Uralla (NSW)

Uralla is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Uralla's population is estimated at 2,805 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 2,728 people, a rise of 77 individuals (2.8%). The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation using latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2025 and additional 28 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 14.5 persons per square kilometer. Uralla's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (2.3%), marking it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Uralla (NSW) is expected to increase by 263 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 9.4% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Uralla is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Uralla has experienced around 6 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 33 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline over recent years, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $265,000, under regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. This year, $462,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Comparatively, Uralla shows approximately 59% of the construction activity per person when measured against Rest of NSW. Nationally, it places among the 33rd percentile of areas assessed, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing homes.

This lower activity reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 491 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Uralla is expected to grow by 263 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Uralla has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

"Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely impacting the area: Deeargee Solar And Battery Project, New England Solar Farm, Social Housing Development Initiative - Armidale, and Armidale Regional Local Housing Strategy.".

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Uralla maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Uralla has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 1,334 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation is on par with Regional NSW at 60.5%. According to Census responses, 20.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area shows strong specialization in education & training with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Manufacturing has limited presence at 2.7% compared to Regional NSW's 5.8%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force decreased by 1.4%, employment decreased by 1.5%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged in Uralla. In Regional NSW, employment fell by 1.2%, labour force contracted by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Uralla. These projections estimate local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific growth rates against Uralla's employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Uralla's median income among taxpayers is $39,399. The average income is $47,103. This is lower than the national average. Regional NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $43,465 (median) and $51,964 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%. Census data indicates Uralla's household, family, and personal incomes fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort in Uralla is 28.0% (785 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the broader area at 29.9%. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remains, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Uralla is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Uralla, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 92.0% houses and 7.9% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Uralla was 40.6%, similar to Regional NSW's figure. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (26.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Uralla was $1,267, below the Regional NSW average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Uralla was $250, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Uralla's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Uralla features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.9% of all households, including 20.9% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.1%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Uralla fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 12.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.3% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational credentials are common, with 39.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (28.8%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.8% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Uralla has 102 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 15 routes, providing a total of 284 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 179 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility. In this primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward, with cars being the dominant mode at 92%. Walking accounts for 5% of journeys. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 20.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 40 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately two weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this analysis, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Uralla is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Uralla faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notably high across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (around 1,280 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.1% and 10.3% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. As of the latest data (2021), Uralla has 24.9% of its residents aged 65 and over (698 people), higher than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present further challenges, with national rankings even higher than those for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Uralla placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Uralla has a cultural diversity below average, with 92.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Uralla, comprising 58.6% of people, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups are English (31.2%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (10.0%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 9.2% in Uralla than the regional average of 4.6%. Russian and German representations are also notably higher at 0.5% and 4.0%, respectively, compared to their regional averages of 0.2% and 3.1%.

Uralla hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Uralla has a median age of 46, which is higher than Regional NSW's figure of 43 and significantly greater than the national norm of 38. The age group of 65-74 shows strong representation at 14.6% compared to Regional NSW, while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 9.5%. This concentration in the 65-74 age group is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.4% to 8.2% of Uralla's population, while the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 15.2% to 14.5%. By 2041, Uralla is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 35 to 44 group projected to grow by 15 people, reaching 351 from 305, and the 15 to 24 cohort expected to decline by 12 people.