Avoca Beach - Copacabana

Avoca Beach - Copacabana is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Avoca Beach - Copacabana's population is around 7570 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 57 people (0.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7513 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7570 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 22 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1175 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Avoca Beach - Copacabana's 0.8% growth since census positions it within 1.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.3%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 64.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 128 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 1.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has seen approximately 29 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 146 homes. As of FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $605,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY-26, there have been $7.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avoca Beach - Copacabana maintains similar construction rates per person, consistent with the broader area's market balance. Recent construction comprises 72% standalone homes and 28% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. This shows a change from the current housing mix of 90% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana reflects a low density area with around 342 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 128 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts and creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure changes are anticipated in the area. No major projects or planning initiatives have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the region.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Avoca Beach - Copacabana performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Avoca Beach - Copacabana has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. The unemployment rate was 1.2% in September 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by 3.1% over the past year. There are 4,139 residents employed with a workforce participation rate of 64.4%, close to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction is particularly strong with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Finance & insurance has limited presence at 3.7% compared to 7.3% regionally. Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data comparison. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, labour force by 3.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. State-wide in NSW as of 25-Nov-25, employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Job forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avoca Beach - Copacabana's industry mix indicates local employment could increase by 7.1% in five years and 14.5% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Avoca Beach - Copacabana SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $57,293 and an average of $84,780. This is notably high nationally, with Greater Sydney having a median of $56,994 and an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,518 (median) and $95,471 (average). Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, between the 69th and 82nd percentiles nationally. Income brackets reveal 30.4% of the population (2,301 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.9% occupy this range. The suburb displays considerable affluence with 37.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Avoca Beach - Copacabana, as evaluated at the Census conducted on 28 August 2016, comprised 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metropolitan area's 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avoca Beach - Copacabana was at 37.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (43.4%) or rented (19.2%), similar to Sydney metropolitan area's figures. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,438, above Sydney metropolitan area's average of $2,150 and national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $520, compared to Sydney metropolitan area's $400 and national figure of $375.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.7% of all households, including 39.3% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for 18.3%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Avoca Beach - Copacabana is notably high, with 33.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest census data. This figure exceeds both the SA4 region's 20.8% and the SA3 area's 25.7%. The most common university qualifications are bachelor degrees (23.6%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications.

This includes advanced diplomas (13.7%) and certificates (22.8%). Educational participation is notably high, with 32.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as per the latest data. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the area of Avoca Beach - Copacabana shows that there are currently 65 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 29 individual routes providing service to the area. The combined weekly passenger trips across all these routes amount to 355.

The accessibility of public transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 175 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 50 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis shows Avoca Beach - Copacabana had low prevalence of common health conditions across all ages. Private health cover was high at 62%, compared to 54.7% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and asthma were most common, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% respectively.

73.5% reported no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 64.8%. The area had 19.8% residents aged 65+, lower than Greater Sydney's 24.5%. Senior health outcomes were strong, similar to the general population.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avoca Beach-Copacabana had low cultural diversity, with 80.5% born in Australia, 91.7% citizens, and 94.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion at 48.3%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.2%.

Top ancestry groups were English (32.4%), Australian (26.8%), and Irish (10.6%). Welsh, French, and Russian groups had notable representation: Welsh at 0.9% vs regional 0.7%, French at 0.8% vs 0.5%, and Russian at 0.4%.

Avoca Beach - Copacabana's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Avoca Beach - Copacabana is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 years make up 15.2% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years constitute only 4.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 year age group has increased from 12.5% to 14.5%, and the 75-84 year cohort has risen from 5.1% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 year age group has decreased from 6.8% to 4.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Avoca Beach - Copacabana's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 253 people (175%), from 144 to 398. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 96% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 25-34 year and 55-64 year cohorts are expected to experience population declines.