East Victoria Park - Carlisle

Population growth drivers in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to the analysis conducted by AreaSearch, the population of East Victoria Park - Carlisle stands at approximately 19,991 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 2,746 people (15.9%) from the 2021 Census, when the cohort was recorded at 17,245 residents. This population shift is calculated utilizing the ABS estimated resident population of 19,989 as of June 2025 alongside 132 validated new addresses confirmed after the Census date. Based on these numbers, the locality has a density ratio of 3,188 persons per square kilometer, placing it within the highest national quartile analyzed by AreaSearch. The area's 15.9% expansion rate since the 2021 census outpaced the national average (9.3%) and the state benchmark, establishing the area as a regional growth leader. The primary driver of this population growth was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 83.7% of all population increases in recent times.

Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia, issued in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. For locations lacking this dataset, and to project demographic changes after the year 2032, AreaSearch applies the cohort-specific growth rates outlined in the latest Greater Capital Region projections published by the ABS in 2023, which are grounded in 2022 data. Looking at forthcoming population developments, the area is projected to experience growth exceeding the national median, with predictions showing an expansion of 4,229 persons to 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, indicating a total increase of 21.1% over this 16-year timeframe.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions East Victoria Park - Carlisle among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Within East Victoria Park - Carlisle, development approvals average approximately 80 dwellings annually, with 403 homes approved during the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 36 approvals recorded during the current FY-26 period. In the course of the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), an average of 5.2 individuals relocated to the district for every new home built, indicating that residential supply lags demand significantly, which typically intensifies buyer competition and drives upward pressure on prices, with new dwellings registering an average building cost of $262,000. Additionally, commercial approvals reached a total value of $9.3 million during this financial year, showing a moderate level of business development activity.

In comparison to Greater Perth, the volume of building activity per resident in East Victoria Park - Carlisle is around three-quarters, ranking it in the 41st percentile of all Australian regions analyzed, which leaves home buyers with relatively limited options and stimulates demand for existing properties. Recent building approvals consist of 80.0% standalone houses and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the classic low-density character of the neighborhood while catering to those looking for larger family residences. Averaging 399 people for each approved dwelling, East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows a highly developed housing market.

Looking forward, projections suggest East Victoria Park - Carlisle will welcome an additional 4,227 residents through to 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Should the pace of construction remain unchanged, residential supply may struggle to match demographic growth, potentially heightening competition among prospective buyers and fueling more robust price appreciation.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning initiatives, and major developments have a significant impact on local property markets. In total, AreaSearch has identified 36 projects that are expected to influence this locality. Key developments include the Carlisle Station Precinct Redevelopment, Woolworths East Victoria Park, Oats Street North Residential Development, and the Apartments and Commercial Tenancy project on Bank Street, with the detailed list below outlining the most significant undertakings.

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Employment conditions in East Victoria Park - Carlisle demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

A highly qualified labor force characterizes East Victoria Park - Carlisle, with significant employment in essential services, an unemployment rate of just 3.3%, and a 1.8% rise in estimated local employment over the past year. In March 2026, working residents numbered 12,602, while the local unemployment rate was 0.9% lower than the Greater Perth benchmark of 4.2%, and labor force participation reached an elevated level of 76.5% compared to 70.2% in Greater Perth. Census records indicate that a minimal 8.6% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 restriction measures.

The principal industries employing residents of this area are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The community shows a high concentration of workers in professional & technical fields, with employment shares reaching 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, the retail trade sector accounts for only 7.4% of the local workforce, which is below the 9.3% average recorded across Greater Perth. The heavily residential nature of the district appears to limit local employment options, as shown by comparing the count of Census working population against the resident population.

AreaSearch evaluations of SALM and ABS datasets show that during the year leading to March 2026, total employment grew by 1.8% and the labor force expanded by 2.0%, which caused the unemployment rate to tick upward by 0.2 percentage points. Over the same timeframe, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 2.0%, the labor force increase by 2.5%, and the unemployment rate rise by 0.4 percentage points. National employment projections released in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future workforce demand in East Victoria Park - Carlisle. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate future growth. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the expected growth rates vary considerably across different sectors. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the local employment structure suggests that employment in East Victoria Park - Carlisle is set to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this serves as a basic weighted calculation for illustration and does not incorporate localized population growth forecasts.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to postcode-level ATO statistics aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the median taxpayer income in the East Victoria Park - Carlisle SA2 is $65,269, while the average stands at $80,186. These figures rank among the highest nationally, compared to a median income of $60,748 and an average income of $80,248 in Greater Perth. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, updated estimates point to a median income of approximately $72,403 and an average of $88,950 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census highlights that individual weekly earnings are in the 80th percentile nationally at $1,014. The data reveals that the income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 is the most common, representing 31.7% of the cohort (6,337 people), which is similar to the broader metropolitan distribution where 32.0% fall into this bracket. While high housing costs absorb 15.7% of resident incomes, strong overall earnings keep disposable income in the 64th percentile, and the area's SEIFA index for income places it in the 7th decile.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

According to the latest Census, the housing mix in East Victoria Park - Carlisle was composed of 66.4% separate houses and 33.6% other dwelling types, such as semi-detached homes and apartments, compared to the Perth metro profile of 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in East Victoria Park - Carlisle stood at 22.3%, which is lower than the Perth metro rate, with the remaining residences being occupied by mortgage holders (34.9%) or renters (42.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the locality was $2,000, exceeding the Perth metro average of $1,907, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $350, matching the Perth metro average of $350. On a national level, mortgage costs in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, whereas weekly rents remain below the national figure of $375.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families represent the majority of local households at 61.2%, consisting of couples with children at 24.7%, couples without children at 26.5%, and single parent families at 8.1%. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.8% of the total, with lone person households representing 30.8% and group households making up 8.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the average of 2.6 found across Greater Perth.

The educational profile of East Victoria Park - Carlisle exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The level of formal education in East Victoria Park - Carlisle is high relative to broader benchmarks, with 43.4% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 27.9% in WA and 29.9% in the SA4 region. This education profile prepares the local population well for knowledge-based employment. Bachelor degrees represent the largest segment at 29.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 10.3% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational training is also well represented, with 28.6% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (18.0%).

Student representation in the area is high, with 29.9% of the population currently engaged in formal studies. This includes 9.4% enrolled in tertiary institutions, 7.8% attending primary schools, and 5.5% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of the public transport network shows 129 active transit stops operating within East Victoria Park - Carlisle, comprising both train stations and bus stops. These stops are serviced by 35 distinct routes, which combine to offer 6,845 passenger trips each week. Transport accessibility is high, with residents living an average of 154 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential nature of the area, most workers commute out of the district, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel for 74% of commuters, while 12% travel by bus and 7% by train. Car ownership stands at an average of 1.2 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A low share of 8.6% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data collected under potential COVID-19 restrictions.

Transit service frequency averages 977 daily trips across all routes, which equals roughly 53 weekly trips for each transport stop. The linked map details the 100 closest stops relative to the center of the locality.

Health outcomes in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and the prevalence of chronic health conditions, overall health indicators show below-average scores in East Victoria Park - Carlisle, with common medical issues being slightly more widespread than average among both younger and older cohorts, though the rate of private health insurance is high, covering approximately 60% of the population (11,894 people).

The most prevalent health issues recorded in the locality were mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 9.4 and 6.6% of residents, respectively, while 73.2% of the population reported no chronic health issues, compared to 71.9% in Greater Perth. The demographic under the age of 65 shows better than average health outcomes. Residents aged 65 and over make up 12.3% of the population (2,466 people), which is lower than the 16.1% average for Greater Perth. Health outcomes for these senior residents are above average, with national rankings for this older cohort exceeding those of the general population.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

East Victoria Park - Carlisle exhibits higher cultural diversity than most local property markets, with 24.7% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 37.6% born outside Australia. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 38.0% of the population. However, the most notable religious concentration is Buddhism, which is practiced by 3.6% of the population, compared to 2.7% across Greater Perth.

Regarding parental ancestry, the three largest ethnic backgrounds represented in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are English at 25.3%, Australian at 20.9%, and Other at 13.3%. There are also distinct concentrations of certain other ancestral groups, with French representing 0.7% of the population (compared to 0.5% regionally), Korean at 0.7% (compared to 0.3%), and Welsh at 0.7% (matching the regional average of 0.7%).

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in East Victoria Park - Carlisle is 34 years, which is lower than the Greater Perth average of 37 and younger than the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, East Victoria Park - Carlisle has a larger share of residents aged 25 - 34 (23.0%) but fewer children aged 5 - 14 (9.2%). This concentration of 25 - 34 year-olds is higher than the national average of 14.6%. Since the 2021 Census, this 25 to 34 age bracket has expanded from 21.5% to 23.0% of the population, while the 45 to 54 demographic has decreased from 12.7% to 11.4%. Demographic projections for 2041 show significant shifts, with the 25 to 34 cohort expected to grow by 18%, adding 837 residents to total 5,433, while the 5 to 14 cohort is projected to see minimal growth of 4% (adding 73 people).