Traralgon - East

Population growth drivers in Traralgon - East are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Traralgon - East's population is approximately 12,976 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 976 people, an 8.1% rise from the 2021 Census which reported a population of 12,000. The change is inferred from the ABS's estimated resident population of 12,316 in June 2024 and an additional 352 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 119 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Traralgon - East's growth rate of 8.1% since the 2021 census surpassed both the SA3 area (5.5%) and non-metro areas, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 48.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch is employing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to experience significant population increase, with an expansion of 3,301 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 19.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Traralgon - East among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Traralgon East has averaged approximately 89 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21 and FY25, a total of 447 homes were approved, with an additional 69 approved in FY26 so far. Over these five financial years, the area has seen an average of 0.9 people moving to the area per dwelling built.

This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties is $275,000. In FY26, commercial development approvals have reached $14.5 million, indicating steady investment activity.

Comparatively, Traralgon East shows moderately higher construction activity than the rest of Victoria, with 37.0% more activity per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 135 people added per dwelling approval, Traralgon East reflects a developing area. Future projections estimate an addition of 2,588 residents by 2041 (based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate). Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Traralgon - East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones include Silverwood Estate, Ellavale East Estate, Cross's Road Development Plan, and South East Traralgon Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Traralgon - East recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Traralgon East has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 5.9% as of the latest data point, which showed an estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the past year.

As of September 2025, there were 5,909 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was similar to Rest of Vic.'s at 57.4%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Notably, the area has a strong specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste services with an employment share 4.1 times higher than the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing have limited presence at 2.3% compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. In the 12-month period preceding September 2025, employment increased by 4.6%, while the labour force grew by 3.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. experienced a decline in employment and labour force, with a marginal rise in unemployment. For broader context, as of 25-Nov-25, state-level data shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. VIC's employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Traralgon East's employment mix indicates a potential local employment increase of 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Traralgon - East SA2's median income among taxpayers is $49,248. The average income is $62,194. This is below the national average. Rest of Vic.'s median income is $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Traralgon - East's median income would be approximately $55,237 and the average around $69,757 as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes rank modestly in Traralgon - East, between the 27th and 30th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 29.9% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.3% occupy this earnings band. Housing costs are manageable with 87.4% retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 32nd percentile.

Traralgon - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Traralgon - East, as per the latest Census evaluation, 84.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 15.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Traralgon - East stood at 36.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.3% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,213. The median weekly rent figure for Traralgon - East was $250, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $237. Nationally, Traralgon - East's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,300 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Traralgon - East features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 65.8% of all households, including 25.0% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.2%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, matching the average in Rest of Vic.

Educational outcomes in Traralgon - East fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (30.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.2% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 73 active transport stops operating within Traralgon - East. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 36 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 2,786 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 248 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 398 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Traralgon - East is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Traralgon - East faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data.

Both younger and older age groups have a notable prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is held by approximately 51% of the total population (~6,630 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 10.2% of residents) and mental health issues (impacting 10.1%). A majority of residents, 60.9%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 60.1% in the rest of Victoria. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.8% (2,692 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely consistent with the general population's health profile.

Traralgon - East ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Traralgon-East showed low cultural diversity, with 87.9% citizens, 86.5% born in Australia, and 92.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 45.0%. The 'Other' religious category had a slight overrepresentation at 0.6%, compared to Rest of Vic's 0.6%.

Top ancestral groups were English (30.7%), Australian (30.1%), and Scottish (8.7%). Notably, Dutch (2.9% vs regional 2.9%), Maltese (1.1% vs 1.6%), and Polish (0.7% vs 0.7%) had similar representations to the regional averages.

Traralgon - East's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Traralgon-East's median age is 41 years, which is lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but higher than Australia's national average of 38. The percentage of residents aged 25-34 is 15.1%, higher than Rest of Vic., while those aged 65-74 make up 10.8%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group increased from 13.6% to 15.1%, and the 35-44 cohort grew from 11.3% to 12.3%. Conversely, the 15-24 age group decreased from 11.6% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Traralgon-East's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 44%, adding 856 residents to reach 2,812. Meanwhile, the 55-64 age group is expected to decrease by 84.