East Victoria Park - Carlisle

Population growth drivers in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population was around 20,406 as of Feb 2026. This reflected an increase of 3,161 people (18.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,245 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,561 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 132 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 3,254 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. East Victoria Park - Carlisle's growth of 18.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 78.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to expand by 4,714 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 19.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions East Victoria Park - Carlisle among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

East Victoria Park - Carlisle averaged approximately 80 new dwelling approvals annually between FY21-FY25, with a total of 403 homes approved during this period. As of FY26, 25 dwellings have been approved so far. Each year, around five people moved to the area for each dwelling built from FY21 to FY25, indicating significant demand outpacing supply.

The average construction cost value of new homes was $262,000 during this period. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $9.3 million, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Perth, East Victoria Park - Carlisle had around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person between FY21-FY25.

Nationally, it ranked in the 42nd percentile for areas assessed during this period, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options and strengthening demand for established properties. New development consisted of 80% detached houses and 20% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 388 people per dwelling approval, East Victoria Park - Carlisle exhibits a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to increase by 3,869 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely to influence the area. Notable initiatives include Carlisle Station Precinct Redevelopment, Woolworths East Victoria Park, Oats Street North Residential Development, and Apartments and Commercial Tenancy - Bank Street. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in East Victoria Park - Carlisle demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has a highly educated workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.2% as of September 2025, which is below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%.

There were 12,432 residents in work with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Perth's rate. Workforce participation was higher at 77.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 71.6%. Only 8.6% of residents worked from home according to Census responses. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

The area has a particular specialization in professional & technical jobs with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. Retail trade has limited presence at 7.4% compared to the regional level of 9.3%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.5%, while labour force increased by 2.3%, resulting in a fall in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that East Victoria Park - Carlisle's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch reports that based on its aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, East Victoria Park - Carlisle SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $65,269 and an average level of $80,186. This places it amongst the highest in Australia, with Greater Perth having levels of $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Considering Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $71,548 (median) and $87,900 (average). The 2021 Census data shows individual earnings at the 80th percentile nationally were $1,014 weekly. In East Victoria Park - Carlisle SA2, 31.7% of the population (6,468 individuals) fall within the $1,500-$2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region at 32.0%. High housing costs consume 15.7% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 64th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

East Victoria Park-Carlisle's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 66.4% houses and 33.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in East Victoria Park-Carlisle was 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.9% and rented ones at 42.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,907, while the median weekly rent was $350, equal to Perth metro's figure. Nationally, East Victoria Park-Carlisle's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.2% of all households, including 24.7% that are couples with children, 26.5% that are couples without children, and 8.1% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 38.8%, with lone person households at 30.8% and group households comprising 8.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

The educational profile of East Victoria Park - Carlisle exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has a higher educational attainment than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 43.4% have university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in Western Australia and 29.9% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.6% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas account for 10.6% and certificates for 18.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in tertiary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 5.5% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has 129 active public transport stops serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 35 individual routes, offering 6,845 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 154 meters to the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward using various modes of transport, with cars being the dominant mode at 74%, followed by buses at 12% and trains at 7%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.2, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 8.6% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 977 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health outcomes in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's health assessment for East Victoria Park - Carlisle indicates below-average outcomes.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population, which numbers 12,141 people. Mental health issues affect 9.4% of residents, while asthma impacts 6.6%. A total of 73.2% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. The area has 12.9% of residents aged 65 and over, numbering 2,642 people, which is lower than the 16.3% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

East Victoria Park-Carlisle has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 24.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 37.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in East Victoria Park-Carlisle, accounting for 38.0% of people there, compared to 35.1% across Greater Perth as of June 2016. Buddhism is more prevalent in East Victoria Park-Carlisle at 3.6%, compared to 2.7% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups are English (25.3%), Australian (20.9%), and Other (13.3%). Notably, French (0.7%) and Korean (0.7%) are overrepresented in East Victoria Park-Carlisle compared to Greater Perth (0.5% and 0.3%, respectively).

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is younger than the national pattern

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's median age in 2021 was 35 years, which is younger than Greater Perth's 37 and Australia's national average of 38. The 25-34 age group constituted 21.9%, higher than Greater Perth's percentage but lower than the national average of 14.4%. The 5-14 age group was less prevalent at 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.3% to 4.4%, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 12.7% to 11.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate that the 25-34 age group will increase by 707 people (16%) from 4,470 to 5,178, while the 35-44 cohort will grow by a modest 0% (7 people).