Manning

An assessment of population growth drivers in Manning reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Manning statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 5,088 people. This figure reflects a significant increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,219 people in the Manning (SA2). The recent growth of 869 people (20.6%) is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,084 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and validation of additional 34 new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of approximately 2,941 persons per square kilometer, placing Manning in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Manning's growth rate of 20.6% since the 2021 census exceeds the national average of 9.7%, indicating its status as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration has been the primary driver for population growth in the area, contributing approximately 87.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia's projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Manning. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to increase by 821 persons to reach a total of approximately 5,909 people by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 7.7% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Manning when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Manning has received around 41 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years up to FY26. By FY26, 8 approvals have been recorded. This totals an estimated 208 homes over these five years. On average, Manning has seen 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25, suggesting balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions.

However, recent data shows this ratio has intensified to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $825,000 in Manning, reflecting a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Compared to Greater Perth, Manning shows moderately higher new home approvals, 48.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

In terms of dwelling types, Manning has seen a shift in its housing mix. Currently, around 68.0% of new developments are standalone homes, with attached dwellings making up the remaining 32.0%. This includes townhouses and apartments, providing options across different price points from family homes to more affordable compact living. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (88.0%). With around 148 people per dwelling approval, Manning exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate suggest Manning will add approximately 391 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Manning has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Henley Rise, Willetton Sports Precinct Transformation, Victoria Park-Canning Level Crossing Removal, and New Women and Babies Hospital. The following list outlines those projected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Manning exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Manning has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 2,583 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 0.8% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Manning is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Manning specializes in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, manufacturing employs only 3.1% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 5.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.5%, while labour force grew by 2.2%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.9% and unemployment rose marginally. State-level data from 25-Nov shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Manning's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Manning had an extremely high national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Manning was $61,712, with an average income of $87,868. These figures compared to Greater Perth's median and average incomes of $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Based on a 9.62% growth rate from the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Manning as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,649 (median) and $96,321 (average). Census data from 2021 showed that income levels in Manning ranked highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 72nd and 78th percentiles. The largest income segment comprised 25.3% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. Higher earners made up a substantial presence, with 38.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounted for 14.2% of income, while strong earnings placed residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Manning is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Manning, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 49.3% houses and 50.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Manning was at 30.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (37.2%) or rented (31.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Manning was $2,400, above Perth metro's average of $2,200. The median weekly rent figure in Manning was $340, compared to Perth metro's $360. Nationally, Manning's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Manning features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.0% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.0%, consisting of 23.1% lone person households and 4.1% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.2.

Manning shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Manning has a notably high educational attainment rate among residents aged 15 and above, with 43.7% holding university qualifications compared to the broader state (WA) average of 27.9% and the SA4 region's average of 29.9%. This is indicative of a strong focus on higher education in the area. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent type of qualification held, with 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.2% and graduate diplomas at 4.9%. Vocational pathways also play a significant role, accounting for 24.6% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above.

Advanced diplomas make up 9.9% of these vocational qualifications, while certificates account for 14.7%. Educational participation is notably high in Manning, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 8.7% in tertiary education, and 8.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 28 active stops in Manning, served by buses via five routes. These stops facilitate 1,515 weekly passenger trips. Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 144 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

Service frequency averages 216 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 54 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Manning is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Manning demonstrates low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 62%, compared to 68.8% in Greater Perth and a national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, impacting 7.5 and 7.0% of residents respectively.

72.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 72.6% in Greater Perth. The area has 19.3% of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 20.5% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Manning was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Manning's population was found to be more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 19.2% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2021. Additionally, 31.2% of Manning's residents were born overseas by the same year. Christianity was the predominant religion in Manning, accounting for 48.5% of its population.

However, Islam was notably overrepresented compared to Greater Perth, with 4.8% of Manning's population identifying as Muslim versus 2.7%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (26.7%), Australian (23.4%), and Other (10.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: French was overrepresented at 0.9% in Manning compared to 0.7% regionally, Croatian at 0.9% versus 0.8%, and South African at 0.7% versus 0.8%.

Manning's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Manning is close to Greater Perth's average of 37 years, at 38 years, similar to Australia's median age. Compared to Greater Perth, Manning has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the percentage of Manning's population aged 15-24 increased from 13.7% to 15.8%, while the 75-84 age group grew from 4.3% to 5.9%. Conversely, the percentages of residents aged 5-14 decreased from 13.5% to 11.1%, and those aged 45-54 dropped from 13.8% to 12.4%. By 2041, Manning's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 58%, reaching 474 people from the current 300. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 69% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 0-4 and 15-24.