Newborough

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newborough reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Newborough's population is estimated at around 7,273 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 387 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,886. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population being 6,985 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 368 persons per square kilometer. Newborough's growth rate of 5.6% since census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 7.2%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, the suburb of Newborough is expected to increase by 1,494 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 16.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Newborough recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Newborough shows around 38 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 190 homes. As of FY26, 17 approvals have been recorded. This averages to about 0.7 new residents per new home annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of these homes is $368,000, slightly above the regional average.

In FY26, $4.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Newborough maintains similar construction rates per person compared to the rest of Victoria, preserving market equilibrium. Approximately 88% of new dwellings are detached, with the remaining 12% being medium or high-density housing, reflecting the area's low density nature.

With around 198 people per approval, Newborough is a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Newborough is projected to gain 1,188 residents by 2041. Construction activity appears to be keeping pace with projected growth, but increasing population may lead to growing competition among buyers.

Newborough has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are North Quarter, Newborough Convenience Centre, Narracan Drive Redevelopment, and Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Newborough recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Newborough has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors, an unemployment rate of 5.7% as of September 2025, and an estimated employment growth of 5.1% over the past year (AreaSearch data). The area's unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, with workforce participation at 56.0%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, only 10.3% of residents work from home (considering Covid-19 impacts).

Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste services (4.3 times the regional level), but agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2.0%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with Census data showing fewer working residents than residents overall. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.1% while labour force grew by 4.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis).

In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.7% and labour force decline by 0.6%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Newborough's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Newborough had a median taxpayer income of $49,723 and an average income of $60,560 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $50,954 and average income $62,728. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest a median income of approximately $53,825 and an average of $65,556 in Newborough. Census 2021 data shows that incomes in Newborough fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. In Newborough, 27.4% of the population (1,992 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 30.3% fall into this bracket. Housing costs are modest in Newborough, with 87.0% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 14th percentile nationally.

Newborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Newborough, as per the latest Census, 87.4% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 12.6% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newborough stood at 38.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.2% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,118, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. Weekly rent in Newborough was $230 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Newborough's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,118 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newborough features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.7% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.3%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Newborough faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.3%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 43.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.1% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Newborough has 53 active public transport stops served by 17 routes offering 699 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 186 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters travelling outward by car, which remains the primary mode at 97%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, only 10.3% of residents work from home, a figure possibly influenced by COVID-19 conditions. All routes combined offer an average of 99 daily trips, equating to around 13 weekly trips per stop.

Service frequency averages 99 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newborough is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Newborough.

AreaSearch's assessment shows varied impacts of chronic conditions on both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 51% of the total population (around 3695 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 11.0% and 11.0% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in the rest of Victoria. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with higher chronic condition rates. Newborough has 22.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1643 people), lower than the 23.9% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning broadly with national rankings.

Newborough is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Newborough showed cultural diversity below average levels, with 86.8% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 94.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 44.8% of Newborough's population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% across Rest of Vic..

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.8%), English (30.3%), and Scottish (8.1%). Significant differences existed in the representation of Dutch (3.4% vs regional 1.7%), Maltese (3.2% vs 0.5%), and Polish (0.9% vs 0.5%) ethnic groups.

Newborough hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Newborough's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43, but considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 25-34 are particularly prominent at 14.1%, while those aged 65-74 comprise a smaller proportion at 11.1% compared to Rest of Vic. Between 2021 and the present, the population of individuals aged 35-44 has grown from 10.8% to 12.5%. The 25-34 age group has increased from 13.0% to 14.1%, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 11.8% to 10.0% and the 55-64 cohort has dropped from 13.0% to 11.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Newborough, with the strongest projected growth in the 25-34 age group at 37%, adding 382 residents to reach 1,408. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 65-74 and 55-64 cohorts.