Nyora (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Nyora reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, Nyora's population is estimated at around 1,638, reflecting a decrease of 6 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,644. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 1,626 residents following examination of ABS' ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 7 new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is approximately 20 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration primarily drove recent population growth, contributing around 58% of overall gains. AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. These projections indicate a decline in Nyora's overall population by 158 persons by 2041, despite anticipated growth across specific age cohorts led by the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 29 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Nyora according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Nyora has had minimal residential development activity, with an average of 3 dwelling approvals per year over the five-year period from January 2015 to December 2019 (a total of 15 dwellings). This low level of development reflects Nyora's rural nature, where housing needs are typically met through specific local projects rather than broader market demand. It is important to note that due to the small number of approvals, individual development projects can significantly impact annual growth and relativity statistics.

Recent building activity in Nyora has consisted entirely of detached houses, maintaining the area's rural character with an emphasis on space. As of January 2021, the estimated population per dwelling approval is 474 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment.

With a stable or declining population expected in the future, Nyora should experience reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Nyora has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. As of AreaSearch's identification, zero projects are expected to significantly impact this area. Notable projects include Warragul and Drouin Precinct Structure Plan, Victorian Desalination Plant Expansion, Great Southern Offshore Wind Farm, and Additional VLocity Trains, with the following list providing more detail on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Nyora places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Nyora's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with construction being notably prominent. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%, having grown by 5.7% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation from statistical areas. As of December 2025933 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0%, below Regional Vic.'s 3.7%.

Workforce participation is high at 72.7%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Home-based work accounts for 17.5% of jobs, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key employment sectors include construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance. Nyora specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has a lower presence at 11.6%, compared to 16.8% regionally. Local job opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.7% while labour force rose by 5.2%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment decreased by 0.6%, labour force fell by 0.7%, and unemployment dropped by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Nyora's employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Nyora's employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Nyora's median income among taxpayers is $51,402 and the average is $62,843. This is lower than national averages. Regional Vic.'s median is $50,954 with an average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Nyora would be approximately $55,643 (median) and $68,028 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family, and personal incomes in Nyora rank modestly between the 43rd and 54th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 36.2% of residents (592 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to regional levels where 30.3% occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses. Nyora's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Nyora is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Nyora's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, were 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyora stood at 34.0%, with the rest either mortgaged (59.1%) or rented (6.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Nyora was $315, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Nyora's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyora features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.5% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Nyora fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (36.7%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyora has two operational public transport stops. One route serves these stops, offering a total of 40 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is moderate, with residents being an average of 519 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, primarily by car (94%). On average, there are 2.4 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 17.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency is approximately five trips per day across all routes, equating to about 20 weekly trips per stop.

Nyora's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Nyora's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts. Approximately 52% of Nyora's total population (~846 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions are asthma (9.9%) and arthritis (8.9%). About 66.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Nyora has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (253 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Nyora is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Nyora's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.1% of its population being citizens and 88.3% born in Australia. Additionally, 96.6% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Nyora, comprising 39.8% of people.

However, there was an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, with 0.7% compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%. In terms of ancestry, Australian was the most represented group at 36.2%, higher than the regional average of 29.6%. English followed at 32.9%, and Scottish at 7.8%. Notably, Dutch were overrepresented at 2.8% compared to Regional Vic's 1.7%, Maltese at 0.7% vs 0.5%, and Samoan at 0.2% vs 0.1%.

Nyora's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Nyora is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 5-14 age cohort makes up 14.6% of Nyora's population, higher than the Regional Vic. average, while the 65-74 age group comprises 9.2%, lower than the regional average. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 13.2% to 14.9%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 4.3% to 5.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 16.3% to 13.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Nyora. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to expand by 21 people (12%), reaching 202 from an initial 180. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.