Yarragon

Yarragon lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Yarragon's population is estimated at around 1,818 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a decrease of 75 people (4.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,893 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,797, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest Education and Workforce projections data release by the ABS in Jun 2024, and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 26 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 46.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of national regional areas is projected, with the suburb expected to expand by 320 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 23.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarragon according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Yarragon has had 3 dwelling approvals annually since 2017, totalling 16. This reflects its rural nature where development is driven by local housing needs rather than market demand. Due to the small number of approvals, individual projects can significantly impact annual growth and relativity statistics.

Compared to Rest of Vic., Yarragon has much lower development activity, also below national patterns. New developments consist of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% attached dwellings, offering choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to compact options. This marks a departure from existing housing patterns which are currently 98.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1281 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Yarragon will gain 435 residents by 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Yarragon has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are anticipated to influence the local area's performance: The Range Estate, Trafalgar Road Network Repairs, Trafalgar Structure Plan, and Gippsland Odyssey Trail (Trafalgar Section). These are considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Yarragon shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarragon has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 2.4%, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

There were 951 residents employed at this time, with health care & social assistance, construction, and agriculture being the dominant sectors. Construction is particularly prominent in Yarragon, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, accommodation & food services are under-represented, with only 5.2% of the workforce compared to 6.9% in Rest of Vic. Labour force levels decreased by 0.6% and employment declined by 0.7% over the 12 months to June 2025, leading to a slight rise in unemployment.

Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarragon's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows median income in Yarragon at $47,998 and average income at $61,456. This is lower than Rest of Vic.'s median income of $48,741 and average income of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Yarragon would be approximately $53,835 and average income $68,929 by that date. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Yarragon rank modestly, between the 25th and 30th percentiles. Income brackets show 29.6% of locals (538 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions at 30.3%. After housing expenses, 86.1% of income remains, ranking at the 28th percentile nationally. Yarragon's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Yarragon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Yarragon's housing structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.9% houses and 2.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 91.6% houses and 8.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarragon stood at 44.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (40.8%) or rented (15.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,600. Median weekly rent in Yarragon was $320, matching Non-Metro Vic.'s figure. Nationally, Yarragon's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Yarragon has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.2% of all households, including 25.6% couples with children, 35.6% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.8%, with lone person households at 27.9% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Yarragon fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 15.9%, significantly below the Victorian average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 30.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 25.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education. Yarragon Primary School serves the local area, with an enrollment of 210 students as of 2021. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 11.6, below the regional average of 18.8, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarragon has three active public transport stops operating, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 388 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered limited, with residents usually residing 701 meters away from the closest transport stop.

The average service frequency across all routes is 55 trips per day, resulting in approximately 129 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Yarragon is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant challenges for Yarragon, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~930 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.9%) and mental health issues (9.2%). A majority, 63.3%, report being free from medical ailments, compared to 63.7% in Rest of Vic. Residents aged 65 and over make up 24.4% (443 people) of the population, higher than the 20.8% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Yarragon is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Yarragon's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.3% of its population born in Australia as of the 2016 Census. This figure is higher than the national average of 69%. Additionally, 92.9% of Yarragon residents were Australian citizens and 96.9% spoke English only at home.

The main religion was Christianity, comprising 44.9% of people in Yarragon. However, Judaism was not present among Yarragon's population as of the Census date, compared to 0.1% across Rest of Vic.. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were Australian (33.5%), English (33.3%), and Scottish (8.6%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.4%, compared to 2.7% regionally, Hungarian at 0.4% versus 0.3%, and Maltese at 0.7% versus 0.4%.

Yarragon hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Yarragon has a median age of 43, matching Rest of Vic's figure and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 25-34 are notably prominent at 13.8%, while the 45-54 group is relatively smaller at 9.2% compared to Rest of Vic. Between 2021 Census and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 6.7% to 8.0%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 15.3% to 13.7%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Yarragon's age structure. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 60%, adding 150 people and reaching 401 from the current 250. In contrast, the 65-74 cohort shows no growth, remaining at 0 people.