Moore Creek

Moore Creek lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Moore Creek's population is estimated at around 3,319 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 451 people (15.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,868 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,240, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 340 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 30 persons per square kilometer. Moore Creek's 15.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (4.9%), along with the Rest of NSW, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of locations outside of capital cities is projected, with the suburb expected to grow by 524 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 13.4% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moore Creek when compared nationally

Moore Creek recorded approximately 53 residential properties approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 268 homes were approved, with a further 44 approved in FY-26 to date.

On average, 0.3 new residents per year per dwelling constructed have been observed over the past five financial years. This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction cost value of new properties is approximately $390,000. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Moore Creek has 292.0% more building activity per person, indicating robust developer interest in the area. This activity consists of 68.0% detached houses and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 100.0% houses. This change suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Moore Creek shows characteristics of a growth area with around 42 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate an increase of 445 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Moore Creek has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to impact the region: Moore Creek Gardens, Oxley Vale Lifestyle Estate, Tamworth Global Gateway Park, and Lambruk Solar Farm. The following details projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Moore Creek rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moore Creek's workforce is skilled with essential services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 0.3% as of December 2025, based on AreaSearch aggregation. There were 1,841 residents employed at this time, with an unemployment rate 3.6% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Moore Creek was 77.5%, higher than Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 18.6% of residents worked from home as of December 2025. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training had a particularly strong representation with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services showed lower representation at 5.1% compared to Regional NSW's average of 7.8%. Labour force levels in Moore Creek decreased by 0.6% over the 12 months to December 2025, with employment decreasing by a similar rate, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced a larger employment decline of 1.2% and a labour force decline of 0.8%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moore Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023 shows Moore Creek's median income among taxpayers is $70,214. The average income in the suburb is $83,248. Nationally, this is extremely high compared to Regional NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates for Moore Creek would be approximately $76,435 (median) and $90,624 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family, and personal incomes in Moore Creek rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 91st percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 36.0% of residents (1,194 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket. This pattern is similar to the region where 29.9% occupy this range. Notably, 40.1% of Moore Creek residents exceed $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 87.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Moore Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Moore Creek's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with no other dwellings. This contrasted with Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moore Creek was at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 61.4% and rented ones at 4.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Moore Creek was $450, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Moore Creek's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $450.

Moore Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 90.7% of all households, including 52.8% couples with children, 29.8% couples without children, and 7.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.3%, with lone person households at 8.5% and group households making up 0.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Moore Creek demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Moore Creek Trail region has 24.0% of residents aged 15+ with university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common (16.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 42.7% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (31.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.1% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (14.0%), secondary (10.4%), and tertiary (2.3%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moore Creek has 175 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together provide 148 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 184 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, and most commuters travel outward, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 98%. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 18.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 21 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 0 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Moore Creek's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Moore Creek residents showed positive health outcomes, according to AreaSearch's analysis. Mortality rates and health conditions were largely similar to national averages.

Common health issues were prevalent among both young and elderly residents. Private health cover was exceptionally high at 60%, compared to Regional NSW's 51.9%. Asthma and mental health issues were the most common, affecting 9.7% and 7.1% respectively. 71.0% reported no medical ailments, higher than Regional NSW's 63.3%. Under-65 residents had better-than-average health outcomes. The area had 12.2% of residents aged 65 and over (404 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The latest Census data sees Moore Creek placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moore Creek, surveyed in August 2016, had a population with 94.1% born in Australia, 95.5% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 69.2%, compared to the regional average of 55.9%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.7%), English (31.2%), and Scottish (9.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher than the regional average at 5.0% versus 4.6%, while Welsh (0.6%) and South Australian (0.5%) were also slightly overrepresented compared to their respective regional averages of 0.5% and 0.2%.

Moore Creek's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Moore Creek is 37 years, which is lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 5-14 years make up 18.3% of the population, a higher proportion than both Regional NSW and nationally (12.1%). Meanwhile, those aged 75-84 years constitute only 3.3%, lower than Regional NSW's average. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.2% to 12.1%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 14.4% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 25 to 34 age group will increase by 103 people (31%), growing from 338 to 442 individuals. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group is projected to decrease by 4 residents.