Rosedale
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Rosedale's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 5,073 people. This figure represents an increase of 145 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,928 people. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,926 in June 2024 and the addition of 84 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5.2 persons per square kilometer. Rosedale's 2.9% growth since the census places it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.0%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Rosedale is forecasted to experience significant population growth, with an increase of 1,079 persons, representing an 18.3% total gain over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rosedale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rosedale has averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25108 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY-26. This averages out to roughly zero new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these years.

Consequently, new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of these homes is $321,000. In FY-26 alone, $31.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating robust local business investment.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Rosedale has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person, placing it among the 59th percentile nationally. All new construction in the area has consisted of standalone homes, maintaining its traditional low density character and focusing on family homes that appeal to those seeking space. With approximately 287 people per dwelling approval, Rosedale exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Population forecasts indicate that Rosedale will gain around 930 residents by 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Rosedale has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 15 projects likely impacting the region. Major initiatives include Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale (2023), Wurruk Development Plan - Sale Western Growth Area (2021), Frasers Solar Farm (2022), and Regional Housing Fund Gippsland (2020). Below are projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.4%, Rosedale has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Rosedale's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs across various sectors. As of June 2025, there are 2,105 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%, 0.4% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is at 47.9%, significantly below Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Rosedale specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share three times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 11.9% compared to the regional average of 16.8%.

Labour force levels decreased by 0.7% over the year to June 2025, while employment declined by 1.7%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.9 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project a five-year growth of 6.6% and ten-year growth of 13.7%. Applying these projections to Rosedale's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.3% over five years and 11.7% over ten years, though these are simplified extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Rosedale's median income among taxpayers is $46,043. The average income in Rosedale is $55,813. This is below the national average. Rest of Vic.'s median income is $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Rosedale would be approximately $51,642 (median) and $62,600 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census reports household, family and personal incomes in Rosedale rank modestly, between the 33rd and 35th percentiles. The earnings profile shows 32.1% of locals (1,628 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. Housing costs are manageable with 89.3% retained. Disposable income sits below average at the 41st percentile.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Rosedale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 91.9% houses and 8.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosedale was 43.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.1% and rented ones at 15.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average. The median weekly rent figure was $236, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Rosedale's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.5% of all households, consisting of 31.0% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.5%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.3%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high at 41.7%, with 15.9% in primary, 13.1% in secondary, and 3.7% in tertiary education.

Rosedale's four schools have a combined enrollment of 253 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 955) with balanced educational opportunities. The schools focus on primary education only, with secondary options available nearby. School capacity is limited locally at 5.0 places per 100 residents, compared to the regional average of 14.6, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has six active public transport stops in operation. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 15 different routes serving these stops, which together facilitate 189 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to these transport options is rated as limited, with residents on average being located 723 meters away from the nearest stop. Across all routes, there are an average of 27 trips per day, resulting in approximately 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rosedale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~2,414 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.4% and 8.3% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.7% across Rest of Vic.. As of June 20XX (exact year not specified), the area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (929 people), which is lower than the 23.5% in Rest of Vic.. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Rosedale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale, surveyed in 2016, had a low cultural diversity with 71.4% citizens, 86.6% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, at 46.4%, slightly lower than the regional average of 46.9%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (35.6%), English (32.7%), and Scottish (8.5%).

Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Maltese (0.6%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.1% and 0.4%, respectively, while Filipino (1.4%) was also higher than the regional average of 0.7%.

Rosedale's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Rosedale is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, the 35-44 cohort makes up 17.2% of Rosedale's population, while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 8.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 45 to 54 age group has increased from 12.4% to 14.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has decreased from 9.6% to 8.2% and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 16.9% to 15.6%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Rosedale. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to increase by 356 people (48%), from 742 to 1,099. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.