Saratoga - Davistown
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Saratoga - Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Saratoga-Davistown's population is approximately 7,350 as of Aug 2025. This figure represents a growth of 190 people (2.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,160. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 7,348 in June 2024 and six additional validated addresses post-Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,540 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Saratoga-Davistown's growth rate since the 2021 Census (2.7%) surpassed the SA3 area's rate (2.3%), indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on current demographic trends and latest population numbers, the area is expected to increase by 603 persons to 2041, marking an 8.2% total increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Saratoga - Davistown, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Saratoga-Davistown has seen approximately 18 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 90 homes. As of FY26, four approvals have been recorded. Between FY21 and FY25, an average of 1.1 new residents per year arrived per new home, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this has accelerated to 5.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply. The average construction value for development projects is $525,000.

This fiscal year has seen $562,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Saratoga-Davistown shows around 66% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 30th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is below the national average, suggesting an established area with potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

With around 662 people per approval, Saratoga-Davistown is a mature, established area expected to grow by 601 residents through to 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Saratoga - Davistown has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of a region can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified one significant project that is expected to impact this area: Koolang Road Residential Release Area, Green Point Foreshore Masterplan & Reserve Upgrades, Blackwall Road Intersection Upgrades, Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment are key projects, with the following list highlighting those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Saratoga - Davistown performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Saratoga-Davistown has a skilled workforce with key industries being health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 1.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. As of June 2025, 3784 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The area has employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6% while the labour force grew by 2.7%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.9%. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.5%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industries. Applying these projections to Saratoga-Davistown's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Saratoga - Davistown had a median taxpayer income of $49,027 and an average income of $72,550 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). By September 2025, estimates suggest median income could reach approximately $55,209 and average income $81,699, based on a 12.61% increase from the financial year 2022 Wage Price Index growth. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Saratoga - Davistown rank modestly, between the 45th and 51st percentiles. Income distribution shows that 30.5% of the population (2,241 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to the surrounding region's 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Saratoga - Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Saratoga-Davistown, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Saratoga-Davistown stood at 40.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (15.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,150. The median weekly rent figure was $460, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Saratoga-Davistown's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $460.

Saratoga - Davistown has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.4% of all households, including 32.7% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.6%, comprising 23.4% lone person households and 2.1% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Saratoga - Davistown aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (31.6%). Educational participation is high at 27.6%, with primary education being the most enrolled (10.2%), followed by secondary (7.7%) and tertiary (3.7%).

Brisbania Public School serves Saratoga - Davistown, enrolling 370 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1019) with balanced educational opportunities, offering primary education exclusively while secondary options are available nearby. Local school capacity is limited at 5.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.9, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Saratoga-Davistown has 55 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 19 different routes that collectively facilitate 459 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 145 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 65 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Saratoga - Davistown is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Saratoga-Davistown faces significant health challenges.

Common health conditions are prevalent across younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population, which is around 4,116 people. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.7% and 8.3% of residents respectively. 64.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Greater Sydney. 25.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,894 people), which is higher than the 24.5% in Greater Sydney. This is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Saratoga - Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Saratoga-Davistown was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 85.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Saratoga-Davistown is Christianity, making up 55.8% of the population, compared to 53.4% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (33.3%), Australian (29.6%), and Irish (9.9%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is overrepresented at 8.8%, compared to 7.9% regionally, while New Zealand and Maltese ancestries are also present at 0.9% and 0.7% respectively, slightly higher than the regional averages of 0.7%.

Saratoga - Davistown hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Saratoga-Davistown is 45 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Saratoga-Davistown has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 7.9% to 9.5%, while the proportion of those aged 5 to 14 decreased from 13.2% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Saratoga-Davistown's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 41%, reaching 985 people from the current 698. Notably, combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.