East Victoria Park - Carlisle

Population growth drivers in East Victoria Park - Carlisle are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population was around 19,636 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 2,391 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,245. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,561 in June 2024 and an additional 122 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,131 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. East Victoria Park - Carlisle's growth rate of 13.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%, indicating a higher than average growth trend in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate post-2032 growth, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends indicate an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, East Victoria Park - Carlisle is projected to expand by 4,714 persons, reflecting a total increase of 23.6% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions East Victoria Park - Carlisle among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has averaged approximately 80 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 403 homes approved during this period. In FY26, up until now, 18 dwellings have been approved. This results in an average of about 5 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these five years, indicating significant demand outpacing supply, which typically influences prices and competition among buyers.

The average value for new homes being constructed is $533,000, higher than regional levels, suggesting quality construction emphasis. This financial year has seen $9.3 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Perth, East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows about 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 42nd percentile nationally, leading to relatively limited buyer choice and interest in existing homes.

New developments consist of 80% standalone homes and 20% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban character focused on family homes offering space. With around 388 people per dwelling approval, East Victoria Park - Carlisle exhibits a developed market. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the population is forecasted to grow by 4,639 residents by 2041. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Area's performance is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 35 such projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Carlisle Station Precinct Redevelopment, Woolworths East Victoria Park, Oats Street North Residential Development, and Apartments and Commercial Tenancy - Bank Street. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in East Victoria Park - Carlisle shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than Greater Perth's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%. As of June 2025, 12,452 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Perth's rate. Workforce participation is 69.9%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical jobs, at 1.4 times the regional average. Retail trade employs only 7.4% of local workers, lower than Greater Perth's 9.3%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.5%, labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 3.7% and a slight increase in unemployment. State-level data from Nov-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National employment forecasts project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years for East Victoria Park - Carlisle, based on its current employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

East Victoria Park - Carlisle SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $62,607 and an average of $78,446 in the financial year 2022. These figures were among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Perth's median income of $58,380 and average income of $78,020. By September 2025, current estimates project a median income of approximately $71,497 and an average income of $89,585, based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, individual earnings at the 80th percentile nationally were $1,014 weekly. In East Victoria Park - Carlisle SA2, the income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 31.7% of residents (6,224 people), similar to regional levels where 32.0% occupied this bracket. Housing costs consumed 15.7% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 64th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

East Victoria Park-Carlisle's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.4% houses and 33.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Perth metro's 60.5% houses and 39.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in East Victoria Park-Carlisle was at 22.3%, aligning with Perth metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings stood at 34.9% and rented dwellings at 42.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, exceeding Perth metro's average of $1,842. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $350, matching Perth metro's figure. Nationally, East Victoria Park-Carlisle's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 61.2% of all households, which includes 24.7% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 38.8%, consisting of 30.8% lone person households and 8.0% group households. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

The educational profile of East Victoria Park - Carlisle exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in East Victoria Park - Carlisle is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 43.4% of residents aged 15 and above held university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in Western Australia (WA) and 29.9% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 29.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.3% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational credentials were also prevalent, with 28.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas accounted for 10.6% and certificates for 18.0%.

Educational participation was high, with 29.9% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 9.4% in tertiary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 5.5% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

East Victoria Park - Carlisle has 112 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 34 individual routes, collectively providing 7,459 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 159 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 1,065 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 66 weekly trips per individual stop.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout East Victoria Park - Carlisle. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (11,545 people), compared to 56.5% across Greater Perth. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.4% and 6.6% of residents respectively. 73.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Perth. The area has 12.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,427 people), which is lower than the 14.2% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

East Victoria Park-Carlisle has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 24.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 37.6% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in East Victoria Park-Carlisle, comprising 38.0% of the population. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Perth, making up 3.6% of the population versus 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (25.3%), Australian (20.9%), and Other (13.3%). Notable divergences exist in French (0.7% vs regional 0.6%), Korean (0.7% vs 0.7%), and Welsh (0.7% vs 0.5%) ethnic groups.

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's population is younger than the national pattern

East Victoria Park - Carlisle's median age in 2021 was 35 years, which is younger than Greater Perth's 37 and Australia's 38-year national average. The 25-34 age group made up 22.4%, higher than Greater Perth but lower than the national average of 14.5%. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age group was less prevalent at 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 21.5% to 22.4%, while the 45-54 cohort decreased from 12.7% to 11.6%. By 2041, forecasts suggest significant demographic shifts. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 779 people (18%), reaching 5,178, while the 0-4 cohort will increase modestly by 8% (87 people).