Rosedale (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Rosedale are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Rosedale (Vic.) is around 1,766 people. This figure reflects an increase of 37 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,729 people. The current resident population estimate of 1,753 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 8.7 persons per square kilometer. Rosedale's 2.1% growth since the census is within 0.3 percentage points of the SA3 area's 2.4%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a significant population increase is forecasted for the top quartile of locations outside capital cities, with Rosedale expected to grow by 377 persons, reflecting a total gain of 20.6% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Rosedale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Rosedale has experienced around 7 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 36 homes. As of August 2022, 4 approvals have been recorded in FY-26. During this period, population has fallen, yet development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, potentially benefiting buyers.

The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $436,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year, approximately $9.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating moderate levels of commercial development compared to previous years. When measured against Rest of Vic., Rosedale shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person as of June 2021.

Nationally, it places among the 56th percentile of areas assessed during this period. Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. As of August 2022, there are approximately 279 people per dwelling approval in Rosedale, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Rosedale is forecasted to gain 364 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Rosedale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A single project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Princes Highway East Duplication Traralgon to Sale, Regional Housing Fund Gippsland, Gippsland Digital Infrastructure Upgrade, and TAFE Gippsland Port of Sale Campus, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Rosedale shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Rosedale has a diverse workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 5.7% as of the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 4.1%.

As of December 2025783 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.7%, which is 2.0% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Rosedale is lower at 56.0%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. Census data shows that 11.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Public administration & safety has notable concentration with levels at 1.5 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented at 6.5% compared to Regional Vic.'s 9.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 4.1%, while labour force grew by 4.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment decline by 0.6% and labour force decline by 0.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rosedale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Rosedale, median income is $39,483 and average income is $47,861. This is lower than Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $43,281 (median) and $52,465 (average). Census 2021 income data ranks Rosedale's household, family, and personal incomes between the 14th and 15th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 27.9% of locals (492 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the broader area where 30.3% fall into this range. Housing costs are modest, with 87.3% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 19th percentile nationally.

Rosedale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rosedale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.1% houses and 3.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosedale was at 42.2%, similar to Regional Vic., with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented ones at 16.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,200, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $250, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Rosedale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Rosedale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 67.7% of all households, including 25.1% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute 32.3%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Rosedale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates of 11.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This indicates both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificates (38.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosedale has three active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops offer a mix of train services, with five individual routes collectively providing 66 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 549 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuting is outward-bound, with cars being the dominant mode at 92%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.9% of residents work from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages nine trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rosedale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosedale faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notably high across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (around 810 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.

and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 11.1% and 10.5% of residents respectively. However, 57.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. The working-age population has notably high chronic condition rates. Rosedale has a higher proportion of seniors, with 26.2% of residents aged 65 and over (around 462 people), compared to 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Rosedale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rosedale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.9% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (90.8%), and speaking English only at home (97.1%). Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 45.7% of Rosedale's population. Notably, Judaism had no representation (0.0%) compared to Regional Vic.'s average of 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians were the largest group at 34.7%, higher than the regional average of 29.6%. English and Scottish groups followed at 34.0% and 8.8% respectively. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Dutch were overrepresented at 2.4% (regional average 1.7%), Russian at 0.4% (0.1%), and Maltese at 0.6% (0.5%).

Rosedale hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Rosedale's median age is 46, which is slightly higher than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 and significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The 45-54 age group is strongly represented at 14.0%, compared to Regional Vic., while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 8.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 45 to 54 age group has grown from 12.0% to 14.0%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.8% to 9.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 12.8% to 10.3%, and the 15 to 24 group dropped from 9.3% to 8.0%. By 2041, Rosedale is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The 45 to 54 group is projected to grow by 52% (129 people), reaching 377 from 247. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.