Saratoga - Davistown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Saratoga - Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Saratoga - Davistown's population is around 7,350 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 190 people (2.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,160 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,348 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,540 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Saratoga - Davistown's 2.7% growth since the census positions it within 0.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 66.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 603 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 8.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Saratoga - Davistown, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Saratoga - Davistown has seen around 18 new homes approved each year, totalling 90 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 1.1 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, with recent figures showing this has accelerated to 5.4 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply. Development projects average $346,000 in construction value. There have also been $562,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Saratoga - Davistown shows approximately 66% of the construction activity per person while it places among the 29th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice, supporting interest in existing properties. This level is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. At around 662 people per approval, Saratoga - Davistown shows a mature, established area.

Looking ahead, Saratoga - Davistown is expected to grow by 601 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Development is keeping a reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Saratoga - Davistown has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total, 1 single project has been identified by AreaSearch that is likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Koolang Road Residential Release Area, Green Point Foreshore Masterplan & Reserve Upgrades, Blackwall Road Intersection Upgrades, and Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment, with the below list detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Saratoga - Davistown performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Saratoga - Davistown possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.3%, and 3.7% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 3,878 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation lags significantly (63.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 34.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. On the other hand, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 6.5% of Saratoga - Davistown's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.7% and the labour force increased by 3.7%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Saratoga - Davistown. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Saratoga - Davistown's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Saratoga - Davistown SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $52,873 and an average of $72,805 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is above the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $57,558 (median) and $79,256 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Saratoga - Davistown, between the 45th and 50th percentiles. Distribution data shows 30.5% of the population (2,241 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Saratoga - Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Saratoga - Davistown, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.7% houses and 13.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Saratoga - Davistown was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 40.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (15.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $460, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Saratoga - Davistown's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Saratoga - Davistown has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 74.4% of all households, comprising 32.7% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 23.4% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Saratoga - Davistown aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (22.3%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (31.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 58 active transport stops operating within Saratoga - Davistown, comprising a mix of ferry and buses. These stops are serviced by 19 individual routes, collectively providing 613 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 34.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 87 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Saratoga - Davistown's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Saratoga - Davistown, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~4,071 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.7% and 8.3% of residents, respectively, while 64.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 26.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,961 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Saratoga - Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Saratoga - Davistown was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Saratoga - Davistown is Christianity, which makes up 55.8% of the population. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Saratoga - Davistown are English, comprising 33.3% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian, comprising 29.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish, comprising 9.9% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 8.8% of Saratoga - Davistown (vs 4.8% regionally), New Zealand at 0.9% (vs 0.5%) and Maltese at 0.7% (vs 1.0%).

Saratoga - Davistown hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The 46-year median age in Saratoga - Davistown is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and similarly well above the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 65 - 74 cohort is notably over-represented (13.0% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (8.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.9% to 9.9% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.5% to 11.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 11.2% and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 9.3% to 8.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Saratoga - Davistown. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to see notable expansion, increasing by 256 people (35%) from 728 to 985. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 73% of projected growth. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.