Moe

Population growth drivers in Moe are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the estimated population of Moe as of Nov 2025 is around 10,165. This reflects an increase of 790 people (8.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,375 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 9,573 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 424 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 560 persons per square kilometer. Moe's 8.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (5.5%), along with the non-metro area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of national non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,867 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 11.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moe when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Moe has had around 56 new homes approved per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 280 homes. So far in FY-26, 24 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed have been seen between FY-21 and FY-25.

New construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options while enabling population growth. The average value of new homes being built is $368,000, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. There have also been $6.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

Compared to Rest of Vic., Moe shows moderately higher development activity, with 11.0% above regional average per person over the five-year period. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 153 people per dwelling approval, Moe shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects Moe to grow by 1,207 residents through to 2041 based on current development patterns. New housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Moe has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, large-scale projects, and strategic planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified five projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include North Quarter, Narracan Drive Redevelopment, M1 Business Park, and Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes). The following list highlights those projects likely to have the most significance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Moe face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moe has a balanced workforce across white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 9.9%.

This figure is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In Moe, 3,603 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.1% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Moe lags at 45.2%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area has a particular employment specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste services, with an employment share three times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 2.8%, compared to the regional average of 7.5%. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.9% in Moe, alongside a 2.4% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. This compares to Rest of Vic., where employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Moe. These projections estimate a 6.3% increase in local employment over five years and a 13.3% increase over ten years, based on industry-specific growth rates applied to Moe's current employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data from June 2022 shows median income in Moe was $42,971 and average income was $52,337. This is below national averages of $58,657 (median) and $71,153 (average). In Rest of Vic., median income was $48,741 with an average of $60,693. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth, median income in Moe is estimated at $48,196 and average at $58,701. Census 2021 data shows incomes in Moe fall between the 1st and 6th percentiles nationally. The most common income bracket in Moe is $400-$799, with 33% of residents (3,354 people). This differs from surrounding regions where the dominant bracket is $1,500-$2,999 with 30.3%. A significant portion of Moe's population has constrained budgets, with 45.1% earning less than $800 per week. After housing expenses, residents retain 85.3% of their income, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Moe is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census evaluated Moe's dwelling structure as 80.0% houses and 20.0% other dwellings. Non-Metro Vic., in comparison, had 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moe was 37.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.9% and rented ones at 35.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Moe was $1,000, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,213. Weekly rent in Moe was $200, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $237 and the national average of $375. Nationally, mortgage repayments were $1,863 on average.

Moe features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 53.7% of all households, including 16.5% couples with children, 21.9% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 46.3%, with lone person households at 43.2% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Moe faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (32.9%). Educational participation is high at 26.7%, including 10.8% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Moe's five schools have a combined enrollment of 856 students as of the latest data. The area has varied educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 890. It includes four primary schools and one K-12 school. There are 8.4 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 13.6, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moe has 61 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 20 individual routes, offering a total of 1,832 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 167 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes is 261 trips per day, equating to approximately 30 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Moe is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Moe faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Private health cover is low at approximately 48%, covering about 4,839 people, compared to Victoria's average of 50.2% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 11.8% and 11.5% of residents respectively.

About 53.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 60.1% in the rest of Victoria. Moe has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.9%, or 2,531 people, compared to 21.2% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

Moe ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moe's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.2% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia, and speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Moe, comprising 46.5% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Moe compared to the rest of Victoria, making up 0.1% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (30.7%), English (29.7%), and Scottish (7.8%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Dutch (2.9% vs 2.9%), Maltese (2.1% vs 1.6%), and Polish (0.9% vs 0.7%) are overrepresented in Moe compared to regional figures.

Moe hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Moe's median age of 45 years is modestly higher than Rest of Vic.'s 43, which is considerably older than the national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, Moe has a notably over-represented cohort of 25-34 year-olds (13.4% locally) and an under-represented group of 45-54 year-olds (10.4%). Between 2021 and the present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.3% to 11.8%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 12.3% to 13.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 11.8% to 10.4%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 14.2% to 13.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Moe's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 507 people (37%), from 1,362 to 1,870. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts.