Rosedale

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Rosedale's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 5,037 people. This figure represents an increase of 109 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,928. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 5,020 in June 2025 and 88 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a density ratio of 5.2 persons per square kilometer. Rosedale's 2.2% growth since the census is comparable to its SA3 area's 2.4%. Primary drivers for this growth include interstate migration (42.5% of total gains).

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Rosedale is projected to increase by 1,106 persons, a gain of 21.6% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rosedale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rosedale averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually. From FY-21 to FY-25108 homes were approved, with an additional 13 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, over these five years, there were no new residents per year per dwelling constructed.

This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and allowing for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new homes was $321,000. In FY-26, $31.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating strong local business investment.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Rosedale has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 58th percentile nationally for areas assessed. All new construction in Rosedale has consisted of standalone homes, maintaining its traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 287 people per dwelling approval, Rosedale exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Rosedale is projected to gain 1,089 residents by 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, although buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Rosedale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale (commencing 2023), Wurruk Development Plan - Sale Western Growth Area (approved March 2021), Frasers Solar Farm (under construction since 2020), and Regional Housing Fund Gippsland (launched April 2021). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Rosedale exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Rosedale has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate is 3.2%. Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 5.4%.

As of December 2025, 2,183 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, which is below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Rosedale is 52.7%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. According to Census responses, 18.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction.

The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 3.2 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.9% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 5.4%, while labour force increased by 5.2%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment fell by 0.6% and its labour force contracted by 0.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rosedale's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Rosedale SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $47,861 and an average of $57,859. Both figures are below the national average. In comparison, Regional Vic.'s median income was $50,954 with an average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Rosedale's median and average incomes are approximately $52,465 and $63,425 respectively as of March 2026. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Rosedale modestly between the 32nd and 35th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 32.1% of locals (1,616 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% occupy this range. Housing costs in Rosedale are manageable with 89.3% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 41st percentile.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluation showed that in Rosedale, 98.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 1.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosedale stood at 43.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.1% and rented ones at 15.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Rosedale was $236, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Rosedale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.5% of all households, including 31.0% that are couples with children, 33.2% that are couples without children, and 8.8% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.5%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.3%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high, with 41.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 15.9% in primary, 13.1% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 41.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.9% in primary education, 13.1% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has six active public transport stops offering a mix of train services. These stops are served by six unique routes, collectively facilitating 123 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited in the area, with residents typically residing 723 meters from their nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward; cars remain the primary mode at 91%, while 6% walk. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 18.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 17 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Rosedale are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale's health indicators show below-average results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~2,427 people), compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.4%) and mental health issues (8.3%), while 66.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic.. Working-age population faces significant health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. As of 2021, 19.0% of Rosedale's residents are aged 65 and over (959 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Rosedale rank above average nationally.

Rosedale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 71.4% of its population being citizens, born in Australia (86.6%), and speaking English only at home (96.6%). Christianity was the main religion, comprising 46.4%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 47.3%. Top ancestry groups were Australian (35.6%, vs regional average of 29.6%), English (32.7%), and Scottish (8.5%).

Notably, Dutch representation was higher at 2.2% (vs regional 1.7%), Maltese at 0.6% (vs 0.5%), and Filipino at 1.4% (vs 0.6%).

Rosedale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Rosedale is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 35-44 age cohort makes up 17.3% of the local population, compared to Regional Vic.'s average, indicating an over-representation of this age group in Rosedale. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 8.1%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 45-54 age group has increased from 12.4% to 14.7%, while the 75-84 cohort has grown from 4.5% to 6.0%. However, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 16.9% to 14.7%, and the 15-24 group has dropped from 9.6% to 8.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, population forecasts suggest significant demographic changes in Rosedale. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to expand by 370 people (50%), growing from 742 to 1,113. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.