Uralla (NSW)

Uralla is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Uralla (NSW) statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 2,856 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 128 people (4.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,728 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,697 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 22 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 14.8 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area which exceeded the SA3 area (3.0%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a median increase just below national regional areas, with the area expected to increase by 254 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 5.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Uralla is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Uralla has seen around 6 dwellings approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 33 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY26. The population decline over recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $265,000, which is below regional levels, offering more affordable housing options for buyers. This year, $462,000 worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the area's residential focus. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Uralla shows around 59% of construction activity per person and ranks in the 33rd percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered together. This results in relatively constrained buyer choice, with interest in existing homes supported due to lower construction activity.

Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 501 people. Looking ahead, Uralla is projected to grow by 162 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Uralla has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two major projects that may impact this region: Deeargee Solar And Battery Project (commencing 2023) and New England Solar Farm (scheduled for completion by 2025). Other notable initiatives include Social Housing Development Initiative - Armidale (started in Q1 2022) and Armidale Regional Local Housing Strategy (expected to finish in late 2024).

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Uralla maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Uralla has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%.

Employment stability in the area has been relatively consistent over the past year. As of September 2025, 1,333 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.9% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is somewhat below standard at 54.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction.

Education & training shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Manufacturing has limited presence in Uralla with only 2.7% employment compared to 5.8% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparisons between working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.1% while employment decreased by 0.2%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.5%, labour force contracted by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to November 25, 2025 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Uralla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Uralla's median income among taxpayers is $39,399. The average income in Uralla during this period was $47,103. Nationally, these figures are lower than the average. In comparison, Rest of NSW had a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 suggest Uralla's median income would be approximately $42,890 and the average around $51,276. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Uralla fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. Income brackets reveal that 28.0% of locals (799 people) predominantly earn between $1,500 - 2,999, aligning with the broader area where this cohort also represents 29.9%. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains in Uralla, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Uralla is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Uralla, as per the latest Census evaluation, 92.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 7.9% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 87.1% houses and 12.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Uralla stood at 40.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.4% and rented ones at 26.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,267, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,408. Median weekly rent in Uralla was $250, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $280. Nationally, Uralla's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,267 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Uralla features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 65.9% of all households, including 20.9% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 34.1%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which matches the average for the Rest of NSW.

Educational outcomes in Uralla fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate, at 19.4%, is significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent, with 12.8% of residents holding such qualifications, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent among residents aged 15 and above, with 39.7% holding these skills, including advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 28.8%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Uralla has 102 active public transport stops, served by a mix of trains and buses. These stops are covered by 15 routes offering 284 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 179 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency stands at 40 trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly two weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Uralla is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Uralla faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 46% (around 1,303 people), compared to 49.0% across the Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.1%) and mental health issues (10.3%), while 58.8% report no medical ailments, lower than the 65.5% in the Rest of NSW.

The area has 23.8% residents aged 65 and over (679 people), higher than the 20.2% in the Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but perform better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Uralla placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Uralla had a cultural diversity score below average, with 92.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Uralla, comprising 58.6% of the population, slightly higher than the 55.0% regional average for Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.2%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (10.0%).

Notably, some ethnic groups had different representations: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 9.2% in Uralla compared to the regional average of 5.7%, Russians were also overrepresented at 0.5% versus the regional 0.2%, and Germans showed a slight increase from the regional average of 3.5% to 4.0%.

Uralla hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Uralla's median age is 46, which is slightly higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and notably higher than Australia's national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 14.1% of Uralla's population compared to Rest of NSW, while the 15-24 cohort makes up only 9.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 0-4 age group has increased from 5.5% to 6.2%, but the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 15.1% to 14.1%. By 2041, Uralla's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 35-44 group is projected to grow by 16 people, reaching 358 from 308. Meanwhile, the 65-74 and 55-64 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.