Medowie

Medowie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Medowie's population is estimated at around 12,580. This reflects a growth of 1,701 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,879. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 12,207 based on ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 281 persons per square kilometer. Medowie's growth rate of 15.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area (5.1%) and the SA3 area, indicating significant growth in the suburb. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Medowie expected to expand by 5,185 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 36.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Medowie among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis shows Medowie had around 169 new homes approved annually. From FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 849 homes were approved, with another 41 in FY-26 so far. Each year, about 1.7 new residents arrived per new home over the past five financial years.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand, maintaining stable market dynamics. The average construction cost of new properties was $369,000, lower than the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. Commercial approvals in Medowie reached $83.8 million this financial year, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Medowie has 147.0% more development activity per person. This level is significantly higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 69.0% standalone homes and 31.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of housing types across price ranges.

This shift from the area's existing housing, which is currently 97.0% houses, suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles. With around 129 people per dwelling approval, Medowie exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Medowie is expected to grow by 4,573 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Medowie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 14 such projects that could potentially impact the area. Notable among these are Stockton Rifle Range Development - Fern Bay, Medowie Precinct F Residential Development, The Bower Medowie, and Medowie New High School. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Medowie maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Medowie has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, with key services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, there are 5696 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 0.7% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Medowie is higher at 66.5%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction. Public administration & safety has a notably high concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with only 0.8% of employment compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The local job market appears limited as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.3%, while employment declined by 4.5%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, and a unemployment increase of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Medowie. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Medowie's employment mix indicates a local employment increase of 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch reports that Medowie had a median taxpayer income of $59,012 and an average income of $72,259 in financial year 2022. Nationally, the median was $49,459 and the average was $62,998. As of September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $66,453 (median) and $81,371 (average), based on a 12.61% increase since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, Medowie's household, family, and personal incomes are at the 63rd percentile nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 is dominant in Medowie, with 39.1% of residents (4,918 people). After housing costs, 84.9% of income remains for other expenses. Medowie's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Medowie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The latest Census evaluation showed that Medowie's dwelling structures comprised 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 81.1% houses and 18.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Medowie stood at 30.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 22.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Medowie was $430, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $360. Nationally, Medowie's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Medowie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.4% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for 15.6%, with lone person households at 14.5% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Medowie aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 15.8% compared to the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 35.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary (12.0%), secondary (8.8%), and tertiary (3.5%) education. Medowie's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,174 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1010) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes three primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. School capacity exceeds residential needs at 17.3 places per 100 residents versus the regional average of 11.8, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Medowie shows that there are currently 152 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 66 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 695 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 196 meters from the nearest transport stop. Across all routes, service frequency averages at 99 trips per day, which equates to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Medowie is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Medowie faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~6980 people), compared to 49.3% across Rest of NSW.

Mental health issues impact 10.3% of residents, while asthma affects 9.3%. A total of 64.9% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 59.3% across Rest of NSW. As of 2016, 16.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (2088 people), which is lower than the 28.1% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Medowie is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Medowie, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 90.3% of residents born in Australia and 94.4% being citizens. English was spoken exclusively at home by 96.3%. Christianity dominated Medowie's religious landscape at 53.9%, slightly lower than the Rest of NSW's 57.4%.

The top ancestral groups were Australian (34.2%), English (31.0%), and Scottish (7.6%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher in Medowie at 4.7% compared to 4.5% regionally, while Maltese stood at 0.8% versus 0.5%, and Dutch at 1.5% against 1.1%.

Medowie's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Medowie is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW's average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 are prominent at 14.8%, while those aged 65-74 are comparatively smaller at 9.7% compared to Rest of NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.2% of the population, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 16.3% to 14.8%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 13.7% to 12.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal that the 25-34 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, expanding by 850 people (59%) from 1,434 to 2,285.