Uralla (NSW)

Uralla is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Uralla is around 2,619. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 2,728 people, marking a drop of 109 individuals (4.0%). The current resident population estimate of 2,580 comes from AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and validation of additional 22 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 13.5 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration drove recent population growth, contributing approximately 76.0% of overall gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are applied. Growth rates by age group are used for years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate an increase just below the median for national regional areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by 251 persons, reflecting a total increase of 15.1% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Uralla is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Uralla has received approximately 6 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between financial years FY21 to FY25, around 31 homes were approved, with none so far in FY26. The population decline over recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $265,000, below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year, commercial development approvals totalled $394,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Uralla shows around 56% of construction activity per person and ranks among the 26th percentile nationally, suggesting relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing homes. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density character and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 612 people. AreaSearch projects Uralla to grow by 396 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Uralla has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely to impact this region. Key projects are Deeargee Solar And Battery Project, New England Solar Farm, Social Housing Development Initiative - Armidale, and Armidale Regional Local Housing Strategy. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Uralla ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Uralla has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.5% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5%.

As of June 2025, 1,348 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 1.2% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was somewhat below standard at 54.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction, with a particularly strong specialization in the former sector, which has an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Manufacturing has limited presence, with only 2.7% employment compared to the regional average of 5.8%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.5%, while labour force grew by 2.4%, causing a fall in unemployment rate of 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a rise in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insight into potential future demand within Uralla. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Uralla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes that does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Uralla's median income among taxpayers is $39,399. The average income is $47,103. This is lower than the national average. Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Uralla would be approximately $44,367 (median) and $53,043 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Uralla all fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 28.0% of locals (733 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, aligning with the broader area where this cohort represents 29.9%. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Uralla is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Uralla, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.0% houses and 7.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 87.1% houses and 12.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Uralla stood at 40.6%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (26.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,267, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,408. The median weekly rent figure was $250, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $280. Nationally, Uralla's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Uralla features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 65.9% of all households, including 20.9% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.1%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households making up 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Educational outcomes in Uralla fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates at 19.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 12.8% of residents holding one, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.7% of residents aged 15+ having vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 28.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.8%), secondary education (8.2%), and tertiary education (3.1%). The area has two schools serving a total of 332 students: Uralla Central School and St Joseph's Primary School. The area's educational conditions are varied, with an ICSEA score of 939. It offers one primary school and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Uralla has 95 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 14 routes that together facilitate 250 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 179 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility.

Service frequency averages 35 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Uralla is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Uralla faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 46%, or about 1,195 people, which is lower than Rest of NSW's 48.9% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.1%) and mental health issues (10.3%).

Conversely, 58.8% report no medical ailments, compared to 65.5% in Rest of NSW. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.8%, or 623 people, which is higher than the 20.2% in Rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are notably better than those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Uralla placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Uralla had a low cultural diversity, with 92.9% born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the primary religion, at 58.6%, compared to 55.0% regionally. The top three ancestries were English (31.2%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (10.0%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginals were overrepresented at 9.2% (vs regional 5.7%), Russians at 0.5% (vs 0.2%), and Germans at 4.0% (vs 3.5%).

Uralla hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Uralla's median age stands at 46, which is higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and significantly exceeds the national average of 38. The age group of 65-74 years has a strong representation in Uralla at 14.1%, compared to Rest of NSW, while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 9.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 0-4 age group has increased from 5.5% to 6.2% of Uralla's population, whereas the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 15.1% to 14.1%. By the year 2041, Uralla is projected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The 35-44 age group is expected to grow by 26%, reaching 357 people from 282. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort is projected to decline by 4 people.