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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Niagara Park is $970k, with units at $755k. House values have moved 3.4% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Niagara Park has an estimated 2,759 residents. That puts 577 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on evaluation of ABS population updates for the wider region, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Niagara Park has an estimated population of approximately 2,759 as of May 2026. This indicates a decline of 20 people (0.7%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 2,779 people. The variation is calculated from the resident population of 2,759, which was estimated by AreaSearch following analysis of the most recent ERP data released by the ABS (June 2025) and a further 1 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This population level translates to a density ratio of 577 persons per square kilometer, offering substantial room per individual and potential scope for additional development. Population expansion for the locality was mainly led by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 64.0% of total population increases during recent times. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as published in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb of Niagara Park expected to shrink by 59 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to expand by 52 people. See the age section for more details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
33 new dwellings have been approved in Niagara Park over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 2.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 1, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's investigation of ABS building approval statistics, apportioned from statistical area data, Niagara Park has recorded approximately 6 residential properties granted approval annually, summing to an estimated 33 homes over the last 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 1 approvals have been registered. With population declining over recent years, new supply has likely been keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. Also, $12.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Relative to Greater Sydney, Niagara Park has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person while it places among the 4th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established homes.
This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Meanwhile, recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Niagara Park may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Niagara Park
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 42 current infrastructure and development projects close to Niagara Park, worth an estimated $3.53 billion. 8 are already under construction and 10 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local performance is heavily shaped by adjustments to infrastructure in the area, major developments, and council planning schemes. AreaSearch has identified 5 key projects overall that are anticipated to influence the local area. Principal works consist of the Narara Ecovillage, the Narara Community Centre and Library Redevelopment, The Outlook Narara, and the Gosford Bypass, with details provided below for the developments of greatest significance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Narara Valley Estate
Small residential subdivision on Deane Street in Narara providing new house and land lots within walking distance of Narara Valley High School and Narara railway station. Civil works and home construction are progressing with multiple builders marketing packages to first home buyers and local upgraders.
Wyoming Shopping Village Upgrade
The Wyoming Shopping Village Upgrade involves the extension and refurbishment of the existing neighborhood shopping center. The project is anchored by a full-line Coles supermarket and focuses on enhancing the tenancy mix with health, beauty, food, and beverage services. As of early 2026, the center's official website indicates it is under upgrading, and GWPC continues to manage the extension works and refurbishment of the existing specialty shops.
Narara District Master Plan
Development and delivery of master plans for the Narara District including Lisarow, Wyoming, and Niagara Park to support housing, community infrastructure, and urban development within the Central Coast Council local government area.
Wyoming Telecommunications Mobile Base Station
Development Application DA/1244/2025 lodged with Central Coast Council by Amplitel Pty Ltd for the construction of a new telecommunications facility and mobile base station at 172 Glennie Street, Wyoming. The proposal involves the installation of a new pole and associated antenna infrastructure to improve mobile coverage and network capacity for the surrounding community.
Narara Ecovillage
Narara Ecovillage is a 64-hectare community title eco-housing development on the former Gosford horticultural research station. The sustainable community features a solar microgrid and battery, and is planned for ~150 low impact homes with shared facilities, food growing spaces, and integrated energy/water infrastructure. Stage 1 is complete. Stage 2 civil works finished in late 2023, with homes now under construction. A planning proposal is progressing to support a future Stage 3 with more diverse housing.
Narara Community Centre
Narara Community Centre is an existing council-owned community facility at 2-12 Pandala Road, Narara, operated for community service programs and local activities. Current public sources confirm the centre remains in use, with hall bookings and Community SOS activities, and that recent site investment includes Ausgrid's 30.36 kW rooftop solar array linked to the Narara community battery rollout. No current public development application, approved construction program, tender or funded council capital works item for a centre and library redevelopment was found, so the record should be treated as an early planning or concept opportunity rather than a committed construction project.
M1 Pacific Motorway Kariong to Somersby Widening
Widening of M1 Pacific Motorway between Kariong and Somersby interchanges to improve traffic flow and reduce congestion on this critical corridor between Sydney and Newcastle.
Gosford Bypass
The NSW State Government is investing $40 million towards continued planning and design of the bypass of Gosford along the Pacific Highway and Manns Road corridor. The Gosford Bypass project consists of a program of work that is intended to be developed and delivered in stages over time to support improved transport outcomes along the corridor.
1,493 residents of Niagara Park are employed, from a labour force of 1,527. Unemployment sits at 2.2%, with participation at 68.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,436, about 88% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Niagara Park possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.2%, and 2.9% in estimated employment growth over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 1,493 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 69.1%. Based on Census responses, a high 32.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, finance & insurance shows lower representation at 3.2% versus the regional average of 7.3%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, over the 12 months to March 2026, employment increased by 2.9% while labour force increased by 3.0%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. This compares to Greater Sydney, where employment grew by 1.9%, labour force expanded by 1.9%, and unemployment fell marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Niagara Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Niagara Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Niagara Park is $1,780 a week (about $93,000 a year), with median personal income at $785 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,939 a year against an average of $65,828. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, the suburb of Niagara Park had a median income among taxpayers of $50,939 with the average level standing at $65,828. This is slightly lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $56,196 (median) and $72,621 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Niagara Park, between the 46th and 51st percentiles.
The data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 35.5% of residents (979 people), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Niagara Park had 991 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 1% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 25% rented and 29% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $410 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,943 a month. Rent absorbs 23.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Dwelling structure within Niagara Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Niagara Park was in line with that of Sydney metro, at 29.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (46.1%) or rented (24.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $1,943, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470.
Nationally, Niagara Park's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Niagara Park counted 991 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 36% are couples with children, against 23% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households dominate at 76.0% of all households, comprising 36.0% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 21.1% and group households comprising 3.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people matches the Greater Sydney average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
21.6% of adults in Niagara Park hold a university qualification, including 15.8% with a bachelor degree and 4.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.0% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 458 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,021 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality faces challenges regarding qualifications, with university qualification levels (21.6%) notably below the Greater Sydney standard of 38.0%. This stands as both an obstacle and a chance to introduce targeted education programs. Bachelor degrees are the primary qualification at 15.8%, with postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%) following. Practical and vocational capability is well represented, as 40.5% of residents aged 15+ hold vocational credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.0%). Enrolment levels are particularly high, with 31.6% of residents currently participating in formal study. This comprises 10.6% in primary schools, 8.9% in high schools, and 4.7% in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Niagara Park reaches 27 stops on 34 routes, timetabled for about 1,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Trains carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Assessments of public transport indicate that there are 27 active transport stops operating within Niagara Park, which comprise a combination of rail and bus options. These stops are served by 34 individual routes that together offer 1,438 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is classified as excellent, with residents typically living 177 meters from their nearest transit point. Being a mostly residential area, the vast majority of commuters travel outwards, with cars remaining the main transit mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per household, which is higher than the regional average.
A significant 32.1% of local workers perform their jobs from home (based on the 2021 Census, which may show the influence of pandemic restrictions). Service frequency averages 205 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to roughly 53 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
64.6% of residents in Niagara Park report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 75% of areas nationally. 6.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 53.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Significant medical difficulties are present in the district, based on AreaSearch's investigation of mortality rates and chronic health conditions, with common issues found across younger and older demographics alike, and the level of private health insurance coverage marginally higher than the typical SA2 area at roughly 53% of the total population (~1,461 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The primary clinical diagnoses identified in the region are mental health conditions and asthma, which affect 10.4 and 9.4% of citizens respectively, whereas 64.6% reported having no health conditions at all, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney.
The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 16.1% of residents aged 65 and over (444 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Niagara Park is largely Australian-born, at 84.0% of residents, with 7.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.3%) and Australian (27.9%). 3.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb was found to have a lower level of cultural diversity, with 84.0% of citizens born in Australia, 91.4% holding citizenship, and 92.7% using only English at home. The main religion in Niagara Park was found to be Christianity, which makes up 46.2% of people in Niagara Park. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Niagara Park are English, comprising 32.3% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian, comprising 27.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish, comprising 8.9% of the population.
Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 0.8% of Niagara Park (vs 0.4% regionally), Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.3%) and Russian at 0.4% (vs 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Niagara Park is 37. 25.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 37, Niagara Park is equal to the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 65 - 74 age group shows strong representation at 10.0% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 11.6%. In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.0% to 14.3% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.9% to 5.0%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 11.6%.
Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Niagara Park's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 35% (48 people), reaching 186 from 137. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 66% of projected growth. On the other hand, the 25 to 34 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Niagara Park
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,779 at the 2021 Census → 2,759 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12970). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.