Bayonet Head - Lower King

Population growth drivers in Bayonet Head - Lower King are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bayonet Head - Lower King's population was around 5,887 as of November 2025. This showed an increase of 676 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,211 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,607 in June 2024 and an additional 166 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 236 persons per square kilometer. Bayonet Head - Lower King's growth rate of 13.0% since the 2021 census was higher than the SA3 area's 7.9% and the national average, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 51.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch uses the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends project an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas, with Bayonet Head - Lower King expected to grow by 844 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 9.6% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bayonet Head - Lower King when compared nationally

Bayonet Head - Lower King has recorded approximately 46 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 230 homes have been approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.7 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years.

This balance between supply and demand has created stable market conditions. The average construction cost value of new homes is $224,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $147,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to residential growth. Bayonet Head - Lower King has 50.0% more development activity per person when measured against the rest of WA, offering buyers greater choice.

Recent developments have been exclusively standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 144 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits characteristics of a growth region. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bayonet Head - Lower King is expected to grow by approximately 564 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Bayonet Head - Lower King has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects include Oyster Harbour Estate, Bayonet Head Social Housing Development, Bayview Heights Estate, and St Ives Retirement Village - Stage 2. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Bayonet Head - Lower King well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Bayonet Head - Lower King has a balanced workforce with equal representation of white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

As of September 2025, unemployment stands at 1.9%, below Rest of WA's rate of 3.3%. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, employing 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, mining employs only 2.9% of local workers, significantly lower than Rest of WA's 11.7%. Between July 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 4.2%, employment declined by 3.7%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment.

This contrasts with Rest of WA, where employment rose by 1.4% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayonet Head - Lower King's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that in Bayonet Head - Lower King SA2, median income is $48,205 and average income is $60,757. In contrast, Rest of WA has a median income of $57,323 and an average income of $71,163. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Bayonet Head - Lower King are approximately $55,050 (median) and $69,384 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Bayonet Head - Lower King modestly, between the 28th and 31st percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 31.6% of locals (1,860 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions where 31.1% occupy this range. After housing expenses, 85.3% of income remains, ranking at the 29th percentile nationally.

Bayonet Head - Lower King is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bayonet Head - Lower King's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro WA's 92.1% houses and 8.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayonet Head - Lower King was 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.5% and rented ones at 18.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,550, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,490. The median weekly rent figure was $340, compared to Non-Metro WA's $280. Nationally, Bayonet Head - Lower King's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,550 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Bayonet Head - Lower King has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.2% of all households, including 28.8% that are couples with children, 35.0% that are couples without children, and 11.4% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 22.2% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of WA average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Bayonet Head - Lower King fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.2%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (31.7%). Educational participation is high at 26.6%, with 9.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 1.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 1.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 44 active public transport stops operating within Bayonet Head - Lower King area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes. The analysis shows that there is 1 individual route servicing these stops, collectively providing 40 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located 261 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 5 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 0 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bayonet Head - Lower King is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bayonet Head - Lower King faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2943 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis, impacting 9.6% of residents, and mental health issues, affecting 9.4%. Overall, 64.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 64.7% across Rest of WA. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.3% (1313 people), compared to the Rest of WA's 21.0%. Health outcomes among seniors in Bayonet Head - Lower King are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Bayonet Head - Lower King ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayonet Head-Lower King, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 80.5% born in Australia, 90.2% being citizens, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 40.9%. The 'Other' category, however, was underrepresented compared to Rest of WA, making up just 0.5%.

Top ancestry groups were English (36.2%), Australian (30.5%), and Scottish (7.8%). Notable divergences included Welsh at 0.9% (vs regional 0.7%), Dutch at 2.0% (vs 2.3%), and South African at 0.9% (vs 0.6%).

Bayonet Head - Lower King hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Bayonet Head - Lower King's median age is 44 years, which is higher than the Rest of WA average of 40 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 13.1% of its population, compared to the Rest of WA. The 25-34 cohort makes up 10.9%, lower than the Rest of WA figure. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group grew from 11.3% to 12.6%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.4% to 11.6%. Demographic modeling indicates that Bayonet Head - Lower King's age profile will significantly change by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 47%, adding 299 residents to reach 939. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 65-74 and 75-84 cohorts.