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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Warragul has an estimated 22,293 residents, up from 19,856 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,437 people, or 12.3%. Growth has averaged 3.2% a year over five years, faster than 78% of areas nationally. 1,036 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 70.0% of that increase. That puts 403 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Demographic assessments by AreaSearch, synthesising regional ABS updates and 1,036 validated new addresses logged following the Census, place the population for the suburb of Warragul at roughly 22,293 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 2,437 people (12.3%) above the 19,856 people recorded in the 2021 Census. Such growth builds upon an estimated resident population of 22,195 determined by AreaSearch from the ABS June 2025 ERP release alongside post-Census address additions. With a resultant density of 403 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Warragul provides generous space per resident and capacity for ongoing expansion.
Outperforming both the Rest of Vic. benchmark of 4.4% and the wider SA4 region, the suburb of Warragul stands out as a regional growth leader with its 12.3% post-2021 surge. Inflow from interstate migration formed the primary catalyst, delivering roughly 70.0% of recent population additions, complemented by positive contributions from natural increase and overseas arrivals. Population projections applied by AreaSearch incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year across SA2 boundaries, supplemented where necessary by the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections converted via weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 metrics. Age-specific trajectories derived from this process are mapped across all localities for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these demographic models, the suburb of Warragul is positioned in the upper quartile of regional Australian growth, with aggregated SA2 projections anticipating an increase of 5,973 persons by 2041, representing a 26.4% cumulative expansion over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
1,296 new dwellings have been approved in Warragul over the past five years, an average of 259 a year. That places the area in the 96th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 12 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 237 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 93% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 291, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
ABS building approval figures compiled across statistical boundaries by AreaSearch show that Warragul has maintained an annual pipeline of approximately 259 dwellings, yielding an aggregate of 1,296 homes across the past 5 financial years. During FY-25 to date, 291 approvals have been registered. Construction activity has been matched by steady absorption, averaging 2.7 new residents each year per completed dwelling between FY-21 and FY-25, which supports local asset values. New residential builds carry an expected average construction cost of $434,000. In addition, $58.4 million in commercial development approvals recorded this financial year underscores substantial non-residential construction activity.
Residential building volumes in Warragul outpace the regional standard, tracking 25.0% above the Rest of Vic. average per capita over the 5 year period, which maintains supply options for purchasers while underpinning established dwelling values. This elevated volume exceeds broader Australian benchmarks, demonstrating strong builder and developer appetite. The pipeline is heavily weighted toward detached housing at 93.0%, with townhouses or apartments accounting for 7.0%, preserving the low-density built environment and delivering spacious configurations sought by families. Generating approximately one approval for every 68 people, the locality displays active urban growth. Long-term demographic forecasts from AreaSearch quarterly modeling project that Warragul will add 5,875 residents by 2041. Sustained residential delivery at recent trajectories indicates the development sector is well placed to absorb incoming demand, ensuring balanced market conditions for purchasers and establishing capacity for growth beyond baseline forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warragul
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 15 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warragul, worth an estimated $783 million. A further 39 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $3.5 billion. 20 are already under construction and 15 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital delivery, urban planning frameworks, and public works programs represent fundamental drivers of community change. AreaSearch has tracked 24 major projects positioned to influence the area, notably including the Alfred Street Mixed-Use Redevelopment, the residential project at 147 Dollarburn Road, Stage 11 of the Emberwood Estate, and the Princes Highway East Upgrade - Warragul Section, with key initiatives outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Emberwood Estate - Stage 11
Stage 11 forms part of the 330-lot Emberwood masterplanned estate in Warragul. The stage comprises titled residential lots that are benched, retained and fenced, with supporting parklands, playgrounds and pedestrian connections. Stage 11 is selling alongside Stage 12, with Stage 13 announced as the next release.
Warragul Freeway Business Park
Proposed development of an industrial and commercial business park across a 14.4-hectare site adjacent to the Princes Freeway. The master plan provides for approximately 24 commercial/industrial lots, an internal road network, pedestrian connectivity, integrated stormwater management, and wetland landscaping. Planning scheme amendment and permit assessments have been reviewed via the Victorian Priority Projects Standing Advisory Committee.
Lillifield Estate
Premium residential estate development by Parklea Developments featuring sustainable housing design and community amenities. When completed, will comprise 1000 lots and include a shopping centre, modern primary school and childcare facilities. Located in Warragul's northern pocket.
Princes Highway Corridor Upgrades - Warragul Bridge Strengthening
Strengthening works on the eastbound and westbound Princes Highway bridges at King Street, Warragul, delivered as part of the broader Princes Highway Corridor Upgrades program. The project upgrades bridge foundations, supports and beams to improve freight efficiency, safety and long-term resilience on the Princes Highway corridor linking Gippsland with Melbourne.
147 Dollarburn Road Residential Development
26.25 hectare approved residential subdivision within the Warragul Precinct Structure Plan featuring 114 residential lots, neighbourhood parks, sporting reserves, and farmland. Connected via a proposed street through a future government primary school to Waterford Rise Estate and Warragul township. Located within the Urban Growth Boundary with proximity to the future West Gippsland Hospital.
Mason Street Social Housing Development
$16.5 million, 51-unit social housing development featuring one, two, and three-bedroom apartments across two four-storey buildings. Part of Victorian Government's $5.3 billion Big Housing Build. Architecturally designed by Freadman White with sustainable features including 7 Star NatHERS ratings, Green Star certification, and Livable Housing Australia Silver Level. Includes basement, office, multi-purpose space, 38 car parks, and 56 bicycle parks. Currently under construction, tracking to complete by June 2026.
Warragul Crownlea
Masterplanned residential community on Warragul's south side by Jana Group. Active civil works with multiple stages currently selling. Features a future 16-acre community park, professional front garden landscaping designed by Fleming's Landscapes, fencing with each lot, and a display village showcasing multiple builders.
Loom Warragul
TW Projects, backed by Monark Property Partners, is delivering Loom Warragul, a 200-lot house and land estate on a circa 16 ha site at 321 Copelands Road. Civil works are underway across Stages 1 and 2, with Winslow appointed as civil contractor, while Stages 3, 5A and 5B are now selling from $273,000. The estate is roughly 50 percent sold, with land marketed through Oliver Hume and a sales office open on site.
11,088 residents of Warragul are employed, from a labour force of 11,398. Unemployment sits at 2.7%, with participation at 62.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 18,175, about 82% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warragul features a well-equipped labor pool, with key service industries adequately represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.7%, and 4.1% in estimated employment growth over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 11,088 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.0% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. Based on Census responses, a moderate 16.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Primary employment sectors for the resident labour force comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
The local talent pool shows an exceptional concentration within education & training, engaging workers at 1.3 times the wider regional proportion. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for 4.4% of resident workers compared to 7.5% across the broader region. Comparisons between the Census working population and resident counts point to a modest base of local employment opportunities within the immediate boundary. Analysis of ABS and SALM statistical series shows that in the year to March 2026, Warragul recorded a 4.1% rise in employed residents and a 3.8% increase in the labour pool, reducing local unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. Over the same timeframe, Regional Vic. saw employment contract by 0.1% and the labour force shrink by 0.3%, alongside a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment. Broader workforce projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 outline national employment expansions of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with distinct variations across industries. Weighting these sectoral projections against Warragul's existing industry profile points to potential local employment gains of 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on structural extrapolation rather than local demographic modeling.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warragul is $1,563 a week (about $81,000 a year), with median personal income at $754 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,449 a year against an average of $63,426. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode-level ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 record a median taxable income of $50,449 and an average of $63,426 in the suburb of Warragul. These results track below nationwide averages, while comparing with Regional Vic. benchmarks of $50,954 for median earnings and $62,728 for average earnings. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from financial year 2023 brings estimated earnings to roughly $55,302 (median) and $69,528 (average) by March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census positions personal, family, and household earnings within the 39th to 39th percentiles.
A weekly income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 accounts for 32.5% of residents (7,245 individuals), closely matching the 30.3% observed across the wider region. Residents retain 86.0% of income after servicing housing commitments, and the area falls into the 5th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warragul had 7,499 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 88% detached houses and 4% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 23% rented and 38% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $321 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,625 a month. Rent absorbs 20.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census data, the housing stock in Warragul was made up of 88.0% houses and 11.9% other dwellings, which included semi-detached units, apartments, and other types of residences, whereas Regional Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership rates in Warragul were slightly lower than those in Regional Vic., standing at 38.3%, while the rest of the dwellings were either mortgaged at 38.5% or rented at 23.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warragul was notably higher than the Regional Vic. average, reaching $1,625, and the median weekly rent was $321, in contrast to Regional Vic.'s figures of $1,430 and $285 respectively.
On a national scale, Warragul's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rental costs were also substantially below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warragul counted 7,499 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 8,419 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Household arrangements are primarily family-based, representing 71.0% of occupied dwellings and consisting of couples without children (30.0%), couples with children (29.1%), and single parent households (11.2%). The remaining 29.0% of dwellings comprise non-family living situations, with lone person households representing 26.7% and group homes accounting for 2.3%. Average household occupancy sits at 2.5 people, exceeding the 2.4 person average found across Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.2% of adults in Warragul hold a university qualification, including 15.3% with a bachelor degree and 4.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.8% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 5,126 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,014 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in the local community trails wider Victorian benchmarks, with 23.2% of residents holding higher education credentials against the statewide figure of 33.4%, highlighting a target area for educational policy. Attainment is led by bachelor degrees at 15.3%, postgraduate awards at 4.4%, and graduate diplomas at 3.5%. Vocational and technical education is well established, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ possessing trade qualifications, comprising 26.8% holding certificates and 11.8% holding advanced diplomas. School and formal educational engagement is high, involving 27.6% of the local population. Current enrolments comprise 9.4% attending primary schools, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warragul reaches 90 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 4,800 services a week. The typical home sits about 340 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity within Warragul encompasses 90 active stops incorporating train infrastructure, networked across 9 distinct routes that deliver 4,810 scheduled passenger departures each week. Physical access is favourable, with residents located an average of 340 meters from their closest boarding point. Commuters predominantly travel out of the area for employment, with private motor vehicles representing the primary transport mode at 94% and vehicle ownership averaging 1.5 cars per household. Working from home accounted for 16.3% of workers in the 2021 Census, subject to prevailing pandemic conditions. Transit route frequency provides an average of 687 scheduled trips per day, translating to roughly 53 departures weekly for each operational stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.2% of residents in Warragul report no long-term health condition. 7.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch reviewing chronic illness and mortality indicators show elevated condition rates spanning both older and younger age groups in Warragul, alongside private hospital cover uptake that modestly trails the standard SA2 level, encompassing roughly 52% of residents (~11,576 people). Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the leading diagnosed issues locally, affecting 10.1 and 9.8% of the community respectively, while 63.2% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, comparable to 63.4% throughout Regional Vic.. Working-age cohorts record above-average rates of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and over account for 21.5% of the populace (4,792 people), below the 24.0% regional proportion, with older age health metrics generally aligning with broader Australian trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warragul is largely Australian-born, at 85.3% of residents, with 7.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.4%) and Australian (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural and demographic measures place Warragul below national averages for multicultural diversity, with 85.3% of the community born in Australia, 90.0% holding Australian citizenship, and 92.8% speaking exclusively English in the home. Christianity represents the predominant religious affiliation, claimed by 46.4% of residents. The most noticeable relative representation occurs among followers of Judaism, who comprise 0.1% of the population, matching the 0.1% regional benchmark across Regional Vic.. Stated parental ancestry in Warragul is led by English heritage at 31.4%, followed by Australian at 29.0% and Scottish at 8.9%. Variations in other cultural backgrounds show Dutch ancestry overrepresented locally at 2.5% compared to 1.7% across the region, Hungarian at 0.4% versus 0.2% regionally, and Irish ancestry accounting for 8.8% against 9.7% across Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warragul is 39. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 25.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographic profiling indicates a younger cohort structure in Warragul relative to Regional Vic.. Based on August 2026 estimates, young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 26.9% of residents compared to 23.1% regionally, while the mature and early retirement group (45 - 64) forms 21.7% locally against 24.4% regionally. The median age is estimated at 39 as at August 2026, falling from 40 at the 2021 Census and remaining 4 years under the regional median of 43 recorded at that Census. Since the Census, the proportion of residents in the 45 - 64 bracket declined from 24.0% to 21.7%.
Long-term projections to 2041 indicate that the 25 - 44 cohort will absorb the largest share of expansion, growing by 2,466 residents (41%) to reach 8,463.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warragul
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 last month all 15 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,036 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (19,856 at the 2021 Census → 22,293 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22698). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.