East Victoria Park - Carlisle

Population growth drivers in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is around 20,406 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 3,161 people (18.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,245 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,561 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 132 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,254 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. East Victoria Park - Carlisle's 18.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 78.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to expand by 4,714 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 19.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions East Victoria Park - Carlisle among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has averaged around 80 new dwelling approvals per year, with 403 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 25 so far in FY-26. With an average of 5 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $262,000. Additionally, $9.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity.

When measured against Greater Perth, East Victoria Park - Carlisle has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person while it places among the 42nd percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. New development consists of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 388 people per dwelling approval, East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows a developed market.

Population forecasts indicate East Victoria Park - Carlisle will gain 3,869 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 35 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Carlisle Station Precinct Redevelopment, Woolworths East Victoria Park, Oats Street North Residential Development, and Apartments and Commercial Tenancy - Bank Street, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in East Victoria Park - Carlisle demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

East Victoria Park - Carlisle possesses a highly educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.4%, and 1.7% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 12,485 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.7% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.6% compared to Greater Perth's 71.9%). Based on Census responses, a low 8.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in professional & technical, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. Meanwhile, retail trade has a limited presence with 7.4% employment compared to 9.3% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.7% while the labour force increased by 1.9%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. This compares to Greater Perth, where employment grew by 2.3%, the labour force expanded by 2.6%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within East Victoria Park - Carlisle. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to East Victoria Park - Carlisle's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the East Victoria Park - Carlisle SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $65,269 with the average level standing at $80,186. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $60,748 and $80,248 across Greater Perth respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $71,548 (median) and $87,900 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, individual earnings stand out at the 80th percentile nationally ($1,014 weekly). The data shows 31.7% of the population (6,468 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.0% in the same category. High housing costs consume 15.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 64th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within East Victoria Park - Carlisle, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 66.4% houses and 33.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within East Victoria Park - Carlisle was lagging that of Perth metro, at 22.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.9%) or rented (42.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Perth metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $350, compared to Perth metro's $1,907 and $350. Nationally, East Victoria Park - Carlisle's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 61.2% of all households, comprising 24.7% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 38.8%, with lone person households at 30.8% and group households comprising 8.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.3 people is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

The educational profile of East Victoria Park - Carlisle exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in East Victoria Park - Carlisle significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 43.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 27.9% in WA and 29.9% in the SA4 region. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 29.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (18.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in tertiary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 5.5% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 129 active transport stops operating within East Victoria Park - Carlisle, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 35 individual routes, collectively providing 6,845 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 154 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 74%, with 12% by bus and 7% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A relatively low 8.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 977 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health outcomes in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in East Victoria Park - Carlisle, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (12,141 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.4% and 6.6% of residents, respectively, while 73.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 12.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,642 people), which is lower than the 16.3% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

East Victoria Park - Carlisle was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 24.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 37.6% born overseas. The main religion in East Victoria Park - Carlisle is Christianity, which makes up 38.0% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 3.6% of the population, compared to 2.7% across Greater Perth.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are English, comprising 25.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 20.9% of the population, and Other, comprising 13.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: French is notably overrepresented at 0.7% of East Victoria Park - Carlisle (vs 0.5% regionally), Korean at 0.7% (vs 0.3%) and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.7%).

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is younger than the national pattern

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's median age of 35 years is slightly younger than Greater Perth's 37 and somewhat younger than the 38-year national average. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 21.9% compared to Greater Perth, whereas the 5 - 14 cohort is less prevalent at 9.3%. This 25 - 34 concentration is well above the national 14.4%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.3% to 4.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.7% to 11.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for East Victoria Park - Carlisle. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to increase solidly, expanding by 707 people (16%) from 4,470 to 5,178. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 cohort grows by a modest 0% (7 people).