Tenambit - East Maitland

Population growth drivers in Tenambit - East Maitland are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Tenambit - East Maitland's population is around 10,658 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 567 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,091 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,469 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 198 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 616 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tenambit - East Maitland has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outpacing the Rest of NSW. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 47.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally is projected, with the area expected to grow by 2,555 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 22.2% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tenambit - East Maitland when compared nationally

Tenambit - East Maitland averaged approximately 38 new dwelling approvals annually between FY-21 and FY-25, totalling 193 homes. In FY-26, 10 dwellings have been approved so far. This results in an average of around 3 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

Consequently, demand exceeds supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $232,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY-26, commercial approvals amount to $496,000, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the rest of NSW, Tenambit - East Maitland has significantly less development activity, being 69.0% below the regional average per person.

This scarcity of new homes often strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The breakdown of new building activity shows 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% attached dwellings, offering a mix of housing options across price brackets. Currently, there are an estimated 418 people per dwelling approval in the area, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Tenambit - East Maitland will gain approximately 2,366 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tenambit - East Maitland has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of 15 such projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable among these are East Maitland Catalyst Area, Chisholm Plaza, Stockland Green Hills Expansion, and Sophia Waters Estate. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Tenambit - East Maitland presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.9%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Tenambit - East Maitland has an unemployment rate of 3.9%, with 4,734 residents employed as of September 2025. The unemployment rate is in line with Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is somewhat below standard at 57.2% compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%.

A moderate 22.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a particular employment specialization in mining, with an employment share of 2.2 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 1.1% employment compared to 5.3% regionally.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.6%, while employment declined by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Tenambit - East Maitland's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, the Tenambit - East Maitland SA2's median income among taxpayers is $58,168. The average income for this area is $73,407. This is above the national average. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tenambit - East Maitland's median income would be approximately $63,322 by September 2025. The average income estimate for the same period is $79,911. Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Tenambit - East Maitland rank modestly, between the 30th and 37th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 30.1% of residents (3,208 people). This pattern is similar to regional levels where 29.9% of residents occupy this income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tenambit - East Maitland, with only 82.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Tenambit - East Maitland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Tenambit - East Maitland, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.2% houses and 19.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Tenambit - East Maitland was 35.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.5% and rented dwellings at 29.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro NSW's average. The median weekly rent was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Tenambit - East Maitland's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tenambit - East Maitland has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 68.7% of all households, including 25.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.3%, with lone person households at 29.4% and group households making up 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the average for the Rest of NSW.

Educational outcomes in Tenambit - East Maitland fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualified residents at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.7%). Educational participation is high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (9.7%), secondary education (7.1%), and tertiary education (3.8%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that there are 118 active transport stops operating within Tenambit - East Maitland. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. The total number of routes servicing these stops is 99, providing 4726 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility in the area is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 138 meters from their nearest transport stop. As it is primarily residential, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 94%.

The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.4. According to the 2021 Census, some 22.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 675 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 40 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health outcomes in Tenambit - East Maitland are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Tenambit - East Maitland based on AreaSearch's assessment as of March 2023. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population, which numbered around 5,904 people in March 2023, compared to 51.9% across Rest of NSW. The most common medical conditions were mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 11.6 and 11.2% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 58.9% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Rest of NSW as of March 2023. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. As of March 2023, the area has 22.5% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling approximately 2,401 people. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit - East Maitland placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit-East Maitland, as per the 2016 Census, showed low cultural diversity with 92.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 58.0%, slightly higher than the 55.9% average across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.7%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (9.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal (4.9%) and Scottish (8.5%) populations were relatively higher compared to regional averages of 4.6% and 8.0%, respectively. Polish heritage was also slightly more represented at 0.8%.

Tenambit - East Maitland's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tenambit - East Maitland's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the national average of 38. The 25-34 age group constitutes 13.2%, compared to the Rest of NSW figure, while the 65-74 cohort makes up 11.2%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.0% to 13.0%, and the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 11.9% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Tenambit - East Maitland's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 38%, adding 541 residents to reach a total of 1,948. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 7% (83 people).