Churchill

SA2

Rest of Vic. / Latrobe Valley

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Data Sources ABSValuer GeneralRental BoardACARA Newest Oct 2026 · Refreshed ABS QuickStats 205041094 How we calculate this
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Statistical Area (SA2) Boundary Analysis

This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.

SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).

Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.

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Sales ActivityProperty Sales Trends in Churchill

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DemographicsPopulation Growth in Churchill

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Churchill has an estimated 12,342 residents, up from 11,912 at the 2021 Census — a change of 430 people, or 3.6%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years. 216 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Density is about 16 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.

Detail

Demographic assessments by AreaSearch indicate that Churchill reaches a headcount of roughly 12,342 as of Aug 2026. Relative to the 11,912 people recorded during the 2021 Census, this demonstrates an expansion of 430 people (3.6%). The updated figure is derived from the ABS estimated resident population figure of 12,325 noted in June 2025 alongside 216 validated new addresses documented following the census. With a population density of 15.5 persons per square kilometer, residents enjoy spacious regional surroundings. Outperforming the wider SA3 area (2.9%), Churchill's 3.6% growth since the 2021 census positions the locality as a regional leader in growth.

Natural growth served as the core contributor to demographic gains, generating roughly 59.5% of overall population increases in recent times. Population projections produced by ABS/Geoscience Australia (issued in 2024 using 2022 as baseline data) form the basis of AreaSearch's modeling for each SA2. Where specific coverage is lacking, projections draw upon 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA releases converted via weighted population growth aggregation from LGA down to SA2 geographic units. Aggregated age-cohort trajectories are likewise applied universally between 2032 and 2041. Factoring in anticipated structural demographic changes, regional population growth is expected to track above the national median, expanding by 1,830 persons to 2041 under latest annual ERP metrics, representing cumulative growth of 14.7% over the 16 years.

Frequently Asked Questions - Population

What is the latest population estimate for the Churchill SA2?
Total population for the Churchill SA2 was estimated to be approximately 12,342 as at Aug 26. This is based upon an estimated resident population of 12,325 from the ABS up to June 2025.
How has the population in the Churchill SA2 changed since 2021?
The churchill sa2 has added approximately 430 people and shown a 3.61% increase from the 11,912 people recorded at the 2021 Census period.
What is the population density in the Churchill SA2?
The population density in the Churchill SA2 is estimated at 15 persons per square kilometer based on the latest population estimate.
How much has the population grown over the past 10 years in the Churchill SA2?
Over the past 10 years, the population in the Churchill SA2 has shown a compound annual growth rate of 0.6% per annum.
What are the main drivers of population growth in the Churchill SA2?
Population growth in the Churchill SA2 is driven by: Natural increase (59.5%), Overseas migration (40.5%), Interstate migration (0.0%). The primary driver is Natural increase, contributing 59.5% of overall population gains.

Residential SupplyHousing Development & Building Approvals in Churchill

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280 new dwellings have been approved in Churchill over the past five years, an average of 56 a year. That places the area in the 53rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 56 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.

Detail

Residential building approvals across Churchill have tracked at roughly 56 dwellings per annum, delivering a total of 280 homes across the past 5 financial years. With an influx of 1.9 new residents per constructed dwelling over the past 5 financial years (from FY-22 to FY-26), market supply has aligned smoothly with local demand to sustain balanced conditions, although this ratio climbed to 3.2 people per dwelling across the past 2 financial years, pointing toward rising interest and emerging supply pressures. Approved residential projects carry an average construction value of $349,000—pricing below regional norms and offering cost-effective building opportunities.

In addition, commercial construction activity remains sound, supported by $13.3 million in commercial development approvals recorded this financial year. Relative to Rest of Vic., per-capita residential development in Churchill remains comparable, maintaining a balanced supply environment across the broader district. Furthermore, construction activity has consisted exclusively of separate houses, preserving low-density neighborhood character while providing detached dwellings that cater to buyers seeking spacious land. A ratio of 360 people per approved dwelling highlights an unhurried, low-intensity construction pipeline. According to the latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch, Churchill is projected to add 1,813 residents through to 2041. While residential construction currently progresses at a pace adequate to meet prospective demographic needs, emerging population growth could heighten competition among prospective purchasers.

Frequently Asked Questions - Development

How many dwelling approvals have occurred in the Churchill SA2 recently?
Dwelling approval activity in the the Churchill SA2 area has seen 73 residential approvals over the past two financial years, based on AreaSearch's SA2 aggregation method. The Churchill SA2's current population of 12,342 has been supported by 56 approvals on average over recent years.
How does the Churchill SA2's development activity compare to the broader region?
The Churchill SA2 has seen 0.47 approvals per 100 people in recent years, compared to 0.75 approvals in the broader region. This means that one dwelling has been approved for every 360 people in the Churchill SA2, compared to one for every 145 in the broader region.
Is the Churchill SA2 keeping up with housing demand?
With the population expected to increase by 1,813 people by 2041, around 907 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels may be insufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling. This indicates potential housing shortages if current approval trends continue.
What has been the trend in development approvals over the past five years in the Churchill SA2?
Looking at development activity over the past five years, the Churchill SA2's approval levels have been significantly below the yearly average of 56, showing a notable downturn in recent development.
How many dwellings will be needed to accommodate future population growth in the Churchill SA2?
The population in the Churchill SA2 is expected to grow by 1,813 people by 2041, necessitating approximately 907 new dwellings. This calculation is based on the current census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling in the area.
How does recent development compare to population growth in the Churchill SA2?
Over the past five years, the population in the Churchill SA2 has grown by approximately 895 people, while 280 residential approvals were recorded. This equates to a ratio of 3.2 people added for each new dwelling approval. This high ratio suggests strong population growth relative to housing supply, potentially indicating unmet housing demand.
Are there opportunities for residential developers in the Churchill SA2?
With dwelling approval activity running at an average of 56 approvals per year and a population of 12,342, there appears to be a supply shortfall relative to projected demand, presenting strong opportunities for residential developers. With the population expected to increase by 1,813 people by 2041, around 907 new dwellings will be necessary. Current approval trends may be insufficient to meet forecast demand, indicating strong development opportunities.
Approvals Pipeline Development applications near Churchill

Development applications around Churchill

Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch. We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Application search is not available in Victoria. AreaSearch holds 5 applications for Churchill, but they are a record of past activity rather than a current register. Victoria has no state-wide planning portal and its council coverage is uneven, so we have switched the search off here rather than return partial answers. We are currently investigating a solution. No credits are charged for Victorian applications, and building approvals from the ABS and the major projects we track are unaffected.

SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Project PipelineInfrastructure & Major Projects in Churchill

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AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Churchill, worth an estimated $3.98 billion. A further 132 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $31.2 billion. 48 are already under construction and 78 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, energy and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.

Detail

Regional momentum is fundamentally shaped by public works, capital investments, and strategic urban planning. AreaSearch has pinpointed 40 major projects positioned to influence the district. Prominent developments include Wooreen Energy Storage System, Hazelwood Mine Rehabilitation Project, Bennetts Creek Battery, and Marinus Link - Victorian Converter Station, which head the list of significant infrastructure undertakings.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure

What are some of the major infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Churchill SA2?
Key infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Churchill SA2 include: Wooreen Energy Storage System (Construction); Hazelwood Mine Rehabilitation Project (Planning); Bennetts Creek Battery (Construction); Marinus Link - Victorian Converter Station (Approved); and Hazelwood North ULAB Recycling Facility (Construction). These projects represent significant developments that will shape the area's future infrastructure landscape.
What types of infrastructure projects are impacting the Churchill SA2?
Infrastructure development impacting the Churchill SA2 spans multiple sectors including Energy, Environmental & Disaster Management, and Residential Development, among others.
What is the scale of infrastructure investment impacting the Churchill SA2?
Infrastructure investment analysis indicates substantial capital deployment exceeding $9.6 billion in projects that will impact the extended area.
How does the Churchill SA2's infrastructure development compare to other areas?
The Churchill SA2 shows moderate infrastructure development relative to national averages, with opportunities for future growth and investment.
Tramway Road Battery Energy Storage System
Category: Energy
Stage: Approved | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A 300 MW / 1,200 MWh grid-scale battery energy storage system being developed by Eku Energy adjacent to the Hazelwood Terminal Station in the Latrobe Valley. The 4-hour duration battery will connect into the existing 500kV / 220kV transmission network and is being built next to Eku's already-operational 150 MW / 150 MWh Hazelwood BESS at the former coal-fired power station site. Once operational the project will be capable of powering around 104,000 homes during peak demand and is expected to play a key role in Victoria's transition away from coal generation.The Victorian Government granted development approval in November 2025 via the Development Facilitation Program. The project is now in pre-construction, with construction targeted to begin in late 2026 subject to grid connection and procurement, and operations slated for 2028. It will support 150 construction jobs and around five ongoing operational roles. The site sits adjacent to the proposed Marinus Link converter station.

Energy

Wooreen Energy Storage System
Category: Energy
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

EnergyAustralia is constructing a 350 MW utility-scale battery energy storage system with four hours of storage capacity (1,400 MWh) at the Jeeralang Power Station. The facility is designed to enhance grid stability and support the integration of renewable energy into the Victorian network following the transition from coal-fired generation.

Energy

Hazelwood North Solar Farm
Category: Energy
Stage: Approved | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Approved 450 MW solar energy facility with an approximately 450 MW / 1,800 MWh four-hour battery energy storage system, substation and associated infrastructure on farmland between Morwell and Traralgon in the Latrobe Valley. The project is planned as Victoria's largest solar farm, with agrivoltaic use including sheep grazing, capacity to power about 150,000 homes, avoid about 700,000 tonnes of emissions each year and support about 500 construction jobs.

Energy

Used Lead Acid Battery (ULAB) Recycling Facility Hazelwood North
Category: Environmental & Disaster Management
Stage: Approved | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   

A proposed used lead acid battery recycling facility designed to process up to 50000 tonnes of batteries annually and produce around 28000 tonnes of refined lead using advanced secondary lead smelting technology with recovery of lead, plastic and electrolyte. The project received Victorian planning approval in January 2021 and construction environmental management approvals in December 2021. Ownership transferred from Chunxing Corporation Pty Ltd to Pure Environmental Pty Ltd. As of 2026 there is no verified evidence that full construction or operations have commenced, despite approvals remaining in place.

Environmental & Disaster Management

SEC Delburn Wind Farm
Category: Energy
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

The SEC Delburn Wind Farm is Victoria's first publicly owned, utility-scale wind generation project. Located within an existing pine plantation in the Strzelecki Ranges, the facility will feature 33 wind turbines with a total capacity of 205MW. The project is designed to power approximately 130,000 homes and includes innovative fire mitigation measures such as AI-based bushfire detection and 650,000 litres of onsite water storage. It is being delivered by the State Electricity Commission in partnership with OSMI Australia.

Energy

Gippsland Offshore Wind Transmission Project
Category: Energy
Stage: Planning | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   

A 500kV electricity transmission project comprising approximately 55 km of transmission lines, an onshore connection hub near Giffard, and a grid connection substation near Loy Yang Power Station to connect Gippsland offshore wind energy to the Victorian electricity grid.

Energy

Hazelwood Mine Rehabilitation Project
Category: Environmental & Disaster Management
Stage: Planning | Est. Comp: 0
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Rehabilitation of the former Hazelwood Mine by ENGIE Hazelwood and Mitsui to create a safe, stable, and sustainable landform, primarily through the creation of a 1,281-hectare pit lake. The $2 billion project involves decommissioning infrastructure, re-profiling slopes, restoring waterways, and features three development zones: Tourism Belt near Morwell, Mine Lake heart, and Productivity Hub. Includes visitor facilities and follows an EES process with a 10-35 year completion timeline.

Environmental & Disaster Management

Marinus Link - Victorian Converter Station
Category: Energy
Stage: Approved | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

The Victorian converter station at Hazelwood in the Latrobe Valley is part of the 1500 MW Marinus Link interconnector between Victoria and Tasmania. The station will convert direct current from the subsea and underground cables to alternating current to connect Marinus Link to the Victorian grid and the National Electricity Market. Stage 1 (750 MW) construction is expected to begin later in 2026, following the Victorian Minister for Planning's environmental assessment in May 2025 and the Australian Energy Regulator's final cost decision in February 2026.Preparatory works were under way across Gippsland as at April 2026.

Energy

Jobs & IndustryEmployment Trends in Churchill

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5,888 residents of Churchill are employed, from a labour force of 6,166. Unemployment sits at 4.5%, with participation at 60.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 11,147, about 90% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

The local labour market features a capable workforce with strong representation across essential services sectors, registering an unemployment rate of 4.5% alongside a 4.2% expansion in estimated employment across the preceding twelve months. Figures for March 2026 record 5,888 employed residents, an unemployment rate exceeding Regional Vic.'s 3.7% by 0.8%, and a labour force participation rate tracking evenly with Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. In terms of work arrangements, Census findings indicate 15.7% of workers operated from home, though period-specific Covid-19 restrictions should be considered. Key industries of employment for local residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

The electricity, gas, water & waste sector demonstrates exceptional concentration locally, employing workers at 4.7 times the regional rate. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for a smaller share at 5.4%, trailing the 7.5% regional benchmark. Comparing Census resident workers to locally based jobs suggests Churchill offers relatively limited employment opportunities within its own borders. AreaSearch examination of ABS and SALM figures indicates that in the year leading to March 2026, Churchill recorded a 4.2% rise in employment and a 3.4% expansion in the labour force, bringing down the local unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. This positive momentum diverged from Regional Vic., where employment fell 0.1%, the workforce decreased by 0.3%, and unemployment dropped by 0.2 percentage points. National employment modeling from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provides broader context for future workforce requirements in Churchill. Projecting these five-year and ten-year national industry forecasts onto Churchill's current employment profile suggests local employment could expand by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, even as overall national employment is forecast to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years across varying sector growth trajectories (note that this weighted calculation serves illustrative purposes and excludes local demographic modeling).

Frequently Asked Questions - Employment

What is the employment situation in the Churchill SA2?
As of March 2026, the Churchill SA2 has approximately 5,888 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. This healthy unemployment rate suggests a well-functioning labour market. Employment indicators are below the national average, suggesting room for improvement.
How does the Churchill SA2's unemployment rate compare to the broader region?
As of March 2026, the unemployment rate in the Churchill SA2 stands at 4.5%, which is 0.8 percentage points above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. This higher unemployment rate may indicate local labour market challenges. For comparison, the national unemployment rate is 4.2%.
What are the major employment sectors in the Churchill SA2?
The employment landscape in the Churchill SA2 is dominated by several key sectors. The largest employers are health care & social assistance (15.9% of employment), construction (10.8%), and education & training (9.6%). Other significant employers include retail trade and public administration & safety.
How has employment changed recently in the Churchill SA2?
Over the past year to March 2026, the Churchill SA2 has experienced employment growth, with total employment increasing while the labour force increased. As a result, the unemployment rate has fall. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment decreased and its unemployment rate dropped.
What is the workforce participation rate in the Churchill SA2?
The workforce participation rate in the Churchill SA2 is 60.9%, which represents the proportion of working-age residents who are either employed or actively seeking work. This healthy participation rate reflects good employment opportunities and workforce engagement. The local rate trailing the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%, showing similar workforce dynamics to the broader region.
Which industries are over-represented in the Churchill SA2's employment market?
The churchill sa2 shows notable specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste, which employs 7.0% of the local workforce compared to 1.5% regionally. With a local vs regional employment ratio of 4.7, this represents a significant industry cluster that likely serves markets beyond the local area.
What are the employment growth prospects for the Churchill SA2?
Based on Jobs and Skills Australia projections applied to the Churchill SA2's industry mix, employment is expected to grow by 6.2% over the next five years and 13.1% over ten years. This compares to national growth expectations of 6.6% over five years. Steady growth is anticipated across multiple sectors, providing diverse employment opportunities.
How does the job market in the Churchill SA2 compare nationally?
The churchill sa2's employment market shows below-average performance in national comparisons. While employment opportunities exist, the area faces more challenges than many other regions. Recent job advertisement trends show the broader employment region saw a 1.9% decline, ranking 22.0nd out of 37 regions nationally.
What employment opportunities exist for skilled workers in the Churchill SA2?
Skilled workers will find good opportunities in the Churchill SA2, with skilled sectors accounting for 31.3% of employment. Key sectors for skilled workers include health care & social assistance (15.9%), education & training (9.6%), and professional & technical (3.6%). With projected employment growth of 6.2% over five years, demand for skilled workers is expected to remain strong.

EarningsHousehold Income in Churchill

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Median household income in Churchill is $1,409 a week (about $73,000 a year), with median personal income at $668 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,017 a year against an average of $59,251. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.

Detail

ATO postcode figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 reveal that taxpayers in the Churchill SA2 earned a median income of $49,017 and an average income of $59,251. These results sit below national benchmarks and compare to median and average levels of $50,954 and $62,728 recorded across Regional Vic.. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% recorded since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $53,732 (median) and $64,951 (average) as of March 2026. Census results from 2021 position Churchill's household, family, and personal earnings within modest ranges between the 22nd and 29th percentiles.

In terms of earnings distribution, 30.1% of residents (3,714 people) occupy the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, mirroring broader regional patterns where 30.3% fall into the same tier. Although residents retain 88.9% of income after servicing housing commitments, overall disposable income remains subdued at the 35th percentile.

Frequently Asked Questions - Income

What is the median taxable income in the Churchill SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Churchill SA2 is approximately $53,732. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded a median of $49,017.
What is the average taxable income in the Churchill SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Churchill SA2 is approximately $64,951. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded an average of $59,251.
How does the median taxable income in the Churchill SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Churchill SA2 is approximately $53,732 compared to $55,856 in Regional Vic.. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $49,017 and $50,954 respectively.
How does the average taxable income in the Churchill SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Churchill SA2 is approximately $64,951 compared to $68,762 in Regional Vic.. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $59,251 and $62,728 respectively.
What are the main income cohorts in the Churchill SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
As per the 2021 Census, the income bracket containing the largest proportion (~30.1% / 3,714 persons) of the Churchill SA2's population is the $1,500 - 2,999 cohort.
How do the main income cohorts in the Churchill SA2 compare to the region?
The largest income cohort in the Churchill SA2 is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing about 30.1% of the population. In comparison, Regional Vic.'s largest income cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing 30.3% of its population, according to the 2021 Census.
What is the median household income in the Churchill SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census data indicates that the median household income in the Churchill SA2 is $1,409/wk.
What is the median family income in the Churchill SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
According to the 2021 Census, the median family income in the Churchill SA2 is $1,715/wk.
What is the median personal income in the Churchill SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census shows that the median personal income in the Churchill SA2 is $668/wk.
How does the Churchill SA2's income rank nationally?
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Churchill SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $49,017 while the average income stands at $59,251. This contrasts to Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $53,732 (median) and $64,951 (average) as of March 2026.
What is the disposable income in the Churchill SA2?
The estimated disposable income in the Churchill SA2 is $5,426 per year according to AreaSearch analysis.
How does the Churchill SA2's disposable income compare to the region?
The churchill sa2's disposable income is $5,426 compared to $5,209 for Regional Vic., based on AreaSearch analysis.

Housing StockHousing & Dwellings in Churchill

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Churchill had 4,442 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 1% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 17% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $230 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 16.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.

Detail

According to the latest Census, Churchill's housing stock is composed of 98.4% separate houses and 1.7% other dwellings (including semi-detached units, apartments, and alternative structures), representing a higher freestanding house share than Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Outright property ownership stands above regional figures at 43.7%, while remaining residences are held under a mortgage (39.1%) or occupied by tenants (17.2%). Housing costs remain comparatively low: median monthly mortgage repayments stand at $1,300 versus $1,430 in Regional Vic., and median weekly rent sits at $230 against $285 regionally.

Churchill also offers substantial affordability compared to nationwide averages of $1,863 for monthly mortgages and $375 for weekly rents.

Frequently Asked Questions - Housing

What percentage of homes are owned vs rented in the Churchill SA2?
In the Churchill SA2, 43.7% of homes are owned outright, 39.1% are owned with a mortgage, and 17.2% are rented.
What percentage of dwellings in the Churchill SA2 are houses?
According to the latest data, 98.4% of dwellings in the Churchill SA2 are houses.
What percentage of dwellings in the Churchill SA2 are apartments or units?
In the Churchill SA2, 1.1% of dwellings are apartments or units, with an additional 0.6% being semi-detached dwellings.
What is the level of outright home ownership in the Churchill SA2?
Outright home ownership in the Churchill SA2 stands at 43.7%, compared to 40.9% in Regional Vic..
What is the median monthly mortgage repayment in the Churchill SA2?
The median monthly mortgage repayment in the Churchill SA2 is $1,300, compared to $1,430 in Regional Vic..
What is the median weekly rent in the Churchill SA2?
The median weekly rent in the Churchill SA2 is $230, compared to $285 in Regional Vic..
What is the distribution of rental prices in the Churchill SA2?
In the Churchill SA2, 14.4% of rentals are $0-149/week, 79.4% are $150-349/week, 6.2% are $350-649/week, 0.0% are $650-949/week, and 0.0% are $950+/week.
What is the average monthly housing cost in the Churchill SA2?
The aggregate monthly housing cost in the Churchill SA2 is $679, which represents the average monthly cost across all housing types.
What percentage of income do residents spend on housing in the Churchill SA2?
In the Churchill SA2, households with mortgages typically spend 21.3% of their income on mortgage repayments, while renters spend 16.3% of their income on rent.
How crowded are homes in the Churchill SA2?
The average persons per bedroom ratio in the Churchill SA2 is 0.7, indicating the level of household density.
How does housing affordability in the Churchill SA2 compare to the region?
Housing affordability in the Churchill SA2 shows mortgage holders spending 21.3% of income on repayments (vs 23.8% regionally), while renters spend 16.3% of income on rent (vs 20.6% regionally).
What types of dwellings are most common in the Churchill SA2?
The dwelling mix in the Churchill SA2 consists of 98.4% detached houses, 0.6% semi-detached dwellings, 1.1% apartments, and 0.0% other dwelling types.
What is the weighted average housing cost based on tenure mix in the Churchill SA2?
Factoring in the ownership distribution, the weighted average monthly housing cost is approximately $680. This accounts for outright owners paying no housing costs, mortgage holders paying $1,300/month, and renters paying $996/month.
How affordable is housing in the Churchill SA2 relative to local incomes?
Housing in Churchill consumes approximately 11.1% of median household income ($6,101 monthly), indicating costs are highly affordable. The generally accepted benchmark is that housing should not exceed 30% of household income.
How do proposed developments compare to existing housing types in the Churchill SA2?
Recent development applications in Churchill show attached dwellings contributing 0% of approvals compared to 2% of existing stock, while detached houses represent 100% of applications versus 98% of current dwellings. This suggests development patterns consistent with existing housing mix. The area shows minimal growth in housing density compared to other Australian locations.

HouseholdsHousehold Composition in Churchill

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Churchill counted 4,442 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 33% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Family households represent the primary living arrangement at 74.1%, consisting of couples without children (33.2%), couples with children (28.5%), and single parent families (11.7%). The remaining 25.9% of homes comprise non-family living situations, including lone person households at 23.7% and group households at 2.2%. Household size averages 2.5 persons at the median, marginally exceeding the Regional Vic. figure of 2.4.

Frequently Asked Questions - Households

How many households are in the Churchill SA2?
As of the 2021 Census, the Churchill SA2 had 4,442 households. Based on population growth patterns, this has grown by approximately 3.6% to an estimated 4,602 households today.
What is the typical household size?
The median household size in the Churchill SA2 is 2.5 people. This compares to 2.4 in Regional Vic. and reflects the area's household composition mix.
What types of households are most common?
Family households dominate at 74.1% of all households. The remaining households consist of lone person households (23.7%), group households (2.2%), and other household types (0.0%).
How are families structured in the area?
Among the 3,291 family households, 28.5% are couples with children, 33.2% are couples without children at home, and 11.7% are single parent families. This mix shapes local demand for schools, family services, and housing types.
How does the Churchill SA2 compare to regional household patterns?
Compared to Regional Vic., the Churchill SA2 shows distinct household patterns. Family households are notably over-represented at 74.1% (versus 67.8% regionally). Conversely, lone person households are under-represented at 23.7% compared to the regional 29.3%. This family-oriented profile influences local demand for family homes, schools, and children's services.
What is the average family size?
Families in the Churchill SA2 have an average of 1.9 children, slightly above the Regional Vic. average of 1.8. This influences local demand for child-related services and larger family homes.
What are the marriage patterns in the Churchill SA2?
Marriage patterns reveal 49.0% of the adult population are currently married, while 33.7% have never married. This compares to 46.3% married and 34.0% never married across Regional Vic..
How significant are single-person households?
Single-person households represent 23.7% of all households in the Churchill SA2, notably lower than the regional average of 29.3%. This affects demand for smaller dwellings and single-person accommodation.
Are shared living arrangements common?
Group households (unrelated people sharing) account for 2.2% of households, well below the Regional Vic. average of 2.9%. This low rate suggests limited student or young professional shared accommodation.
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EducationSchools & Education in Churchill

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17.8% of adults in Churchill hold a university qualification, including 11.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 32.3% hold a vocational qualification. 15 schools serve the area, with 984 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 973 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.

Detail

Educational attainment in the region shows noticeable gaps, with tertiary degree attainment (17.8%) trailing substantially behind the VIC benchmark of 33.4%, highlighting a clear focus area for future learning pathways. Within higher education, Bachelor degrees constitute 11.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Conversely, technical and vocational training is strongly represented, with 43.1% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, divided between certificates (32.3%) and advanced diplomas (10.8%). Student participation is exceptionally active, with 29.0% of the population engaged in formal study. This student cohort comprises 10.7% attending primary schools, 8.2% in secondary education, and 4.0% enrolled in tertiary programs.

Frequently Asked Questions - Education

What percentage of people in the Churchill SA2 have university qualifications?
17.8% of people aged 15 and over in the Churchill SA2 have university qualifications, compared to 21.7% in the broader region.
What percentage of people in the Churchill SA2 have no formal qualifications?
39.2% of people aged 15 and over in the Churchill SA2 have no formal qualifications, compared to 40.4% regionally.
How does the Churchill SA2's education level compare to national averages?
The churchill sa2 ranks in the 38th percentile nationally for education based on AreaSearch's analysis of qualification and performance metrics.
What types of qualifications are most common in the Churchill SA2?
The most common qualifications in the Churchill SA2 are: Certificate (32.3%), Bachelor Degree (11.9%), Advanced Diploma (10.8%).
What proportion of the Churchill SA2's population is currently attending educational institutions?
29.0% of the population in the Churchill SA2 is currently engaged in formal education, with 10.7% in primary school, 8.2% in secondary school, 4.0% at university.
What is the ICSEA score for schools in the Churchill SA2?
The average ICSEA (Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage) score for schools in the Churchill SA2 is 973, indicating below-average socio-educational advantage compared to the national average of 1000.
How many schools are located within the Churchill SA2?
There are 15 schools within the Churchill SA2, with a combined enrollment of approximately 984 students.
What types of schools are available in the Churchill SA2?
The churchill sa2 includes 9 primary schools, 4 secondary schools, 2 combined schools.

Schools Detail

AmenitiesServices & Amenities in Churchill

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Getting AroundTransport & Commuting in Churchill

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Public transport in Churchill reaches 45 stops on 16 routes, timetabled for about 2,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 800 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Public transport operations across Churchill encompass 45 active transport stops connecting to 16 individual routes, delivering 2,400 weekly passenger trips in aggregate. Access to the network remains constrained, with an average distance of 796 meters separating dwellings from their closest stop. Given the suburb's residential footprint, commuting patterns lean heavily toward outward travel, with private vehicles serving as the primary mode for 97% of journeys. Vehicle ownership is elevated at an average of 1.8 cars per dwelling, exceeding regional averages, while 15.7% of residents worked remotely during the 2021 Census under possible COVID-19 influences.

Transit schedules across all local services generate 342 trips per day on average, translating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Frequently Asked Questions - Transport

How many public transport stops are in Churchill?
There are 45 public transport stops within the Churchill SA2.
How frequent are the transport services in Churchill?
the Churchill SA2 has 2,400 weekly trips across 16 routes, averaging 342 trips per day.
How far are residents from public transport in Churchill?
On average, residential properties are 796 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Transport Stops Detail

HealthcareHealth Services in Churchill

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62.2% of residents in Churchill report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.

Detail

Health indicators compiled by AreaSearch highlight meaningful community health burdens regarding mortality and long-term illnesses, with elevated medical conditions observed across younger and older demographics alike. Private health insurance participation is notably constrained at approximately 48% of the populace (~5,973 people), lagging behind Regional Vic. at 50.5% and the national standard of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions represent the most widespread diagnoses locally, affecting 10.6% and 9.6% of the population respectively, while 62.2% of residents report having no chronic medical conditions compared with 63.4% throughout Regional Vic.. Health difficulties are prominent among working-age residents due to heightened chronic illness rates.

Seniors aged 65 and over account for 22.1% of the community (2,731 people), below the Regional Vic. proportion of 24.0%, with health ratings among older residents tracking closely with nationwide trends.

Frequently Asked Questions - Health

How many people in the Churchill SA2 have private health insurance?
Around 48.4% of people in the Churchill SA2 are covered by private health insurance, which compares to 50.5% in the broader region of Regional Vic..
What percentage of the population requires ongoing medical assistance in the Churchill SA2?
In the Churchill SA2, 6.4% of the population is identified as requiring ongoing medical assistance. This figure is slightly different from the regional average, where 6.9% of people in Regional Vic. require similar assistance.
How prevalent is asthma in the Churchill SA2?
8.9% of people in the Churchill SA2 are diagnosed with asthma. In comparison, 8.7% of the population across Regional Vic. is affected by asthma.
What percentage of people have diabetes in the Churchill SA2?
Diabetes affects 5.0% of the the Churchill SA2 population, while in the surrounding region, 4.6% of people are diagnosed with diabetes.
What is the percentage of people with heart disease in the Churchill SA2?
4.7% of people in the Churchill SA2 have heart disease. Across the region of Regional Vic., 4.4% of the population is affected by heart disease.
How does the Churchill SA2 compare to the region in terms of overall private health coverage?
In the Churchill SA2, 48.4% of the population are estimated to have private health insurance. Comparatively, Regional Vic. sees an estimated private health coverage rate of 50.5%.

Ancestry & LanguageCultural Diversity in Churchill

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Churchill is largely Australian-born, at 88.3% of residents, with 4.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (32.3%) and English (30.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Cultural diversity metrics position Churchill below broader benchmarks, as Australian citizens represent 89.8% of the community, 88.3% were born in Australia, and 95.9% speak solely English in the home. Christianity forms the dominant religious faith, practiced by 40.8% of residents. The most noticeable variation is found in Islam, accounting for 0.5% of local inhabitants against 1.0% throughout Regional Vic.. Regarding parental birthplace and ancestry, the primary reported backgrounds in Churchill are Australian at 32.3%, English at 30.6%, and Scottish at 8.7%. Distinct cultural differences also emerge across other heritages, with Dutch ancestry tracking higher at 3.2% compared to 1.7% regionally, Maltese at 1.3% against 0.5%, and Polish at 0.8% versus 0.5%.

Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity

What is the level of cultural diversity in the Churchill SA2?
Churchill was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 89.8% of its population being citizens, 88.3% born in Australia, and 95.9% speaking English only at home.
What is the most common religion in the Churchill SA2?
The main religion in Churchill was found to be Christianity, which makes up 40.8% of people in Churchill. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Islam, which comprises 0.5% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Regional Vic..
What are the top countries of origin in the Churchill SA2?
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Churchill are Australian, comprising 32.3% of the population, English, comprising 30.6% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 8.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 3.2% of Churchill (vs 1.7% regionally), Maltese at 1.3% (vs 0.5%) and Polish at 0.8% (vs 0.5%).
How does the percentage of people born overseas compare to the regional average?
11.7% of the the Churchill SA2 population was born overseas, compared to 13.2% regionally.
What percentage of the the Churchill SA2 population speaks a language other than English at home?
4.1% of the population in the Churchill SA2 speaks a language other than English at home, compared to 7.6% in the wider region.
How many people in the Churchill SA2 identify as Australian Aboriginal?
1.4% of the the Churchill SA2 population identifies as Australian Aboriginal, compared to 1.4% in the region.
What is the citizenship status of the population in the Churchill SA2?
89.8% of the the Churchill SA2 population holds citizenship, compared to 88.6% in the wider region.

Age StructureAge Profile of Churchill

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The median resident of Churchill is 42. 23.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.

Detail

The demographic structure in Churchill aligns closely with broader regional norms, showing a maximum variance of 2.1 percentage points against Regional Vic.. The median age stands at an estimated 42, matching the 2021 Census baseline and sitting 1 year below the Regional Vic. median of 43 recorded at the same Census. Since that time, the proportion of residents aged 45 - 64 has declined from 28.4% to an estimated 24.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, the most substantial population increase is anticipated within the 25 - 44 age cohort, projected to grow by 886 residents (32%) to reach 3,690.

Frequently Asked Questions - Age

What is the median age in the Churchill SA2?
AreaSearch estimates the median age in the Churchill SA2 at 42 years as at August 2026. That is in line with the 2021 Census figure of 42 years, on an age profile AreaSearch re-estimates for population change recorded since the Census.
How does the Churchill SA2's median age compare to broader areas?
At an estimated 42 years as at August 2026, Churchill is comparable to the Regional Vic. 2021 Census average (43 years) yet 4 years older than the national Census average (38 years).
What age groups are over-represented in the Churchill SA2?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most over-represented age group in the Churchill SA2 compared to the Regional Vic. region is the 15 - 24 group, making up 12.7% of the population.
What age groups are under-represented in the Churchill SA2?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most under-represented age group in the Churchill SA2 compared to the Regional Vic. region is the 75 - 84 group, making up 7.0% of the population.
Are there age groups with notable population variances?
Yes, certain age groups in the Churchill SA2 show significant variance compared to the Regional Vic. region. The most under-represented age group is 85+ year-olds (1.7% vs 2.9%).
What is the percentage of children (0-14 years) in the Churchill SA2?
AreaSearch estimates children aged 0-14 years at 17.9% of the population in the Churchill SA2 as at August 2026.
What is the percentage of older people (65+ years) in the Churchill SA2?
AreaSearch estimates people aged 65 and over at 22.1% of the population in the Churchill SA2 as at August 2026.

Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Churchill

Data currency Refreshed

9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.

Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.

The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section

Section Source & update cycle Currency
Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections
Population ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline.
Age profile ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate.
Development & approvals ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline
Property sales & rents Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline
Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026.
Infrastructure projects Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily Jul 2026 3 months ago all 7 projects tracked here
Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026.
Employment ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census.
Education ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Transport ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Services & amenities Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures
Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections
Income ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail.
Health ABS, ATO Annual 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current.
Housing ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures
Households ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures
Cultural diversity ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures

"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.

How the numbers are built

Population

The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 216 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (11,912 at the 2021 Census → 12,342 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.

Age profile

Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".

Property sales

Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.

Rents

Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.

Development & infrastructure

Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.

Employment & income

Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.

Education, transport & amenities

School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.

Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.

Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.

Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (205041094). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.

Common questions about this page

Why can the Churchill SA2 boundary differ from the suburb boundary?
This page uses ABS Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) boundaries for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP). SA2 areas can differ materially from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, even when they share similar names, because they are defined for different purposes and often use different geographic boundaries.
Where does the data on this Churchill page come from?
AreaSearch compiles this page from official and industry sources — including ABS, Geoscience Australia, Valuer General, Provider directories, DEWR, JSA, State Transport Departments and ACARA — then aggregates them to the boundary shown and calculates the rankings, growth rates and benchmarks itself. Property sales come from the state valuation authority, rents from state rental bond lodgements, development applications from council and state planning portals, school data from ACARA, and public transport from state transport departments.
Is the Churchill data on this page just from the 2021 Census?
No. Most of this page is maintained well beyond the Census. Sourced entirely from current releases: development & approvals (Aug 2026), property sales & rents (Oct 2026), infrastructure projects (Jul 2026) and services & amenities (Sep 2026). Built on a Census baseline but carrying newer measures on top: population (to Aug 2026), age profile (to Aug 2026), employment (to Mar 2026), income (to FY 2023), education (to Sep 2026), transport (to Jul 2026) and health (to 2024). Population and age cohorts in particular are re-based to the latest ABS Estimated Resident Population rather than left at 2021 counts. Only housing, households and cultural diversity remain wholly Census-based, because no more current small-area dataset exists for those measures.

Nearby Areas