Newborough

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newborough reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Newborough statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 7,270 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 384 people from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,886. The growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 6,985 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and an additional 148 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 368 persons per square kilometer. The Newborough (SA2) has shown competitive growth fundamentals with a 5.6% increase since the census, positioning it within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area's 6.9%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and using VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 for areas not covered by this data, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation. Considering projected demographic shifts, the Newborough (SA2) is expected to increase by 1,484 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 16.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Newborough recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Newborough has averaged around 38 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 190 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 17 approvals have been recorded. The average new resident arrival rate per new home is approximately 0.7 per year over these five years.

New supply appears to be meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $368,000, slightly above the regional average. In FY-26, $4.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a primarily residential area.

Newborough's construction rates per person are similar to the rest of Victoria, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas. Building activity consists of 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature. With around 198 people per approval, Newborough reflects a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Newborough is projected to gain 1,184 residents by 2041. Construction pace appears reasonable in relation to projected growth, although buyers may face increasing competition as population increases.

Newborough has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact the region. Notable ones are North Quarter, Newborough Convenience Centre, Narracan Drive Redevelopment, and Turras Reach (Narracan Lakes). The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Newborough recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Newborough has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in Newborough is 5.6%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.9% over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, 3,040 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Newborough is lower at 52.5%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in electricity, gas, water & waste services with an employment share four times the regional level (4.3% vs 1%).

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2% compared to the regional average of 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.9%, while labour force grew by 4.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.7% and labour force decline by 0.6%. State-wide in Victoria, employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 25, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years for Newborough, based on its current employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Newborough had a median taxpayer income of $49,723 and an average income of $60,560 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than the national average, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $50,954 and average income being $62,728. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $53,825 (median) and $65,556 (average), based on an 8.25% growth since financial year 2023. Census data from 2021 showed that household, family, and personal incomes in Newborough all fell between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. In Newborough, 27.4% of the population (1,991 individuals) had incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, similar to regional levels where 30.3% fell within this bracket. Housing costs were modest, with 87.0% of income retained, but total disposable income ranked at just the 14th percentile nationally.

Newborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Newborough's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 87.4% houses and 12.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Newborough was at 38.6%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (35.2%) or rented (26.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,118, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,213. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $230, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $237. Nationally, Newborough's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newborough features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.7% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 36.3%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households making up 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Newborough faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.9%). Educational participation is high, with 25.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transportation in Newborough shows 53 active stops currently operating. These are served by a mix of buses along 17 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 699 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated excellent, with residents on average located 186 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages at 99 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newborough is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Newborough.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population, which amounts to around 3693 people. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 11.0% and 11.0% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 58.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 60.1% across Rest of Vic.. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.0% (1672 people), compared to the 21.2% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Newborough is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Newborough was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 86.8% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 94.3% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Newborough is Christianity, comprising 44.8% of the population. However, Judaism stands out as overrepresented, with 0.1% of Newborough's population compared to the same proportion across Rest of Vic..

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (30.8%), English (30.3%), and Scottish (8.1%). Notably, Dutch (3.4%) Maltese (3.2%) and Polish (0.9%) ethnicities show higher representation in Newborough compared to regional averages.

Newborough hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Newborough's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are prominent at 13.5%, while the 45-54 group is smaller at 10.3% compared to Rest of Vic. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.8% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 11.8% to 10.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Newborough. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 43%, adding 425 residents to reach 1,407. In contrast, the 65-74 and 55-64 cohorts are projected to decline in population.