Rosedale

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Rosedale's population is 5,073 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 145 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,928. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 4,926 in June 2024 and 84 new addresses validated since the census date. This results in a population density of 5.2 persons per square kilometer. Rosedale's growth rate of 2.9% since the census is within 2.1 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 5.0%. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.8% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in Rosedale, with an expected growth of 18.3% by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, indicating an increase of 1,079 persons over those 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rosedale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rosedale has averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 108 homes were approved, and an additional 6 have been approved in FY-26 so far. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these five financial years has been zero.

This indicates that the new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $321,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaling $31.3 million have been recorded, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Rosedale has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 58th percentile of areas assessed nationally. All new construction in Rosedale has consisted of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With approximately 287 people per dwelling approval, Rosedale displays characteristics of a low-density area. Population forecasts indicate that Rosedale will gain around 930 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Rosedale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely to impact the region. Notable ones include Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale (started 20/07/2019, completion expected 31/12/2022), Wurruk Development Plan - Sale Western Growth Area (approved 15/04/2016, implementation ongoing), Frasers Solar Farm (commenced construction 01/08/2020, operational since 01/03/2021), and Regional Housing Fund Gippsland (launched 01/07/2019).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Rosedale has been broadly consistent with national averages

Rosedale has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.3% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.7%. As of this date, 2167 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.5% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Rosedale lags behind Rest of Vic., at 47.9% compared to 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a particularly high representation, with an employment share 3.2 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.9% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7% while labour force increased by 3.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw employment fall by 0.7%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with a state unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Rosedale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Rosedale SA2 had a median income of $46,043 and an average income of $55,813. This is below the national average. Rest of Vic., meanwhile, had a median income of $48,741 and an average income of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for Rosedale as of September 2025 would be approximately $51,642 (median) and $62,600 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Rosedale rank modestly, between the 32nd and 35th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 32.1% of locals (1,628 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which is similar to the metropolitan region's pattern at 30.3%. Housing costs are manageable with 89.3% retained, but disposable income ranks below average at the 41st percentile.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Rosedale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 91.9% houses and 8.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosedale was at 43.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.1% and rented ones at 15.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent figure was $236 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Rosedale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 73.5% of all households, including 31.0% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 26.5%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Vic average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.3%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high, with 41.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 15.9% in primary education, 13.1% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has six operational public transport stops offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are served by fifteen unique routes that facilitate 189 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents' access to these transport facilities is somewhat limited, with an average distance of 723 meters to the nearest stop.

Each route runs approximately 27 trips daily, resulting in about 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rosedale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~2,414 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively. 66.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.7% across Rest of Vic.. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (929 people), which is lower than the 23.5% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Rosedale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale had a cultural diversity below average, with 71.4% citizens, 86.6% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 46.4%, compared to 46.9% across Rest of Vic. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (35.6%), English (32.7%), and Scottish (8.5%).

Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Maltese (0.6%) were overrepresented in Rosedale compared to regional averages of 2.1% and 0.4%, respectively. Filipino representation was also higher at 1.4%.

Rosedale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Rosedale is 40 years, which is slightly lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but higher than Australia's median of 38. The 35-44 cohort makes up 17.2% of the population in Rosedale, compared to the Rest of Vic. average, indicating over-representation. Conversely, the 15-24 age group constitutes only 8.2%, showing under-representation. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 45-54 age group has grown from 12.4% to 14.6%. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort has decreased from 9.6% to 8.2%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 16.9% to 15.6%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest significant demographic changes in Rosedale. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to increase by 356 people (48%), from 742 to 1,099. However, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.