Bayonet Head - Lower King
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Bayonet Head - Lower King are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bayonet Head - Lower King's population is around 5,887 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 676 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,211 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,607 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 166 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 236 persons per square kilometer. Bayonet Head - Lower King's growth rate of 13.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (8.1%) and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 51.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends project an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas, with Bayonet Head - Lower King expected to grow by 844 persons to 2041, a 9.6% increase over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Bayonet Head - Lower King among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Bayonet Head - Lower King has granted approximately 46 residential property approvals per year on average. Development approval data is provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, showing 230 homes approved over the past five years from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional 18 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 1.7 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. The average construction cost value for new properties is $408,000, aligning with regional trends.

In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $147,000, suggesting a primary focus on residential development. Compared to the Rest of WA, Bayonet Head - Lower King exhibits 50.0% more building activity per capita. Recent construction activity comprises exclusively detached houses, maintaining the area's low-density character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 144 people per dwelling approval, Bayonet Head - Lower King displays growth area characteristics.

Population projections indicate an increase of 564 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Bayonet Head - Lower King has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Oyster Harbour Estate, Bayonet Head Social Housing Development, Oyster Harbour Estate, and Bayview Heights Estate, as detailed below for relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Bayonet Head - Lower King significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Bayonet Head - Lower King has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.3%.

Over the past year, employment stability has been relative. There are 2,906 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% below Rest of WA's rate of 3.2%, and workforce participation on par at 59.4%. Health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training are dominant employment sectors among residents. The area specializes particularly in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

Mining employs just 2.9% of local workers, below Rest of WA's 11.7%. The labour force decreased by 1.5% over a 12-month period ending June 2025, while employment remained stable at 0%, causing unemployment to fall by 1.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayonet Head - Lower King's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows that in Bayonet Head - Lower King, median income is $48,205 and average income is $60,757. This is below the national averages of $57,323 (median) and $71,163 (average) for Rest of WA. Based on a 11.61% growth in wages since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $53,802 (median) and $67,811 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Bayonet Head - Lower King rank between the 28th and 31st percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 31.6% of locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to metropolitan regions where 31.1% fall within this range. After housing costs, 85.3% of income remains, ranking at the 29th percentile nationally.

Bayonet Head - Lower King is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Bayonet Head - Lower King, as per the latest Census, consists of 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro WA has a dwelling structure of 92.1% houses and 8.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayonet Head - Lower King stands at 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.5% and rented dwellings at 18.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area is $1,550, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,490. The median weekly rent figure for Bayonet Head - Lower King is $340, compared to Non-Metro WA's $280. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Bayonet Head - Lower King are lower at $1,550 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are also lower at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Bayonet Head - Lower King has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.2% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 35.0% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 22.2% and group households making up 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of WA average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Bayonet Head - Lower King fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 17.2%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This situation presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 11.3% and certificates at 31.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 1.5% pursuing tertiary education. Flinders Park Primary School serves the local area within Bayonet Head - Lower King, with an enrollment of 368 students. The suburb has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 976), offering balanced educational opportunities. There is one primary school in the area, with secondary options available nearby. However, limited local school capacity (6.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.9) means many families travel outside the area for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayonet Head - Lower King has 44 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route that collectively provides 40 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 261 meters from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 5 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 0 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bayonet Head - Lower King is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lower King's Bayonet Head faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately half (50%) of its total population (~2,943 people) has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis, affecting 9.6% of residents, and mental health issues, impacting 9.4%. Meanwhile, 64.6% of residents report having no medical ailments, similar to the Rest of WA's 64.7%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (22.3%, or 1,313 people) compared to the Rest of WA (21.0%). Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Bayonet Head - Lower King ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayonet Head - Lower King had a population with low cultural diversity, as indicated by 80.5% being born in Australia, 90.2% being citizens, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 40.9%. The 'Other' category was slightly overrepresented at 0.5%, compared to 0.6% across Rest of WA.

In terms of ancestry, English (36.2%), Australian (30.5%), and Scottish (7.8%) were the top groups. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Welsh at 0.9% (regional: 0.7%), Dutch at 2.0% (regional: 2.3%), and South African at 0.9% (regional: 0.6%).

Bayonet Head - Lower King hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Bayonet Head - Lower King's median age is 44 years, which is higher than the Rest of WA average of 40 years and also exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 13.1% of its population compared to the Rest of WA, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 10.9%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group grew from 11.3% to 12.6%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. However, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.4% to 11.6%. Demographic modeling indicates that Bayonet Head - Lower King's age profile will significantly change by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 47%, adding 299 residents to reach 939. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65-74 and 75-84 cohorts.