Tenambit - East Maitland

Population growth drivers in Tenambit - East Maitland are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tenambit-East Maitland's population, as of November 2025, is around 10,532. This figure reflects an increase of 441 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,091. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,470 in June 2024 and an additional 167 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 609 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tenambit-East Maitland has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outperforming non-metro areas. Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. Tenambit-East Maitland is expected to grow by 2,555 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 23.7% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tenambit - East Maitland when compared nationally

Tenambit - East Maitland averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually between FY-21 and FY-25, with a total of 193 homes approved during this period. In FY-26, up to the present time, 10 dwellings have been approved. On average, each constructed dwelling has accommodated around 3 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

This significant demand outpaces new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $232,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, commercial approvals have totaled $496,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus in development activity. Comparatively, Tenambit - East Maitland has significantly less development activity than the rest of NSW, with 69.0% below the regional average per person.

This scarcity of new homes often strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The composition of new building activity shows 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% attached dwellings, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options that cater to various price brackets. The area's development environment is reflected in its estimated population density of 418 people per dwelling approval, which is relatively quiet and low in activity. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Tenambit - East Maitland is projected to gain 2,492 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tenambit - East Maitland has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include East Maitland Catalyst Area, Chisholm Plaza, Stockland Green Hills Expansion, and Sophia Waters Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Tenambit - East Maitland presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.9%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Tenambit - East Maitland has an unemployment rate of 3.9% as of September 2025. There are 4,734 residents employed, with the unemployment rate in line with Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is broadly similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a significant employment specialization in mining, with an employment share of 2.2 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 1.1% employment compared to 5.3% regionally.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.6%, and employment declined by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tenambit - East Maitland's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Tenambit - East Maitland SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $53,733 and an average of $65,839. This is slightly above the national average. The Rest of NSW had a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Tenambit - East Maitland SA2 would be approximately $60,509 (median) and $74,141 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Tenambit - East Maitland rank modestly, between the 30th and 37th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that the majority of residents, 30.1% or 3,170 people, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket. This is similar to regional levels where approximately 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tenambit - East Maitland, with only 82.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Tenambit - East Maitland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tenambit - East Maitland, as per the latest Census, 80.2% of dwellings were houses while 19.8% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tenambit - East Maitland stood at 35.6%, with mortgaged properties at 34.5% and rented ones at 29.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Tenambit - East Maitland had lower mortgage repayments at $1,733 against Australia's average of $1,863 and rents at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

Tenambit - East Maitland has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.7% of all households, including 25.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 31.3%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Tenambit - East Maitland fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 41.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 27.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.7% in primary, 7.1% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Tenambit - East Maitland shows that there are currently 110 active transport stops operating. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. A total of 100 individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 4,818 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 138 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 688 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tenambit - East Maitland is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Tenambit - East Maitland faces significant health challenges, as indicated by data from 2016.

The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~5,518 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and arthritis were found to be the most common medical conditions, affecting 11.6% and 11.2% of residents respectively. However, 58.9% of residents reported being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.5% (2,372 people), compared to the 15.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit - East Maitland placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit-East Maitland, as per the Australian Census 2016, showed below-average cultural diversity with 92.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 58.0%, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW's 57.0%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.7%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (9.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 4.9% compared to the regional average of 5.1%, Scottish at 8.5% versus 7.6%, and Polish at 0.8% against 0.7%.

Tenambit - East Maitland's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tenambit - East Maitland's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the national average of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 13.1%, compared to the Rest of NSW figure, while the 55-64 cohort makes up 11.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.0% to 12.8%, and the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 11.9% to 11.2%. Demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Tenambit - East Maitland's age profile by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 41%, adding 570 residents to reach 1,948. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 9% (101 people).