Nyora (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Nyora reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Nyora (Vic.) is estimated at around 1,638, a decrease of 6 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,644. This change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 1,626 as of June 2024 and 7 new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census date. The population density is approximately 20 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration contributed around 58% to overall population gains in recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors. Population projections for Nyora (Vic.) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods.

According to these projections, the suburb's population is expected to reduce by 89 persons by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 28 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Nyora according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Nyora has had minimal residential development activity with 2 dwelling approvals annually over the past five years (14 approvals total). This low level of development is characteristic of rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. Given the small number of approvals, individual projects can significantly impact annual growth statistics.

Recent development has been entirely detached dwellings, reflecting Nyora's rural character with larger properties being typical. With an estimated 552 people per dwelling approval, Nyora's development environment is quiet and low activity.

The population is expected to remain stable or decline, reducing pressure on housing and potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Nyora has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No changes can affect an area's performance as much as alterations to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact the area. Notable projects include Warragul and Drouin Precinct Structure Plan, Victorian Desalination Plant Expansion, Great Southern Offshore Wind Farm, and Additional VLocity Trains, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Nyora rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Nyora has a balanced workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is particularly prominent, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% as of September 2025. This rate is lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Employment growth in Nyora over the past year was estimated at 4.6%. There are 927 residents currently employed, with a workforce participation rate of 72.3%, higher than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 61.4%. According to Census responses, 17.5% of residents work from home. The key industries of employment among Nyora's residents are construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance.

Construction employment levels are at 1.7 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance has limited presence with 11.6% employment compared to the regional average of 16.8%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force increased by 4.1%, causing a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.7% and a marginal rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Nyora. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Nyora's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Nyora's median income is $51,402 and average income is $62,843. This is below the national average. Rest of Vic.'s figures are a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728. Based on 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Nyora are approximately $55,643 (median) and $68,028 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 data ranks Nyora's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 43rd and 54th percentiles. Income distribution shows 36.2% of locals (592 people) earn $1,500 - 2,999, consistent with surrounding regions at 30.3%. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses. Nyora's SEIFA income ranking is in the 4th decile.

Nyora is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Nyora's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyora was at 34.0%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (59.1%) or rented (6.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Nyora was $1,733, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average. The median weekly rent figure in Nyora was recorded at $315, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Nyora's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyora features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.5% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.5%, consisting of 14.7% lone person households and 1.4% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Nyora fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (36.7%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyora has two operational public transport stops. One route serves these stops, offering a total of 40 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 519 meters from the nearest stop. Most Nyora residents commute outward daily, primarily using cars (94%). The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 2.4, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 17.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are five trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Nyora's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Nyora's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are present at a standard level across both young and older age cohorts. Approximately 52% of Nyora's total population (~846 people) has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma (9.9%) and arthritis (8.9%). About 66.3% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. Working-age residents show a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Nyora has 15.8% of residents aged 65 and over (258 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors in Nyora are above average, with national rankings even higher than those for the general population.

Nyora is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Nyora's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.1% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (88.3%), and speaking English only at home (96.6%). Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 39.8% of Nyora's population. The most significant overrepresentation was observed in the 'Other' category, which made up 0.7% of Nyora's population compared to 0.8% across Victoria.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (36.2%), English (32.9%), and Scottish (7.8%). Notably, Dutch (2.8%) Maltese (0.7%), and Samoan (0.2%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.7%, 0.5%, and 0.1% respectively.

Nyora's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Nyora is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 35-44 age cohort is notably over-represented in Nyora at 15.1%, compared to the Rest of Vic. average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 9.6%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has increased from 13.2% to 15.1%, and the 75-84 cohort has grown from 4.3% to 5.7%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 16.3% to 13.4%. Population forecasts for Nyora indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand by 29 people (16%), from 176 to 206, while the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.