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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is $785k, with units at $662k. House values have moved 5.5% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay has an estimated 7,071 residents, up from 6,887 at the 2021 Census — a change of 184 people, or 2.7%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 75% of areas nationally. That puts 236 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis conducted by AreaSearch, the population of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is approximately 7,071 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 184 individuals (2.7%) relative to the 2021 Census, which recorded 6,887 people. This shift is calculated utilizing the ABS estimated resident population of 7,065 from June 2025 alongside 16 validated new addresses registered after the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 235 persons per square kilometer, offering ample space per resident and capacity for future expansion. The post-census growth rate of 2.7% in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is within 2.2 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (4.9%), indicating competitive demographic momentum.
The primary driver of this population growth was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 59.8% of the total demographic gains in recent times. AreaSearch adopts the demographic projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024, using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 regions lacking this coverage, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are implemented. Age cohort growth rates derived from these sources are projected forward to the years 2032 through 2041. Future projections suggest that population growth will exceed the national non-metropolitan median, with the locality predicted to add 1,023 residents by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP statistics, which translates to a overall rise of 14.4% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
97 new dwellings have been approved in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay over the past five years, an average of 19 a year. That is 2.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 53, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Around 19 residential builds receive development consent annually in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, culminating in 97 approved dwellings over the preceding 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 49 approvals have been logged. With an average influx of 1.9 new residents per completed home annually over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, residential supply and demand appear balanced, yielding steady market conditions, though this metric has climbed to 4.4 individuals per approved home over the past 2 financial years, pointing to rising local demand and possible supply bottlenecks.
Approved development ventures carry an average construction value of $314,000. Additionally, commercial approvals worth $1.9 million were recorded this financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the locality. Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay exhibits a low volume of building activity when contrasted with the Rest of NSW, sitting 55.0% below the regional average per capita. This limited rate of new builds generally underpins demand and supports pricing for established properties. This volume is also below the national standard, reflecting the mature state of the local market and hinting at potential planning constraints. Current construction activity consists of 69.0% detached houses and 31.0% medium and high-density formats, revealing a broadening selection of medium-density choices that provide diverse entry points, ranging from traditional family residences to more economical compact options. This represents a distinct shift from the existing housing stock, which is currently 91.0% houses, suggesting a decrease in available development sites and mirroring changing lifestyle choices and affordability needs. The calculation of 1363 residents for every single dwelling approval underscores the quiet and low-intensity nature of local development. Looking forward, the population of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is projected to expand by 1,017 occupants by 2041, according to the latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. Should current construction rates persist, the supply of new housing may fail to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving upward pressure on prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, worth an estimated $6 million. A further 104 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $80.3 billion. 26 are already under construction and 33 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure updates, major construction works, and planning policies significantly affect regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 6 projects expected to influence the local area. Prominent developments include The Caswell Supported Living Village, the Port Stephens Local Environmental Plan (LEP) & Development Control Plan (DCP), the 100 Salamander Way Residential Development, and the Port Stephens Housing Delivery Program, with details provided on the most significant initiatives.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Caswell Supported Living Village
A supported independent living village for over 55s in Tanilba Bay, comprising 51 self-contained one and two-bedroom villas with 24/7 support services, a clubhouse, and modern amenities, located on the site of the former Tilligerry Plaza in the Tilligerry Peninsula.
Port Stephens Local Environmental Plan (LEP) & Development Control Plan (DCP)
Comprehensive planning documents that guide planning decisions, land use, zoning, development standards, and assessment requirements for the entire Port Stephens local government area, which includes Fingal Bay. The Development Control Plan (DCP) provides further detailed guidance to the broader Local Environmental Plan (LEP).
57-59 Beatty Boulevard Mixed-Use Retail + Childcare Centre
A purpose-built facility featuring an 81-place childcare centre operated by Discover and Learn Academy, along with 104sqm of separate office space. The project includes 25 car spaces and was completed in late 2024, providing early education and community services in Tanilba Bay.
The Bay Resort
A State Significant Development proposal (SSD-5916) for an eco-tourism resort called 'The Bay Resort' at 4177 Nelson Bay Road, Anna Bay, opposite the Caltex service station. The development comprises 68 units, 51 villas, and a multi-purpose amenity building with a cafe, gym, and administration building, accessed via raised boardwalks with saltmarsh restoration and water sensitive urban design. The original 2015 application was refused by the state government in February 2020 on grounds it did not adequately assess environmental and community impacts.A redesigned, lighter-footprint version was placed back on public exhibition in 2021. The NSW Planning Portal now lists the project's current status as Determination, with the application refused and the Land and Environment Court recorded as the decider. The site remains zoned RU2 Rural Landscape and there is no evidence of an active resubmission at this address.
36 Port Stephens Drive Residential Development
A 46-hectare development site at 36 Port Stephens Drive in Anna Bay, currently offered for sale by Expressions of Interest. The site presents a prime opportunity for residential subdivision, land lease communities, or housing estates. Note: A nearby planning proposal by AB Rise Pty Ltd for 584 homes on a 125ha site (Gan Gan Road) was rejected on appeal in 2025 due to flooding and ecological concerns, highlighting the area's strict environmental considerations.
Salamander Bay Shopping Centre Expansion
Commercial hub expansion including standalone ALDI store, Woolworths service station, medical centre, specialty retail outlets, and enhanced parking facilities. The shopping centre was acquired by Charter Hall Group for $174.5 million in 2017 and rebranded as Salamander Bay Square.
Salamander Bay Town Centre Place Plan
Port Stephens Council's adopted place plan for Salamander Bay Town Centre sets a long-term framework to strengthen the Tomaree Peninsula's key commercial and community hub. The plan supports public domain improvements, better pedestrian and traffic circulation, activation, public art, landscaping, protection of nearby wetland and koala habitat values, and future mixed-use outcomes. Current implementation includes council-owned development opportunities at 10 Central Avenue for a health facility, with expressions of interest closing 26 May 2026, and 155 Salamander Way for retail, local services and diverse low-rise to mid-rise housing, with the next step being lodgement of a development application.
Port Stephens Housing Delivery Program
A Council-led, Australian Government Housing Support Program-funded initiative targeting 11,100 new homes across the Port Stephens LGA by 2041 to help accommodate an expected 20,000 additional residents over 20 years. The program is built on the endorsed Port Stephens Local Housing Strategy and Housing Supply Plan, and includes a Master Plan for the Raymond Terrace Sub-Precincts prepared jointly with Homes NSW to bring forward affordable housing supply, a Public Domain Plan for the Raymond Terrace town centre, and a suite of Development Application reforms including a new digital Development Control Plan and Development Application Supporting Handbook.Council reports it is now among the fastest in the Hunter region for DA turnaround, averaging 57 days, and has approved 225 additional residential lots at the Monarch's Rise Estate within the Kings Hill West urban release area, bringing total approved lots there to 325. A first Local Housing Strategy Annual Report was presented to Council in September 2025 confirming the program is broadly on track, and a new Raymond Terrace Place Plan is in community consultation to guide the next stage of housing and public space delivery in the town.
2,647 residents of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay are employed, from a labour force of 2,787. Unemployment sits at 5.0%, with participation at 46.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,164, about 87% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is distributed across white and blue-collar occupations, featuring a solid presence in essential services, an unemployment rate of 5.0%, and an estimated job growth rate of 2.8% over the past year. As of March 2026, employed residents count 2,647, with the unemployment rate standing 0.9% higher than the Regional NSW benchmark of 4.1%, while workforce participation is considerably lower at 46.0% compared to 60.6% in Regional NSW. Census data indicates a moderate 18.0% of the working population operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for local citizens are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The community displays a distinct specialization in retail trade, where the employment concentration is 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, education & training is underrepresented, employing just 5.2% of the workforce in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay compared to 9.6% across Regional NSW. A comparison of the Census working population against the resident population suggests that the local area offers a restricted number of job opportunities. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics shows that during the 12-month period, employment expanded by 2.8% while the labor force grew by 1.4%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced a 0.9% contraction in employment, a 0.4% decline in the labor force, and a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide additional context regarding future demand trends in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local industry mix to model growth trends. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying by sector. Applying these industry projections to the local employment distribution suggests local jobs could grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes that does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is $1,111 a week (about $58,000 a year), with median personal income at $562 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,130 a year against an average of $55,168. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Income levels within the Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay SA2 sit below the national average, according to taxpayer data from the ATO compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Taxpayers in the Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay SA2 recorded a median income of $46,130 and an average income of $55,168, compared to $52,390 and $65,215 respectively in Regional NSW. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, updated estimates suggest figures of approximately $50,891 for median income and $60,861 for average income as of March 2026.
Data from the 2021 Census places the household, family, and individual incomes of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationwide. The income distribution shows that 29.0% of the community, representing 2,050 people, falls into the $800 - 1,499 weekly bracket, differing from regional trends where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is most common at 29.9%. Affordability constraints are significant, with residents retaining only 82.1% of their income, which ranks in the 8th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay had 2,766 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 1% apartments. 29% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $365 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,517 a month. Rent absorbs 32.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 31.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the last Census, the housing composition in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay consisted of 91.1% separate houses and 8.9% alternative housing types including semi-detached properties, apartments, and other dwellings, compared to Regional NSW where separate houses made up 82.6% and other dwellings accounted for 17.4%. Home ownership rates in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay were notably higher than the Regional NSW average at 44.2%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (29.3%) or rented (26.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,517 was below the Regional NSW average of $1,733, while the median weekly rent was $365 compared to the Regional NSW average of $330.
Nationally, mortgage repayments in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay are below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are lower than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay counted 2,766 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 21% are couples with children, fewer than in 83% of areas nationally, against 34% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families represent the majority of local households at 69.5%, consisting of couples with children at 21.2%, couples without children at 34.2%, and single-parent households at 13.1%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households representing 27.4% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.3 individuals, which is slightly lower than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.5% of adults in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay hold a university qualification, including 8.0% with a bachelor degree and 2.0% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 92% of areas nationally. A further 35.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 379 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 913 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality demonstrates lower rates of higher education, with university qualification rates at 11.5%, which is well below the NSW average of 32.2%. This situation presents a clear target for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational and technical training is highly prevalent, with 45.0% of citizens aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 35.1%. A total of 24.0% of the local population is enrolled in formal study.
This student population includes 8.6% attending primary schools, 7.5% enrolled in secondary education, and 2.0% participating in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay reaches 69 stops on 25 routes, timetabled for about 280 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of public transit options indicates 69 transport stops are active in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, offering bus services. These locations are serviced by 25 distinct routes, which provide 279 weekly passenger connections. Accessibility is high, with residents living an average of 166 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, with 96% of commuters traveling by private car. Average vehicle ownership is 1.5 per household. Working from home was recorded for 18.0% of the workforce in the 2021 Census, which may reflect the pandemic context.
Transit service frequency averages 39 daily runs across all active routes, which translates to approximately 4 weekly passenger departures per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
55.2% of residents in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 94% of areas nationally. 9.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and chronic illness rates highlights significant health challenges in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, with various conditions affecting both youth and elderly cohorts, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is low at roughly 47% of the population, representing approximately 3,351 people. This is below the Regional NSW average of 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent medical issues, affecting 13.1% and 10.8% of the population respectively, while 55.2% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW.
Chronic illness rates are elevated among the working-age cohort. Residents aged 65 and over make up 29.0% of the population, equating to 2,052 individuals, which is higher than the Regional NSW proportion of 23.4%. Senior health outcomes present some difficulties, with national rankings aligning closely with general population trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is largely Australian-born, at 88.3% of residents, with 3.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.4%) and Australian (31.1%). 5.2% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay exhibits lower cultural diversity compared to broader averages, with 88.3% of residents born in Australia, 91.4% holding citizenship, and 96.8% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 54.2% of the population, which is comparable to the 55.9% recorded across Regional NSW. In terms of ancestral backgrounds, the three most common heritages in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay are English at 33.4%, Australian at 31.1%, and Scottish at 8.1%. Notable variations exist in other demographics, with Australian Aboriginal ancestry representing 5.2% of the local population compared to 4.6% regionally, Dutch heritage at 1.3% compared to 1.0% regionally, and Maltese heritage matching the regional rate at 0.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is 50, older than 91% of areas nationally. 20.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 50 in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is higher than the Regional NSW median of 43 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented at 16.2% compared to Regional NSW, while the 5 - 14 demographic is less common at 9.4%. This concentration in the 65 - 74 range is higher than the national rate of 9.4%. Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 9.3% to 11.2% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 9.1% to 10.6%.
Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 11.7% to 10.2% and the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 10.9% to 9.4%. Projections indicate the local age profile will shift by 2041, with the 25 to 34 cohort expected to grow by 225 people (33%) from 695 to 921, while the 15 to 24 cohort is projected to decrease by 57 individuals.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Nov 2025 9 months ago all 3 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Nov 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 16 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (6,887 at the 2021 Census → 7,071 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (106031120). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.