Little Grove - Elleker

An assessment of population growth drivers in Little Grove - Elleker reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Little Grove - Elleker's population is around 3,939 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 260 people (7.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,679 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,901 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 32 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 27 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Over the past decade, Little Grove - Elleker has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.8% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 48.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of regional areas nationally is expected, with the area expected to expand by 340 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 7.7% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Little Grove - Elleker according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Little Grove - Elleker has averaged around 19 new dwelling approvals each year, with 95 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 6 so far in FY-26. With an average of only 0.8 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $345,000. Additionally, $806,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

When measured against the Rest of WA, Little Grove - Elleker shows 13.0% lower construction activity (per person) while it places among the 66th percentile of areas assessed nationally. Recent construction comprises 85.0% detached houses and 15.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. At around 218 people per approval, Little Grove - Elleker reflects a transitioning market.

Future projections show Little Grove - Elleker adding 302 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Little Grove - Elleker has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 28thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 22 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Yakamia/Lange Structure Plan, Albany Waterfront Redevelopment, South Lockyer Structure Plan, and Mount Lockyer Primary School Rebuild, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Little Grove - Elleker well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Little Grove - Elleker has a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, and an unemployment rate of just 1.4%. As of December 2025, 1,844 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 2.1% below Regional WA's rate of 3.5%, and workforce participation lags significantly (56.4% compared to Regional WA's 67.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 10.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Meanwhile, mining has a limited presence with 2.9% employment compared to 11.7% regionally. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 5.5% while employment declined by 5.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. This compares to Regional WA, where employment grew by 1.0%, the labour force expanded by 1.4%, and unemployment rose 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Little Grove - Elleker. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Little Grove - Elleker's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Little Grove - Elleker SA2's median income among taxpayers is $51,176, with an average of $64,034. This is below the national average, and compares to Regional WA's median of $59,973 and average of $74,392. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $56,099 (median) and $70,194 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Little Grove - Elleker, between the 32nd and 35th percentiles. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 32.8% of the community (1,291 individuals), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 31.1% similarly occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 88.2% retained, though disposable income sits below average at the 40th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Little Grove - Elleker is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Little Grove - Elleker, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 90.8% houses and 9.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional WA's 88.5% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Little Grove - Elleker was well beyond that of Regional WA, at 50.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.7%) or rented (14.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Regional WA average at $1,700, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $275, compared to Regional WA's $1,560 and $265. Nationally, Little Grove - Elleker's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Little Grove - Elleker has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 73.9% of all households, comprising 27.2% couples with children, 39.2% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.1%, with lone person households at 24.2% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Regional WA average of 2.5.

Little Grove - Elleker performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.8%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (27.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in secondary education, 10.2% in primary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 18 active transport stops operating within Little Grove - Elleker, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 1 individual route, collectively providing 20 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1747 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 10.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 2 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 1 weekly trip per individual stop.

The level of general health in Little Grove - Elleker is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Little Grove - Elleker demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~1,989 people). This compares to 56.4% across Regional WA. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.9% and 8.3% of residents, respectively, while 66.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.3% across Regional WA. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 23.6% of residents aged 65 and over (928 people), which is higher than the 19.2% in Regional WA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Little Grove - Elleker ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Little Grove - Elleker was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 83.2% of its population being citizens, 79.7% born in Australia, and 96.8% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Little Grove - Elleker is Christianity, which makes up 38.3% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Buddhism, which comprises 1.1% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Regional WA.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Little Grove - Elleker are English, comprising 36.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 31.3%, Australian, comprising 28.5% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 8.4% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 3.4% of Little Grove - Elleker (vs 1.5% regionally), Polish at 1.2% (vs 0.5%), and Welsh at 0.8% (vs 0.6%).

Little Grove - Elleker hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Little Grove - Elleker's median age of 47 years stands significantly above Regional WA's 40 as well as well above the 38-year national average. Relative to Regional WA, Little Grove - Elleker has a higher concentration of 65 - 74 residents (14.4%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (10.3%). Since the 2021 Census, a rejuvenation is evident as the median age fell from 48 to 47 years. Specifically, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 9.0% to 10.7% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 11.7% to 13.2%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 16.7% to 13.7% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 15.8% to 14.4%. By 2041, Little Grove - Elleker is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to increase solidly, expanding by 111 people (21%) from 521 to 633. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 85+ and 15 to 24 cohorts.