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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Yarragon has an estimated 2,065 residents, up from 1,893 at the 2021 Census — a change of 172 people, or 9.1%. Growth has averaged 2.4% a year over five years. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 46.0% of that increase. Density is about 30 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of broader regional ABS demographic revisions alongside new address validations recorded after the Census, the population of the suburb of Yarragon stands at roughly 2,065 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 172 residents (9.1%) compared to the 2021 Census, when 1,893 individuals were recorded. Such growth builds upon an estimated resident population of 2,063 calculated by AreaSearch from the June 2025 ABS ERP figures, complemented by 20 validated new addresses added post-Census. With a density of 30 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Yarragon offers a spacious residential environment.
The 9.1% increase achieved by the suburb of Yarragon outpaced both the Rest of Vic. (4.4%) and its broader SA4 region, positioning it among the territory's faster-growing localities. Net interstate migration served as the primary growth engine, generating around 46.0% of total demographic additions in recent times, though natural increase and overseas migration also contributed positively. In formulating future trajectories for the suburb of Yarragon, AreaSearch applies SA2-level ABS/Geoscience Australia projections published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, supplemented where necessary by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA datasets adjusted via weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 divisions. Age-specific growth distribution models from these aggregations are further carried forward across all localities between 2032 and 2041. Over the coming years, regional expansion is anticipated to track above national non-metropolitan medians, with the suburb of Yarragon projected to gain 383 persons to 2041 under consolidated SA2 figures, translating to an overall 16-year increase of 18.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
23 new dwellings have been approved in Yarragon over the past five years, an average of 4 a year. That places the area in the 70th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 2 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 21, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS residential approval figures by AreaSearch indicates that Yarragon has maintained an annual average of around 4 new home approvals, totaling an estimated 23 residential approvals across the preceding 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 21 permits registered to date in FY-25. Over this same period across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), incoming population gains averaged 5.3 individuals per newly built residence, creating a notable supply deficit that tends to foster intense buyer competition and elevate property valuations. Newly constructed homes carry an average building value of $389,000.
In addition, $700,000 worth of commercial approvals was logged during the current financial year, underscoring the locality's overwhelming concentration on residential building. Residential building volumes in Yarragon lag considerably behind regional trends, sitting 51.0% below the per-person rate for Rest of Vic. While this limited pipeline usually reinforces pricing power and buyer interest in established stock, building activity has picked up of late. Recent approvals break down into 75.0% separate houses alongside 25.0% medium-density formats like townhouses or apartments, sustaining lower-density characteristics while catering to those seeking larger blocks. This composition contrasts noticeably with the current residential stock (where 98.0% are standalone houses), pointing toward tighter land supply as well as shifting lifestyle and affordability dynamics. The ratio currently sits at roughly 141 residents per dwelling approval, highlighting an expanding market. Moving forward, projections from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly release indicate Yarragon will expand by 381 persons up to 2041. If residential construction continues at its prevailing pace, housing supply could find it difficult to keep up with demographic inflows, potentially intensifying purchaser demand and placing upward pressure on home prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Yarragon
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 78 current infrastructure and development projects close to Yarragon, worth an estimated $9.28 billion. 29 are already under construction and 26 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Major infrastructure developments, planning frameworks, and capital projects play a pivotal role in shaping an area's long-term performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 5 key undertakings within the locality that are anticipated to influence regional outcomes. Notable initiatives among these include The Range Estate, Trafalgar Road Network Repairs, the Trafalgar Structure Plan, and the Gippsland Odyssey Trail (Trafalgar Section), with prominent items detailed in the accompanying overview.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Range Estate
A 324-lot residential subdivision on a 41-hectare property, extending the town's boundary west of Dodemaids Road. The estate will include a variety of lot sizes, open space, and new road connections.
Strategic Extractive Resource Area (Trafalgar)
The Victorian Government approved the Trafalgar Strategic Extractive Resource Area (SERA) in April 2026 through Planning Scheme Amendment GC263. The SERA introduces a State Resource Overlay to protect strategically significant sand and quarry resources from incompatible development, helping secure long-term supplies of construction materials for Victoria's housing and infrastructure pipeline. Future quarry developments within the area will still require separate planning and environmental approvals.
Trafalgar Road Network Repairs
A project funded by Baw Baw Shire Council to repair and maintain various roads in the Trafalgar area, improving road conditions and safety for the community.
Trafalgar Structure Plan
A comprehensive plan to guide the future growth and development of Trafalgar, addressing land use, services, infrastructure, and community needs to ensure the township remains a desirable place to live, work, and visit.
Gippsland Odyssey Trail (Trafalgar Section)
A proposed long-distance cycling trail network that will connect Trafalgar to other towns in the Gippsland region, enhancing recreational opportunities and tourism.
Trafalgar Holden Museum Expansion
Construction of a new showroom, the Neil Joiner Holden Heritage Centre, to house 18 heritage vehicles and Holden memorabilia. The expansion is expected to increase tourism to the region.
Trafalgar Recreation Reserve Redevelopment
A master plan for the future development of the reserve, including the design of a new multi-use pavilion with female-friendly change rooms and other community facilities.
Bona Vues
Premium residential subdivision offering larger lots with rural views and semi-rural lifestyle in regional Victoria. Features lot sizes ranging from 555m2 to 4,381m2 with an average of 1,048m2. The development includes two access points off Bona Vista Road, extensive excavation and levelling works, and retaining walls. Located 105km southeast of Melbourne with established infrastructure including schools, shopping, transport and medical facilities nearby.
1,069 residents of Yarragon are employed, from a labour force of 1,089. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 63.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,718, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Yarragon supports a well-diversified workforce comprising both blue and white collar positions, underpinned by substantial representation across essential service industries, an exceptionally low jobless rate of 1.8%, and estimated annual jobs growth of 5.6% according to AreaSearch aggregated figures. As of March 2026, the area records 1,069 employed persons, with local unemployment standing 1.8% below the Regional Vic. benchmark of 3.7%, while labour market participation tracks closely with regional averages at 63.8% versus 61.1% in Regional Vic. Census data indicated that 18.8% of local workers performed their duties from home, though this figure reflects conditions during Covid-19 restrictions.
The primary sectors providing employment to local residents include health care & social assistance, construction, as well as agriculture, forestry & fishing. The local economy demonstrates a clear concentration in construction, where resident employment share reaches 1.3 times the wider regional baseline. By comparison, accommodation & food accounts for merely 5.2% of the local workforce, trailing the 6.9% recorded across Regional Vic. Comparing the local resident workforce against the number of Census-reported local jobs suggests that the immediate district provides a relatively constrained pool of employment opportunities. Based on AreaSearch's compilation of ABS and SALM metrics across surrounding statistical geographies, the twelve months to March 2026 saw employment climb by 5.6% alongside a 5.1% rise in the labour pool, reducing local unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. Conversely, Regional Vic. observed a 0.1% contraction in employment and a 0.3% drop in its workforce, accompanied by a 0.2 percentage point decline in unemployment. Looking further ahead, national outlooks released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide context on potential sector demands across Yarragon over five and ten-year horizons when weighted against the local occupational base. Nationally, total employment is projected to rise 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with distinct variations across industries; applying these sector trends to Yarragon's specific industry distribution suggests indicative job growth of 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (representing a basic illustrative weighting that excludes localized population forecasting).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Yarragon is $1,363 a week (about $71,000 a year), with median personal income at $712 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $47,998 a year against an average of $61,456. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation data aggregated at the postcode level by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates that the suburb of Yarragon recorded a median taxpayer earnings figure of $47,998 alongside an average of $61,456. These figures fall below nationwide benchmarks and compare against $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average) across Regional Vic. Factoring in Wage Price Index appreciation of 9.62% from financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 suggest local earnings of around $52,615 for the median and $67,368 for the average. Findings from the 2021 Census show that household, family, and individual incomes sit in a modest bracket between the 25th and 30th percentiles.
Distribution data reveals that the single largest cohort, accounting for 29.6% (611 residents), earns $1,500 - 2,999 per week, mirroring the broader area where 30.3% falls into this tier. Net of housing expenses, households retain 86.1% of their income, placing the suburb at the 28th percentile nationally with a SEIFA income score in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Yarragon had 753 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 0% apartments. 41% are owned with a mortgage, 15% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $320 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,500 a month. Rent absorbs 23.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing landscape in Yarragon was composed of 97.9% standalone houses and 2.1% alternative formats (including semi-detached units, apartments, and other dwellings), whereas Regional Vic. recorded 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Outright property ownership in Yarragon surpassed regional benchmarks at 44.1%, while 40.8% of residences were being purchased under a mortgage and 15.1% were occupied by renters. Typical monthly mortgage payments stood at $1,500, higher than the Regional Vic. median of $1,430, with weekly rents averaging $320 against $285 regionally. On a nationwide scale, mortgage servicing in Yarragon sits well below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are notably lower than the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Yarragon counted 753 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 821 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 26% are couples with children, against 36% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 71.2%, consisting of couples with children (25.6%), couples without children (35.6%), and single parent households (8.8%). Non-family living structures make up the remaining 28.8%, where single-person households account for 27.9% and shared group dwellings represent 1.1%. The typical household size sits at 2.4 people, perfectly aligning with the regional norm for Regional Vic.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.9% of adults in Yarragon hold a university qualification, including 10.7% with a bachelor degree and 3.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 30.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 210 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 998 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in the district presents room for growth, as only 15.9% of residents possess higher education qualifications compared to the wider VIC standard of 33.4%, highlighting a clear focus area for targeted learning programs. Bachelor degrees form the primary tertiary qualification at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate awards at 3.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Conversely, vocational and technical credentials are widespread, with 42.1% of community members aged 15+ holding vocational certifications, specifically 11.7% with advanced diplomas and 30.4% with certificate-level qualifications. Current participation in formal study is strong throughout the community, encompassing 25.3% of the resident population.
Broken down across stages, primary school students make up 10.4%, secondary school attendees account for 7.3%, and tertiary students represent 2.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Yarragon means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Yarragon is provided by 3 operational transit stops featuring train connectivity, which are connected across 3 designated transit routes that deliver a combined 456 weekly passenger trips. Transit access remains relatively constrained, with local commuters situated an average of 701 meters from their nearest boarding point. Reflecting its predominantly suburban nature, outward vehicle travel is widespread, with private car travel dominating at 95%. Household motor vehicle availability averages 1.7 vehicles per residence, exceeding the regional figure, while 18.8% of workers reported working from home during the 2021 Census under prevailing COVID-19 settings.
Across all operating lines, transport frequency averages 65 daily services, which translates to roughly 152 departures per week for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.3% of residents in Yarragon report no long-term health condition. 6.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health evaluations conducted by AreaSearch show considerable public wellness challenges across Yarragon, marked by elevated mortality rates and widespread chronic ailments across older as well as younger demographics, while private health insurance uptake is comparatively constrained, covering roughly 51% of residents (~1,056 people). Arthritis and mental health conditions rank as the most frequently diagnosed medical concerns locally, affecting 9.9 and 9.2% of residents respectively, while 63.3% of the local population reported no chronic ailments, matching closely with the 63.4% recorded across Regional Vic. Chronic conditions are notably prevalent among working-age individuals.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 25.9% of local residents (534 people), tracking above the Regional Vic. mark of 24.0%. General health outcomes among older community members show moderate pressure, generally aligning with national percentiles for the wider public.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Yarragon is largely Australian-born, at 87.3% of residents, with 3.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (33.5%) and English (33.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity within Yarragon tracks below broader benchmarks, with Australian-born individuals comprising 87.3% of the population, Australian citizens making up 92.9%, and 96.9% using solely English at home. Christianity represents the most widespread religious faith, accounting for 44.9% of local residents. An almost negligible presence is recorded for Judaism, which stands at virtually no representation (vs 0.1% in Regional Vic.). Regarding ancestral heritage based on parental birthplace, the leading lineages in Yarragon are Australian at 33.5%, English at 33.3%, and Scottish at 8.6%. Furthermore, several other backgrounds exhibit distinct deviations from regional patterns: residents of Dutch descent represent 2.4% locally (versus 1.7% across the region), Hungarian heritage accounts for 0.4% (against 0.2%), and Maltese ancestry stands at 0.7% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Yarragon is 43. 23.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Yarragon exhibits a demographic age structure that aligns closely with wider Regional Vic. patterns, with the largest age cohort variation reaching 1.9 percentage points. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 43, holding steady since the 2021 Census and matching the Regional Vic. Census benchmark of 43, while sitting above the national Census median of 38. The proportion of older residents aged 65+ has increased from 23.1% at the Census to an estimated 25.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, individuals aged 25 - 44 are projected to drive the bulk of demographic expansion, growing by 172 residents (37%) to reach 635.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Yarragon
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (1,893 at the 2021 Census → 2,065 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22913). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.