Rosedale (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Rosedale (Vic.) is around 1,686 people. This figure reflects a decrease since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,729 people. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and their analysis of the ABS resident population data from Jun 2024. This level of population results in a density ratio of approximately 8.3 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed about 53% to recent population gains in the suburb.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate an above median growth for Australia's regional areas. Rosedale (Vic.) is expected to grow by approximately 369 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of about 25.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Rosedale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Rosedale shows approximately 6 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling around 33 homes. In FY26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year arriving per new home in Rosedale between FY21 and FY25 is approximately 0.6. This indicates that supply meets or exceeds demand, offering greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections.

The average construction value for new properties in the area is around $436,000. In this financial year, there have been approximately $8.9 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating Rosedale's primarily residential nature compared to other areas. Relative to Rest of Vic., Rosedale shows approximately 64% of construction activity per person and ranks among the 52nd percentile of areas assessed nationally.

Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 317 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Rosedale is forecasted to gain around 429 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases in the area.

Rosedale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a single project that is expected to impact the area. Key projects include Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale (scheduled for completion 2024), Regional Housing Fund Gippsland (commenced 2018), Gippsland Digital Infrastructure Upgrade (started 2020), and TAFE Gippsland Port of Sale Campus redevelopment (commenced 2019). The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Rosedale lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Rosedale's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate, as of June 2025, is 5.9%.

The area has 763 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 2.1% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation at 53.0%, below the regional standard of 57.4%. Key industries for Rosedale's residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training is under-represented, at 6.5% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 9.1%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between Jun-24 and Jul-25, labour force decreased by 1.7%, employment by 3.4%, leading to a 1.7 percentage point unemployment rate rise. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.9% and labour force decline of 0.4%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's Sep-22 national employment forecasts project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rosedale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 2022, Rosedale had a median income among taxpayers of $39,483 and an average level of $47,861. This was below the national average of $51,369. In comparison, Rest of Vic had levels of $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income for Rosedale would be approximately $44,284 and average income $53,681. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Rosedale all fell between the 14th and 15th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data showed that 27.9% of the population (470 individuals) had an income range of $1,500 - $2,999, similar to regional levels where 30.3% occupied this bracket. Housing costs were modest with 87.3% of income retained, but total disposable income ranked at just the 19th percentile nationally.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Rosedale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.1% houses and 3.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 91.9% houses and 8.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosedale was 42.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (41.0%) or rented (16.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Rosedale was $1,200, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,300 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Rosedale was $250, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260 and the national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 67.7% of all households, including 25.1% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Vic.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges with university qualification rates at 11.7%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.4% and postgraduate qualifications at 1.6%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 8.4% and certificates at 38.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education. Rosedale Primary School provides local educational services within Rosedale, with an enrollment of 95 students as of the latest data. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas from 2021 onwards. Limited local school capacity (5.6 places per 100 residents vs 14.5 regionally) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling since 2018.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has three active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 14 different routes that collectively facilitate 119 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically residing 549 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 17 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rosedale is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Only approximately 46% (~773 people) have private health cover, compared to 49.2% across the rest of Victoria and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.1%) and mental health issues (10.5%), while 57.9% report no medical ailments, compared to 62.7% in the rest of Victoria.

Rosedale has 25.0% (421 people) aged 65 and over, higher than the 23.5% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but perform better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Rosedale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.9% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (90.8%), and speaking English only at home (97.1%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Rosedale, comprising 45.7% of the population. Notably, Judaism's representation is equal to that of Rest of Vic., both at 0%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (34.7%), English (34.0%), and Scottish (8.8%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Dutch is overrepresented in Rosedale at 2.4% compared to the regional average of 2.1%, Russian at 0.4% versus 0.2%, and Maltese at 0.6% versus 0.4%.

Rosedale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Rosedale's median age is 46, making it slightly older than Victoria's figure of 43 and significantly higher than Australia's norm of 38. The 45-54 age group comprises 14.0%, compared to the Rest of Vic., while the 15-24 cohort stands at 8.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 45-54 age group grew from 12.0% to 14.0%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 7.8% to 8.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 12.8% to 11.0%, and the 15-24 group dropped from 9.3% to 8.1%. By 2041, Rosedale's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 59% (138 people), reaching 375 from 236. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.