Traralgon East

An assessment of population growth drivers in Traralgon East reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for Traralgon East, as of Nov 2025 its population is estimated at around 1,797. This reflects an increase of 17 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,780. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 1,733 following examination of the latest Education and Workforce dataset release by ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 51 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 49.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections anticipate significant population increase in the top quartile of non-metropolitan areas nationally, with Traralgon East expected to increase by 425 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 22.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Traralgon East, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Traralgon East has seen approximately 7 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 36 homes were approved, with an additional 2 in FY-26 to date. On average, each new home attracts about 0.9 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

This suggests that new construction is keeping pace with demand or even exceeding it, providing more buying options and potentially boosting population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost of new properties is $414,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26 so far, there have been $1.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity.

Comparatively, Traralgon East shows around 75% of the construction activity per capita when contrasted with the Rest of Vic., and it ranks at approximately the 37th percentile nationally for areas assessed. This suggests somewhat constrained buyer options while reinforcing demand for established properties. All recent development has consisted solely of detached houses, preserving Traralgon East's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 446 people. Population forecasts indicate that Traralgon East will gain approximately 410 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply might lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Traralgon East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Ellavale East Estate, South East Traralgon Precinct Structure Plan, Cross's Road Development Plan, and Connecting Traralgon, Morwell and surrounding towns water initiative. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Traralgon East exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Traralgon East has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025969 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is high at 65.8%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area specializes in electricity, gas, water & waste services with an employment share five times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2.4%, compared to the regional average of 7.5%. There are 1.3 workers for every resident, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.1% while employment declined by 1.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Traralgon East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2022 for financial year 2021-2022, Traralgon East had a median income among taxpayers of $63,557 with the average level standing at $80,264. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $48,741 and $60,693 across Rest of Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2021-2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,286 (median) and $90,024 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Traralgon East, between the 69th and 83rd percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 29.6% of residents (531 people), reflecting patterns seen the metropolitan region where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. The substantial proportion of high earners (37.4% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout this suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 91.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Traralgon East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Traralgon East, as per the latest Census, was entirely composed of houses (100.0%) with no other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Traralgon East stood at 48.7%, with mortgaged properties making up 46.4% and rented dwellings accounting for 4.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, surpassing Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,213. Weekly rent in Traralgon East was recorded at $400, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s figure of $237. Nationally, Traralgon East's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Traralgon East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.5% of all households, including 39.3% couples with children, 36.4% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Traralgon East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (28.7%). Educational participation is high at 26.5%, with 9.0% in secondary education, 8.5% in primary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Traralgon East shows 12 active public transport stops operating. These are served by a mix of buses along four individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 316 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated moderate, with residents typically located 444 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 45 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Traralgon East's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Traralgon East's health metrics closely match national benchmarks with standard levels of common health conditions seen across both young and old age groups. Approximately 58% of its total population (1,051 people) has private health cover, compared to 50.2% across the rest of Victoria.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.3% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point two percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 60.1% across the rest of Victoria. Nineteen point three percent of residents are aged 65 and over (346 people), lower than the 21.2% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors in Traralgon East are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Traralgon East is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Traralgon East had a cultural diversity index of 78.4, indicating below average diversity. As of the 2016 Census, 90.3% of its population was born in Australia, with 92.9% being Australian citizens and 96.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 53.0% of people, compared to 44.6% across the rest of Victoria.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (31.7%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.8%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 3.6%, compared to 2.9% regionally, while Russian ancestry stood at 0.5%, higher than the regional average of 0.2%. Maltese ancestry was slightly underrepresented at 1.2%, compared to 1.6% regionally.

Traralgon East hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Traralgon East's median age of 45 years modestly exceeds Rest of Vic.'s 43 and is considerably older than the national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, the 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% locally, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 5.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 8.7% to 10.5% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 12.0% to 13.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 16.7% to 15.3%. Demographic modeling suggests Traralgon East's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to expand by 89 people (47%), from 188 to 278, while numbers in the 55 to 64 age range are expected to fall by 3.