Bayonet Head

Bayonet Head lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Bayonet Head is around 3,621. This figure reflects an increase of 349 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,272. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,419 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 148 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 691 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bayonet Head's growth rate of 10.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the SA3 area (9.0%) and the SA4 region, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. By 2041, the suburb is projected to increase by 555 persons, reflecting a total increase of 12.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bayonet Head when compared nationally

Bayonet Head averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year. Between fiscal years 2021 and 2025, around 177 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved in fiscal year 2026 to date. This results in about 1.4 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five financial years.

The market balance indicates stable conditions, with new properties constructed at an average value of $408,000, catering to the premium market. In fiscal year 2026, $98,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, predominantly focusing on residential development. Compared to the Rest of WA, Bayonet Head has seen 84.0% more construction activity per person. All new constructions have been detached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers, with around 95 people per dwelling approval.

By 2041, AreaSearch estimates an increase of 463 residents in Bayonet Head. Given current development patterns, new housing supply is expected to meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Bayonet Head has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to influence this region: Oyster Harbour Estate, Bayonet Head Social Housing Development, Bayview Heights Estate, and Emu Point Precinct Structure Plan. The following details the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bayonet Head demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Bayonet Head's workforce is balanced between white and blue-collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services. Unemployment rate stands at 1.9% as of September 2025, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

Residents in work total 1,747 with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, lower than Rest of WA's 3.3%. Workforce participation is 64.4%, below the regional average of 67.2%. Home-based workers comprise a low 5.2% of residents, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Top employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

Retail trade shows significant concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. Mining's presence is limited at 2.9%, compared to the region's 11.7%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.2% and employment declined by 3.7%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of WA saw employment grow by 1.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayonet Head's employment mix suggests local employment growth of 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Bayonet Head, median income is $47,732 and average income is $60,161. This contrasts with Rest of WA's median income of $59,973 and average income of $74,392. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $52,324 (median) and $65,948 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Bayonet Head rank modestly, between the 24th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 32.3% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, consistent with broader regional trends at 31.1%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Bayonet Head is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bayonet Head's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 98.9% houses and 1.1% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Non-Metro WA had 88.5% houses and 11.6% others. Home ownership in Bayonet Head was 39.1%, with mortgages at 38.8% and rentals at 22.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Non-Metro WA's average of $1,560. Median weekly rent in Bayonet Head was $350, compared to Non-Metro WA's $265. Nationally, Bayonet Head's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents were less at $375.

Bayonet Head has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 75.2 percent of all households, including 27.5 percent that are couples with children, 34.0 percent that are couples without children, and 12.6 percent that are single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.8 percent, with lone person households at 23.4 percent and group households comprising 1.5 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of WA.

Educational outcomes in Bayonet Head fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (33.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.0%), secondary education (9.5%), and tertiary education (1.2%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayonet Head has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by one route, offering a total of 40 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 174 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 97%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, only 5.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages five trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one weekly trip per individual stop.

Bayonet Head's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Bayonet Head's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are standard for both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~1,849 people), compared to 56.4% across Rest of WA. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.3%) and arthritis (9.6%). 62.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.3% across Rest of WA. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. 21.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (771 people), higher than the 19.2% in Rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Bayonet Head ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayonet Head's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 80.4% of its population born in Australia, 90.0% being citizens, and 94.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Bayonet Head, comprising 41.4% of people there. Notably, the 'Other' category, which makes up 0.6% of Bayonet Head's population, is slightly higher compared to the rest of WA (0.7%).

The top three ancestry groups in Bayonet Head were English at 35.9%, Australian at 30.4%, and Scottish at 7.4%. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Welsh was overrepresented at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 0.6%, Dutch at 2.1% (regional average 1.5%), and South African at 0.7% (regional average 0.6%).

Bayonet Head's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bayonet Head is 42 years, which is marginally higher than Rest of WA's average of 40 years, and considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of WA, Bayonet Head has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 (11.6%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (11.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the population of residents aged 25-34 grew from 10.6% to 12.2%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 11.5% to 12.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.9% to 11.7%, and the 55-64 age group decreased from 12.1% to 11.0%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bayonet Head's age structure. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 42%, adding 186 people and reaching a total of 628 from the previous count of 441. Conversely, the population of residents aged 85+ and those aged 15-24 are projected to decline.