Avoca Beach - Copacabana
Statistical Area - sa2

Avoca Beach - Copacabana is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Avoca Beach - Copacabana's population is 7,570 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 57 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,513. The increase was inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses between June 2024 and the Census date. Population density is 1,175 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Avoca Beach - Copacabana's growth rate of 0.8% since the census places it close to the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.3%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.1% of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations will be applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population growth is anticipated to be lower quartile, with the area expected to expand by 128 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, resulting in a total increase of 1.7% over 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has seen approximately 29 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 146 homes. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, providing good choice for buyers. The average construction value of new properties is $605,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment.

In FY-26, there have been $7.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avoca Beach - Copacabana maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market balance with the broader area, although recent activity has eased slightly. Recent construction comprises 72% standalone homes and 28% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's suburban character with a focus on family homes. This is a shift from the current housing mix of 90% houses, likely due to reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands.

The population density per approval is around 342 people, indicating a mature market. By 2041, Avoca Beach - Copacabana is projected to grow by 128 residents. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that may impact this region. Notable initiatives include Terrigal Esplanade Private Access Stairs Development, Aria Terrigal, Terrigal Boardwalk and Rockpool Restoration, and Terrigal Public School Upgrade, with the following list highlighting those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Avoca Beach - Copacabana performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.2% in June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by 2.5% over the past year. As of June 2025, 4,086 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.0%, below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation was 64.4%, close to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Construction had a strong presence at 1.5 times the regional level. Finance & insurance had limited representation with 3.7% employment compared to 7.3% regionally. Employment opportunities appeared locally limited based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force grew by 2.7%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections vary significantly. Applying these projections to Avoca Beach - Copacabana's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Avoca Beach - Copacabana had a median income among taxpayers of $57,293 and an average of $84,780. Nationally, these figures are extremely high, with Greater Sydney having a median of $56,994 and an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Avoca Beach - Copacabana would be approximately $64,518 (median) and $95,471 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, between the 69th and 82nd percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate 30.4% of the population (2,301 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in metropolitan regions where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. This suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 37.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 15.1% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 82nd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Avoca Beach - Copacabana was 37.4%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 43.4%, while rented properties made up 19.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area stood at $2,438, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,150 and significantly above the national average of $1,863. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $520, compared to Sydney metro's $400 and substantially above the national figure of $375.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.7% of all households, composed of 39.3% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.3%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Avoca Beach - Copacabana is high, with 33.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 20.8% in the broader SA4 region and 25.7% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (13.7%) and certificates (22.8%). Educational participation is notable, with 32.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.7% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Avoca Beach Public School and Copacabana Public School serve the area, collectively educating 717 students as of a recent report. The schools focus on primary education, with ICSEA score indicating above-average socio-educational conditions (1076). Secondary options are available in nearby areas. As of the same report, school places per 100 residents stood at 9.5, below the regional average of 15.9.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Avoca Beach - Copacabana shows that there are currently 65 active transport stops operating in the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 29 individual routes providing service to the region. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 355.

Residents in Avoca Beach - Copacabana enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 175 meters to the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 50 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates robust performance across Avoca Beach - Copacabana, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (4,723 people), compared to 54.7% in Greater Sydney and 55.3% nationally. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% of residents respectively, while 73.5% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 64.8% across Greater Sydney.

The area has 19.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,498 people), lower than the 24.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and largely align with the general population's health profile.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avoca Beach-Copacabana exhibited lower cultural diversity, with 80.5% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 94.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 48.3%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.5%, compared to 0.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.4%), Australian (26.8%), and Irish (10.6%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) French (0.8%), and South African (0.6%) ethnicities were also overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Avoca Beach - Copacabana is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 years make up 15.2% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years comprise only 4.7%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 12.5% to 14.5%, and the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.1% to 6.3%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 6.8% to 4.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Avoca Beach - Copacabana's age structure. The number of individuals aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 253 people (175%), reaching 398 from the previous figure of 144. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 96% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the populations aged 25-34 and 55-64 are expected to decline.