Niagara Park

Niagara Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of Niagara Park as of Nov 2025 is around 2,851. This reflects an increase of 72 people (2.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,779 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,849 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional one validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 596 persons per square kilometer. Niagara Park's 2.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 2.3%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with Niagara Park's population expected to decline by 100 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 49 people.

The level of residential development activity in Niagara Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Niagara Park received around 7 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 37 homes were approved, with 2 more in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

Average dwelling value is $319,000, below the regional average, suggesting affordable housing options. This year, $23.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Niagara Park shows about 75% of construction activity per person. Nationally, it ranks at the 11th percentile for areas assessed, reflecting limited buyer options but strong demand for established homes.

Recent development has been exclusively detached houses, maintaining the area's low density character and appealing to families seeking space. With approximately 1399 people per dwelling approval, Niagara Park shows a quiet development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures in the future.

Niagara Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may impact this region: Narara Ecovillage, Narara Community Centre and Library Redevelopment, The Outlook Narara, and Gosford Bypass. These are detailed below for their potential relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Niagara Park significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Niagara Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6%.

As of June 2025, 1,483 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.0% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is 63.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Finance & insurance is under-represented at 3.2% of Niagara Park's workforce compared to 7.3% in Greater Sydney. Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census working population vs resident population data. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, and labour force grew by 2.5%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%, labour force grow by 2.9%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niagara Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows median income in Niagara Park is $50,939 and average income is $65,828. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Niagara Park would be approximately $57,362 and average income would be around $74,129 by that date. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household incomes in Niagara Park rank between the 46th and 51st percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows 35.5% of locals (1,012 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, a pattern similar to metropolitan regions where 30.9% fall into this category. High housing costs consume 17.3% of income in Niagara Park, but strong earnings place disposable income at the median level nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile nationally.

Niagara Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Niagara Park, as per the latest Census data, 87.1% of dwellings were houses while 13.0% were other types such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling structure which was 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niagara Park stood at 29.1%, lower than Sydney metro's rate, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 46.1% and rented ones making up 24.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Niagara Park was $1,943, below the Sydney metro average of $2,150. The median weekly rent figure in Niagara Park was $410 compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Niagara Park's median mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863 while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Niagara Park has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.0% of all households, including 36.0% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 21.1% and group households comprising 3.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Niagara Park performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area has university qualification rates of 21.6%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.0%). Educational participation is high at 31.6%, including 10.6% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Niagara Park Public School serves the area with an enrollment of 458 students as of a specific date, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1021) with balanced educational opportunities. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niagara Park has 24 active public transport stops. These include train stations and bus stops. There are 34 different routes operating in total.

Each week, these routes provide a combined total of 1,315 passenger trips. The average distance between residents' homes and the nearest transport stop is 177 meters. On average, there are 187 trips per day across all routes. This equates to approximately 54 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Niagara Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Niagara Park faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Its private health cover rate of approximately 53% is higher than the average SA2 area (~1,510 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 10.4% of residents and asthma impacting 9.4%. Despite this, 64.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 64.8%. Niagara Park has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.4% (439 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 24.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely in line with the general population's health profile.

Niagara Park ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niagara Park, assessed for cultural diversity, had 84.0% of its population born in Australia, with 91.4% being citizens and 92.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 46.2%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.2% across Greater Sydney.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (32.3%), Australian (27.9%), and Irish (8.9%). Some ethnicities showed notable differences: Welsh at 0.8% (vs regional 0.7%), Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.3%), and Russian at 0.4% (vs regional 0.4%).

Niagara Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Niagara Park's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age group constitutes 13.8% of Niagara Park's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has risen from 13.0% to 14.2%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.9% to 4.9%. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Niagara Park's age structure. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 32%, reaching 184 people from a previous count of 139. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 69% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 65 to 74 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.