Rosedale

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Rosedale's population is approximately 5,121 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 193 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,928. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 4,924 in June 2024 and an additional 85 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5.3 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.8% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics project a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Rosedale expected to gain 1,079 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall gain of 17.2% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rosedale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rosedale has averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 108 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these five years has been zero.

This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $321,000. In the current financial year, $31.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Rosedale has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 58th percentile nationally. New construction has consisted entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With approximately 287 people per dwelling approval, Rosedale displays characteristics of a low density area. Population forecasts indicate that Rosedale will gain 882 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Rosedale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. Fourteen projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale (2019-2024), Wurruk Development Plan - Sale Western Growth Area (2020-ongoing), Frasers Solar Farm (commenced 2021), and Regional Housing Fund Gippsland (2018-present). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Rosedale has been broadly consistent with national averages

Rosedale's workforce is balanced between white and blue-collar jobs. It has diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 3.3%. Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 3.7%.

As of September 2025, 2167 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 3.8%, which is 0.5% below Rest of Vic.'s rate. Workforce participation in Rosedale lags at 53.4%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, 18.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction.

The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 3.2 times the regional level, but lower representation in health care & social assistance at 11.9% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, while labour force increased by 3.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rosedale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Rosedale SA2's median income among taxpayers was $47,861 and the average was $57,859 in financial year 2023. This is below the national average. Rest of Vic.'s median income was $50,954 with an average of $62,728 during the same period. Based on AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data, current estimates for Rosedale SA2 are approximately $51,810 (median) and $62,632 (average) as of September 2025, accounting for an 8.25% growth in wages since financial year 2023. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census Data from 2021, household incomes rank at the 34th percentile, family incomes at the 33rd percentile, and personal incomes at the 35th percentile in Rosedale SA2. The earnings profile shows that 32.1% (1,643 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket. This is similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% of residents occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 89.3% retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 41st percentile.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rosedale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Rosedale's home ownership rate was 43.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.1% and rented ones at 15.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Rosedale was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Rosedale was $236, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Rosedale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.5% of all households, including 31.0% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.5%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.3%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high, with 41.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 15.9% in primary education, 13.1% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has six active public transport stops offering a mix of train services. These stops are served by six distinct routes, collectively facilitating 123 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered limited, with residents typically residing 723 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 91%, with walking accounting for 6%. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 17 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Rosedale are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale's health indicators show below-average outcomes. AreaSearch's assessment found common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover was very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~2,468 people), compared to 50.5% across Rest of Vic., and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were arthritis (9.4%) and mental health issues (8.3%). 66.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. Rosedale has 18.5% of residents aged 65 and over (947 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Rosedale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, exhibited below-average cultural diversity. Its population was predominantly Australian citizens (71.4%), born in Australia (86.6%), and speaking English only at home (96.6%). Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 46.4% of Rosedale's residents, compared to 47.3% across the Rest of Vic..

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (35.6%, higher than the regional average of 29.6%), English (32.7%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Maltese (0.6%) were overrepresented in Rosedale compared to regional averages of 1.7% and 0.5%, respectively, while Filipino representation was also higher at 1.4%.

Rosedale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Rosedale is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. In comparison to the Rest of Vic., the 35-44 age cohort is notably higher at 17.4% locally, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 45-54 age group has grown from 12.4% to 14.9%, and the 35-44 cohort has increased from 16.3% to 17.4%. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort has declined from 9.6% to 7.9%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 12.5% to 11.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Rosedale, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to expand by 336 people (44%) from 762 to 1,099. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.