation upgrades at Frost Reserve in Kincumber. The project includes a modern 750sqm regional skate park, a new 370sqm sports amenities building with accessible changerooms, canteen, and storage, upgraded car parking facilities, and enhanced sports field lighting.
Mobile Communications Tower - Wamberal Heights
New mobile communications tower to improve cellular coverage and data speeds in the Wamberal area. The 35-meter tower will provide enhanced 5G services and improve emergency communications capabilities for the coastal community.
Coastal Cycleway Extension - Wamberal Section
Extension of the Central Coast coastal cycleway through Wamberal, connecting to existing paths and providing safe cycling infrastructure from Terrigal to The Entrance. The project includes new bridge crossings and improved lighting for enhanced safety.
2,233 residents of Erina are employed, from a labour force of 2,286. Unemployment sits at 2.3%, with participation at 51.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Erina maintains a capable workforce with an unemployment rate of only 2.3%, accompanied by strong representation in essential services and an estimated 3.3% rise in employment over the preceding year according to AreaSearch statistical area datasets. As of March 2026, 2,233 local residents are employed, and joblessness sits 1.9% below the Greater Sydney figure of 4.1%, even as local labor participation remains suppressed at 51.8% compared with 68.9% across Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that 32.5% of working locals operated from home, though this was likely influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions.
The primary employment fields for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Specialisation is especially pronounced in health care & social assistance, where the local concentration reaches 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are comparatively sparse, engaging just 6.1% of Erina workers against 11.5% throughout Greater Sydney. Although local jobs exist within the area, Census comparisons between working residents and locally based jobs suggest a substantial portion of the community travels to other districts for work. According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM statistical area figures, employment grew by 3.3% over the 12 months leading to March 2026, matched by a 3.3% increase in the labor force, leaving the unemployment level virtually unchanged. This differs from Greater Sydney, where employment and the workforce both expanded by 1.9% while joblessness reduced slightly. National outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future demand in Erina. While nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trajectories vary across individual sectors. Applying these industry weightings to Erina's resident job profile suggests potential employment increases of 6.9% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, representing a simple weighted extrapolation for illustration without incorporating localized population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Erina is $1,010 a week (about $53,000 a year), with median personal income at $607 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,373 a year against an average of $61,622. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
In the suburb of Erina, median taxpayer income stands at $44,373 with an average of $61,622 based on aggregated postcode-level ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These earnings fall below national standards and trail Greater Sydney, where the median is $60,817 and the average reaches $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach roughly $48,952 for the median and $67,981 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places Erina's personal, family, and household earnings between the 3rd and 12th percentiles across Australia.
In terms of income brackets, the largest group comprises 33.6% of residents (1,700 people) earning $400 - 799 per week, differing from the wider region where 30.9% sit in the $1,500 - 2,999 band. With 41.6% of residents concentrated below $800 weekly, economic constraints are evident across the community. Housing cost pressures remain significant, leaving only 80.2% of income uncommitted to rank in the 4th percentile, while the SEIFA income metric sits in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Erina had 2,147 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 76% detached houses and 4% apartments. 24% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 55% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,146 a month. Rent absorbs 37.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 49.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential stock in Erina consisted of 75.5% separate houses and 24.5% other dwellings such as apartments, townhouses, and semi-detached properties, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across metropolitan Sydney. Outright home ownership reached 54.8%, notably higher than the metropolitan Sydney figure, while 24.1% of properties were mortgaged and 21.1% were tenanted. Monthly mortgage repayments averaged a median of $2,146 and weekly rents sat at $380, comparing favorably against Sydney metro figures of $2,427 and $470 respectively. However, against nationwide medians, Erina's mortgage costs exceed the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and rent levels surpass the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Erina counted 2,147 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 42% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of living arrangements at 57.0%, comprising 29.6% couples without children, 19.1% couples with children, and 7.5% single parent households. Non-family residences account for the remaining 43.0%, with single-person households representing 41.6% and shared group arrangements comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.1 people, tracking below the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.8% of adults in Erina hold a university qualification, including 17.2% with a bachelor degree and 4.7% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.9% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 2,304 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,045 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment levels present challenges across the area, with 23.8% of residents holding higher education qualifications compared to the Greater Sydney benchmark of 38.0%. Among tertiary qualifications, bachelor degrees represent 17.2%, postgraduate qualifications make up 4.7%, and graduate diplomas account for 1.9%. Vocational and technical qualifications are widespread, with 40.1% of the population aged 15+ holding credentials, including 13.2% with advanced diplomas and 26.9% holding certificates. Formal study engagement is substantial, with 31.1% of the population attending an educational institution. Within this student cohort, 10.1% attend primary school, 7.8% are enrolled in secondary education, and 5.4% are undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Erina reaches 56 stops on 95 routes, timetabled for about 2,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 0.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Erina includes 56 active stops dedicated to bus routes. These locations are served by 95 separate routes, delivering a collective 2,495 passenger trips on a weekly basis. Accessibility is favorable, with residents generally located 205 meters from the closest stop. Given the suburb's residential profile, outward commuting is standard; private vehicles account for 89% of journeys, while 4% walk. Car ownership sits at an average of 0.9 vehicles per household, tracking below regional levels, and 32.5% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, reflecting conditions during COVID-19.
Transit services maintain an average of 356 trips daily across the network, which translates to roughly 44 weekly departures per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
53.0% of residents in Erina report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 83% of areas nationally. 10.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators compiled by AreaSearch on mortality and chronic illnesses highlight notable challenges in Erina across both younger and older demographics, while private health insurance uptake is comparatively low at around 51% of the community (~2,598 people). This sits below the 59.9% coverage observed across Greater Sydney. Arthritis and heart disease represent the most prevalent diagnosed conditions, affecting 13.4 and 7.8% of the local population respectively, while 53.0% of residents report no chronic health ailments compared to 74.6% throughout Greater Sydney. Working-age residents experience higher-than-average rates of chronic conditions. Older adults aged 65 and over comprise 44.6% of the population (2,257 people), well above the 15.5% recorded across Greater Sydney.
Health outcomes for older age groups face certain obstacles, while broad national rankings track closely with general population trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Erina is largely Australian-born, at 75.4% of residents, with 10.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.9%) and Australian (25.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Erina is above average, with 24.6% of residents born overseas and 10.2% using a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant faith, observed by 65.6% of the local community, in contrast to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Regarding parental ancestry, the three primary heritage backgrounds in Erina are English at 32.9% (exceeding the regional average of 19.0%), Australian at 25.4% (higher than the regional figure of 17.8%), and Irish at 8.9%. Other distinct demographic representations include Welsh at 0.8% (against 0.4% regionally), South Australian at 0.8% (against 0.5%), and Maltese at 0.7% (against 1.0%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Erina is 61, older than 99% of areas nationally. 15.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Erina exhibits an older demographic composition than surrounding districts, with seniors and retirees aged 65+ making up 44.6% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 15.5% across Greater Sydney, whereas young to middle aged adults aged 25 - 44 represent only 15.6% locally against 31.4% regionally. The estimated median age stands at 61 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census figure, which was 24 years above Greater Sydney's median of 37 and higher than the national median of 38 at that same Census. Since then, the 0 - 24 youth cohort has increased from 20.2% to an estimated 22.2%.
By 2041, the largest population influx will occur among those aged 65+, expanding by 738 residents (33%) to reach 2,996, while younger adult cohorts and youth numbers are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Erina
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Dec 2025 10 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Dec 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 4 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,205 at the 2021 Census → 5,062 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL11436). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.