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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Maffra has an estimated 15,609 residents, up from 14,756 at the 2021 Census — a change of 853 people, or 5.8%. Growth has averaged 1.3% a year over five years. 321 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 46.9% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations by AreaSearch, the resident count for Maffra stands at approximately 15,609 in May 2026. This represents a gain of 853 individuals (5.8%) relative to the 2021 Census, which recorded 14,756 residents. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 15,549 combined with 321 validated new addresses identified since the Census. Such a population size translates to a density of 6.2 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious living environment. The 5.8% expansion rate since the 2021 census outpaced the SA3 region (2.4%) as well as the Rest of Vic., positioning the locality as a regional leader in population growth.
This upward trajectory was chiefly propelled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 46.9% of the total population rise, though other components such as international migration and natural increase also made positive contributions. AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 units, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For SA2 territories excluded from this database, AreaSearch applies regional and LGA projections released by the VIC State Government in 2023, utilizing a weighted aggregation technique to scale growth from LGA to SA2 divisions. The age group growth trends derived from these models are also extended to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, substantial population gains are anticipated within the highest quartile of regional localities nationwide, with this specific area projected to add 4,862 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, representing a 30.8% overall expansion over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
484 new dwellings have been approved in Maffra over the past five years, an average of 96 a year. That places the area in the 73rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 68 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 96% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 96, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Approximately 96 building approvals for residential dwellings have been registered annually in Maffra, totaling 484 home approvals over the preceding 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 88 during the current FY-26 period. With an average ratio of 2 additional occupants per year for each built home over those 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the local sector displays a healthy equilibrium between supply and demand, fostering stable market conditions, while new residences are constructed at a mean cost of $262,000. Furthermore, commercial building approvals valued at $23.0 million have been documented in the current financial year, pointing to steady development in the commercial sector.
Compared to the rest of the metropolitan area, Maffra exhibits comparable construction rates per capita, sustaining a market equilibrium that aligns with regional trends despite a recent deceleration in building activity. Current construction output consists of 96.0% detached houses and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, reinforcing the locality's low density character and drawing buyers who prioritize space. With approximately 225 people per approval, Maffra continues to function as a low density region. Long-term forecasts suggest Maffra will add 4,802 inhabitants by 2041 (computed from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly figures). With ongoing construction velocities, residential supply might struggle to accommodate this demographic expansion, which could intensify purchaser competition and push property prices upward.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Maffra
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Maffra, worth an estimated $120 million. A further 95 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $70.9 billion. 34 are already under construction and 38 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, residential development and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local performance is deeply linked to updates in regional infrastructure, major works, and municipal planning. A total of 18 initiatives have been identified by AreaSearch as having a probable influence on the locality. Key developments of note include the Maffra Aged Care Facility, the Maffra Northern Growth Precinct, the Maffra Heavy Vehicle Bypass Route, and the Maffra Retarding Basins and Wetlands, with details provided below on the most significant projects.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Maffra Aged Care Facility
The $69.7 million Maffra Aged Care Facility involves the construction of a new 30-bed public sector residential aged care facility. The design follows a 'small household' model, providing residents with private bedrooms and ensuites, alongside communal kitchens, dining areas, and lounges. The project also delivers a new commercial kitchen and energy centre to support the wider Maffra District Hospital campus, enhancing integrated health services for the Wellington Shire community.
Gippsland Digital Infrastructure Upgrade
Regional digital infrastructure initiative led through the Gippsland Regional Partnership and Regional Development Victoria to improve digital connectivity across Gippsland. The Gippsland Digital Plan prioritises reducing mobile blackspots, improving broadband and fibre services, supporting remote and vulnerable communities, increasing digital literacy, and improving connectivity for businesses, tourism and remote work. The program continues as an advocacy and coordination initiative with projects delivered by multiple government and telecommunications partners.
Maffra Retarding Basins and Wetlands
The project involves the construction of retarding basins and wetlands to manage stormwater, alleviate flooding, support integrated water management, and enable residential development as part of the Maffra Structure Plan. Planning Scheme Amendment C120well, which implements these plans, is currently under consideration for adoption.
Maffra Heavy Vehicle Bypass Route
Redirection of large freight movements from Maffra-Newry Road to Powerscourt Street and then to Sandy Creek Road to reduce heavy vehicle traffic through the town centre and residential areas, improving safety, amenity, and traffic flow. Includes upgrading Sandy Creek Road to accommodate heavy vehicles as part of the adopted Maffra Structure Plan.
Maffra Northern Growth Precinct
Council-led residential expansion north of Maffra (Precincts A-D) guided by the Maffra Structure Plan (Mesh 2022, updated 2024). Amendment C120well is translating the plan into the Wellington Planning Scheme, including a new GRZ2 schedule for Maffra, updates to DPO1, and policy to guide growth to 2042. The amendment completed public exhibition (Dec 12, 2024-Jan 24, 2025) and submissions are being reviewed.
Maffra South-Eastern Growth Precinct
Residential growth area (Precinct E) with General Residential Zone and Low Density Residential Zone, including wetland/retarding basin and neighbourhood park to support housing expansion.
Stratford Structure Plan (2025)
A 20 year strategic structure plan being prepared by Wellington Shire Council to guide the future growth of Stratford. The plan will establish a settlement boundary, identify future residential, commercial and industrial growth areas, protect environmental and heritage assets, and provide the strategic basis for future amendments to the Wellington Planning Scheme. As of 2026, the draft plan is being finalised following community consultation and technical studies, with a final public consultation phase expected before completion.
North Sale Growth Area Development Plan
Comprehensive development plan for the 294ha North Sale Growth Area providing a framework for coordinated urban development. It includes 1,000+ residential lots, a new Sale College campus at Gibsons and Cobains Road, a 122-place early years hub, infrastructure upgrades, and community facilities.
7,552 residents of Maffra are employed, from a labour force of 7,769. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 61.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 13,919, about 89% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is evenly distributed between professional and trade roles, with a solid representation of essential service fields, a jobless rate of only 2.8%, and a 4.1% rise in estimated job growth over the preceding year. By March 2026, there are 7,552 employed residents, with the unemployment rate tracking 0.9% below the Regional Vic. benchmark of 3.7%, and the rate of labor force participation matching the Regional Vic. level of 61.1%. According to self-reported Census data, a moderate 13.6% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic-related restrictions.
The primary sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and construction. The community displays a distinct occupational concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, where the employment proportion is 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance has a smaller footprint, employing 15.1% of the workforce compared to 16.8% across the region. A comparison between the census working population and the resident population suggests that local employment opportunities within the immediate area are relatively constrained. AreaSearch evaluations of SALM and ABS data indicate that for the year ending March 2026, the volume of employed persons grew by 4.1% while the overall labor force expanded by 3.3%, yielding a 0.7 percentage point drop in unemployment. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw a 0.1% decline in employment, a 0.3% contraction in the labor force, and a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. Additional guidance on future labor demand in Maffra can be drawn from the national employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25. These five and ten-year forecasts have been correlated with the local industry makeup to estimate future growth trends. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these figures vary widely by sector. Projecting these industry trends onto the local workforce profile suggests Maffra should see employment growth of 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted projection for modeling purposes and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Maffra is $1,324 a week (about $69,000 a year), with median personal income at $670 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,541 a year against an average of $58,620. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate that the income profile of the Maffra SA2 sits below the national benchmark. Taxpayers in the Maffra SA2 earn a median income of $48,541 and a mean income of $58,620, whereas the corresponding figures for Regional Vic. are $50,954 and $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, updated estimates suggest figures of roughly $53,211 (median) and $64,259 (average) by March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and individual incomes in Maffra fall between the 21st and 22nd national percentiles.
The income distribution is dominated by the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which includes 30.9% of residents (4,823 people), mirroring the regional trend where 30.3% fall into this bracket. Although residential costs are low, leaving residents with 87.9% of their income, the overall disposable income level ranks in the 27th percentile across the country.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Maffra had 5,626 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 4% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 17% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 18.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential configurations in Maffra at the time of the last Census consisted of 95.5% separate houses and 4.6% other options (such as multi-dwelling units, apartments, or alternative structures), compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings in Regional Vic.. The rate of outright home ownership in Maffra was higher than in Regional Vic. at 43.7%, with the remaining properties being purchased under a mortgage (39.2%) or occupied by tenants (17.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area stood at $1,300, which is lower than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, while the median weekly rental cost was $250, compared to $285 for Regional Vic..
Across Australia, Maffra mortgage payments are notably lower than the national median of $1,863, and rent prices are also significantly below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Maffra counted 5,626 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 5,951 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 27% are couples with children, against 33% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The domestic landscape is dominated by family units, which make up 70.0% of all households; this includes 27.0% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single-parent households. Single-person dwellings account for 28.0% of households, while shared group living situations represent 2.0%, combining to form the remaining 30.0% of non-family households. The typical household occupancy of 2.4 people is identical to the Regional Vic. average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.6% of adults in Maffra hold a university qualification, including 10.9% with a bachelor degree and 2.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 32.9% hold a vocational qualification. 11 schools serve the area, with 1,699 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 977 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic achievement in the locality exhibits some downward variances, with tertiary qualification rates (15.6%) lagging significantly behind the VIC average of 33.4%. This gap highlights both an area of difficulty and an opening for focused educational strategies. Undergraduate degrees constitute the largest share at 10.9%, with graduate diplomas accounting for 2.6% and postgraduate credentials at 2.1%. Practical and trade qualifications are highly prevalent, as 42.8% of individuals aged 15+ have completed vocational training, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificate courses (32.9%). Active participation in study is high, with 27.9% of the population enrolled in an educational program.
This group is composed of 11.5% in primary schooling, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.2% enrolled in higher education courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Maffra means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of public transit options indicates there are 26 active transit stops operating in Maffra, consisting of train connections. These access points are served by 7 distinct routes, which coordinate to offer 91 passenger journeys per week. Transit accessibility is classified as low, with residents situated an average of 2283 meters from the nearest station. Given the residential focus of the area, the majority of workers travel outside the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of transit at 93%, while 4% of residents walk to work. Households own an average of 1.8 cars, which is higher than the regional average.
According to the 2021 Census, 13.6% of residents worked from home, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions. Transit service frequency averages 13 runs daily across all operational routes, which translates to roughly 3 weekly journeys per individual transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
64.8% of residents in Maffra report no long-term health condition. 6.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Maffra presents distinct health challenges based on analysis of death rates and chronic illness indicators, with medical issues affecting both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance coverage is notably low at approximately 48% of the population (~7,554 people). This is below the Regional Vic. coverage level of 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical concerns among local residents are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.7 and 8.4% of the population, respectively, while 64.8% of residents reported no chronic health issues compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic..
Residents of working age display a higher than average rate of chronic illnesses. The community includes 24.0% of residents aged 65 and over (3,738 people). Within this senior cohort, health indicators are favorable, with national comparative metrics ranking higher than those of the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Maffra is largely Australian-born, at 91.1% of residents, with 2.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (34.2%) and English (32.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural homogeneity is high in Maffra compared to broader averages, with citizenship at 89.7%, Australian-born residents making up 91.1% of the population, and 97.2% of households using only English. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 46.5% of the local population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic.. Looking at ancestral origins (parents' birthplaces), the primary heritages in Maffra are Australian at 34.2%, English at 32.9%, and Irish at 9.4%. Some minor ethnic differences exist compared to regional figures: Dutch ancestry is slightly higher at 2.2% (compared to 1.7% regionally), Scottish heritage is represented at 8.7% (compared to 8.8%), and Macedonian heritage stands at 0.1% (compared to 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Maffra is 42. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 23.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 42 years in Maffra is comparable to the Regional Vic. median of 43 years, though it is older than the national median of 38 years. Demographic data shows a high proportion of residents in the 65 - 74 age group (13.7%), while the 45 - 54 bracket is smaller (10.5%) than the regional average. Since 2021, the cohort aged 75 to 84 has increased from 6.7% to 8.0% of the population, and the 15 to 24 age group grew from 10.6% to 11.7%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 group declined from 14.5% to 12.4%.
Long-term population forecasts for 2041 point to shifts in the local makeup, with the 25 to 34 cohort projected to expand the most by 58% (adding 1,022 residents to reach 2,793), while the 55 to 64 group is expected to grow by a modest 7% (representing 137 individuals).
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Maffra
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 321 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (14,756 at the 2021 Census → 15,609 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (205051101). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.