Bayonet Head - Lower King
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Bayonet Head - Lower King are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bayonet Head - Lower King's population is around 5,887 as of November 2025. This reflects a 13.0% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 5,211 people. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 5,607 in June 2024 and an additional 166 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 236 persons per square kilometer. Bayonet Head - Lower King's growth exceeded both its SA3 area (7.9%) and the national average, marking it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 51.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends project an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas. The area is expected to grow by 844 persons to 2041, with a total increase of 9.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Bayonet Head - Lower King among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Lower King, Bayonet Head has granted approximately 46 residential property approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 230 homes were approved, with an additional 23 approved in FY26 so far. Each dwelling built over these years attracted an average of 1.7 people annually, indicating a balanced supply and demand scenario.

The average construction cost value for new homes was $224,000, lower than regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen around $147,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting minimal commercial development activity compared to the rest of WA. Bayonet Head - Lower King has 50% more development activity per person when contrasted with other WA regions, offering buyers greater choice. All recent developments have been standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density character and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With approximately 144 people moving in for each dwelling approval, it exhibits growth area characteristics. By 2041, Lower King is projected to grow by about 564 residents. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand effectively, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Bayonet Head - Lower King has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that could impact this region. Key projects include Oyster Harbour Estate, Bayonet Head Social Housing Development, Bayview Heights Estate, and St Ives Retirement Village - Stage 2. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Bayonet Head - Lower King significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Bayonet Head - Lower King has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate is 1.3%.

This has remained stable over the past year. As of June 2025, 2,906 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8%, lower than Rest of WA's 3.2%. Workforce participation is at 59.4%, matching Rest of WA's figure. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

Health care & social assistance is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Mining employs only 2.9% of local workers, below Rest of WA's 11.7%. The area may have limited local job opportunities, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 1.5%, while employment remained unchanged at 0.0%, leading to a 1.5 percentage point drop in unemployment. In contrast, Rest of WA saw employment rise by 1.1% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Bayonet Head - Lower King. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bayonet Head - Lower King's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that median income in Bayonet Head - Lower King is $48,205 and average income stands at $60,757. This contrasts with Rest of WA's figures of a median income of $57,323 and an average income of $71,163. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Bayonet Head - Lower King would be approximately $55,050 (median) and $69,384 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Bayonet Head - Lower King rank modestly, between the 28th and 31st percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 31.6% of locals (1,860 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to metropolitan regions where 31.1% occupy this range. After housing expenses, 85.3% of income remains, ranking at the 29th percentile nationally.

Bayonet Head - Lower King is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bayonet Head - Lower King's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro WA's 92.1% houses and 8.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayonet Head - Lower King stood at 41.8%, similar to Non-Metro WA. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 39.5% and rented ones made up 18.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,550, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,490. Median weekly rent was $340, compared to Non-Metro WA's $280. Nationally, Bayonet Head - Lower King's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,550 versus Australia's average of $1,863. Rents were also lower at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Bayonet Head - Lower King has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 76.2% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 35.0% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 22.2% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of WA average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Bayonet Head - Lower King fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.2%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.3% and certificates at 31.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 1.5% in tertiary education. Flinders Park Primary School serves the area, enrolling 368 students as of a recent date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. Local school capacity is limited (6.2 places per 100 residents vs 15.9 regionally), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Bayonet Head - Lower King shows that there are currently 44 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes. There is one individual route servicing these stops collectively providing 40 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in this region is rated as good, with residents typically located 261 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes is 5 trips per day, which equates to approximately 0 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bayonet Head - Lower King is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bayonet Head - Lower King faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,943 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.6% and 9.4% of residents respectively. 64.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.7% across Rest of WA. The area has 22.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,313 people), which is higher than the 21.0% in Rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Bayonet Head - Lower King ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayonet Head-Lower King, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 80.5% born in Australia, 90.2% being citizens, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 40.9%. The category 'Other' was underrepresented at 0.5%, compared to 0.6% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were English (36.2%), Australian (30.5%), and Scottish (7.8%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and South African (0.9%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively. Dutch representation was slightly lower at 2.0%.

Bayonet Head - Lower King hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Bayonet Head - Lower King's median age is 44 years, which is higher than the Rest of WA average of 40 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 13.1% of the population compared to the Rest of WA, while the 25-34 cohort represents 10.9%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 11.3% to 12.6%, and the 25 to 34 cohort has risen from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.4% to 11.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Bayonet Head - Lower King's age profile will significantly change by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at a rate of 47%, adding 299 residents to reach 939. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 75 to 84 age cohorts.