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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Oxley Vale is $625k, with units at $335k. House values have moved 11.4% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Oxley Vale has an estimated 3,793 residents, down from 3,935 at the 2021 Census — a change of 142 people, or 3.6%. The population has thinned by an average 0.8% a year over five years, slower than 99% of areas nationally. That puts 448 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS population updates and new post-Census address validations, the suburb of Oxley Vale has an estimated population of approximately 3,793 as of Aug 2026. Relative to the 3,935 residents recorded in the 2021 Census, this indicates a decline of 142 people (3.6%). This trend draws on the resident population baseline of 3,750 estimated by AreaSearch using the ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside 6 validated new addresses logged post-Census. With a density of 447 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers ample space per resident with room for future expansion.
Gains in population during recent intervals were driven almost entirely by overseas migration. Projections for the suburb of Oxley Vale utilise ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 models published in 2024 (using 2022 as the base year), supplemented where needed by NSW State Government SA2 figures released in 2022 (with a 2021 base year). Age-specific expansion rates from these datasets are applied across all territories between 2032 and 2041. Factoring in anticipated demographic changes, the suburb of Oxley Vale is projected to record above-median non-metropolitan growth, with aggregated SA2 figures pointing to an addition of 697 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 17.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building activity across Oxley Vale remains quiet, averaging 2 dwelling approvals per year, or 14 dwellings over the five-year period. This subdued pace aligns with the area's rural profile, where construction tends to be stimulated by localized dwelling requirements rather than widespread market appetite. Because total approval numbers are modest, single developments can exert a considerable influence on year-to-year construction metrics and comparisons. Oxley Vale exhibits substantially lower building volumes than Rest of NSW, lagging national construction trends as well. Half (50.0%) of recent approvals were for detached houses, with the other 50.0% comprising townhouses or apartments.
This pivot towards medium-density formats creates accessible pricing options for downsizers, entry-level buyers, and investors, while representing a distinct shift away from the prevailing structure of 93.0% detached houses. Such a transition highlights tightening supplies of greenfield land alongside shifting residential choices and affordability considerations. An estimated ratio of 7574 people per approval further underscores the subdued pace of residential building locally. Forecasts indicate that Oxley Vale will gain 654 residents leading up to 2041 according to the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. Should current construction rates persist, local additions to housing supply may fail to keep pace with demand, which could intensify market competition and place upward pressure on property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Oxley Vale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Oxley Vale, worth an estimated $52 million. A further 37 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.3 billion. 14 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities and energy. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Capital investments, town planning frameworks, and infrastructure delivery significantly shape regional outcomes. AreaSearch has identified 2 projects expected to influence the surrounding area, with notable developments including Oxley Vale Lifestyle Estate, Oxley Vale Neighbourhood Supermarket, Tamworth Global Gateway Park, and Moore Creek Gardens.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Oxley Vale Neighbourhood Supermarket
Redevelopment of the existing site into a modern neighbourhood supermarket, liquor retail outlet, and integrated service station. Following the successful rezoning of the land to E1 Local Centre under the Tamworth Regional LEP 2010 Phase 1 Review, the development supports local community growth and reduces travel distances for residents of Oxley Vale.
Oxley Vale Lifestyle Estate
A 218-dwelling manufactured housing estate designed as a land lease community for the over-50s population. The development includes a large community clubhouse with a library, games room, kitchen, bar, and consultation rooms, alongside recreational facilities such as a gym, outdoor pool, pickleball and tennis courts, and a bowling green.
Eagle View Estate
Eagle View Estate is a staged master-planned residential subdivision in Moore Creek delivered by MAAS Group Properties. The estate delivers approximately 255 large residential lots ranging from 1000 sqm to 2800 sqm with modern rural infrastructure and scenic valley outlooks. Civil works and staged construction are actively progressing across multiple released stages.
East Tamworth Watermain Replacement
Replacement of aging water infrastructure in East Tamworth, focusing on watermain renewal along Hall Street between Lancaster Avenue and Rosedale Avenue. Part of Council's Strategic Asset Renewal Program to enhance water supply reliability and reduce maintenance costs from aging infrastructure failures.
Tamworth Regional Skywalk
A 1.47km elevated walking platform rising 120m through the tree canopy from Endeavour Drive to Oxley Scenic Lookout. The structure includes three viewing platforms, two rest areas, and a 20-metre enclosed pedestrian bridge across Scenic Road. Designed for accessibility, it provides a safe pedestrian alternative to the narrow Scenic Road. Construction reached a major milestone in March 2026 with the installation of the bridge and stairs, with finishing works including handrails, lighting, and landscaping now underway.
Carthage Street Rehabilitation
Major pavement rehabilitation of 2.5 kilometers of Carthage Street, one of East Tamworth's busiest roads. The project includes road surface renewal, kerb and gutter replacement, stormwater improvements, safety enhancements including turning lanes at the White Street intersection, a wombat crossing near St Nicholas' Primary School, median traffic islands, kerb blisters and kerb ramps. The project handles approximately 3,000 vehicle movements daily and is being delivered in staged blocks to minimize traffic disruption.
Tamworth Global Gateway Park
Tamworth Global Gateway Park is a 246-hectare, master-planned enterprise and logistics park at Westdale, adjacent to Tamworth Regional Airport. The multi-stage project features serviced industrial lots, upgraded heavy vehicle road access, and a Qube-operated intermodal rail freight terminal with direct links to Port Botany. With early stages and the intermodal facility now operational, further stages continue to be developed to drive long-term regional economic growth.
Hillvue Public Preschool
A new public preschool is being delivered at Hillvue Public School as part of the NSW Government's $769 million program to build 100 new public preschools co-located with primary schools across NSW. The facility will include two preschool rooms, an outdoor play area, an administration area, amenities, a staff kitchen and storage, catering for up to 40 children per day with a play-based educational program delivered by qualified educators. Construction is underway with the building structure now complete; services fit-off and external landscaping works are in progress, with the preschool targeted to open in time for Day 1, Term 1 2027, pending regulatory service approval.
1,850 residents of Oxley Vale are employed, from a labour force of 1,935. Unemployment sits at 4.4%, with participation at 68.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 3,466, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Oxley Vale features a diverse employment base covering both manual and professional roles, alongside solid representation in essential industries and an unemployment rate of 4.4% compiled via AreaSearch statistical area datasets. As of March 2026, employed residents total 1,850, while joblessness sits 0.3% above the 4.1% seen across Regional NSW. Participation in the labour market remains elevated at 68.4%, outpacing the 60.6% recorded across Regional NSW. Census data indicates that only 9.5% of working locals operated from home, though pandemic-related lockdown measures at the time should be kept in mind.
Major sectors employing local residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing in particular demonstrates strong local concentration, employing a proportion of workers 2.2 times above regional benchmarks. By contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 2.0% of local jobs, below the 5.3% observed in Regional NSW. A comparison of resident workers against the local working population suggests a relatively small base of employment within the immediate area. AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM figures across aggregated areas shows that during the 12 months to March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 3.0% while employment fell by 5.1%, pushing unemployment up by 2.1 percentage points. Across Regional NSW over the same timeframe, employment contracted by 0.9%, the labour supply fell by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. Broader national projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide further context for future labour demand in Oxley Vale across five- and ten-year horizons. Nationally, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though industry variations exist. Weighting these projections against Oxley Vale's industry profile indicates potential local job expansion of 6.2% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting model that does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Oxley Vale is $1,381 a week (about $72,000 a year), with median personal income at $731 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,294 a year against an average of $58,181. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode figures for financial year 2023 reported by AreaSearch show that median taxable earnings in the suburb of Oxley Vale sit at $48,294, with an average of $58,181, trailing national benchmarks as well as the Regional NSW median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Incorporating cumulative Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023 lifts estimated earnings to around $53,278 (median) and $64,185 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places individual, family, and household earnings modestly between the 27th and 34th percentiles. The single largest income group encompasses 33.9% of residents (1,285 people) within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to the 29.9% share seen regionally.
Housing costs generate significant budget pressure, leaving households with 82.8% of income and ranking in the 25th percentile for affordability.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Oxley Vale had 1,373 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 93% detached houses and 1% apartments. 29% are owned with a mortgage, 45% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $335 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,305 a month. Rent absorbs 24.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, housing stock in Oxley Vale was dominated by separate houses at 92.9%, with other dwelling types (semi-detached, apartments, and alternative structures) making up 7.1%, compared against 82.6% houses and 17.4% other formats across Regional NSW. Outright property ownership stood at 26.4%, trailing the wider region, while 28.7% of homes were being purchased under a mortgage and 44.9% were occupied by tenants. Median monthly mortgage obligations of $1,305 sat noticeably below the Regional NSW benchmark of $1,733, whereas median weekly rents were $335 compared to $330 regionally.
On a nationwide scale, local mortgage repayments fall well below the $1,863 Australian norm, and local rental rates remain noticeably under the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Oxley Vale counted 1,373 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 28% are couples with children, against 24% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of living arrangements, accounting for 71.6% of all households. This group includes couples with children (27.6%), couples without children (24.2%), and single parent families (18.3%). Non-family residences make up the remaining 28.4%, led by single-person dwellings at 26.0% and group households at 2.6%. The typical household size sits at 2.6 people, slightly above the Regional NSW figure of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.8% of adults in Oxley Vale hold a university qualification, including 11.9% with a bachelor degree and 2.4% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 87% of areas nationally. A further 30.8% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 371 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 878 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment levels highlight educational challenges in the area, with 15.8% of residents holding university qualifications compared to 32.2% across NSW, presenting opportunities for educational development. Attainment at the bachelor level stands at 11.9%, alongside postgraduate degrees at 2.4% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational education represents a significant focus, with 39.4% of the population aged 15+ possessing technical qualifications, consisting of certificates (30.8%) and advanced diplomas (8.6%). A significant 32.6% of the local population is currently enrolled in formal schooling or study. Within this student cohort, 13.6% attend primary school, 8.3% are in secondary school, and 2.6% are engaged in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Oxley Vale reaches 62 stops on 26 routes, timetabled for about 250 services a week. The typical home sits about 110 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Oxley Vale is serviced by 62 active public bus stops connected across 26 distinct routes, delivering 251 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is strong, with typical homes located 110 meters from the nearest boarding point. As an established residential community, outbound commuting is widespread, and private vehicles account for 96% of journeys. Households own an average of 1.4 vehicles. At the 2021 Census, 9.5% of workers reported working from home, a figure influenced by COVID-19 circumstances. Bus services run at an overall frequency of 35 trips per day across the network, translating to approximately 4 weekly trips for each designated stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
62.0% of residents in Oxley Vale report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 94% of areas nationally. 8.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 8.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch examining chronic conditions and mortality rates indicate distinct wellness challenges across both younger and older cohorts in Oxley Vale. Private health insurance coverage is comparatively subdued, held by approximately 50% of residents (~1,895 people), trailing the Australian average of 55.7%. The two most prevalent health issues reported locally are mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 11.2 and 10.8% of the community respectively. Meanwhile, 62.0% of inhabitants reported no long-term medical issues, closely trailing the 63.3% level across Regional NSW. Chronic conditions are elevated among working-age residents.
Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 14.5% of the populace (549 people), a smaller share than the 23.3% recorded in Regional NSW, with older resident health metrics generally aligning with broader nationwide patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Oxley Vale is largely Australian-born, at 88.9% of residents, with 9.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (32.0%) and English (27.4%). 12.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Oxley Vale registers lower cultural diversity relative to broader benchmarks, with Australian citizens making up 86.8% of residents, 88.9% born in Australia, and 90.5% using solely English at home. Christianity forms the largest faith, adhered to by 57.9% of the population compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. Looking at parental birthplaces, the primary ancestries in Oxley Vale are Australian at 32.0%, English at 27.4%, and Australian Aboriginal at 12.5%, which substantially exceeds the regional proportion of 4.6%. Several other backgrounds show distinctive local representations, including Filipino at 1.4% (against 0.6% regionally), Vietnamese at 0.8% (against 0.1% regionally), and Lebanese at 0.2% (matching 0.2% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Oxley Vale is 32, younger than 86% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 28.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographics in the suburb of Oxley Vale are oriented heavily around family-forming age brackets. Young residents and children (0 - 24) comprise 38.1% of the population as at August 2026, exceeding the 29.3% benchmark across Regional NSW, whereas seniors and retirees (65+) constitute 14.5%, below the regional level of 23.3%. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 32, having dropped from 33 at the 2021 Census and sitting 11 years beneath the Regional NSW Census median of 43 (against a national median of 38 at that Census). In proportion terms, the 65+ demographic has reduced from 16.5% at the Census to an estimated 14.5%.
Adults in the 25 - 44 bracket are projected to lead future growth by 2041, increasing by 283 (25%) to reach 1,402.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Oxley Vale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 6 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,935 at the 2021 Census → 3,793 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL13122). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.