Saratoga - Davistown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Saratoga - Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Saratoga - Davistown's population was approximately 7,350 as of February 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents a rise of 190 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,160 individuals. The increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 7,348 in June 2024 and six additional validated addresses post-census. This results in a density ratio of 1,540 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Saratoga - Davistown's growth rate of 2.7% since the census is within 0.5 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth (3.2%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for roughly 66.1% of population gains in recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase by approximately 603 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 8.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Saratoga - Davistown, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Saratoga-Davistown has seen approximately 18 new home approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 90 homes. As of FY26, there have been 5 approvals recorded so far. On average, 1.1 new residents arrive per new home annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this has increased to 5.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting rising demand and tightening supply. The average construction value of development projects is $346,000.

There have been $562,000 in commercial approvals during FY26, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Saratoga-Davistown shows around 66% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 29th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively limited buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is also below the national average, suggesting an established area with potential planning constraints. New building activity consists of 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

With approximately 662 people per approval, Saratoga-Davistown is considered a mature, established area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects an increase of 601 residents by 2041, with development keeping pace with projected growth, although buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Saratoga - Davistown has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting the area: Koolang Road Residential Release Area. Other key projects include Green Point Foreshore Masterplan & Reserve Upgrades, Blackwall Road Intersection Upgrades, and Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Saratoga - Davistown performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Saratoga-Davistown has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.3%.

As of September 2025, 3,849 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is 63.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high proportion, 34.2%, of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction is particularly prominent with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.3%, while labour force grew by 3.4%, maintaining a stable unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Saratoga-Davistown's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Saratoga - Davistown SA2 is $52,873, with an average of $72,805, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than the national average median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Saratoga - Davistown SA2 would be approximately $57,558 (median) and $79,256 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Saratoga - Davistown SA2 rank modestly, between the 45th and 50th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 30.5% of the population (2,241 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Saratoga - Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Saratoga - Davistown as 86.7% houses and 13.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Saratoga - Davistown was 40.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.9% and rented ones at 15.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $460, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Saratoga - Davistown's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Saratoga - Davistown has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 74.4% of all households, including 32.7% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 23.4% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Saratoga - Davistown aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 31.6%. Educational participation is high, with 27.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.2% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Saratoga-Davistown has 58 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These are served by 19 individual routes, collectively facilitating 613 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest stop. The area, predominantly residential, sees most residents commuting outward, with car being the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high 34.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 87 trips per day, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Saratoga - Davistown's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Saratoga-Davistown based on AreaSearch's assessment as of August 2022. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be low among the general population, but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover was found to be very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~4,071 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney as of June 2022. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.7% and 8.3% of residents respectively, while 64.5% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney as of May 2022. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 26.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,961 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney but ranks lower nationally compared to the broader population as of July 2022.

Saratoga - Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Saratoga-Davistown, according to census data from June 2016, showed below-average cultural diversity. 85.9% of its population were born in Australia, with 93.0% being citizens and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 55.8%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups based on parents' country of birth were English (33.3%), Australian (29.6%), and Irish (9.9%). Notably, Scottish ancestry was overrepresented at 8.8%, New Zealand at 0.9%, and Maltese at 0.7%.

Saratoga - Davistown hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Saratoga-Davistown is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney's average, the 65-74 age cohort is significantly over-represented at 13.0% in Saratoga-Davistown, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.1%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of those aged 75 to 84 has grown from 7.9% to 9.9%, and the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 10.5% to 11.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age cohort has declined from 13.2% to 11.2%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 8.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Saratoga-Davistown, with the 75 to 84 age cohort projected to expand by 256 people (35%), from 728 to 985. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 73% of projected growth. Conversely, both the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.