Manning

An assessment of population growth drivers in Manning reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the suburb of Manning is estimated at around 5,089 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 870 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,219 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population being 5,084 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 36 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,941 persons per square kilometer, placing Manning in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Manning's growth of 20.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%). Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 87.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Manning, with the suburb expected to increase by 821 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 7.7% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Manning when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Manning has experienced around 41 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 208 homes. As of FY-26, eight approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed was observed (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, recent data shows this has intensified to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $825,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Compared to Greater Perth, Manning shows moderately higher new home approvals, 48.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. In terms of dwelling types, Manning's new development consists of 68.0% standalone homes and 32.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 88.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 148 people per dwelling approval, Manning exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate suggest Manning will add 393 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Manning has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

No changes were identified by AreaSearch that could potentially affect the region's performance. Notably, several key projects are planned for the area: Henley Rise, Willetton Sports Precinct Transformation, Victoria Park-Canning Level Crossing Removal, and New Women and Babies Hospital. The following list outlines those projects expected to have the most significant impact.

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Employment performance in Manning exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Manning has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%. Over the past year, it had estimated employment growth of 2.4%, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, Manning has 2,583 residents employed at an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. However, workforce participation lags behind Greater Perth's figure, with only 61.6% compared to its regional counterpart's 71.6%. A low 11.6% of residents work from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this statistic. Key industries for employment among Manning's residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services.

Notably, the area specializes in education & training with an employment share 1.5 times higher than the regional level. In contrast, manufacturing employs only 3.1% of local workers compared to Greater Perth's 5.5%. The predominantly residential nature of Manning suggests limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Manning saw employment increase by 2.4% while labour force grew by 2.1%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.9%, labour force growth of 3.0%, and marginal unemployment rise during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Manning. These projections estimate national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Manning's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Manning has an exceptionally high national income level according to recent Australian Taxation Office data compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year ended June 30, 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Manning is $61,712, with an average income of $87,868. These figures compare to those for Greater Perth, which stand at $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Based on a 9.62% increase in wages as per the Wage Price Index from July 1, 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $67,649 (median) and $96,321 (average) by September 2025. Census data from 2021 indicates that Manning's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 72nd and 78th percentiles. Income distribution shows that the largest segment comprises 25.3% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (1,287 individuals), which is consistent with broader trends in the surrounding region at 32.0%. Notably, 38.1% of Manning's residents earn more than $3,000 weekly, indicating robust purchasing power within the community. Housing expenses consume 14.2% of income, while strong earnings place residents in the 80th percentile for disposable income. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Manning is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Manning, as per the latest Census evaluation, 88.1% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 11.8% being other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This is in contrast to Perth metro's dwelling structure which was 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Manning stood at 30.9%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 37.2% and rented dwellings making up 31.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Manning was $2,400, exceeding the Perth metro average of $1,907. The median weekly rent in Manning was recorded at $340, slightly lower than Perth metro's figure of $350. Nationally, Manning's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Manning features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households making up 4.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

Manning shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Manning, residents aged 15 and above have a higher educational attainment compared to broader benchmarks. Specifically, 43.7% of Manning's residents hold university qualifications, surpassing the Western Australian average of 27.9% and the SA4 region average of 29.9%. This high level of educational attainment positions Manning favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%).

Vocational pathways account for 24.6% of qualifications among residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 9.9% and certificates 14.7%. Educational participation is notably high in Manning, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 8.7% in tertiary education, and 8.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Manning has 28 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These are served by five different bus routes that together facilitate 1,515 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 144 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the primary mode of transport at 78%, followed by train at 8% and bus at 8%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 216 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 54 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Manning is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Manning demonstrates superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (3,159 people), compared to 59.0% in Greater Perth and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 7.5% and 7.0% of residents respectively. 72.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.9% in Greater Perth. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,017 people), higher than the 16.3% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Manning was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Manning's population showed cultural diversity, with 19.2% speaking languages other than English at home and 31.2% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 48.5%. Islam's representation was higher in Manning at 4.8%, compared to Greater Perth's 3.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.7%), Australian (23.4%), and Other (10.7%). Notable differences existed for French (Manning: 0.9% vs Regional: 0.5%), Croatian (Manning: 0.9% vs Regional: 0.8%), and South African (Manning: 0.7% vs Regional: 1.0%) ethnic groups.

Manning's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Manning is 38 years, close to Greater Perth's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Manning has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.0%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.7% to 15.8%, while the 75-84 cohort has risen from 4.3% to 6.2%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.5% to 11.0%, and the 45-54 age group has dropped from 13.8% to 12.2%. By 2041, Manning's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 53% (167 people), reaching 483 from 315. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 66% of the population growth, indicating a clear aging population trend. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 15-24 age cohorts.