Avoca Beach - Copacabana
Statistical Area - sa2

Avoca Beach - Copacabana is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Aug 2025, Avoca Beach - Copacabana's population is around 7,570. This reflects an increase of 57 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,513. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,570 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 22 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,175 persons per square kilometer. Avoca Beach - Copacabana's 0.8% growth since census positions it within 1.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.3%). Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 64.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, lower quartile growth is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 128 persons to 2041, an increase of 1.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has seen approximately 29 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years ending June 30, 2021, totalling 146 homes. As of April 2026, three approvals have been recorded in this financial year. The population has fallen during this period, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. The average construction value of these new properties is $1,064,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In the current financial year ending June 30, 2026, there have been $7.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avoca Beach - Copacabana maintains similar construction rates per person, which has helped maintain market balance consistent with the broader area. However, construction activity has eased recently. The recent construction comprises 72.0% standalone homes and 28.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 90.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Avoca Beach - Copacabana indicates a mature market with around 342 people per approval. Looking ahead, Avoca Beach - Copacabana is expected to grow by 128 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No factor impacts a region's performance more than alterations to nearby infrastructure, significant projects, and planning endeavors. AreaSearch has pinpointed 0 initiatives that could affect this area. Notable projects encompass Terrigal Esplanade Private Access Stairs Development, Aria Terrigal, Terrigal Boardwalk and Rockpool Restoration, and Terrigal Public School Upgrade, with the following list outlining those most pertinent.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Avoca Beach - Copacabana performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 1.2% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. As of June 2025, there were 4,086 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 3.0%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 64.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

The area shows strong specialization in construction with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Finance & insurance has limited presence at 3.7%, compared to the regional level of 7.3%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5% and labour force increased by 2.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avoca Beach - Copacabana's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Avoca Beach - Copacabana had a median income among taxpayers of $57,293 and an average of $84,780. These figures are high compared to national averages and Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,518 (median) and $95,471 (average). Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Avoca Beach - Copacabana rank highly nationally, between the 69th and 82nd percentiles. Income brackets show that 30.4% of residents (2,301 individuals) earn within the $1,500-$2,999 range, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.9% fall into this bracket. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 37.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 15.1% of income, while strong earnings place residents in the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avoca Beach - Copacabana was at 37.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (43.4%) or rented (19.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,438, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,150. Median weekly rent in Avoca Beach - Copacabana was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,438 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.7 percent of all households, including 39.3 percent couples with children, 29.6 percent couples without children, and 12.1 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.3 percent, with lone person households at 16.5 percent and group households comprising 1.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Avoca Beach - Copacabana is notably high, with 33.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure exceeds the SA4 region's 20.8% and the SA3 area's 25.7%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 13.7% and certificates for 22.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education. Avoca Beach Public School and Copacabana Public School serve the area, collectively educating 717 students as of a recent report. The area's socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA score of 1076. Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. As of the latest data, school places per 100 residents stood at 9.5, lower than the regional average of 15.9, indicating some students may attend schools outside the area.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has 65 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that together provide 355 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 175 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 50 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis shows Avoca Beach - Copacabana has strong health metrics, with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover rate is high at approximately 62%, compared to Greater Sydney's 54.7% and the national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and asthma are most common, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% respectively.

73.5% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 64.8%. The area has 19.8% residents aged 65+, lower than Greater Sydney's 24.5%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avoca Beach-Copacabana, surveyed in 2016, had low cultural diversity with 80.5% of its population born in Australia and 94.9% speaking English only at home. The majority, 91.7%, were Australian citizens. Christianity dominated the religious landscape, comprising 48.3%.

Judaism was overrepresented at 0.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.2%. Top ancestral groups were English (32.4%), Australian (26.8%), and Irish (10.6%). Notable divergences included Welsh (0.9% vs regional 0.7%), French (0.8% vs 0.5%), and South African (0.6% vs 0.5%).

Avoca Beach - Copacabana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Avoca Beach - Copacabana is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 are particularly prominent at 15.2%, while those aged 25-34 are comparatively smaller at 4.7%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.5% to 14.5%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 5.1% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 6.8% to 4.7%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Avoca Beach - Copacabana's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 253 people (175%) from 144 to 398. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 96% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.