Saratoga - Davistown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Saratoga - Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on calculations by AreaSearch, the population of Saratoga - Davistown stands at approximately 7,432 in May 2026. This indicates an expansion of 272 residents (3.8%) from the 2021 Census count of 7,160 people. This adjustment is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 7,432 alongside 6 validated new addresses recorded after the Census. The density of the local population is 1,558 persons per square kilometer, a level exceeding the norm across the country. The 3.8% increase in population since the 2021 census outpaced the SA3 region (2.6%) and the surrounding SA4 area, making it a regional growth leader. Population increases were mostly driven by overseas migration, which represented around 66.8% of the overall gains, though interstate migration, natural growth, and all other components also contributed positively.

AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For locations lacking this coverage, 2022 projections from the NSW State Government based on 2021 data are used. Growth trends across age categories from these datasets are projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic patterns suggest a population expansion slightly under the median for Australian statistical areas, with a projected gain of 572 residents by 2041 using the latest annual ERP data, which represents a total growth of 7.7% over 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Saratoga - Davistown according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Approximately 18 new residential dwellings receive approval each year in Saratoga - Davistown, with a total of 90 home approvals over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 7 approvals have been logged so far. Over the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 2.3 individuals moved into the community for every new residence built, showing strong demand that supports local real estate values, with new homes constructed at an average cost of $346,000. Additionally, commercial approvals of $562,000 were logged this financial year, showing a low level of commercial development.

When compared to Greater Sydney, building activity per resident in Saratoga - Davistown is about 66% of the level, placing the area in the 30th percentile of locations nationwide, which restricts options for buyers and increases demand for existing properties. This performance is below the national average, reflecting a mature market and suggesting potential planning limitations. Detached houses account for 92.0% of new construction activity, while townhouses or apartments make up 8.0%, preserving the suburban feel and appealing to buyers seeking extra space. The area averages 669 people per residential approval, showing a mature local market.

Demographic projections indicate that Saratoga - Davistown will add 572 new residents by 2041, starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Real estate construction is keeping pace with this projected population growth, though buyers might face increased competition as the population expands.

Saratoga - Davistown has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and development work have a major impact on local performance. AreaSearch has identified 1 project that is expected to affect this area. The main developments of interest include the Koolang Road Residential Release Area, Blackwall Road Intersection Upgrades, Green Point Foreshore Reserve Upgrades, and the Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment, with details provided on the most significant ones.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Saratoga - Davistown places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Saratoga - Davistown has a highly qualified labor force, strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 1.5%, and an annual employment growth rate estimated at 3.3%. In March 2026, 3,903 local residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.6% lower than the 4.1% rate in Greater Sydney, though the participation rate of 63.6% was lower than the metropolitan average of 69.1%. Census data indicates that 34.2% of workers worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic restrictions.

The principal employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The local workforce has a notable concentration in construction, which has a share of employment 1.8 times higher than the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services represent just 6.5% of local employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area is heavily residential, resulting in few local jobs, as seen when comparing the Census working population against resident counts.

Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that during the 12-month period, local employment grew by 3.3% while the labor force increased by 3.4%, leading to a 0.1 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labor force growth of 1.9%, with a tiny drop in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context on future local demand. These five- and ten-year projections have been applied to local employment sectors to estimate growth. Nationally, employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though individual industries vary. Applying these trends to the local industry mix suggests employment for residents could rise by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, using a simple weighting method for illustration without incorporating local population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to the latest postcode ATO data from financial year 2023 analyzed by AreaSearch, incomes in the Saratoga - Davistown SA2 exceed the national average, with a median of $52,873 and an average of $72,805. These figures are lower than the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Applying WPI growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023 yields estimated values of $58,329 for the median and $80,318 for the average as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, family, household, and individual incomes fell in the moderate range, ranking between the 45th and 50th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket is the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which includes 30.5% of residents (2,266 people), matching the regional proportion of 30.9%. High housing costs absorb 16.6% of income, though solid earnings keep disposable income at the 50th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area's income in the 6th decile.

Saratoga - Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

At the latest Census, the mix of housing in Saratoga - Davistown consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.2% other housing styles like townhouses and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in the Sydney metro area. The rate of home ownership was also higher than the metropolitan average at 40.5%, with mortgaged properties making up 43.9% and rented properties at 15.6%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,167 was below the Sydney metro average of $2,427, and the median weekly rent of $460 was below the metropolitan figure of $470. On a national level, monthly mortgage payments in Saratoga - Davistown are higher than the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are above the national median of $375.

Saratoga - Davistown has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 74.4%, consisting of couples with children at 32.7%, couples without children at 31.1%, and single-parent households at 9.9%. Non-family households account for 25.6%, with single-person households at 23.4% and group homes at 2.1%. The average household size is 2.6 people, slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Saratoga - Davistown aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment is a challenge for the area, as the university qualification rate of 22.3% is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This highlights a clear opportunity for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational skills are highly represented, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 31.6%.

Enrolment in education is strong, with 27.6% of the population attending an educational institution. This includes 10.2% in primary school, 7.7% in high school, and 3.7% enrolled in higher education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transit options in Saratoga - Davistown consist of 58 active stops, offering a combination of bus and ferry services. These stops are served by 19 distinct routes, which provide 613 passenger trips per week. Transit access is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 145 meters from the nearest stop. Because this is a residential suburb, most workers commute out of the area, and cars are the main transit mode at 95%. Households own an average of 1.6 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. A high 34.2% of residents worked from home at the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic lockdowns.

Across all transit lines, services run at an average frequency of 87 trips per day, which is about 10 weekly trips for each stop.

Saratoga - Davistown's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

An analysis of health data shows positive outcomes for Saratoga - Davistown, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality rates and chronic disease rates. The rate of common health problems is low in the general population, though it is higher than the national average among older, high-risk groups. Private health insurance coverage is very high, with about 55% of residents (~4,117 people) holding coverage, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most common illnesses, affecting 9.7% and 8.3% of the population, respectively. Meanwhile, 64.5% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health levels among working-age residents are average. Residents aged 65 and over make up 26.2% of the population (1,945 people), which is higher than the Greater Sydney proportion of 15.5%, though this cohort ranks lower nationally compared to the wider community.

Saratoga - Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Saratoga - Davistown has lower cultural diversity than average, with 85.9% of residents born in Australia, 93.0% holding citizenship, and 96.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 55.8% of the population, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney.

The top ancestries reported are English at 33.3% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian at 29.6%, which is higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish at 9.9%. Other groups show notable differences from regional averages, with Scottish ancestry overrepresented at 8.8% (compared to 4.8% regionally), New Zealand at 0.9% (compared to 0.5%), and Maltese at 0.7% (compared to 1.0%).

Saratoga - Davistown hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age of 45 years in Saratoga - Davistown is older than the Greater Sydney median of 37 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the area has more residents aged 65 - 74 (12.7%) but fewer aged 25 - 34 (8.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 7.9% to 9.6%, and the 15 to 24 group has grown from 10.5% to 11.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has shrunk from 13.2% to 11.3%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic forecasts show major shifts, with the 85+ cohort expected to grow by 86% (250 people), rising from 289 to 540. Combined, residents aged 65+ will account for 74% of the area's total population growth, showing an aging community. In contrast, the cohorts aged 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 will decrease in number.