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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Warragul has an estimated 22,282 residents, up from 19,856 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,426 people, or 12.2%. Growth has averaged 3.2% a year over five years, faster than 78% of areas nationally. 1,036 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 70.0% of that increase. That puts 403 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on the evaluation of ABS population updates for the wider region and new address details verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the population of the suburb of Warragul is estimated at approximately 22,282 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 2,426 individuals (12.2%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 19,856 residents. This shift is derived from a resident population of 22,186, calculated by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) and an additional 1,036 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level translates to a density ratio of 402 persons per square kilometer, indicating substantial space per person and capacity for further growth.
The 12.2% growth rate in the suburb of Warragul since the 2021 census was higher than the Rest of Vic. (4.3%) and the SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader. Population growth was mostly driven by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 70.0% of the overall gains in recent times, though all indicators, including natural increase and overseas migration, were positive. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For any SA2 regions without this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections published in 2023, adjusted by aggregating population growth from LGA to SA2 levels using a weighted approach. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, a major population expansion in the top quarter of national regional locations is projected, with the area expected to grow by 6,053 individuals to 2041 based on compiled SA2-level projections, which represents a total increase of 26.7% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
1,325 new dwellings have been approved in Warragul over the past five years, an average of 265 a year. That places the area in the 95th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 12 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 231 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 92% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 282, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical area data, Warragul has averaged about 265 residential approvals annually, with an estimated 1,325 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 259 so far in FY-26. An average of 2.4 people moved to the area per new home constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that should support property values. New dwellings carry an average construction cost of $422,000, showing that developers are focusing on higher-end properties in the premium market segment.
Furthermore, $58.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Rest of Vic., Warragul exhibits slightly higher development activity (22.0% above the regional average per person over the 5 year period), which maintains buyer options while supporting existing values. This level is substantially higher than national figures, suggesting strong developer confidence. New builds consist of 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% attached dwellings, preserving the traditional low-density profile with a focus on spacious family homes. The area has approximately 85 people per dwelling approval, showing an expanding market. Looking ahead, Warragul is projected to add 5,957 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Under current development trends, new housing supply should comfortably meet this demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially allowing population growth to exceed current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warragul
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 15 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warragul, worth an estimated $748 million. A further 39 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.08 billion. 20 are already under construction and 12 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Few factors influence local performance as much as changes to infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 24 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area. Key developments include the Alfred Street Mixed-Use Redevelopment, the 147 Dollarburn Road Residential Development, Emberwood Estate - Stage 11, and the Princes Highway East Upgrade - Warragul Section, with the following list detailing the most relevant projects.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Emberwood Estate - Stage 11
Stage 11 forms part of the 330-lot Emberwood masterplanned estate in Warragul. The stage comprises titled residential lots that are benched, retained and fenced, with supporting parklands, playgrounds and pedestrian connections. Stage 11 is selling alongside Stage 12, with Stage 13 announced as the next release.
Lillifield Estate
Premium residential estate development by Parklea Developments featuring sustainable housing design and community amenities. When completed, will comprise 1000 lots and include a shopping centre, modern primary school and childcare facilities. Located in Warragul's northern pocket.
Princes Highway Corridor Upgrades - Warragul Bridge Strengthening
Strengthening works on the eastbound and westbound Princes Highway bridges at King Street, Warragul, delivered as part of the broader Princes Highway Corridor Upgrades program. The project upgrades bridge foundations, supports and beams to improve freight efficiency, safety and long-term resilience on the Princes Highway corridor linking Gippsland with Melbourne.
147 Dollarburn Road Residential Development
26.25 hectare approved residential subdivision within the Warragul Precinct Structure Plan featuring 114 residential lots, neighbourhood parks, sporting reserves, and farmland. Connected via a proposed street through a future government primary school to Waterford Rise Estate and Warragul township. Located within the Urban Growth Boundary with proximity to the future West Gippsland Hospital.
Mason Street Social Housing Development
$16.5 million, 51-unit social housing development featuring one, two, and three-bedroom apartments across two four-storey buildings. Part of Victorian Government's $5.3 billion Big Housing Build. Architecturally designed by Freadman White with sustainable features including 7 Star NatHERS ratings, Green Star certification, and Livable Housing Australia Silver Level. Includes basement, office, multi-purpose space, 38 car parks, and 56 bicycle parks. Currently under construction, tracking to complete by June 2026.
Warragul Crownlea
Masterplanned residential community on Warragul's south side by Jana Group. Active civil works with multiple stages currently selling. Features a future 16-acre community park, professional front garden landscaping designed by Fleming's Landscapes, fencing with each lot, and a display village showcasing multiple builders.
Loom Warragul
TW Projects, backed by Monark Property Partners, is delivering Loom Warragul, a 200-lot house and land estate on a circa 16 ha site at 321 Copelands Road. Civil works are underway across Stages 1 and 2, with Winslow appointed as civil contractor, while Stages 3, 5A and 5B are now selling from $273,000. The estate is roughly 50 percent sold, with land marketed through Oliver Hume and a sales office open on site.
Bona Vues
Premium residential subdivision offering larger lots with rural views and semi-rural lifestyle in regional Victoria. Features lot sizes ranging from 555m2 to 4,381m2 with an average of 1,048m2. The development includes two access points off Bona Vista Road, extensive excavation and levelling works, and retaining walls. Located 105km southeast of Melbourne with established infrastructure including schools, shopping, transport and medical facilities nearby.
11,110 residents of Warragul are employed, from a labour force of 11,422. Unemployment sits at 2.7%, with participation at 62.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 18,151, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warragul features a skilled workforce with strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of just 2.7%, and an estimated 4.1% job growth over the past year, according to AreaSearch statistical area aggregations. As of March 2026, 11,110 residents are employed. The unemployment rate is 1.0% below the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to the Regional Vic. level of 61.1%. Census responses indicate that a moderate 16.3% of residents worked from home, though the impacts of Covid-19 lockdowns should be kept in mind. The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
The area has a distinct specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 4.4% of local workers, which is below the Regional Vic. average of 7.5%. The count of the Census working population compared to the resident population indicates that the area offers limited local employment opportunities. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data compiled from wider statistical areas, the 12-month period saw employment rise by 4.1% and the labour force expand by 3.8%, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point drop in the unemployment rate. This compares favorably to Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.1%, the labour force declined by 0.3%, and unemployment dropped by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer additional context on future demand in Warragul. These five and ten-year projections have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary widely by industry. Applying these industry projections to Warragul's job mix suggests local employment should rise by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (note that this is a simple weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warragul is $1,563 a week (about $81,000 a year), with median personal income at $754 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,449 a year against an average of $63,426. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The income level in the suburb of Warragul is below the national average, according to the latest ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income for taxpayers in the suburb of Warragul is $50,449, while the average income is $63,426, compared to Regional Vic. figures of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $55,302 (median) and $69,528 (average) as of March 2026. Based on the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes all rank modestly in Warragul, sitting between the 39th and 39th percentiles.
Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most common, containing 32.5% of residents (7,241 people), which aligns with the regional cohort of 30.3%. After housing costs, 86.0% of income is available for other expenses, and the area ranks in the 5th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warragul had 7,499 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 88% detached houses and 4% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 23% rented and 38% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $321 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,625 a month. Rent absorbs 20.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structure in Warragul at the latest Census consisted of 88.0% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, and alternative options), compared to Regional Vic.'s breakdown of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the home ownership rate in Warragul was slightly lower than Regional Vic. at 38.3%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (38.5%) or rented (23.2%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly higher than the Regional Vic. average at $1,625, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $321, compared to Regional Vic. figures of $1,430 and $285.
Nationally, mortgage payments in Warragul are notably lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warragul counted 7,499 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 8,415 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the majority at 71.0% of all households, consisting of 29.1% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.0%, with single person households at 26.7% and group households making up 2.3% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is slightly larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.2% of adults in Warragul hold a university qualification, including 15.3% with a bachelor degree and 4.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.8% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 5,126 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,014 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The area experiences educational challenges, with university qualification rates (23.2%) significantly below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational and technical skills are prominent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (26.8%). Educational enrollment is quite high, with 27.6% of residents currently participating in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary schools, 8.0% in secondary schools, and 3.8% in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warragul reaches 85 stops on 22 routes, timetabled for about 1,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 340 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis shows 85 active transport stops in Warragul, consisting of a train network. These stops are serviced by 22 unique routes, providing a total of 1,644 passenger trips weekly. Transport access is rated as good, with residents typically located 342 meters from their nearest stop. As a major residential area, most workers commute outward, with driving remaining the primary mode of travel at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. Additionally, 16.3% of residents work from home (based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions). Service frequency averages 234 daily trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 19 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.2% of residents in Warragul report no long-term health condition. 7.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Warragul experiences notable health issues, based on AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence across both younger and older cohorts, while the rate of private health insurance slightly trails the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the population (~11,571 people). The most common medical diagnoses in the area were mental health issues and arthritis, affecting 10.1 and 9.8% of residents, respectively, while 63.2% reported being free of any medical conditions compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health issues. The area has 20.7% of residents aged 65 and over (4,612 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.
Health outcomes among seniors present some difficulties, with national rankings generally matching the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warragul is largely Australian-born, at 85.3% of residents, with 7.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.4%) and Australian (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Warragul has a lower level of cultural diversity, with 85.3% of its population born in Australia, 90.0% holding citizenship, and 92.8% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, accounting for 46.4% of the population in Warragul. However, the most notable overrepresentation is in Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Vic. In terms of parental country of birth, the top three ancestries in Warragul are English (31.4%), Australian (29.0%), and Scottish (8.9%). Additionally, there are distinct differences in other ethnic groups: Dutch is overrepresented at 2.5% of Warragul (compared to 1.7% regionally), Hungarian is at 0.4% (compared to 0.2%), and Irish is at 8.8% (compared to 9.7%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warragul is 39. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 26.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 39 years in Warragul is significantly below the Regional Vic. average of 43, while aligning closely with the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Vic., Warragul has a higher proportion of residents aged 25 - 34 (14.6%) but fewer aged 65 - 74 (10.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age cohort has expanded from 11.6% to 13.3% of the population, and the 25 to 34 cohort rose from 13.5% to 14.6%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.0% to 10.6%.
Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate shifts in the age profile. Leading these changes, the 25 to 34 group is expected to grow by 45% (1,474 people), rising to 4,728 from 3,253, while the 75 to 84 cohort will see a modest increase of 8% (132 people).
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warragul
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 15 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,036 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (19,856 at the 2021 Census → 22,282 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22698). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.