Davistown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Davistown statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,658 people. This figure reflects an increase of 56 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,602 people. The current resident population estimate of 2,656 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and two validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates a growth rate of 2.2%. This results in a population density ratio of 1,650 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Davistown (SA2) area's population growth of 2.2% since the Census places it within 0.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.1%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering these projections, the Davistown (SA2) area is expected to grow by approximately 325 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 12.7% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Davistown, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Davistown shows approximately 6 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 31 homes. As of FY-26, 3 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these five years is 1.9. However, this has increased to 13.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $525,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

In FY-26, there have been $281,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Relative to Greater Sydney, Davistown records about 63% of the building activity per person and places among the 11th percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. All new construction in Davistown has been detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (73.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 1328 people per dwelling approval, Davistown reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, Davistown is expected to grow by 337 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Davistown has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes were identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area's performance. Key projects include Blackwall Road Interchange Improvements, Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment, Northside Private Hospital expansion, and Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line upgrades.

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Employment conditions in Davistown demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Davistown has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate is 2.4%.

Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 2.7%. As of September 2025, 1,191 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 51.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction is particularly prominent, with employment share being 1.9 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 5.3% of employment compared to the regional 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, while labour force grew by 2.9%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Statewide, NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Davistown's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Davistown had a lower than average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Davistown was $43,767 and the average income stood at $64,766, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%, estimated incomes would be approximately $47,645 (median) and $70,504 (average). Census 2021 income data showed household, family, and personal incomes in Davistown ranked modestly, between the 26th and 28th percentiles. Income analysis revealed that 27.3% of the population (725 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Davistown, with only 80.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 22nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Davistown, as evaluated at the latest Census conducted on 28 August 2016, comprised 73.1% houses and 26.9% other dwellings including semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling structure of 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Davistown was at 43.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.2% and rented dwellings at 16.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of June 2021, was $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had median monthly mortgage repayments of $2,150 and median weekly rents of $400. Nationally, Davistown's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 as of June 2021, while median weekly rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Davistown has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.5% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 32.2% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 28.7% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Davistown shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 45.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 34.1%. A total of 24.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 10.6% in primary, 6.3% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.8% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Davistown has 24 operational public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 17 different routes, together facilitating 607 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated excellent, with residents on average situated 150 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 86 trips daily, amounting to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Davistown is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Davistown. Both younger and older age groups show high prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is prevalent at approximately 53% (~1,397 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (12.2%) and mental health issues (7.8%). A total of 60.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Greater Sydney. Davistown has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.2% (829 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 24.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present similar challenges to those seen in the general population.

Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Davistown's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 92.8% being citizens, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Davistown, making up 58.5% of people, compared to 53.4% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.8%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (10.5%).

Notably, Maltese were overrepresented at 0.7%, Welsh at 0.6%, and Scottish at 8.3%.

Davistown hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Davistown's median age is 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 75-84 years are particularly prominent in Davistown, making up 12.1% of the population, compared to a national figure of 6%. This is considerably higher than Greater Sydney's concentration of this age group. Meanwhile, the 25-34 year-old cohort makes up only 7.2% of Davistown's population, which is smaller than the proportion in Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and the present, the percentage of Davistown residents aged 75-84 years has increased from 10.8% to 12.1%. During this period, the 15-24 year-old cohort has also grown slightly, from 8.6% to 9.7%, while the 5-14 year-old cohort has declined from 12.8% to 10.8%. Population forecasts for Davistown in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The number of residents aged 85 years and above is projected to double, adding 151 individuals to reach a total of 303. Residents aged 65 years and above will drive 79% of the population growth, underscoring the trend towards an aging population. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 25-34 years and 35-44 years.