Manning

An assessment of population growth drivers in Manning reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Manning is around 4,720, reflecting an increase of 501 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Manning by AreaSearch in June 2024 indicated a resident population of 4,717, with an additional 34 validated new addresses contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 2,728 persons per square kilometer, placing Manning in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Manning's population grew by 11.9% between the 2021 Census and November 2025, exceeding the national average growth rate of 8.9%. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 87.0% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data to estimate growth across all areas post-2032.

Population projections indicate above median growth for Manning, with an expected increase of 816 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 16.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Manning recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Manning has received approximately 36 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 184 homes. As of FY26, three approvals have been recorded. The average annual increase in residents per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25 was 1.9 people, indicating a balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this figure has risen to 9.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $825,000, reflecting a focus on the premium segment.

Commercial approvals in FY26 totalled $25.1 million, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Perth, Manning has experienced 32.0% higher construction activity per person over the past five years, offering reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 77.0% detached houses and 23.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Manning's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes.

The area has approximately 296 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Manning is projected to add 754 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Manning has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that may impact this area. Notable projects include Henley Rise, Willetton Sports Precinct Transformation, Victoria Park-Canning Level Crossing Removal, and New Women and Babies Hospital. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment performance in Manning exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Manning has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.1%.

As of June 2025, Manning had 2,591 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Manning showed particular strength in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Manufacturing had limited presence at 3.1%, compared to 5.5% regionally. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, Manning's employment levels increased by 3.1% and labour force by 3.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth had employment growth of 3.7%, labour force growth of 3.8%, with a rise in unemployment of 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Manning's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Manning had a median taxpayer income of $61,712 and an average income of $87,868. These figures rank among the highest in Australia, compared to $58,380 and $78,020 respectively across Greater Perth. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 to September 2025 (14.2%), current estimates for Manning are approximately $70,475 (median) and $100,345 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Manning rank between the 72nd and 78th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 25.3% of residents fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, with a substantial proportion (38.1%) being high earners above $3,000 per week. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income, and residents rank in the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Manning is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Manning, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Perth metro's 49.3% houses and 50.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Manning was at 30.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (37.2%) or rented (31.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Manning was $2,400, higher than Perth metro's average of $2,200. The median weekly rent figure in Manning was recorded at $340, compared to Perth metro's $360. Nationally, Manning's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Manning features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households comprising 4.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.2.

Manning shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Manning is notably higher than broader benchmarks. 43.7% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in WA and 29.9% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%). Vocational pathways account for 24.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 14.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 8.7% in tertiary education, and 8.6% pursuing secondary education. Manning Primary School and Curtin Primary School serve a total of 573 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1078). Both schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 12.1, below the regional average of 17.8, indicating some students may attend schools outside Manning.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 28 active stops operating within Manning. These are mixed-use bus stops serviced by 5 routes, offering 1,514 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically 144 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 216 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 54 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Manning is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Manning demonstrates low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 62% of its total population of 2,930 people have private health cover, compared to 67.8% in Greater Perth and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (7.5%) and arthritis (7%).

A total of 72.6% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to the 72.6% in Greater Perth. Manning has 19.3% of its population aged 65 and over (910 people), lower than Greater Perth's 20.5%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average and align with the general population's health profile.

Manning was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Manning's population was found to be more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 19.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 31.2% of Manning's population was recorded. Christianity was the predominant religion in Manning, accounting for 48.5%.

Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Perth, comprising 4.8% of Manning's population versus 2.7%. The top three ancestry groups were English at 26.7%, Australian at 23.4%, and Other at 10.7%. Notably, French (0.9%), Croatian (0.9%), and South African (0.7%) ethnicities showed higher representation in Manning compared to regional averages of 0.7%, 0.8%, and 0.8% respectively.

Manning's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Manning is close to Greater Perth's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Manning has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (15.8%) compared to Greater Perth, but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.1%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the age group 15-24 grew from 13.7% to 15.8%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.3% to 5.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 13.5% to 11.1% and the 45-54 group dropped from 13.8% to 12.4%. By 2041, Manning's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 69%, reaching 472 people from 278. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 58% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 35-44 and 5-14 cohorts.