Niagara Park

Niagara Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Niagara Park's population is estimated at around 2,886 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 107 people (3.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,779 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,791 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional one validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 603 persons per square kilometer. Niagara Park's growth since the 2021 census exceeded that of the SA3 area (3.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to this methodology, projections indicate a decline of 128 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 42 people.

The level of residential development activity in Niagara Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Niagara Park has seen approximately 7 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 36 homes were approved, with 1 more in FY-26 so far. The average construction cost of new dwellings is $319,000.

In the current financial year, $12.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, Niagara Park shows around 68% of the construction activity per person. Nationally, it ranks at the 8th percentile for areas assessed, indicating limited buyer options but strong demand for established homes. Recent development has consisted entirely of detached houses, maintaining the area's low density character and appealing to those seeking space.

There are estimated to be 2798 people per dwelling approval in Niagara Park. Population projections suggest stability or decline, which may reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers.

Niagara Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects potentially affecting the region. Key initiatives include Narara Ecovillage, Narara Community Centre and Library Redevelopment, The Outlook Narara, and Gosford Bypass.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Niagara Park positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Niagara Park has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%. As of September 2025, 1,492 residents are employed, with workforce participation at 63.3%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Finance & insurance, however, is under-represented at 3.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0%, while unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts indicate total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niagara Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended 30 June 2023 shows median income in Niagara Park is $50,939, lower than the national average of $65,828. Average income in Niagara Park stands at $65,828 compared to Greater Sydney's average of $83,003 and median of $60,817. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year ended 30 June 2023, median income is estimated at $55,452 and average at $71,660 in Niagara Park. According to the 2021 Census, incomes rank modestly with all three types (household, family, personal) between 46th and 51st percentiles. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, comprising 35.5% of locals (1,024 people), similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. Housing costs consume 17.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile. Niagara Park's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Niagara Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Niagara Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niagara Park was at 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.1% and rented ones at 24.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,943, below Sydney metro's average of $2,150. The median weekly rent in Niagara Park was $410, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Niagara Park's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Niagara Park has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.0% of all households, including 36.0% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 21.1% and group households comprising 3.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Niagara Park performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 21.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.0%). Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.6% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 4.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niagara Park has 27 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 34 individual routes, together providing 1,438 weekly passenger trips. The park's residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 177 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 205 daily trips across all routes, which equates to around 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Niagara Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Niagara Park faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 53%, which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 55.3%.

Mental health issues affect 10.4% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.4%. A total of 64.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 64.8%. The area has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (444 people), which is lower than Greater Sydney's 24.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Niagara Park ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niagara Park showed lower cultural diversity with 84.0% born in Australia, 91.4% being citizens, and 92.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion at 46.2%. Judaism had a similar proportion to Greater Sydney at 0.2%.

For ancestry, top groups were English (32.3%), Australian (27.9%), and Irish (8.9%). Welsh (0.8%) and Hungarian (0.4%) showed overrepresentation compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.3%, respectively. Russian had a similar proportion at 0.4%.

Niagara Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Niagara Park's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age group makes up 13.9% of Niagara Park's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort comprises 12.0%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. From 2021 to present, the 15-24 age group has risen from 13.0% to 14.3%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 3.9% to 4.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 13.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Niagara Park's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 group is expected to grow by 25%, reaching 177 people from its current total of 141. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 68% of projected population growth. In contrast, the 65-74 and 0-4 age groups are projected to experience population declines.