Saratoga - Davistown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Saratoga - Davistown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Saratoga - Davistown's population is around 7,350 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 190 people from the 2021 Census figure of 7,160. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 7,348 in June 2024 and six additional validated addresses since the census date. The population density is 1,540 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Saratoga - Davistown's growth of 2.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded its SA3 area average of 2.3%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Saratoga - Davistown is expected to increase by 603 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 8.2% over these 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Saratoga - Davistown, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Saratoga-Davistown has seen approximately 18 new home approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 90 homes. As of FY26, there have been 5 approvals recorded so far. On average, 1.1 new residents per year have arrived for each new home approved between FY21 and FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this has accelerated to 5.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply. The average construction value of development projects is $346,000.

This year alone, there have been $562,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Saratoga-Davistown shows around 66% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 29th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is below the national average, suggesting an established area with potential planning limitations. New building activity consists of 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 662 people per approval, Saratoga-Davistown is a mature, established area. Looking ahead, it is projected to grow by 601 residents through to 2041, with development keeping pace with this growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Saratoga - Davistown has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. One major project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Koolang Road Residential Release Area, Green Point Foreshore Masterplan & Reserve Upgrades, Blackwall Road Intersection Upgrades, and Gosford Private Hospital redevelopment are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Saratoga - Davistown performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Saratoga-Davistown has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year as of September 2025.

At this time, 3849 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 2.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.3%, labour force by 3.4%, keeping the unemployment rate stable at 2.9%. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment to 4.4%. Statewide, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs) as of 25-November-25, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Saratoga-Davistown's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Saratoga - Davistown SA2 is $49,027, with an average of $72,550, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is higher than the national averages of $56,994 median and $80,856 average in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,209 (median) and $81,699 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Saratoga - Davistown rank modestly, between the 45th and 50th percentiles. Income distribution shows 30.5% of the population falls within the $1,500-$2,999 range, consistent with surrounding regions at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Saratoga - Davistown is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Saratoga-Davistown's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Saratoga-Davistown was at 40.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.9% and rented ones at 15.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's $2,150. Median weekly rent was $460, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Saratoga-Davistown's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Saratoga - Davistown has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.4% of all households, composed of 32.7% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 23.4% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Saratoga - Davistown aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate stands at 22.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 15.8% of residents holding one, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 43.3% holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (31.6%). Educational participation is high, with 27.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.2% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 55 active transport stops operating within Saratoga - Davistown. These include a mix of ferry and bus services. Nineteen individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 459 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 145 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 65 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Saratoga - Davistown is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Saratoga-Davistown faces significant health challenges.

Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high, approximately 56% of the total population of around 4,116 people. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.7% and 8.3% of residents respectively. About 64.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has 25.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,894 people), which is higher than the 24.5% in Greater Sydney. This aligns broadly with the general population's health profile.

Saratoga - Davistown is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Saratoga-Davistown was found to have a below-average level of cultural diversity, with 85.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Saratoga-Davistown is Christianity, which accounts for 55.8% of the population, compared to 53.4% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups represented are English (33.3%), Australian (29.6%), and Irish (9.9%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is overrepresented at 8.8%, compared to 7.9% regionally. New Zealand ancestry is also slightly higher at 0.9%, versus 0.7%. Maltese ancestry remains consistent with the regional average at 0.7%.

Saratoga - Davistown hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Saratoga-Davistown is 45 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Saratoga-Davistown has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 years has increased from 7.9% to 9.5% of the population, while the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.2% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Saratoga-Davistown's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 41%, reaching 985 people from 698. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.