Rosedale (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Rosedale (Vic.) is around 1,804, reflecting a 75 person increase since the 2021 Census. This rise equates to a 4.3% growth from the previous figure of 1,729 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 1,670 in Jun 2024 and an additional 38 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 8.9 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Rosedale are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation methods for areas not covered by the former data. Population growth rates by age group are applied across all areas until 2041. By 2041, Rosedale's population is projected to increase by 361 persons, reflecting a 12.6% total gain over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Rosedale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Rosedale has received approximately 7 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 36 homes. So far in FY-2025/26, 3 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.5 new residents per year have arrived per new home between FY-2020/21 and FY-2024/25, suggesting supply meets or exceeds demand. New properties are constructed at an average value of $436,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment.

This financial year has seen $9.4 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Rest of Vic., Rosedale shows approximately 75% of construction activity per person and ranks among the 55th percentile nationally. Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The location has approximately 290 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Population forecasts estimate Rosedale will gain 227 residents by 2041 (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Rosedale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting the region: Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale, set for completion 2025. Other notable projects include Regional Housing Fund Gippsland (commenced 2018), Gippsland Digital Infrastructure Upgrade (scheduled 2023), and TAFE Gippsland Port of Sale Campus redevelopment (commenced 2021).

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Rosedale shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Rosedale has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 5.6%. Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 4.6%.

As of December 2025795 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 59.1%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Only 11.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may affect this figure. Leading industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Public administration & safety is notably concentrated, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented, with only 6.5% of Rosedale's workforce compared to 9.1% in Regional Vic.. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending May-25, employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force increased by 4.3%, causing unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 12.5% over ten years for Rosedale, based on industry-specific projections applied to its employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Rosedale, median income is $39,483 and average income is $47,861. This is below the national averages of $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average) for Regional Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $42,740 (median) and $51,810 (average). Census 2021 data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Rosedale are between the 14th and 15th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 27.9% of locals (503 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the broader area where 30.3% fall into this category. Housing costs are modest with 87.3% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 19th percentile nationally.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rosedale's dwellings, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 96.1% houses and 3.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosedale was at 42.2%, similar to Regional Vic., with the rest being mortgaged (41.0%) or rented (16.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,200, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430, and national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Rosedale was $250, lower than Regional Vic.'s $285 and national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, consisting of 25.1% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households making up 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 11.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 46.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificates (38.4%). Educational participation is high, with 27.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has three operational public transport stops. These serve five different routes, offering a total of 66 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 549 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily due to Rosedale's residential nature. Cars remain the primary commuting mode at 92%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

Only 11.9% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census), which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Each route has an average service frequency of nine trips per day, resulting in approximately 22 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Rosedale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notably high across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (around 827 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Victoria and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 11.1% and 10.5% of residents respectively. However, 57.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Regional Victoria. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Rosedale has a higher proportion of seniors, with 25.9% of residents aged 65 and over (467 people), compared to 23.9% in Regional Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning broadly with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Rosedale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.9% of its population being citizens born in Australia who speak English only at home. The dominant religion was Christianity, comprising 45.7% of the population. Notably, Judaism was not present (0.0%) compared to Regional Vic.'s 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (34.7%), English (34.0%), and Scottish (8.8%) were the top groups in Rosedale, higher than regional averages of 29.6%, 25.3%, and 7.2% respectively. Dutch (2.4%) was overrepresented compared to Regional Vic.'s 1.7%, as were Russian (0.4% vs 0.1%) and Maltese (0.6% vs 0.5%).

Rosedale hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Rosedale's median age is 46, which is higher than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 and significantly above the national norm of 38. The 45-54 age group constitutes 14.4% of Rosedale's population, compared to Regional Vic., while the 15-24 cohort makes up 7.9%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 45 to 54 age group increased from 12.0% to 14.4%, and the 75 to 84 cohort rose from 7.8% to 9.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort decreased from 12.8% to 11.1%, and the 15 to 24 group fell from 9.3% to 7.9%. By 2041, Rosedale's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 45 to 54 group is projected to grow by 39% (100 people), reaching 360 from 259. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.