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2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Tarro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends
As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Tarro is around 1,766. This figure reflects an increase of 63 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,703. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,714 residents based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and two validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 305 persons per square kilometer. Tarro's growth rate of 3.7% since the census is within 1.4 percentage points of the non-metro area's growth rate of 5.1%. The primary driver for this growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated for locations outside capital cities. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Tarro is expected to grow by 65 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 1.6% in total over the 17-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tarro, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally
Tarro has had fewer than 1 dwelling approval annually over the past five years, with a total of 3 approvals during this period. This low level of residential development is typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. The small sample size means that individual development projects can significantly influence annual growth and relativity statistics.
Tarro has much lower development activity compared to the rest of NSW, with its activity levels also below national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Tarro has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that may impact this region: M1 Pacific Motorway Extension to Raymond Terrace, Beresfield Industrial Park Expansion, Beresfield Residential Precinct, and Hexham Relief Roads. These are the key projects likely to be most relevant.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Maitland Local Housing Strategy 2041
A comprehensive strategic planning framework adopted by Maitland City Council on 27 June 2023 and endorsed by the NSW Government on 9 September 2024. The strategy guides residential development and growth in the Maitland local government area through to 2041. It identifies areas for new housing, prioritizes infill development and housing diversity (including affordable housing) to meet the projected need for approximately 25,200 additional dwellings by 2041, and aligns infrastructure planning to support growth.
High Speed Rail - Newcastle to Sydney (Stage 1)
The first stage of the proposed National High Speed Rail network aims to connect Newcastle to Sydney via the Central Coast, reducing travel time to approximately one hour with trains reaching speeds up to 320 km/h. The project is focused on the development phase, which includes design refinement, securing planning approvals, and corridor preservation. It is being advanced by the Australian Government's High Speed Rail Authority (HSRA). Stations are planned for Broadmeadow, Lake Macquarie, Central Coast, and Central Sydney. The long-term vision is a national network connecting Brisbane, Sydney, Canberra, and Melbourne.
M1 Pacific Motorway Extension to Raymond Terrace
A $2.1 billion, 15-kilometre dual carriageway motorway extension from Black Hill to Raymond Terrace, bypassing Hexham and Heatherbrae. Key features include a 2.6-kilometre viaduct over the Hunter River, Main North Rail Line, New England Highway, and floodplains; new interchanges at Black Hill, Tarro, Tomago, and Raymond Terrace; and widening of Hexham Straight. Construction is progressing steadily across the full 15-kilometre alignment, with key milestones including the completion of piling in the Hunter River, installation of bridge girders and deck pours on the 2.6-kilometre viaduct and various interchanges, and the opening of new sections of road, such as a bridge at Black Hill. The project is jointly funded by the Australian and NSW governments and is expected to open to traffic in mid-2028. It will reduce peak travel time by 7-9 minutes and remove up to 25,000 vehicles per day from key congestion points, supporting approximately 2,700 jobs during construction.
Stony Pinch Urban Development
Long-term conceptual urban development proposal for the post-mining rehabilitation of the Bloomfield Colliery site in Ashtonfield, lower Hunter Valley. The site spans approximately 3,600 hectares and is envisioned to accommodate up to 19,200 dwellings along with employment lands, town centre, recreation facilities and preserved bushland. The Bloomfield Colliery is currently operational with mining approval until 2035. Specific development timelines and details for the urban transformation remain subject to mine rehabilitation completion and future planning approvals under the Stony Pinch consortium and Ashtonfields Agreement.
Raymond Terrace Housing Delivery Program
Port Stephens Council-led strategic housing program to deliver 11,100 new dwellings across the LGA by 2041 to accommodate projected population growth of over 20,000 people. Includes the Raymond Terrace & Heatherbrae Strategy, streamlined development application processes, reduced infrastructure contributions in key areas, and identification of catalyst sites for accelerated delivery.
Tomago Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)
A 500 MW / 2,000 MWh grid-scale battery energy storage system (BESS) developed by AGL to improve grid reliability and support the transition to net-zero emissions in the Hunter-Central Coast Renewable Energy Zone. The battery has grid-forming capability and is one of Australia's largest BESS developments. Construction commenced recently following a Final Investment Decision (FID) in July 2025. The total construction cost is estimated to be approximately A$800 million. The project will create around 200 jobs during construction and 6 full-time operational jobs.
Kurri Kurri Lateral Pipeline (KKLP) and Storage Project
The KKLP is a 21km gas transmission pipeline and 24km larger diameter serpentine pipeline that functions as a storage reservoir. It will connect the Hunter Power Project in Kurri Kurri, NSW, to the existing Sydney to Newcastle pipeline. The project is critical for energy security in the Hunter region. The total investment is approximately A$450 million.
Wirraway Thornton
A completed 511-lot residential development spanning 58 hectares in the lower Hunter Valley, creating a parkland community with quality homes for Defence families and the public. Features 16 hectares of open spaces, cycle tracks, Wirraway Park with aviation-themed playground, half-sized basketball court, fitness station, and community amenities. Now home to over 500 families including 250 Defence families.
Employment
Employment drivers in Tarro are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia
Tarro has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, particularly in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 8.3% as of June 2024.
Employment stability has been relatively consistent over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of June 2025767 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 4.6%, which is higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Tarro is lower at 53.6% compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.
Manufacturing shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 4.8% versus the regional average of 9.6%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 0.4% and labour force grew by 2.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.8 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (Sep-22) suggest potential future demand within Tarro. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tarro's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment
Tarro's median taxpayer income was $54,737 and average was $63,634 in financial year 2022, according to latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly lower than national averages, contrasting with Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,639 (median) and $71,658 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Tarro all fall between the 11th and 14th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $400 - 799 bracket dominates with 28.3% of residents (499 people), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tarro, with only 84.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 12th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Tarro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
In Tarro, as per the latest Census evaluation, 93.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.9% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tarro stood at 46.9%, with mortgaged properties at 31.4% and rented dwellings at 21.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent in Tarro was $340, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Tarro's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Tarro features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size
Family households account for 61.9% of all households, including 22.0% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 38.1%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households making up 3.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Tarro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally
The area's university qualification rate is 9.0%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 37.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (6.9%) and certificates (30.5%).
A substantial 22.4% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.7% in primary, 5.4% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education. Tarro's 3 schools have a combined enrollment of 326 students, serving primary education exclusively with secondary options available nearby. The area has varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 942). Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Tarro has 14 operational public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. They serve 22 different routes, which together facilitate 2,567 weekly passenger trips.
The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 154 meters. Daily service frequency averages 366 trips across all routes, resulting in about 183 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Tarro is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts
Tarro faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover in Tarro stands at approximately 52%, covering around 920 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than the Rest of NSW's 55.6%.
Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 13.4% and 10.7% of residents respectively. Conversely, 55.4% of Tarro's population reports no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in the Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 26.9% (475 people), compared to the Rest of NSW's 16.7%. Health outcomes among seniors in Tarro are generally aligned with the overall population's health profile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Tarro is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics
Tarro had a cultural diversity index of below average, with 92.0% of its population born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 95.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Tarro, comprising 56.6% of people, compared to 47.7% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.9%), English (32.3%), and Scottish (7.7%).
Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 6.1% in Tarro compared to the regional average of 3.2%. Hungarian representation was also higher at 0.3%, compared to 0.2% regionally, as was Polish representation at 0.7% versus 0.8%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Tarro hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
Tarro's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Tarro has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.6%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 35-44 increased from 10.4% to 12.3%, while the 25-34 cohort rose from 12.8% to 14.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group decreased from 11.2% to 9.8%, and the 55-64 group fell from 12.7% to 11.4%. By 2041, Tarro's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 17 people, reaching 296 from 252. Meanwhile, the 65-74 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.