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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is $765k, with units at $662k. House values have moved 5.0% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay has an estimated 7,076 residents, up from 6,887 at the 2021 Census — a change of 189 people, or 2.7%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 75% of areas nationally. That puts 236 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the population of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay stands at approximately 7,076 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 189 people (2.7%) relative to the 6,887 people enumerated in the 2021 Census. This adjustment stems from ABS estimated resident population figures indicating 7,065 residents as of June 2025 alongside 20 validated new addresses logged following the Census. Consequently, the population density settles at 236 persons per square kilometer, offering ample room per resident and substantial scope for future expansion. The locality's 2.7% post-census growth rate trails Rest of NSW (5.1%) by only 2.4 percentage points, highlighting solid demographic momentum.
Inward movements from other states served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 59.8% of aggregate population additions over recent timeframes. SA2-level projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 using 2022 as the base period, are incorporated into the AreaSearch methodology. For locations lacking this coverage, NSW State Government SA2 figures released in 2022 against a 2021 base year are adopted instead. Age-specific trajectory rates derived from these datasets are likewise applied across all sectors between 2032 and 2041. Future demographic modelling indicates that local expansion will outpace the national non-metropolitan median, with resident numbers anticipated to climb by 1,013 persons up to 2041 under latest annual ERP metrics, equating to an overall 14.2% expansion across the 16-year timeframe.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
132 new dwellings have been approved in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay over the past five years, an average of 26 a year. That is 3.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 26 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 46% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building authorisations in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay have maintained an annual rate of roughly 26 properties, culminating in 132 homes over the previous 5 financial years. With an incoming ratio averaging 1.4 new residents per annum for each newly constructed home over the past 5 financial years (from FY-22 to FY-26), housing supply and local demand remain well aligned to preserve market stability, alongside an average building cost of $370,000 per dwelling that matches regional standards. Furthermore, commercial building approvals tallied $1.9 million during this financial year, reflecting a subdued level of commercial development.
Per capita building volume in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay represents around 61% of the Rest of NSW benchmark, positioning the district in the 64th percentile across Australia despite a recent pickup in construction activity. Of these fresh building approvals, detached houses constitute 46.0% while medium and high-density formats make up 54.0%. This pivot toward higher-density housing creates accessible buying pathways for downsizing owner-occupiers, investors, and first-time entrants. Such output marks a pronounced departure from the prevailing housing stock (which stands at 91.0% standalone houses), addressing diminishing greenfield availability while catering to evolving lifestyle preferences and price sensitivity. With roughly 262 people per approved dwelling, the area retains a low-density character. According to the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch, demographic projections anticipate an influx of 1,002 residents into Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay by 2041. Although local construction rates are tracking this forecast expansion moderately well, prospective purchasers could encounter heightened competition as population numbers climb.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, worth an estimated $26 million. A further 105 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $82.7 billion. 26 are already under construction and 33 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic infrastructure upgrades, master plans, and public investment exert a fundamental influence over local community performance. A total of 6 key projects have been catalogued by AreaSearch as having significant local bearing. Prominent initiatives encompass The Caswell Supported Living Village, the Port Stephens Local Environmental Plan (LEP) & Development Control Plan (DCP), the 100 Salamander Way Residential Development, and the Port Stephens Housing Delivery Program, alongside further priority works outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Caswell Supported Living Village
The Caswell is an over 55s supported independent living village being constructed on the site of the former Tilligerry Plaza in Tanilba Bay. The development comprises 51 self-contained one and two-bedroom villas integrated with 24/7 care management services, a community clubhouse, and dedicated recreational amenities.
Port Stephens Local Environmental Plan (LEP) & Development Control Plan (DCP)
Comprehensive planning documents that guide planning decisions, land use, zoning, development standards, and assessment requirements for the entire Port Stephens local government area, which includes Fingal Bay. The Development Control Plan (DCP) provides further detailed guidance to the broader Local Environmental Plan (LEP).
57-59 Beatty Boulevard Mixed-Use Retail + Childcare Centre
A purpose-built facility featuring an 81-place childcare centre operated by Discover and Learn Academy, along with 104sqm of separate office space. The project includes 25 car spaces and was completed in late 2024, providing early education and community services in Tanilba Bay.
The Bay Resort
A State Significant Development proposal (SSD-5916) for an eco-tourism resort called 'The Bay Resort' at 4177 Nelson Bay Road, Anna Bay, opposite the Caltex service station. The development comprises 68 units, 51 villas, and a multi-purpose amenity building with a cafe, gym, and administration building, accessed via raised boardwalks with saltmarsh restoration and water sensitive urban design. The original 2015 application was refused by the state government in February 2020 on grounds it did not adequately assess environmental and community impacts.A redesigned, lighter-footprint version was placed back on public exhibition in 2021. The NSW Planning Portal now lists the project's current status as Determination, with the application refused and the Land and Environment Court recorded as the decider. The site remains zoned RU2 Rural Landscape and there is no evidence of an active resubmission at this address.
36 Port Stephens Drive Residential Development
A 46-hectare development site at 36 Port Stephens Drive in Anna Bay, currently offered for sale by Expressions of Interest. The site presents a prime opportunity for residential subdivision, land lease communities, or housing estates. Note: A nearby planning proposal by AB Rise Pty Ltd for 584 homes on a 125ha site (Gan Gan Road) was rejected on appeal in 2025 due to flooding and ecological concerns, highlighting the area's strict environmental considerations.
Salamander Bay Shopping Centre Expansion
Commercial hub expansion including standalone ALDI store, Woolworths service station, medical centre, specialty retail outlets, and enhanced parking facilities. The shopping centre was acquired by Charter Hall Group for $174.5 million in 2017 and rebranded as Salamander Bay Square.
Salamander Bay Town Centre Place Plan
Port Stephens Council's adopted place plan for Salamander Bay Town Centre sets a long-term framework to strengthen the Tomaree Peninsula's key commercial and community hub. The plan supports public domain improvements, better pedestrian and traffic circulation, activation, public art, landscaping, protection of nearby wetland and koala habitat values, and future mixed-use outcomes. Current implementation includes council-owned development opportunities at 10 Central Avenue for a health facility, with expressions of interest closing 26 May 2026, and 155 Salamander Way for retail, local services and diverse low-rise to mid-rise housing, with the next step being lodgement of a development application.
Port Stephens Housing Delivery Program
A Council-led, Australian Government Housing Support Program-funded initiative targeting 11,100 new homes across the Port Stephens LGA by 2041 to help accommodate an expected 20,000 additional residents over 20 years. The program is built on the endorsed Port Stephens Local Housing Strategy and Housing Supply Plan, and includes a Master Plan for the Raymond Terrace Sub-Precincts prepared jointly with Homes NSW to bring forward affordable housing supply, a Public Domain Plan for the Raymond Terrace town centre, and a suite of Development Application reforms including a new digital Development Control Plan and Development Application Supporting Handbook.Council reports it is now among the fastest in the Hunter region for DA turnaround, averaging 57 days, and has approved 225 additional residential lots at the Monarch's Rise Estate within the Kings Hill West urban release area, bringing total approved lots there to 325. A first Local Housing Strategy Annual Report was presented to Council in September 2025 confirming the program is broadly on track, and a new Raymond Terrace Place Plan is in community consultation to guide the next stage of housing and public space delivery in the town.
2,647 residents of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay are employed, from a labour force of 2,787. Unemployment sits at 5.0%, with participation at 46.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,169, about 87% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay exhibits an even distribution across white-collar and blue-collar occupations, supported by a healthy baseline of essential services, an unemployment rate of 5.0%, and estimated job gains of 2.8% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed locals number 2,647, while local unemployment sits 0.9% higher than the 4.1% recorded across Regional NSW. Furthermore, labour force engagement remains subdued, registering at 46.1% compared to 60.6% across Regional NSW. Census records indicate that 18.0% of workers conducted their duties from home, though pandemic-related lockdown measures may have influenced these returns.
Health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction stand out as the primary fields of employment for local residents. The retail trade sector demonstrates notable strength locally, capturing a workforce proportion 1.2 times that of the regional benchmark. Conversely, education & training accounts for a comparatively modest footprint, employing 5.2% of workers versus 9.6% across the broader region. An evaluation of local worker numbers relative to resident headcount suggests a constrained volume of employment positions within the immediate vicinity. AreaSearch assessment of data from SALM and the ABS shows that in the year leading to March 2026, workforce headcount expanded by 2.8% while the labour pool grew by 1.4%, driving a 1.2 percentage points decrease in the local jobless rate. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment decline by 0.9%, the labour supply contract by 0.4%, and unemployment increase by 0.5 percentage points. Future employment trajectories can be further evaluated through Jobs and Skills Australia's national projections from Mar-26. These five-year and ten-year models have been calibrated against the area's workforce composition to project potential staffing shifts. Across the nation, total employment is anticipated to climb by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying widely across distinct industries. When mapped to the industrial structure of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, this indicates potential local job increases of 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years (note that this weighted calculation is indicative only and excludes specific demographic growth projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is $1,111 a week (about $58,000 a year), with median personal income at $562 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,130 a year against an average of $55,168. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to recent ATO postcode datasets compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, taxpayers across the Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay SA2 recorded a median personal income of $46,130 alongside a $55,168 average. These figures trail the Australian norm, as well as the Regional NSW median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Incorporating a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 indicates updated figures of roughly $50,891 for the median and $60,861 for the average as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household earnings brackets, Census metrics place the locality between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationwide.
In terms of earnings brackets, the $800 - 1,499 segment accounts for 29.0% of taxpayers (2,052 individuals), whereas the surrounding region is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 tier at 29.9%. Significant housing affordability strain is apparent, with retained earnings after housing costs sitting at 82.1%, placing the district in the 8th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay had 2,766 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 1% apartments. 29% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $365 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,517 a month. Rent absorbs 32.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 31.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate that standalone houses constituted 91.1% of the residential fabric across Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, with the remaining 8.9% consisting of alternative formats such as apartments and semi-detached units, compared against the Regional NSW distribution of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other housing types. Outright property ownership in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay substantially exceeded the regional rate at 44.2%, while remaining residences were either subject to a mortgage (29.3%) or occupied by tenants (26.5%). Median monthly mortgage expenses stood at $1,517, well beneath the Regional NSW benchmark of $1,733, while weekly rental medians sat at $365 compared to $330 regionally.
On a nationwide scale, local mortgage commitments fall markedly below the $1,863 Australian standard, while rents trail the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay counted 2,766 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 21% are couples with children, fewer than in 83% of areas nationally, against 34% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 69.5%, consisting of couples without offspring (34.2%), couples with offspring (21.2%), and sole-parent homes (13.1%). Non-family setups make up the other 30.5%, comprising single-person households at 27.4% alongside shared arrangements at 3.3%. An average household size of 2.3 occupants sits slightly below the Regional NSW benchmark of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.5% of adults in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay hold a university qualification, including 8.0% with a bachelor degree and 2.0% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 92% of areas nationally. A further 35.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 379 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 913 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels within the locality highlight notable hurdles, as the proportion of tertiary degree holders (11.5%) sits well below the broader NSW average of 32.2%. This divergence underscores key opportunities for tailored educational programming. Among university completions, bachelor degrees comprise 8.0%, postgraduate credentials account for 2.0%, and graduate diplomas represent 1.5%. Conversely, vocational and technical pathways show strong uptake, with 45.0% of individuals aged 15 and above possessing trade qualifications, consisting of 9.9% advanced diplomas and 35.1% certificates. Formal study engages a meaningful 24.0% share of the local community.
Breaking down this cohort, primary schooling accounts for 8.6%, high school participation captures 7.5%, and higher education programs involve 2.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay reaches 69 stops on 25 routes, timetabled for about 280 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An audit of the local public transport network identifies 69 operating transit stops throughout Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, providing bus connections. These locations are connected via 25 designated routes that deliver an aggregate of 279 passenger services each week. Local transit access is strong, with typical walking distances of 166 meters to the closest stop. Given the area's predominantly residential character, work travel is largely outbound, with private vehicles accounting for 96% of commuting trips. Households maintain an average of 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. Meanwhile, 18.0% of the working population operated from home according to the 2021 Census, a figure potentially shaped by pandemic conditions.
Across the entire network, bus services operate at an average rate of 39 trips each day, which translates to roughly 4 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
55.2% of residents in Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 94% of areas nationally. 9.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch highlight critical wellness challenges throughout Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay, evidenced by mortality statistics and an elevated incidence of long-term ailments impacting both younger cohorts and senior citizens. Furthermore, private healthcare coverage remains markedly subdued, held by approximately 47% of residents (~3,354 people). This sits below the 51.9% level across Regional NSW and the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions emerge as the most widely reported medical issues, affecting 13.1% and 10.8% of the local population, respectively, while 55.2% of residents reported having no diagnosed conditions, trailing the 63.3% figure for Regional NSW.
Notable health burdens affect the working-age cohort through higher long-term illness rates. Seniors aged 65 and above account for 29.6% of the population (2,096 people), exceeding the Regional NSW proportion of 23.3%. Overall wellness outcomes for older residents present specific difficulties, aligning closely with wider national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is largely Australian-born, at 88.3% of residents, with 3.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.4%) and Australian (31.1%). 5.2% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay demonstrates a relatively homogeneous cultural profile, with 88.3% of the community born in Australia, 91.4% holding Australian citizenship, and 96.8% communicating exclusively in English at home. Christianity forms the predominant religious affiliation, encompassing 54.2% of local residents compared to 55.9% observed across Regional NSW. Assessing parental heritage across Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay shows English ancestry leading at 33.4%, followed by Australian at 31.1%, and Scottish at 8.1%. Notable variations also emerge among specific ancestries: Australian Aboriginal representation is elevated at 5.2% (relative to 4.6% across the region), Dutch background stands at 1.3% (against 1.0%), and Maltese ancestry accounts for 0.4% (matching the 0.4% regional level).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is 50, older than 91% of areas nationally. 20.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay is heavily oriented toward older age brackets. Seniors and retirees aged 65 and over represent 29.6% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 23.3% across Regional NSW, whereas youth and children (0 - 24) comprise 25.0% against a regional benchmark of 29.3%. The median age is estimated at 50 as at August 2026, matching the figure from the 2021 Census and exceeding the Regional NSW median of 43 at that Census by 7 years, while the Australian median stood at 38 at that Census.
Since that time, the proportion of residents aged 45 - 64 has reduced from 27.7% to an estimated 24.9%. Through to 2041, demographic growth will be led by the 25 - 44 age cohort, which is projected to expand by 371 residents (26%) to reach 1,819.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 3 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,887 at the 2021 Census → 7,076 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (106031120). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.