Tenambit - East Maitland
Statistical Area - sa2

Tenambit - East Maitland lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tenambit-East Maitland's population is around 10,517 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 426 people from the 2021 Census figure of 10,091. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 10,469 in June 2024 and an additional 161 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 608 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tenambit-East Maitland has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, exceeding the non-metro area's growth. Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.4% to population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. Tenambit-East Maitland is expected to grow by 2,555 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting a total increase of 23.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tenambit - East Maitland when compared nationally

Tenambit - East Maitland has averaged approximately 74 new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, with 370 homes approved over the past five financial years (between FY20 and FY25), including 5 approvals so far in FY26. On average, 3.0 new residents have been added per year for every home built during these years. This supply has substantially lagged demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $401,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY26, there have also been commercial approvals totalling $496,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, Tenambit - East Maitland has significantly less development activity relative to the Rest of NSW, at 71.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

The current building activity shows 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating an expanding range of medium-density options that cater to various price brackets. The estimated population count is 418 people per dwelling approval in the area, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Tenambit - East Maitland will gain approximately 2,507 residents by 2041. Development appears to be keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population expands.

Tenambit - East Maitland has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones are Chisholm Plaza, Stockland Green Hills Expansion, Sophia Waters Estate, and Sophia Waters Sportsground. The following details these projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Tenambit - East Maitland has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Tenambit - East Maitland has an unemployment rate of 4.2% as of June 2025. The area's leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.

It shows strong specialization in mining with an employment share of 2.2 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data analysis. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.2% alongside a 4.9% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%.

National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years for Tenambit - East Maitland, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Tenambit - East Maitland had a median income of $53,733 and an average income of $65,839 among taxpayers. This is above the national average, compared to Rest of NSW's median of $49,459 and average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Tenambit - East Maitland would be approximately $59,429 (median) and $72,818 (average) as of March 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank at the 31st percentile, family incomes at the 36th percentile, and personal incomes at the 37th percentile in Tenambit - East Maitland. Income distribution shows that 30.1% (3,165 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band, similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 29th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Tenambit - East Maitland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census, in Tenambit - East Maitland, 80.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 19.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Tenambit - East Maitland was 35.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.5% and rented ones at 29.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Tenambit - East Maitland's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tenambit - East Maitland has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households represent 68.7% of all households, including 25.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 31.3%, composed of 29.4% lone person households and 1.9% group households. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Tenambit - East Maitland fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 27.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.7% in primary, 7.1% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary.

Tenambit - East Maitland's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 2,690 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 981) with balanced educational opportunities. It includes 2 primary, 2 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School capacity exceeds residential needs at 25.6 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 17.8, indicating it serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 110 active transport stops operating in Tenambit - East Maitland area. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. They are served by 100 individual routes, collectively facilitating 4,818 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 138 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 688 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tenambit - East Maitland is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Tenambit - East Maitland.

The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~5,510 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 11.6% and 11.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.5% (2,369 people), compared to 15.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit - East Maitland placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit-East Maitland's population showed low cultural diversity, with 92.2% born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 58.0%, slightly higher than the regional average of 57.0%. The top three ancestral groups were English (32.7%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (9.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal people were overrepresented at 4.9% compared to 5.1% regionally, Scottish people at 8.5% versus 7.6%, and Polish people at 0.8% versus 0.7%.

Tenambit - East Maitland's median age exceeds the national pattern

Tenambit - East Maitland's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the national average of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 13.1%, compared to the Rest of NSW average. The 55-64 cohort makes up 11.4%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows that the 35-44 age group grew from 12.0% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort decreased from 11.9% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tenambit - East Maitland's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 42%, adding 572 residents to reach 1,948. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 9% (103 people).