Newborough

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newborough reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Newborough's population is estimated at around 7,306, reflecting an increase of 420 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 6,886 in the suburb. This growth of 6.1% was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 6,923 following examination of ABS ERP data release in Jun 2024 and an additional 148 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 370 persons per square kilometer. Newborough's growth exceeded the SA3 area (5.5%) and non-metro areas, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to expand by 1,515 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 16.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Newborough recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Newborough has received around 41 dwelling approvals per year on average over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 207 homes. As of FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents arrive annually for each new home built in Newborough between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new homes is $368,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options.

This financial year has seen $8.0 million in commercial approvals, reflective of Newborough's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Newborough shows elevated construction activity, with 11.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. The area maintains a low-density character, with 84.0% detached dwellings and 16.0% medium and high-density housing.

Population forecasts indicate Newborough will gain approximately 1,179 residents by 2041, with existing development levels appearing aligned with future requirements to maintain stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Newborough has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include North Quarter, Newborough Convenience Centre, Narracan Drive Redevelopment, and Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes). The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Newborough faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Newborough has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 6.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of this date, 2,959 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.5% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Newborough was somewhat lower at 52.5%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Leading employment industries included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area had a particularly strong specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste services, with an employment share 4.3 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence at 2.0%, compared to the regional average of 7.5%. Labour force levels decreased by 0.6% over the year to June 2025, while employment declined by 1.4%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw employment fall by 0.9%, labour force contract by 0.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Newborough's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Newborough has lower income compared to national averages. The median income is $49,723 and the average is $60,560. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s median income is $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,769 (median) and $67,924 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Newborough fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 27.4% of individuals earn between $1,500 - $2,999, aligning with the broader area where this cohort represents 30.3%. Housing costs are modest, with 87.0% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 14th percentile nationally.

Newborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Newborough's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.4% houses and 12.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newborough was at 38.6%, similar to Non-Metro Vic., with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (35.2%) or rented (26.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Newborough was $1,118, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,213. The median weekly rent figure for Newborough was $230, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $237. Nationally, Newborough's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newborough features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.7% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 36.3%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households making up 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Newborough faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 10.5%, compared to the VIC average of 33.4%. This indicates a need for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 34.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 25.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 2.4% in tertiary education. Newborough's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 1,711 students and offer balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 966). The area has 3 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. It functions as an education hub with 23.4 school places per 100 residents, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Newborough shows that there are currently 54 operational transport stops. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with a total of 12 different routes running weekly. The combined passenger trips across these routes amount to 755 per week.

The accessibility of transport in the area is considered excellent, with residents on average being located just 186 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are approximately 107 trips made per day across all routes, which translates to about 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newborough is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Newborough faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population, which is around 3,712 people. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.0% and 11.0% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.2% report being free from medical ailments, compared to 60.1% in the rest of Victoria. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.0%, totaling 1,680 people, higher than the 21.2% seen across the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present similar challenges to those observed in the general population.

Newborough is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Newborough's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.8% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 94.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Newborough, comprising 44.8% of people. Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to 0.1% across Rest of Vic..

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.8%), English (30.3%), and Scottish (8.1%). Notably, Dutch (3.4%) and Maltese (3.2%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.9% and 1.6%, respectively, while Polish was slightly overrepresented at 0.9%.

Newborough hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Newborough's median age is 42 years, similar to the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are particularly prominent at 13.6%, while the 65-74 group is comparatively smaller at 11.3% than in Rest of Vic. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.8% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.8% to 10.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Newborough. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 42%, adding 419 residents to reach 1,413. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts.