Medowie

Medowie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Medowie is around 12,126, reflecting a growth of 1,247 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents an 11.5% rise from the previous population count of 10,879. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 11,835 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024, and an additional 597 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 271 persons per square kilometer. Medowie's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (5.5%) and the Rest of NSW, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Medowie's population is projected to increase by 4,037 persons, reflecting a gain of 30.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Medowie among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Medowie has granted around 161 residential property approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 807 homes. In FY26 so far, 63 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.7 new residents per dwelling were added annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this figure has increased to 4.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting rising demand and tightening supply. The average construction value of new properties is $369,000.

This year, Medowie has recorded $65.9 million in commercial development approvals, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to Rest of NSW, Medowie shows 137.0% higher construction activity per person, offering buyers more choice. Recent construction comprises 70.0% standalone homes and 30.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature while diversifying housing options. With around 153 people per dwelling approval, Medowie is classified as a growth area. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Medowie's population will grow by 3,746 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, supporting buyers and potentially encouraging further growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Medowie is expected to grow by 3,746 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Medowie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects likely to affect the area. Major projects include Stockton Rifle Range Development - Fern Bay, Medowie Precinct F Residential Development, Medowie New High School, and The Bower Medowie. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Medowie demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Medowie has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented with an unemployment rate of 2.8%. Employment stability has been relatively consistent over the past year based on AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of December 2025, there were 5,895 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is comparable to Regional NSW at 65.0%. According to Census responses, 25.3% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction.

Medowie specializes in public administration & safety with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level but is under-represented in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 0.8% compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Medowie's labour force decreased by 0.6%, employment declined by 0.3%, leading to a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Medowie. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industries. Applying these projections to Medowie's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Medowie had a median income among taxpayers of $59,012 and an average income of $72,259. These figures are above the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively in Regional NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Medowie's median income would be approximately $64,240 and average income $78,661 as of September 2025. Census data shows that incomes in Medowie cluster around the 63rd percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 39.1% of locals (4,741 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Medowie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Medowie's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Medowie was at 30.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 22.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Medowie was $430, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Medowie's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $430 compared to the national figure of $375.

Medowie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.4% of all households, consisting of 41.8% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.6%, with lone person households at 14.5% and group households making up 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Medowie aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 15.8%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (35.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.2% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.0% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 3.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Medowie has 163 active public transport stops operating currently. These stops are served by 66 individual bus routes that collectively provide 653 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 196 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this primarily residential area commute outward using their cars, which remain the dominant mode at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high 25.3% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 93 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this report showing the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Medowie is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Medowie faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~6,728 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.3 and 9.3% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 64.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 17.0% of residents aged 65 and over (2,061 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Medowie is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Medowie's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 90.3% of its population born in Australia, 94.4% being citizens, and 96.3% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Medowie is Christianity, making up 53.9% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. Regarding ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three groups represented are Australian (34.2%), English (31.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, certain ethnic groups have different representations: Australian Aboriginal is higher at 4.7% in Medowie compared to 4.6% regionally, Maltese at 0.8% versus 0.4%, and Dutch at 1.5% compared to 1.0%.

Medowie's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Medowie is 37 years, which is lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 are prominent at 14.4%, while those aged 75-84 are comparatively smaller at 5.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.2%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.3% to 14.4%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 13.7% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Medowie's age structure. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 699 people (50%) from 1,394 to 2,094. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort grows by a modest 10% (159 people).