Guyra

Guyra is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Guyra is around 2,056 people. This reflects an increase of 53 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,003 people. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of additional 30 new addresses since the Census date, is 2,049 people. This results in a density ratio of 6.9 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Guyra has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.4%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 84.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by this data. Considering projected demographic shifts, the suburb is expected to grow by approximately 243 persons to reach around 2,300 people by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of about 11.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Guyra according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Guyra had eight dwelling approvals over five years, averaging one annually. This low development activity reflects its rural nature, with housing needs driving projects rather than broad market demand. Yearly growth figures can vary significantly due to the low approval numbers and individual projects' impact.

Compared to Rest of NSW and national patterns, Guyra has much lower development activity. All recent development comprised standalone homes, preserving the area's rural character. With 1016 people estimated per dwelling approval, Guyra's development environment is quiet and low-activity. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate forecasts a population increase of 243 residents by 2041.

If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Guyra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting the region: Boorolong Wind Farm, New England Renewable Energy Zone (REZ), Armidale Region Bridge Renewal Project, and Doughboy Wind Farm are key projects, with the following detailed as most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Guyra demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Guyra's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0%. As of September 2025, 1,123 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation at 67.0%.

A moderate 14.0% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Guyra has a significant employment specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing (5.4 times the regional level) but is underrepresented in accommodation & food services (3.1% vs Rest of NSW's 7.8%). The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count.

Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, labour force increased by 0.8%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.5%, labour force contracted by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Guyra's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.1% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Guyra's suburb income level is lower than average nationally, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median taxpayer income is $40,002 and average is $50,311, compared to Rest of NSW's $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $43,546 (median) and $54,769 (average), considering an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Guyra's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 4th and 17th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 30.8% (633 individuals) earning $400 - $799 weekly, differing from regional levels where $1,500 - $2,999 is predominant at 29.9%. Notably, 40.8% earn below $800 weekly after housing costs, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

Guyra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Guyra's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.8% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Guyra stood at 46.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.7% and rented ones at 28.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,170, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Guyra was $260, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Guyra's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Guyra features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 63.4% of all households, including 23.3% couples with children, 28.9% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 36.6%, with lone person households at 32.6% and group households comprising 4.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Guyra fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 8.6% and certificates for 33.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Guyra has 78 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 12 routes that facilitate 128 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent with residents located an average of 154 meters from the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward using private vehicles at a rate of 89%. Five percent use buses and another five percent walk. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 14% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 18 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly one weekly trip per individual stop.

Health performance in Guyra is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Guyra faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is notably low at approximately 47% of the total population (~964 people), compared to 51.9% in Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (11.0%) and asthma (9.2%). 63.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 63.3% across Rest of NSW. Working-age population health challenges are notable with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors at 25.1%, compared to 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors rank above average nationally.

Guyra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Guyra had a cultural diversity below average, with 82.1% citizens, 91.2% born in Australia, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 67.6%, compared to 55.9% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (35.8%), English (31.6%), and Scottish (7.9%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 6.2% in Guyra versus 4.6% regionally, Hungarian was at 0.2%, and Vietnamese at 0.3%.

Guyra hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Guyra's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Guyra has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (13.7%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.5%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 15-24 age group grew from 10.9% to 13.7%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 10.1% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 13.7% to 10.8%. By 2041, Guyra's population is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 33%, reaching 311 people from 234. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.