Nyora (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Nyora reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

By May 2026, the population of Nyora (Vic.) is estimated at around 1,621, reflecting a decrease of 23 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,644. This estimation is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of ABS data up to June 2025. The population density in Nyora (Vic.) as of May 2026 is approximately 20 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration contributed significantly to population growth, accounting for nearly 58% of overall gains during recent periods. AreaSearch's projections for the suburb are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels using weighted aggregation.

According to these projections, Nyora (Vic.)'s population is expected to decline by 166 persons by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to expand by 22 people during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Nyora, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Nyora's development activity is limited, averaging three approvals per year over five years (15 approvals). This low level of development is typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is constrained by local demand and infrastructure capacity. The small sample size means individual projects can significantly influence annual growth statistics.

Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, reflecting Nyora's rural character with larger properties being common. There are approximately 465 people per dwelling approval in the area, indicating its quiet development environment.

Population projections show stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures and benefiting potential buyers.

Nyora has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Warragul and Drouin Precinct Structure Plans, Victorian Desalination Plant Expansion, Great Southern Offshore Wind Farm, and Additional VLocity Trains, with the following list outlining those most pertinent.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Nyora places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Nyora's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with a 4.7% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, Nyora has an unemployment rate of 1.4%.

Residents' participation in the workforce is high at 69.4%, exceeding Regional Vic.'s rate of 61.0%. Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered regarding work-from-home figures (17.5% of residents). Key industries include construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance. Nyora is particularly specialized in construction, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has a lower presence at 11.6%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 16.8%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as suggested by Census data comparing working population and resident population. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 4.7% while labour force grew by 4.2%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). By comparison, Regional Vic. saw a decline in employment (-0.6%) and labour force (-0.7%), with a smaller reduction in unemployment (-0.1%). Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Nyora's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.5% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Nyora's median income among taxpayers is $51,402, with an average of $62,843. This is lower than the national average, compared to Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Nyora would be approximately $56,347 (median) and $68,888 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Nyora rank modestly, between the 43rd and 54th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 36.2% of locals (586 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to surrounding regions where 30.3% occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses and Nyora's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Nyora is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Nyora's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyora stood at 34.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.1% and rented ones at 6.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Nyora was recorded at $315, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Nyora's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyora features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.5% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Nyora fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 7.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 47.7% holding such qualifications.

Advanced diplomas account for 11.0%, while certificates make up 36.7%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyora has two active public transport stops. These stops are served by one route, offering a total of forty weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Nyora is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 519 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, primarily using cars, which remain the dominant mode of transport at 94%. On average, there are 2.4 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 17.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages five trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately twenty weekly trips per individual stop.

Nyora's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Nyora's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 52% of the total population (~838 people). The most common medical conditions are asthma (9.9%) and arthritis (8.9%). 66.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Nyora has 16.1% of residents aged 65 and over (260 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Nyora is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Nyora's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.1% of its population being citizens and 88.3% born in Australia. English was the language spoken at home by 96.6%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 39.8% of Nyora's population.

The category 'Other' was overrepresented at 0.7%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 0.8%. In terms of ancestry, Australian parents were most common at 36.2%, higher than the regional average of 29.6%. English followed at 32.9%, with Scottish at 7.8%. Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.8% compared to Regional Vic.'s 1.7%, Maltese at 0.7% vs 0.5%, and Samoan at 0.2% vs 0.1%.

Nyora's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Nyora is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 5-14 age cohort makes up 14.9% of Nyora's population, higher than Regional Vic.'s average, while the 65-74 age group constitutes 9.6%, lower than the regional average. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.3% to 6.0% of Nyora's population, and the 35 to 44 cohort has increased from 13.2% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 16.3% to 13.9%. By 2041, Nyora's population is projected to see significant changes. The 25 to 34 age cohort is expected to grow by 14 people (9%), reaching 185 from the current 170. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 and 75 to 84 cohorts are forecasted to decrease in population.