Moe - Newborough

Moe - Newborough has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Moe - Newborough's population is approximately 18,254 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 963 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,291. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 17,513 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since then. This results in a population density of 173 persons per square kilometer. Moe - Newborough's growth rate of 5.6% since the census is close to its SA3 area's growth rate of 6.9%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.7% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. Moe - Newborough is expected to expand by 3,559 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 15.4% over the 17 years based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moe - Newborough when compared nationally

Moe - Newborough has seen approximately 100 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25501 homes were approved, with a further 53 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 0.8 new residents per year have arrived for each new home over these five years, indicating that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand and providing more housing options while facilitating population growth.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings during this period was $270,000. In FY26, $14.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Moe - Newborough has similar levels of development per person, contributing to market stability and aligning with regional patterns.

Recent construction in Moe - Newborough comprises 86.0% detached houses and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional low-density character and appealing to families seeking space. This is reflected in the density of around 178 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Moe - Newborough is expected to grow by 2,817 residents by 2041. Current development levels appear aligned with future requirements, suggesting stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Moe - Newborough has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects that may impact this region. Notable initiatives include North Quarter, Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes), Narracan Drive Redevelopment, and Newborough Convenience Centre. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Moe - Newborough lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Moe - Newborough has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notable in essential services. The unemployment rate was 7.4% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.9% over the past year. This is higher than Rest of Vic.'s unemployment rate of 3.8%.

Out of 7,304 employed residents, 3.7% are unemployed, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation is lower at 53.9%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. Census data shows that only 10.5% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area specializes in electricity, gas, water & waste services with an employment share 3.9 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 2.4%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by working population versus resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.9% while labour force rose by 3.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia for May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moe - Newborough's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The median income among taxpayers in Moe - Newborough SA2 was $48,715 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $59,631 during the same period. These figures are lower than those for Rest of Vic., which had a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income in Moe - Newborough will be approximately $52,734, with the average being around $64,551, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Moe - Newborough fall between the 4th and 10th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 29.5% earning $400-$799 weekly, with 5,384 residents falling into this category. This differs from broader area patterns where those earning $1,500-$2,999 dominate at 30.3%. In Moe - Newborough, 40.2% earn under $800 per week, indicating significant income constraints that impact local spending habits. After housing expenses, only 6th percentile nationally remain, with 13.9% of income left for other purposes.

Moe - Newborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Moe - Newborough, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 27 August 2016, comprised 83.6% houses and 16.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moe - Newborough stood at 38.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.9% and rented dwellings at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, while the median weekly rent figure was $210. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375 per week as of June 2021.

Moe - Newborough features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 58.8% of all households, consisting of 20.2% couples with children, 24.1% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 41.2%, with lone person households at 38.4% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Moe - Newborough faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 7.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (33.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.1%), secondary education (7.4%), and tertiary education (2.4%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moe - Newborough has 113 active public transport stops serving a mix of train routes. These are covered by 34 individual routes offering 1,607 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 195 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility. As a mainly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 94%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 10.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 229 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 14 weekly trips per stop on average. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Moe - Newborough is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Moe - Newborough faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is low, at approximately 49% of the total population (~8,926 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis (11.2%) and mental health issues (11.2%), while 56.4% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across the rest of Victoria. Working-age population health is notably challenging due to high chronic condition rates. The area has 23.7% of residents aged 65 and over (4,328 people), with senior health outcomes broadly in line with national rankings.

Moe - Newborough ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moe-Newborough, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity with 88.9% Australian citizens, 85.6% born in Australia, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion (46.0%), but Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% regionally. Top ancestry groups were Australian (30.8%), English (30.0%), and Scottish (7.9%).

Dutch (3.2%) Maltese (2.6%), and Polish (0.9%) were notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively.

Moe - Newborough hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Moe-Newborough's median age of 44 years is similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Moe-Newborough has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (13.2%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (10.6%). Between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses, the population aged 35-44 increased from 10.5% to 12.0%, while those aged 45-54 decreased from 12.0% to 10.6% and those aged 55-64 dropped from 13.9% to 12.9%. By 2041, Moe-Newborough's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 42%, reaching 3,436 people from 2,418. Conversely, the population aged 65-74 and 55-64 is expected to decrease.