Davistown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Davistown is around 2,614. This figure reflects an increase of 12 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,602 in the suburb. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and validation of two new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,623 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Davistown's 0.5% growth since the census places it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains in recent periods for the suburb.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Davistown is expected to experience population growth just below the median of national areas by 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is anticipated to grow by 257 persons over this period, reflecting an increase of approximately 9.8% in total population.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Davistown, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Davistown has recorded approximately six residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated thirty-one homes. So far in FY26, three approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, there has been an average of 1.7 new residents per dwelling constructed annually. However, this figure has intensified to 12.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $525,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This year, there have been $281,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Relative to Greater Sydney, Davistown records around 63% of the building activity per person and places among the 13th percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. All new construction has been comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Davistown's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

Developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (73.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 1321 people per dwelling approval, Davistown reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, Davistown is expected to grow by 257 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Davistown has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, or planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to impact this area. Notable ones include Blackwall Road Interchange Improvements, Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment, Northside Private Hospital establishment, and Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades. The following list details those most pertinent.

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Davistown ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Davistown has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in Davistown is 2.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%.

As of December 2025, there are 1,167 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation in Davistown is 53.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion of residents work from home, at 29.2%. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Davistown has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, at 5.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of working population versus resident population. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, while labour force and unemployment remained broadly flat. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Davistown's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Davistown had a lower than average national income level based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $43,767 and the average income stood at $64,766, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. As of March 2026, estimated incomes are approximately $48,284 (median) and $71,450 (average), accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023. Census 2021 income data indicates household, family and personal incomes rank modestly in Davistown, between the 26th and 28th percentiles. Income analysis shows 27.3% of the population (713 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 22nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Davistown, as per the latest Census, consisted of 73.1% houses and 26.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Davistown was at 43.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.2% and rented ones at 16.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Davistown was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Davistown's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents stood at $420, substantially above the national figure of $375.

Davistown has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.5% of all households, including couples with children (26.9%), couples without children (32.2%), and single parent families (9.1%). Non-family households account for the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 28.7% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Davistown shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 45.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (34.1%).

A substantial 24.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 10.6% in primary, 6.3% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Davistown has 24 operational public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 17 different routes, collectively facilitating 607 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically residing 150 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 97%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.4, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 29.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 86 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Davistown is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Davistown faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are common, with older age cohorts experiencing these conditions to a slightly higher degree.

Approximately 53% (~1,373 people) of Davistown residents have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.2%) and mental health issues (7.8%), while 60.2% claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Davistown has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.9% (833 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Davistown's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 92.8% being citizens, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Davistown, comprising 58.5% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.8%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (10.5%).

Notably, Maltese, Welsh, and Scottish ethnicities had higher representations in Davistown than regionally: Maltese at 0.7% vs 1.0%, Welsh at 0.6% vs 0.4%, and Scottish at 8.3% vs 4.8%.

Davistown hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Davistown's median age is 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 12.3% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney's national average of 6.1%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group is smaller at 7.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 8.6% to 10.1% of the population, while the 75-84 cohort has increased from 10.8% to 12.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 12.8% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Davistown. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 82%, adding 131 residents to reach 291, with senior residents aged 65 and above driving 77% of population growth. However, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 35-44 age groups.