Bayonet Head

Population growth drivers in Bayonet Head are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Bayonet Head statistical area's population is estimated at around 3,617 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 345 people (10.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,272 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,419 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 148 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 690 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bayonet Head's 10.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (8.7%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally is projected, with Bayonet Head expected to increase by 554 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 12.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bayonet Head when compared nationally

Bayonet Head averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 177 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 1.4 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years.

The market displays a balanced supply and demand, supporting stable conditions. Developers focus on premium properties, with new constructions averaging around $408,000. In FY-26, $98,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of WA, Bayonet Head has 84.0% more construction activity per person.

All new constructions since FY-21 have been detached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 95 people per dwelling approval, Bayonet Head exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to grow by 461 residents through to 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand readily, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bayonet Head has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three major projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Oyster Harbour Estate, Bayonet Head Social Housing Development, Bayview Heights Estate, and Emu Point Precinct Structure Plan. The following details those likely to be most relevant:.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bayonet Head demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Bayonet Head has a balanced workforce consisting of both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented here, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 1753 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 1.4% lower than Rest of WA's rate of 3.3%. The workforce participation rate in Bayonet Head is similar to that of Rest of WA at 59.4%. Key employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Retail trade is particularly notable with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Mining has a limited presence here, with only 2.9% employment compared to the regional average of 11.7%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.2%, while employment declined by 3.7% in Bayonet Head, causing a fall of 0.5 percentage points in unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of WA saw employment grow by 1.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide further insight into potential future demand within Bayonet Head. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bayonet Head's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, assuming no changes in population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2023 shows that income in Bayonet Head is below the national average. The median income is $47,732 while the average income stands at $60,161. This contrasts with Rest of WA's figures where the median income is $59,973 and the average income is $74,392. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from July 1, 2023 to June 30, 2025, current estimates would be approximately $52,324 (median) and $65,948 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Bayonet Head rank modestly, between the 24th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that the largest segment comprises 32.3% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,168 residents), which is consistent with broader trends across the region showing 31.1% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Bayonet Head is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bayonet Head's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro WA's 92.1% houses and 8.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayonet Head was at 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.8% and rented ones at 22.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, above Non-Metro WA's average of $1,490. The median weekly rent figure was $350, compared to Non-Metro WA's $280. Nationally, Bayonet Head's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less at $350 than the national figure of $375.

Bayonet Head has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.2% of all households, including 27.5% couples with children, 34.0% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.8%, with lone person households at 23.4% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of WA average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Bayonet Head fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, considerably lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (33.2%). Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.0% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 1.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 1.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 28 operational public transport stops in Bayonet Head, serving a variety of bus routes. These stops are collectively serviced by one route, offering 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents situated an average of 174 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages five trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately one weekly trip per individual stop.

Health performance in Bayonet Head is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bayonet Head faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 51%, or around 1,847 people, have private health cover, which is relatively low compared to other areas. Mental health issues affect 10.3% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.6%. About 62.9% report having no medical ailments, compared to 64.7% across the rest of WA. The area has 21.9%, or 792 people, aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors in Bayonet Head are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Bayonet Head ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayonet Head's population showed limited cultural diversity, with 80.4% born in Australia and 90.0% being citizens. Most residents spoke English only at home (94.7%). Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 41.4%.

The 'Other' category comprised 0.6%, similar to Rest of WA's 0.6%. Ancestry-wise, the top groups were English (35.9%), Australian (30.4%), and Scottish (7.4%). Notably, Welsh residents were overrepresented at 1.1% compared to regional levels of 0.7%. Dutch residents also showed a slight overrepresentation at 2.1%, while South Africans stood out at 0.7% versus the region's 0.6%.

Bayonet Head's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bayonet Head is 42 years, which is slightly higher than Rest of WA's average of 40 years and considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of WA, Bayonet Head has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (12.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (11.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 35-44 grew from 11.5% to 13.0%, while the population aged 5-14 declined from 13.9% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant changes in Bayonet Head's age structure. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 50%, reaching 630 people from 419. Conversely, the population aged 75-84 and 85+ is projected to decline.