Newborough

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newborough reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, Newborough's population is estimated at around 7,273, reflecting an increase of 387 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,886. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 6,985 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 368 persons per square kilometer. Newborough's growth rate of 5.6% since census positions it close to the SA3 area's growth rate of 7.2%. Interstate migration contributed around 55% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods. Considering these projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 1,521 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 16.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Newborough recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Newborough has experienced around 38 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 190 homes. So far in FY-26, 19 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents arrive per year for every new home built between FY-21 and FY-25.

New supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $368,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. This financial year has seen $4.6 million in commercial approvals registered, demonstrating Newborough's primarily residential nature.

Compared to Rest of Vic., Newborough maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium with surrounding areas. Building activity shows 88% detached dwellings and 12% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 198 people per approval, Newborough reflects a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Newborough is forecasted to gain 1,233 residents by 2041. Construction pace is reasonable with projected growth, but buyers may face growing competition as population increases.

Newborough has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are North Quarter, Newborough Convenience Centre, Narracan Drive Redevelopment, and Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Newborough recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Newborough has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, particularly in essential services. Its unemployment rate is 5.5% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 6.9% over the past year. As of December 2025, 3,088 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.8% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Newborough is lower at 56.0%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. According to Census responses, only 10.3% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Newborough has a strong specialization in electricity, gas, water & waste services with an employment share 4.3 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2.0% compared to Regional Vic.'s 7.5%.

Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 6.9% and labour force by 5.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Newborough's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Newborough is $49,723 and the average is $60,560 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Regional Vic.'s median income being $50,954 and average income being $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Newborough would be approximately $53,825 (median) and $65,556 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Newborough all fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. In Newborough, 27.4% of the population earns within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 30.3% occupy this bracket. Housing costs are modest in Newborough with 87.0% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 14th percentile nationally.

Newborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Newborough, as per the latest Census, 87.4% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 12.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newborough stood at 38.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.2% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,118, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Weekly rent in Newborough was $230, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Newborough's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,118 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newborough features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.7% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 36.3%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Newborough faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.9%). Educational participation is high at 25.2%, with 9.1% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 53 active stops operating within Newborough. These are serviced by 17 routes providing a total of 699 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 186 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 10.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 99 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Newborough is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Newborough, as assessed by AreaSearch.

Mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions are high, affecting various age groups. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 51% of the total population (around 3,695 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.0% and 11.0% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.2% of residents claim to be free from medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to higher chronic condition rates. Newborough has 22.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,658 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly inline with the general population.

Newborough is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Newborough had a cultural diversity level below average, with 86.8% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 94.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Newborough, comprising 44.8% of people. Notably, Judaism had an overrepresentation in Newborough with 0.1%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups were Australian (30.8%), English (30.3%), and Scottish (8.1%). Dutch (3.4%) was notably overrepresented compared to Regional Vic's 1.7%, Maltese at 3.2% versus the region's 0.5%, and Polish at 0.9% against a regional average of 0.5%.

Newborough hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Newborough's median age is 42 years, similar to Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are particularly prominent at 14.2%, while the 65-74 group is comparatively smaller at 11.2% than in Regional Vic.. Between 2021 and now, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.8% to 12.7% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 13.0% to 14.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.8% to 10.1%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 13.0% to 11.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Newborough, with the 25 to 34 cohort projected to grow by 38%, adding 388 residents to reach 1,421. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts.