Medowie

Medowie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Medowie's population is estimated at around 12,132, reflecting an increase of 1,253 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 10,879 in the area. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population being 11,835 following examination of ABS ERP data release (June 2024), and an additional 599 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 271 persons per square kilometer. Medowie's growth rate of 11.5% exceeded that of its SA3 area (5.4%) and non-metro areas, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for Medowie statistical area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Medowie is forecasted to increase its population by 5,133 persons, reflecting a gain of 41.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Medowie among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Medowie has seen approximately 161 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 808 homes were approved over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with an additional 57 approved so far in FY26. On average, each dwelling constructed has resulted in about 1.7 new residents per year over these five years. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling in the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

The average construction value of new properties is $369,000. This year, Medowie has registered $65.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Medowie records 135.0% more building activity per person. New development consists of 70.0% detached houses and 30.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature while also providing diverse housing options. The location currently has approximately 152 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Future projections estimate Medowie will add 4,969 residents by 2041, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Medowie adding 4,969 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Medowie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Stockton Rifle Range Development - Fern Bay, Medowie Precinct F Residential Development, Medowie New High School, and The Bower Medowie. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Medowie shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Medowie has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.7%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

There are 5,875 residents employed, which is 1.1% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 66.5%, surpassing Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction. Notably, public administration & safety has a high representation, at 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation, at 0.8% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. In the 12 months prior, labour force decreased by 2.3%, with employment declining by 1.9%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Meanwhile, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate stands at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate that while overall employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Medowie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Medowie had a median taxpayer income of $59,012 and an average income of $72,259. These figures exceed the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively for Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,240 (median) and $78,661 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Medowie cluster around the 63rd percentile nationally. Income distribution data shows that 39.1% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 29.9%. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remains for other expenses. Medowie's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Medowie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Medowie's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 81.1% houses and 18.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Medowie was at 30.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 22.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Medowie was $430, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $360. Nationally, Medowie's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Medowie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.4% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.6%, with lone person households at 14.5% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Medowie aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 15.8%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 47.7% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 35.1%. Educational participation is high, with 31.2% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Medowie has 163 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 66 different routes that collectively facilitate 653 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 196 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 93 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately four weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Medowie is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Medowie faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~6732 people), compared to 50.1% across Rest of NSW.

Mental health issues are the most common medical condition in the area, impacting 10.3% of residents, followed by asthma at 9.3%. A total of 64.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 59.3% across Rest of NSW. As of June 2021, 16.6% of Medowie's residents are aged 65 and over (2013 people), which is lower than the 28.1% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Medowie is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Medowie, as per the 2016 Census, had a population with 90.3% born in Australia, 94.4% being citizens, and 96.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Medowie, comprising 53.9%, compared to 57.4% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.2%), English (31.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal had a higher representation in Medowie at 4.7% compared to the regional average of 4.5%. Maltese and Dutch also showed higher representations with 0.8% and 1.5%, respectively, compared to their regional averages of 0.5% and 1.1%.

Medowie's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Medowie is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW's average of 43 and close to the national average of 38. The age profile shows a prominent group aged 5-14 years (14.8%) and a relatively smaller group aged 65-74 years (9.7%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.2%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 16.3% to 14.8% and the 45-54 group dropped from 13.7% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Medowie's age structure, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to rise substantially by 895 people (65%), from 1,383 to 2,279.