Nyora (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Nyora reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Nyora's population is estimated at around 1,637 people, reflecting a decrease of 7 since the 2021 Census figure of 1,644. This decline is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population as 1,626 in June 2024, along with validation of 6 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 20 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration contributed significantly to recent growth, accounting for nearly 58% of overall gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decline by 83 persons, but specific age cohorts like those aged 25 to 34 are expected to grow, with a projected increase of 32 people in this age group.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Nyora according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Nyora had minimal residential development activity with 2 dwelling approvals annually between 2015 and 2019, totaling 14 dwellings over the five-year period. This low level of development reflects Nyora's rural nature, where housing needs drive development rather than broad market demand. The small number of approvals can significantly impact annual growth and relativity statistics.

Recent building activity consisted entirely of detached houses, maintaining Nyora's rural character emphasizing space. With an estimated 552 people per dwelling approval, Nyora's development environment is quiet and low activity.

Population is expected to remain stable or decline, reducing pressure on housing and potentially creating buying opportunities.

Nyora has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified zero projects impacting this region. Key projects include Warragul and Drouin Precinct Structure Plan, Victorian Desalination Plant Expansion, Great Southern Offshore Wind Farm, and Additional VLocity Trains. Below lists those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Nyora places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Nyora maintains a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notable in construction. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% in September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the past year.

Nyora's residents had a workforce participation rate of 63.7%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Leading industries were construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance. Construction was particularly prominent with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Over the 12 months to September 2025, Nyora's employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force rose by 4.2%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points.

Conversely, Rest of Vic. saw employment contraction and a rise in unemployment. Statewide, VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts from May-25 project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Nyora's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation not accounting for population changes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Nyora's median income among taxpayers is $51,402. The average income in Nyora is $62,843. This is lower than the national average. Rest of Vic.'s median income is $50,954 with an average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Nyora as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,643 (median) and $68,028 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Nyora rank modestly, between the 43rd and 54th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 36.2% of residents (592 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.3% occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses. Nyora's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Nyora is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Nyora's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyora stood at 34.0%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 59.1% and rented ones at 6.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, and the median weekly rent was $315. Compared nationally, Nyora's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyora features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households account for 83.5% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Educational outcomes in Nyora fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (36.7%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates two operational public transport stops in Nyora, utilizing a mix of bus services. These stops are served by one route, collectively facilitating 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 519 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages five trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately twenty weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Nyora are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Nyora shows below-average health outcomes with common conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 52% (~846 people) of Nyora's total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions are asthma (9.9%) and arthritis (8.9%). 66.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in the rest of Victoria. Nyora has 15.4% (252 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are above average and better than those in the general population.

Nyora is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Nyora had a cultural diversity level below average, with 87.1% citizens, 88.3% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 39.8%. The 'Other' religious category was overrepresented at 0.7%, compared to None% regionally.

For ancestry, Australians comprised 36.2%, English 32.9%, and Scottish 7.8%. Notably, Dutch were overrepresented at 2.8%, Maltese at 0.7%, and Samoan at 0.2%, compared to None% each regionally.

Nyora's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Nyora is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Rest of Vic., the 5-14 age group is notably higher at 14.6% locally while the 65-74 age group is lower at 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has grown from 13.2% to 14.6%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 4.3% to 5.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 16.3% to 14.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Nyora. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand by 31 people (18%), growing from 176 to 208. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.