Bayonet Head

Bayonet Head lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Bayonet Head is around 3730. This reflects an increase of 458 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3272. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3542 following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 148 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 711 persons per square kilometer. Bayonet Head's growth rate of 14% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area average of 7.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 52% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth is projected for non-metropolitan areas nationally. The suburb of Bayonet Head is expected to increase by 558 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 9.4% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bayonet Head when compared nationally

Bayonet Head averaged approximately 36 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, around 180 homes were approved, with an additional 16 approved in FY26 so far. This translates to about 1.3 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five financial years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market.

The average construction value of new properties is approximately $408,000, aligning with regional patterns. In FY26, $123,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a primarily residential focus. Compared to the Rest of WA, Bayonet Head has 87.0% more construction activity per person. All new constructions since FY21 have been detached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with around 115 people per dwelling approval.

AreaSearch projects Bayonet Head to grow by approximately 352 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Bayonet Head has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 7thth percentile nationally

Area performance is significantly influenced by local infrastructure changes. AreaSearch has identified three key projects that may impact the area: Oyster Harbour Estate, Bayonet Head Social Housing Development, Bayview Heights Estate, and Emu Point Precinct Structure Plan. The following details projects likely to have the greatest relevance.

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Bayonet Head ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Bayonet Head has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue-collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 1.3%.

Over the past year, employment stability has been relatively consistent. As of June 2025, 1,783 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% below Rest of WA's 3.2%, and workforce participation similar at 59.4%. Employment is concentrated in healthcare & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, notably so in retail trade at 1.7 times the regional average. Mining has limited presence with 2.9% employment compared to 11.7% regionally.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 0.1%, labour force decreased by 1.4%, causing unemployment rate to fall by 1.5 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of WA recorded employment growth of 1.1%, labour force growth of 0.5%, with unemployment falling 0.6 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bayonet Head's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Bayonet Head's median taxpayer income was $47,732 and average income was $60,161 in financial year 2022. This is lower than the national average. In comparison, Rest of WA had a median income of $57,323 and an average income of $71,163 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, estimated median income for Bayonet Head as of September 2025 would be approximately $54,510 and average income would be around $68,704. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Bayonet Head rank modestly, between the 24th and 29th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the largest segment consists of 32.3% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,204 residents), which is similar to the surrounding region where 31.1% fall into this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bayonet Head, with only 84.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Bayonet Head is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bayonet Head's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro WA had 92.1% houses and 8.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayonet Head was 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.8% and rented ones at 22.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,490. The median weekly rent figure in Bayonet Head was $350, compared to Non-Metro WA's $280. Nationally, Bayonet Head's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $350 compared to the national figure of $375.

Bayonet Head has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.2% of all households, including 27.5% couples with children, 34.0% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.8%, with lone person households at 23.4% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of WA average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Bayonet Head fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 10.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 44.6% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 33.2%. Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.0%), secondary (9.5%), and tertiary (1.2%).

Flinders Park Primary School serves Bayonet Head, enrolling 368 students. The school has typical Australian conditions (ICSEA: 976) with balanced educational opportunities. It focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents are 9.9, below the regional average of 16.0, indicating some students may attend schools nearby.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayonet Head has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route that offers 40 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 174 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility.

On average, there are 5 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one weekly trip per individual stop.

Health performance in Bayonet Head is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bayonet Head faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 51% (~1,905 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is relatively low compared to other areas. Mental health issues affect 10.3% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.6%. A total of 62.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.7% across the rest of WA. The area has 22.0% (820 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is higher than the 21.0% in the rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Bayonet Head ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayonet Head, surveyed in 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 80.4% of its population born in Australia and 90.0% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 94.7%. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 41.4%.

The 'Other' religious category was slightly overrepresented compared to regional averages. Ancestry-wise, English (35.9%), Australian (30.4%), and Scottish (7.4%) were the top groups. Some ethnicities showed notable differences: Welsh at 1.1% (vs 0.7% regionally), Dutch at 2.1% (vs 2.3%), and South African at 0.7% (vs 0.6%).

Bayonet Head hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Bayonet Head is 42 years, which is slightly higher than Rest of WA's average of 40 years. This makes it considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of WA, Bayonet Head has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.5%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (11.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 35-44 grew from 11.5% to 12.9%, while the 25-34 age group increased from 10.6% to 11.7%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.9% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bayonet Head's age structure. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 44%, reaching 630 people from 436. Conversely, the 65-74 and 75-84 age groups are expected to experience population declines.