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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Yarragon has an estimated 2,065 residents, up from 1,893 at the 2021 Census — a change of 172 people, or 9.1%. Growth has averaged 2.4% a year over five years. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 46.0% of that increase. Density is about 30 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations of ABS demographic statistics for the wider region and new locations confirmed by AreaSearch after the Census, Yarragon has an estimated population of approximately 2,065 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 172 residents (9.1%) compared to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,893 individuals. This shift is calculated from a resident headcount of 2,063, projected by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) plus 19 validated new addresses since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 30 persons per square kilometer, which offers plenty of personal space.
The 9.1% expansion rate of Yarragon since the 2021 census was higher than the Rest of Vic. (4.3%) and its SA4 region, making it a regional growth leader. The expansion was mostly fueled by interstate migration, representing about 46.0% of the overall population rise in recent times, though natural growth and overseas arrivals were also positive contributors. AreaSearch uses the ABS/Geoscience Australia demographic projections for each SA2 region published in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 regions lacking this information, AreaSearch utilizes the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, modifying them with a weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age brackets from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for the timeframe 2032 to 2041. Continuing current demographic trajectories, population growth is projected to exceed the regional national median, with the locality expected to grow by 380 residents to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level estimates, representing an overall increase of 18.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
30 new dwellings have been approved in Yarragon over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That places the area in the 63rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 3 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 12, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS residential building approvals mapped from statistical area data, Yarragon averages about 6 residential building approvals per year, totaling approximately 30 residential dwellings approved over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 11 so far in FY-26. With an average of 7.8 new residents per constructed dwelling over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is outstripping new supply, which typically drives up pricing and intensifies buyer competition, while new dwellings carry an average construction value of $460,000, showing that developers are focusing on the higher-end market segment with premium builds.
Additionally, commercial approvals of $700,000 were recorded this financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the area. Compared with the Rest of Vic., construction activity in Yarragon is considerably lower (71.0% below the regional average per capita). This limited new supply typically supports pricing and demand for existing houses, even though building pace has risen recently. It is also lower than the national average, pointing to the established nature of the suburb and implying potential planning constraints. New construction projects comprise 67.0% detached homes and 33.0% attached dwellings, demonstrating an increasing range of medium-density formats that offer options across different price levels, ranging from traditional family residences to more affordable compact dwellings. This represents a major shift from the current housing stock (which stands at 98.0% houses), suggesting less available vacant land and a response to shifting lifestyle choices and housing affordability needs. With about 241 people per approval, Yarragon demonstrates a changing market. Future forecasts suggest Yarragon will gain 378 residents by 2041 (using the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch). If current building rates persist, residential supply might struggle to keep pace with population growth, which could increase competition among buyers and support price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Yarragon
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 78 current infrastructure and development projects close to Yarragon, worth an estimated $7.86 billion. 29 are already under construction and 23 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Few factors shape local growth and demand as much as modifications to infrastructure, major projects, and town planning initiatives. In total, 5 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are expected to impact the suburb. Notable projects include The Range Estate, Trafalgar Road Network Repairs, Trafalgar Structure Plan, and the Gippsland Odyssey Trail (Trafalgar Section), with the following details covering those of most relevance.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Range Estate
A 324-lot residential subdivision on a 41-hectare property, extending the town's boundary west of Dodemaids Road. The estate will include a variety of lot sizes, open space, and new road connections.
Strategic Extractive Resource Area (Trafalgar)
The Victorian Government approved the Trafalgar Strategic Extractive Resource Area (SERA) in April 2026 through Planning Scheme Amendment GC263. The SERA introduces a State Resource Overlay to protect strategically significant sand and quarry resources from incompatible development, helping secure long-term supplies of construction materials for Victoria's housing and infrastructure pipeline. Future quarry developments within the area will still require separate planning and environmental approvals.
Trafalgar Road Network Repairs
A project funded by Baw Baw Shire Council to repair and maintain various roads in the Trafalgar area, improving road conditions and safety for the community.
Trafalgar Structure Plan
A comprehensive plan to guide the future growth and development of Trafalgar, addressing land use, services, infrastructure, and community needs to ensure the township remains a desirable place to live, work, and visit.
Gippsland Odyssey Trail (Trafalgar Section)
A proposed long-distance cycling trail network that will connect Trafalgar to other towns in the Gippsland region, enhancing recreational opportunities and tourism.
Trafalgar Holden Museum Expansion
Construction of a new showroom, the Neil Joiner Holden Heritage Centre, to house 18 heritage vehicles and Holden memorabilia. The expansion is expected to increase tourism to the region.
Trafalgar Recreation Reserve Redevelopment
A master plan for the future development of the reserve, including the design of a new multi-use pavilion with female-friendly change rooms and other community facilities.
Bona Vues
Premium residential subdivision offering larger lots with rural views and semi-rural lifestyle in regional Victoria. Features lot sizes ranging from 555m2 to 4,381m2 with an average of 1,048m2. The development includes two access points off Bona Vista Road, extensive excavation and levelling works, and retaining walls. Located 105km southeast of Melbourne with established infrastructure including schools, shopping, transport and medical facilities nearby.
1,077 residents of Yarragon are employed, from a labour force of 1,097. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 64.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,714, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Yarragon possesses a diverse labor force spanning professional and trade jobs, with a solid representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 1.8%, and an estimated employment growth of 5.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregations of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 1,077 residents are employed, with the unemployment rate sitting 1.9% below the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is standard (64.1% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic.). Based on Census data, a moderate 18.8% of employed residents worked from home, though the influence of COVID-19 restrictions should be kept in mind.
The main industries employing local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. The suburb shows a high concentration in construction, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services is underrepresented, employing only 5.2% of the workforce compared to 6.9% in Regional Vic.. The suburb appears to have a shortage of local jobs relative to its working population, as shown by the comparison of Census working population to resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader regions, over the 12 months to March 2026, the number of employed persons grew by 5.8% while the labor force expanded by 5.2%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. This contrast with Regional Vic., where employment decreased by 0.1%, the labor force fell by 0.3%, and unemployment dropped by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment projections from May-25 offer additional indicators of future labor demand in Yarragon. These projections, covering five and ten-year horizons, have been matched against local employment structures to project growth. While national employment is expected to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary widely by industry. Applying these industry projections to the local workforce mix suggests Yarragon's employment should grow by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (this represents a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population changes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Yarragon is $1,363 a week (about $71,000 a year), with median personal income at $712 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $47,998 a year against an average of $61,456. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's aggregation of the most recent postcode level ATO data from the financial year 2023, the suburb of Yarragon recorded a median taxpayer income of $47,998 and an average income of $61,456. These figures are below the national averages and compare to $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current projections estimate these figures at approximately $52,615 (median) and $67,368 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census income statistics show that household, family, and individual incomes are modest in Yarragon, falling between the 25th and 30th percentiles.
Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most common, accounting for 29.6% of residents (611 people), which closely aligns with the broader region where 30.3% fall into this range. Discretionary income after housing costs is 86.1%, which ranks in the 28th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income index places it in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Yarragon had 753 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 0% apartments. 41% are owned with a mortgage, 15% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $320 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,500 a month. Rent absorbs 23.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing types in Yarragon at the time of the latest Census consisted of 97.9% houses and 2.1% other dwelling styles (semi-detached, apartments, and alternative homes), compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwelling styles in Regional Vic.. Home ownership rates in Yarragon were higher than Regional Vic. at 44.1%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (40.8%) or rented (15.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Regional Vic. average at $1,500, while the median weekly rent stood at $320, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285.
On a national level, Yarragon's mortgage payments are notably lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are significantly below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Yarragon counted 753 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 821 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 26% are couples with children, against 36% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the majority of households at 71.2%, consisting of 25.6% couples with children, 35.6% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households represent the remaining 28.8%, with single person households accounting for 27.9% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, matching the Regional Vic. average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.9% of adults in Yarragon hold a university qualification, including 10.7% with a bachelor degree and 3.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 30.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 210 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 998 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region shows educational challenges, with university degree attainment rates (15.9%) well below the VIC average of 33.4%. This highlights both a challenge and a focus area for targeted educational strategies. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 42.1% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high, with 25.3% of local residents currently studying in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary schools, 7.3% in high schools, and 2.7% enrolled in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Yarragon means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis shows 3 active transit stops operating within Yarragon, consisting of a mix of train services. These stops are serviced by 13 individual routes, providing 323 weekly passenger journeys. Transport accessibility is classified as limited, with residents living an average of 701 meters from their closest transit stop. As a primary residential area, most employed residents commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the dominant transit mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average. Some 18.8% of residents work from home (based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 parameters).
Service frequency averages 46 journeys per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 107 weekly trips per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.3% of residents in Yarragon report no long-term health condition. 6.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Yarragon exhibits notable health challenges, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic health conditions, with a high incidence of common ailments among both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance rates are low at roughly 51% of the population (~1,056 people). The most frequent health issues in the area are arthritis and mental health conditions, affecting 9.9 and 9.2% of residents respectively, while 63.3% of the population reported having no chronic medical conditions compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health difficulties with higher levels of chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 25.4% of the population (524 people), which is higher than the 23.9% average for Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally in line with the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Yarragon is largely Australian-born, at 87.3% of residents, with 3.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (33.5%) and English (33.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Yarragon has lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with 87.3% of the population born in Australia, 92.9% holding citizenship, and 96.9% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, accounting for 44.9% of residents. The most distinct statistical overrepresentation was in Judaism, which makes up none of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Vic.. Regarding ancestry (the birthplace of parents), the three most common backgrounds in Yarragon are Australian, representing 33.5% of the population, English, representing 33.3%, and Scottish, representing 8.6%. There are also notable differences in other backgrounds: Dutch is overrepresented at 2.4% of Yarragon (compared to 1.7% regionally), Hungarian at 0.4% (compared to 0.2%), and Maltese at 0.7% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Yarragon is 43. 23.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 43, Yarragon is equal to the Regional Vic. median of 43 and sits well above the national median of 38. The age distribution shows that the 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented (14.4%), while the 45 - 54 bracket is smaller (9.4%) than in Regional Vic.. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age cohort has increased from 6.7% to 8.9% of the population. In contrast, the 55 to 64 group has decreased from 15.3% to 13.7%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Yarragon's age profile.
Leading the demographic shifts, the 25 to 34 age bracket is projected to increase by 51% (132 people), rising to 393 from 260. Conversely, the number of people in the 65 to 74 age bracket is expected to decrease by 9.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Yarragon
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 19 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,893 at the 2021 Census → 2,065 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22913). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.