East Victoria Park - Carlisle
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is around 19,639 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 2,394 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,245 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,561 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 123 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,132 persons per square kilometer. East Victoria Park - Carlisle's growth rate of 13.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (8.6%). Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 78.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) are used. Future population trends project an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation, with East Victoria Park - Carlisle expected to expand by 4,714 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 23.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions East Victoria Park - Carlisle among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has averaged approximately 80 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 403 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approvals so far in FY26. Each year, around 5 people on average have moved to the area for each new dwelling constructed during these five financial years.

This high demand coupled with limited supply has put upward pressure on prices and increased competition among buyers. The average construction cost of new homes is $533,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. In terms of commercial development, $9.3 million in approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced activity in the area compared to Greater Perth.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 43rd percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing homes. The new development consists predominantly of standalone homes (80.0%) with a smaller proportion of attached dwellings (20.0%), maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 388 people per dwelling approval, East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate that the area will gain approximately 4,636 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 32 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones include Woolworths East Victoria Park, Woolworths East Victoria Park Commercial Centre, Apartments and Commercial Tenancy - Bank Street, and the Victoria Park-Canning Level Crossing Removal project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% as of June 2025, below Greater Perth's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%. There were 12,452 residents employed by June 2025 with a workforce participation rate of 69.9%, similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area has a significant concentration in professional & technical jobs, at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, retail trade employs only 7.4% of local workers compared to Greater Perth's 9.3%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels in East Victoria Park - Carlisle increased by 3.5%, while the labour force grew by 3.0%, resulting in a decrease of unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 3.7% with an increase in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. State-wide, WA employment contracted by 0.82% (losing 14,590 jobs) as of Sep-25, with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%, favourable to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to East Victoria Park - Carlisle's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

East Victoria Park - Carlisle median taxpayer income was $62,607 and average income was $78,446 according to latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Perth's median income of $58,380 and average income of $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $69,876 (median) and $87,554 (average) as of March 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, individual earnings stood out at the 80th percentile nationally ($1,014 weekly). The data showed that the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominated with 31.7% of residents (6,225 people), mirroring regional levels where 32.0% occupied this bracket. High housing costs consumed 15.7% of income, though strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 65th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

East Victoria Park-Carlisle's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.4% houses and 33.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Perth metro's 60.5% houses and 39.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in East Victoria Park-Carlisle was 22.3%, similar to Perth metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.9% and rented ones at 42.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, above Perth metro's average of $1,842. The median weekly rent figure was $350, matching Perth metro's figure. Nationally, East Victoria Park-Carlisle's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 61.2% of all households, including 24.7% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.8%, with lone person households at 30.8% and group households comprising 8.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

The educational profile of East Victoria Park - Carlisle exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

East Victoria Park-Carlisle has a significantly higher percentage of residents aged 15 and above with university qualifications compared to Western Australia (WA) and the SA4 region. Specifically, 43.4% of its residents hold such qualifications, while WA has 27.9%, and the SA4 region has 29.9%. This educational advantage is led by bachelor degrees at 29.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.3%, and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (18.0%).

Educational participation is high in the area, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in tertiary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 5.5% pursuing secondary education. The five schools in East Victoria Park-Carlisle have a combined enrollment of 1,095 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1055. All five schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. Local school capacity is limited, with only 5.6 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 12.0, meaning many families travel to nearby areas for schooling. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

East Victoria Park-Carlisle has 112 active public transport stops. These include train and bus services operated by 34 routes. The total weekly passenger trips across these routes is 7,459.

Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 159 meters. Daily service frequency averages 1,065 trips across all routes, equating to approximately 66 weekly trips per individual stop.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout East Victoria Park-Carlisle. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and nears national averages for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (11,547 people), compared to 56.5% across Greater Perth. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.4 and 6.6% of residents respectively. 73.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Perth. The area has 12.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,427 people), lower than the 14.2% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

East Victoria Park-Carlisle has high cultural diversity, with 24.7% speaking a language other than English at home and 37.6% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 38.0%. Buddhism is overrepresented at 3.6%, compared to Greater Perth's 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (25.3%), Australian (20.9%), and Other (13.3%). Notably, French, Korean, and Welsh ethnicities have similar representation in East Victoria Park-Carlisle as in the region: French at 0.7%, Korean at 0.7%, and Welsh at 0.7%.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is younger than the national pattern

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's median age of 35 years is slightly younger than Greater Perth's 37 and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group makes up 22.4%, higher than Greater Perth, while the 5-14 cohort stands at 9.3%. This concentration in the 25-34 age bracket is above the national figure of 14.5%. Between 2021 and now, the 25-34 age group has grown from 21.5% to 22.4%, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 12.7% to 11.6%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in East Victoria Park - Carlisle. The 25-34 age group is projected to increase by 778 people (18%), rising from 4,399 to 5,178. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows by a modest 8%, adding 87 people.