Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga is approximately 25,106 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 409 people since the Census in 2021, which recorded a population of 24,697. The growth from June 2025's estimated resident population of 25,058 and 201 new addresses is responsible for this change. This results in a population density ratio of 995 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga's growth rate of 1.7% since the Census places it within 0.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.6%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 are used, with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga is projected to grow by 3,084 persons, reflecting an increase of 12.1% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga when compared nationally

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga has recorded approximately 133 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 667 homes were approved, with an additional 82 approved so far in FY26. On average, over these five years, there have been 0.5 new residents per year per dwelling constructed.

This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties is $332,000. In FY26, $4.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga has slightly more development, with 42.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values.

Recent construction comprises 49.0% standalone homes and 51.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the area's existing housing, which is currently 70.0% houses, indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 199 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga is expected to grow by 3,035 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 16 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Umina Beach Public Preschool, 100-101 The Esplanade Development Site - Ettalong Beach, Umina Beach Multi-Dwelling Housing Projects, and Ettalong Beach Hotel Development - 216-220 Memorial Avenue. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.6% over the past year. There were 11,301 residents in work by December 2025, with an unemployment rate matching Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was lower at 56.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion of residents, 35.8%, worked from home according to Census responses. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 3.6%, while labour force also grew by 3.6%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga SA2 has a median income of $50,965 and an average income of $70,094. This is slightly above the national average, compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga as of March 2026 would be approximately $56,225 (median) and $77,328 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga fall between the 22nd and 24th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 27.7% of locals (6,954 people) predominantly earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort also represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga, with only 80.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 18th percentile nationally.

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga, as per the latest Census, 70.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 30.0% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Sydney's metropolitan area, which had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga stood at 38.9%, with mortgaged properties at 26.7% and rented ones at 34.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,080, below Sydney's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga was $400, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375 per week.

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 64.0% of all households, including 21.8% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.0%, with lone person households at 32.6% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 20.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.3% and certificates at 28.7%. Educational participation is high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.4% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga has 221 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 55 individual routes, collectively facilitating 2,011 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 147 meters from the nearest stop. Commuting patterns show that most residents travel outward from the area. Car remains the dominant commuting mode at 82%, while train usage stands at 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 35.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 287 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga faces significant health challenges. AreaSearch's assessment indicates high mortality rates and a prevalence of chronic conditions across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is more prevalent here at approximately 54% of the total population (~13,532 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.7%) and mental health issues (9.3%). Conversely, 61.2% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.1%, compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Umina-Booker Bay-Patonga has a cultural diversity below average, with 81.8% of its population born in Australia, 88.8% being citizens, and 92.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Umina-Booker Bay-Patonga, comprising 53.3% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (31.8%), Australian (27.9%), and Irish (9.6%).

Notably, Russian is overrepresented at 0.5%, New Zealand at 0.9%, and Maltese at 0.6%.

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga's median age is 47 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 11.4% of the population in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. This figure is also higher than the national average of 6%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group grew from 9.3% to 11.4%, while the 25-34 cohort declined from 9.0% to 8.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Umina - Booker Bay - Patonga's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 35%, adding 1,011 residents to reach a total of 3,879. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 75% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups.