Nyora (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Nyora reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Nyora's population is estimated at around 1,656 people. This reflects a growth from the 2021 Census figure of 1,644 people, an increase of 12 individuals (0.7%). AreaSearch estimates this based on the resident population of 1,628 and six validated new addresses since the Census date, using ABS ERP data released in June 2024. This results in a density ratio of 20 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. These projections indicate a population decline of 80 persons by 2041 in Nyora (Vic.), with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 33 people over this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Nyora, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Nyora had approximately 3 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling around 15 dwellings. As of FY26, there have been 0 approvals recorded so far. On average, about 3.9 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand outstripping supply, which can put upward pressure on prices and increase buyer competition. This year, $360,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a residential focus.

Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving Nyora's traditional low-density character with family homes being the primary type constructed.

Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should ease housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers.

Nyora has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

No significant changes or initiatives to local infrastructure have been identified in this area by AreaSearch that could impact its performance. Four key projects are noted: Warragul and Drouin Precinct Structure Plan, Victorian Desalination Plant Expansion, Great Southern Offshore Wind Farm, and Additional VLocity Trains. The following list provides details on those most likely to be relevant.

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The labour market strength in Nyora positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Nyora has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs, with the construction sector being notably represented. As of June 2025909 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.9% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Workforce participation in Nyora is on par with Greater Melbourne at 64.1%. Key industries for employment include construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance. Nyora has a significant specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 17.6 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical jobs are limited, at 3.4% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Over the year ending June 2025, labour force levels and employment both decreased by 0.3% in Nyora, maintaining a stable unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a rise in its unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that over five years, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Nyora's employment mix indicates a potential local employment increase of 5.5% over five years and 11.9% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Nyora's median income among taxpayers is $51,401, with an average of $62,842. This is lower than the national average, compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Nyora would be approximately $57,651 (median) and $70,484 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 43rd percentile, family income at the 49th percentile, and personal income at the 54th percentile in Nyora. The earnings profile shows that 36.2% of residents (599 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses. Nyora's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Nyora is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Nyora's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had no houses or other dwellings recorded. Home ownership in Nyora stood at 34.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.1% and rented ones at 6.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with the Melbourne metro average. The median weekly rent was $315, unlike Melbourne metro where figures were not recorded nationally. Nyora's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyora features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households comprise 83.5% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Educational outcomes in Nyora fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.7%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (36.7%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.7% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.2% in tertiary education.

Nyora Primary School serves the local area, with an enrollment of 40 students as of a recent report. The school's ICSEA score is 990, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. It caters exclusively to primary education; secondary options are available in surrounding areas. There are 2.4 school places per 100 residents, suggesting many local students attend schools outside the immediate area.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyora has two active public transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with three individual routes in total providing seventy-two weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents generally located five hundred and nineteen meters from the nearest transport stop on average.

Service frequency averages ten trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately thirty-six weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Nyora are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Nyora's health indicators show below-average results with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population, which consists of about 856 people, slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area. Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.9% and 8.9% of residents respectively. About 66.3% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Melbourne. Nyora has 15.4% of its population aged 65 and over, which amounts to approximately 255 people. Health outcomes among seniors in the area are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Nyora is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Nyora, surveyed between June 2016 to June 2021, showed low cultural diversity: 87.1% of residents were Australian citizens, 88.3% were born in Australia, and 96.6% spoke English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion (39.8%). Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 0.7%, contrasting with None% in Greater Melbourne.

Ancestry-wise, Australians topped at 36.2%, followed by English at 32.9%, and Scottish at 7.8%. Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.8%, Maltese at 0.7%, and Samoan at 0.2%, compared to None% regionally for these groups.

Nyora hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Nyora's median age is 40, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Nyora has a notably higher proportion of 55-64 year-olds (14.5% locally) and a lower proportion of 25-34 year-olds (10.8%). Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group grew from 13.2% to 14.6%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.3% to 5.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 16.3% to 14.1%. Demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Nyora's age profile by 2041. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand by 30 people (17%), growing from 178 to 209. Conversely, both the 45-54 and 65-74 age groups are expected to decrease in number.