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2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Guyra is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends
As of November 2025, the estimated population of Guyra is around 2,049. This reflects an increase of 46 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,003. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,022, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 30 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 6.9 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Guyra has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.3% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 84.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of locations outside capital cities is expected. The suburb is expected to grow by 257 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 12.5% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in Guyra according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
Guyra has had minimal residential development activity, with an average of one dwelling approval per year over the past five years (seven approvals in total). This low level of development reflects the rural nature of the area, where housing needs are typically specific and local rather than driven by broader market demand. It is important to note that with such low approval numbers, yearly growth figures and relativities can vary significantly based on individual projects.
Guyra has much lower development activity compared to both Rest of NSW and national patterns. Recent development in the area has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining its rural nature and emphasis on space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1355 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Guyra's population is forecasted to grow by 257 residents by 2041.
If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Guyra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a single project likely to impact the area: Boorolong Wind Farm, New England Renewable Energy Zone (REZ), Armidale Region Bridge Renewal Project, and Doughboy Wind Farm are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
New England Renewable Energy Zone (REZ)
Australia's largest declared Renewable Energy Zone with a network capacity of 8 GW. Supports large-scale wind, solar, storage and emerging energy projects backed by new transmission infrastructure. Expected to attract approximately A$24 billion in private investment and create around 6,000 construction jobs and 2,000 ongoing operational jobs across the New England region.
Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
State-wide NSW planning reforms via amendments to the State Environmental Planning Policy to enable more diverse low and mid-rise housing (dual occupancies, terraces, townhouses, manor houses and residential flat buildings up to 6 storeys) in well-located areas within 800 m of selected train, metro and light-rail stations and town centres. Stage 1 (dual occupancies in R2 zones statewide) commenced 1 July 2024. Stage 2 (mid-rise apartments, terraces and dual occupancies near stations) commenced 28 February 2025. Expected to facilitate up to 112,000 additional homes over the next five years.
New England REZ Transmission Project
Critical transmission infrastructure for the New England Renewable Energy Zone (REZ) in NSW, including new 500 kV and 330 kV lines, energy hubs and enabling works to connect REZ generation to the state grid in the Upper Hunter/Hunter Valley. The project is progressing environmental studies and route refinement, with a scoping report lodged and field investigations ongoing. EnergyCo has commenced procurement for a network operator; EIS preparation continues with public exhibition targeted during 2025.
Boorolong Wind Farm
Proposed 426MW wind farm with 71 turbines and battery storage located approximately 15km north-west of Armidale. Part of the New England REZ contributing clean energy to power 230,000 homes and supporting regional economic development. Expected to avoid 200,000 tonnes of emissions annually.
Thunderbolt Energy Hub (Thunderbolt Wind Farm)
Neoen's Thunderbolt Energy Hub Stage 1 (Thunderbolt Wind Farm) is an approved wind farm with up to 32 turbines in the New England REZ near Kentucky and Bendemeer, NSW. Approved by the IPC on 8 May 2024 (SSD-10807896). The approved wind component has a capacity of approximately 192-230 MW. Earlier solar farm concepts were withdrawn in 2022; a future battery remains possible as part of the broader Energy Hub vision. Construction typically 18-24 months once commenced.
Queensland New South Wales Interconnector
The proposed Queensland New South Wales Interconnector (QNI Connect) aims to link New England's power to Queensland over approx. 600km, enhancing network capacity by up to 1,700 MW, with anticipated completion by FY2030-31.
NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW)
Statewide Transport for NSW program to increase and upgrade heavy vehicle rest stopping across NSW. Works include minor upgrades under the $11.9m Heavy Vehicle Rest Stop Minor Works Program (e.g. new green reflector sites and amenity/signage improvements), early works on new and upgraded formal rest areas in regional NSW, and planning and site confirmation for a major new dedicated rest area in Western Sydney. The program aims to reduce fatigue, improve safety and productivity on key freight routes, and respond to industry feedback collected since 2022.
Armidale Region Bridge Renewal Project
An ongoing project to replace aged timber bridges throughout the Armidale region with new concrete structures. Specific bridges being upgraded include Boorolong Creek Bridge, Bakers Creek Bridge, and Laura Creek Bridge.
Employment
The employment environment in Guyra shows above-average strength when compared nationally
Guyra's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 2.8% in the past year, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%.
Employment grew by 5.0% annually. As of June 2025, 1,122 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of NSW's rate. Workforce participation is 51.6%, lower than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Guyra has a high specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing (5.4 times the regional level). However, accommodation & food services are under-represented at 3.1% compared to Rest of NSW's 7.8%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparisons. In the past year, employment increased by 5.0%, labour force by 3.4%, and unemployment fell by 1.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.1% while unemployment rose by 0.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Guyra's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 5.1% in five years and 11.5% in ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis
Guyra's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2022 was $40,002. The average income stood at $50,311 during the same period. In comparison, Rest of NSW had a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. By September 2025, estimated median income in Guyra would be approximately $45,046, with an average income of $56,655, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Guyra fall between the 4th and 17th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 30.8% of Guyra's population earns within the $400 - $799 range, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 29.9%. Notably, 40.8% of households in Guyra earn below $800 weekly, indicating affordability pressures for many residents. After housing costs, 86.3% of income remains, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Guyra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Guyra's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.8% houses and 4.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 87.1% houses and 12.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Guyra was 46.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.7% and rented ones at 28.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,170, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,408. The median weekly rent in Guyra was $260, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $280. Nationally, Guyra's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,170 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $260 compared to the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Guyra features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a fairly typical median household size
Family households account for 63.4% of all households, including 23.3% couples with children, 28.9% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.6%, with lone person households at 32.6% and group households comprising 4.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which matches the Rest of NSW average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Educational outcomes in Guyra fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment
The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (33.2%).
Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 14.2% in primary, 10.5% in secondary, and 1.7% in tertiary education. The area has two schools: St Mary of the Angels Primary School and Guyra Central School, serving a total of 376 students. These schools offer balanced educational opportunities, with an ICSEA score of 957, typical for Australian schools. The educational mix includes one primary school and one K-12 school.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Guyra has 77 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together facilitate 128 weekly passenger trips. The town's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically situated just 154 meters from the nearest stop.
On average, there are 18 trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly one weekly trip per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Guyra is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts
Guyra faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% (about 960 people), compared to 48.9% in the rest of NSW and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.0%) and asthma (9.2%).
A total of 63.2% reported no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 65.5% in the rest of NSW. In Guyra, 25.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (514 people), higher than the 20.2% in the rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Guyra are above average, even better than those in the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Guyra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics
Guyra's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 82.1% of its population being citizens, 91.2% born in Australia, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Guyra, comprising 67.6%, compared to 55.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (35.8%), English (31.6%), and Scottish (7.9%).
Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 6.2% in Guyra versus the regional average of 5.7%. Hungarian and Vietnamese populations also show slight increases, with 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, compared to regional averages of 0.1% and 0.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Guyra hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
Guyra's median age of 44 years is similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Guyra has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (13.4%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.4%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 increased from 10.9% to 13.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 decreased from 13.7% to 11.7%, and the proportion of residents aged 55 to 64 dropped from 13.3% to 12.0%. By 2041, Guyra's age composition is expected to change significantly. The demographic shift will be led by the 25 to 34 group, which is projected to grow by 38%, reaching 310 residents from 225. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort is projected to decline by 42 people.