Moe - Newborough

Moe - Newborough has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Moe - Newborough's population is approximately 17,867 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 576 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,291. The growth was inferred from ABS estimated resident population data for June 2025 (17,642) and validated new addresses since then (582). This results in a population density of 169 persons per square kilometer. Moe - Newborough's growth rate of 3.3% since the 2021 Census surpassed the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.8%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 68.9% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises Victorian government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. By 2041, Moe - Newborough is expected to expand by 3,374 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 17.6% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moe - Newborough when compared nationally

Moe - Newborough has seen approximately 100 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25501 homes were approved, with a further 80 approved in FY26 as of now. On average, about 0.8 new residents have arrived per new home each year over these five years, indicating that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings during this period was $270,000. This financial year has seen $14.2 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Moe - Newborough has similar levels of development per person, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

Recent construction comprises 86% detached houses and 14% medium to high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With around 178 people per approval, Moe - Newborough reflects a low-density area. By 2041, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects that Moe - Newborough will grow by 3,147 residents. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although increased competition among buyers may arise as the population expands.

Moe - Newborough has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 44thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include North Quarter, Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes), Narracan Drive Redevelopment, and Newborough Convenience Centre. The following list details those expected to have most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Moe - Newborough shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Moe - Newborough has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented, with an unemployment rate of 7.2% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.0%.

There are 7,372 residents in work currently, which is 3.5% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation stands at 53.9%, significantly lower than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. Census data shows that only 10.5% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area has a notable specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste services, with an employment share 3.9 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 2.4% compared to the regional average of 7.5%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 7.0%, while labour force grew by 5.2%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment will expand by 6.6%, and over ten years, it will increase by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Moe - Newborough's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The median income among taxpayers in Moe - Newborough SA2 was $48,715 and the average income stood at $59,631 according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures compare to Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $53,401 (median) and $65,368 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Moe - Newborough all fall between the 4th and 10th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 29.5% earning $400 - 799 weekly (5,270 residents), differing from patterns across the broader area where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.3%. With 40.2% earning under $800 per week, this suburb faces considerable income constraints affecting local spending patterns. After housing, 86.1% of income remains, ranking at only the 6th percentile nationally.

Moe - Newborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Moe - Newborough's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.6% houses and 16.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moe - Newborough stood at 38.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.9% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in the area was $210, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Moe - Newborough's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Moe - Newborough features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 58.8% of all households, including 20.2% couples with children, 24.1% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 41.2%, with lone person households at 38.4% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Moe - Newborough faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 9.3% and certificates make up 33.8%. Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Moe - Newborough indicates there are currently 113 active transport stops operating. These include a mix of train services. A total of 34 individual routes serve these stops, collectively facilitating 1,607 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically situated just 195 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward daily. Despite this, the car remains the primary mode of transportation for 94% of residents.

Vehicle ownership averages at 1.3 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census data, only 10.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect the impact of COVID-19 conditions on work patterns. The service frequency across all routes averages 229 trips per day, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this analysis, displaying the locations of the 100 nearest stops to the area's central point.

Health performance in Moe - Newborough is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Moe-Newborough faces significant health challenges, as identified by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups, with a notably low private health cover rate of approximately 49% (around 8,736 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.2% and 11.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 56.4% of residents report having no medical ailments, lower than the Regional Vic average of 63.4%. Working-age individuals face substantial health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a significant senior population, with 23.7% being aged 65 and over (4,234 people). While seniors' health outcomes align broadly with national rankings, they present some notable challenges.

Moe - Newborough ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moe-Newborough showed cultural diversity below average, with 88.9% citizens, 85.6% born in Australia, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated as the main religion, comprising 46.0%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.1%.

Ancestry-wise, Australian (30.8%), English (30.0%), and Scottish (7.9%) were top groups. Dutch (3.2% vs regional 1.7%), Maltese (2.6% vs 0.5%), and Polish (0.9% vs 0.5%) were notably overrepresented.

Moe - Newborough hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Moe-Newborough's median age of 44 years is comparable to Regional Victoria's 43 and higher than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Victoria, Moe-Newborough has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (13.2%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (10.5%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 35-44 grew from 10.5% to 12.2%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 decreased from 12.0% to 10.5% and the share of those aged 55-64 fell from 13.9% to 12.7%. By 2041, Moe-Newborough's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 40%, increasing from 2,356 to 3,303 people. Conversely, the 55-64 age cohort is projected to decrease by 141 people.