Tenambit - East Maitland

Population growth drivers in Tenambit - East Maitland are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tenambit - East Maitland's population was around 10,532 as of Nov 2025. This showed an increase of 441 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,091. The change was inferred from ABS estimates: 10,470 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since then. This resulted in a density ratio of 609 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, the area had a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outperforming non-metro areas. Interstate migration drove population growth, contributing approximately 47.4% of gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year; NSW State Government's projections are used for uncovered areas, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Future population growth is projected to be above median non-metropolitan areas nationally. The area is expected to grow by 2,555 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 23.7%.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tenambit - East Maitland when compared nationally

Tenambit - East Maitland has averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25193 homes were approved, with a further 7 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, around 3 new residents have arrived annually for each dwelling constructed during this period.

This significant demand outstripping supply typically drives price growth and heightened buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $401,000, consistent with regional trends. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $496,000, indicating a primarily residential focus. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Tenambit - East Maitland has notably less development activity, 69.0% below the regional average per person.

This scarcity of new homes commonly intensifies demand and prices for existing properties. The current building activity comprises 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of medium-density options across various price brackets. The area's estimated population density is 418 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tenambit - East Maitland is projected to gain 2,492 residents by 2041. At the current pace of development, housing supply may struggle to keep up with population growth, potentially exacerbating buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tenambit - East Maitland has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that could impact the region. Key initiatives include East Maitland Catalyst Area, Chisholm Plaza, Stockland Green Hills Expansion, and Sophia Waters Estate. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Tenambit - East Maitland recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Tenambit - East Maitland has an unemployment rate of 4.2% as of June 2025, with 4,723 residents employed. The unemployment rate is 0.5% higher than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%, while workforce participation is similar at 56.4%.

Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Mining has a significant presence with an employment share 2.2 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited representation at 1.1% compared to the regional 5.3%. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.2%, and employment declined by 4.9%, leading to a 0.7 percentage point increase in unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate.

State-level data for NSW as of Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years for Tenambit - East Maitland, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data released on financial year 2022 shows Tenambit - East Maitland SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $53,733 and an average of $65,839. This is higher than the national averages of $49,459 (median) and $62,998 (average) for Rest of NSW. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,509 (median) and $74,141 (average). Census data ranks Tenambit - East Maitland's household, family, and personal incomes modestly between the 30th and 37th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 30.1% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually (3,170 people), similar to regional levels at 29.9%. Income remaining after housing costs ranks at the 28th percentile with only 82.8% of income left. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Tenambit - East Maitland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tenambit - East Maitland, as per the latest Census, 80.2% of dwellings were houses while 19.8% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW's figures of 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tenambit - East Maitland stood at 35.6%, with mortgaged properties at 34.5% and rented ones at 29.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's figure of $375. Nationally, Tenambit - East Maitland's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tenambit - East Maitland has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.7% of all households, including 25.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.3%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Tenambit - East Maitland fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualified residents at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.7%). Educational participation is high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.7% in primary, 7.1% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 110 active stops operating within Tenambit - East Maitland. These include both train and bus services. There are 100 routes in total, serving 4,818 weekly passenger trips collectively.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 138 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 688 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tenambit - East Maitland is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Tenambit - East Maitland faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data.

The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is more prevalent here than the average SA2 area, with approximately 52% of the total population (~5,518 people) having it. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 11.6% and 11.2% of residents respectively. However, 58.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 22.5% (2,372 people), than the 15.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit - East Maitland placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit-East Maitland, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 92.2% born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 58.0%. This figure is similar to the regional average of 57.0% in Rest of NSW.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.7%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (9.2%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 4.9%, compared to 5.1% regionally. Scottish ancestry was also more prevalent at 8.5%, versus 7.6%. Polish ancestry showed a slight increase, from 0.7% regionally to 0.8% in Tenambit-East Maitland.

Tenambit - East Maitland's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tenambit - East Maitland's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the national average of 38. The 25-34 age group constitutes 13.1%, compared to the Rest of NSW figure. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort makes up 11.4%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.0% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 11.9% to 11.2%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Tenambit - East Maitland's age profile by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at a rate of 41%, adding 570 residents to reach 1,948. However, the 15-24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 9% (101 people).