Aberglasslyn

Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Aberglasslyn is around 6,862, reflecting a 4.7% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 6,552 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, which estimated a resident population of 6,535 for Aberglasslyn and surrounding areas applied by the ABS. The population density as of November 2025 is approximately 1,103 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Aberglasslyn has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%, outperforming its SA4 region. Interstate migration contributed about 68% to overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects future demographic shifts using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is forecasted to experience significant population growth, increasing by 3,133 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 49.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Aberglasslyn among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Aberglasslyn averaged around 33 new dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 167 homes. As of FY-26, 17 approvals have been recorded. This averages to approximately 4.5 new residents per home built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting demand outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and increases competition among buyers. The average construction cost value for new homes is $358,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options.

In FY-26, $44,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting minimal commercial development activity compared to Rest of NSW, where Aberglasslyn shows 60.0% less development activity per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings, although recent periods show increased development activity. Recent construction comprises 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing mix of 92.0% houses, possibly due to reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Aberglasslyn reflects a low density area with approximately 138 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate Aberglasslyn will gain 3,406 residents by 2041, potentially outpacing current housing supply if development rates remain constant, which could increase competition among buyers and support stronger price growth.

Population forecasts indicate Aberglasslyn will gain 3,406 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Aberglasslyn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely to impact the area. Major projects include Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), Truegain Site Remediation, Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, and Dalmore Park Employment Hub. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.3%, Aberglasslyn has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 3.3%, lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is high at 71.8% compared to the regional average of 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining. The area specializes in mining with an employment share four times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.9% of local workers, below the Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.6%, employment fell by 5.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points.

Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aberglasslyn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, according to a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Aberglasslyn's median income among taxpayers was $60,472 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $76,272 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of NSW which were $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $68,098 (median) and $85,890 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Aberglasslyn cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 39.6% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (2,717 residents). This is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region where 29.9% fall into the same income category. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income in Aberglasslyn. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Aberglasslyn, as per the latest Census evaluation, 92.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 7.6% comprising semi-detached units, apartments and other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberglasslyn stood at 22.3%, with mortgaged properties making up 45.5% and rented dwellings accounting for 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. Weekly rent in Aberglasslyn was recorded at $430, compared to Non-Metro NSW's figure of $375. Nationally, Aberglasslyn's median monthly mortgage repayment exceeds the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.6% of all households, including 43.5% who are couples with children, 26.2% who are couples without children, and 14.1% who are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.4%, comprising 13.2% lone person households and 2.2% group households of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Aberglasslyn shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 14.2%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.4%). Educational participation is high at 33.1%, with 13.2% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment area, requiring residents to access them in neighboring regions.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 40 active stops in Aberglasslyn, served by a mix of buses. These stops are covered by 30 routes, offering 358 weekly passenger trips. Resident accessibility is rated excellent, with an average distance of 180 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 51 trips per day across all routes, resulting in about 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Aberglasslyn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows Aberglasslyn residents have relatively positive health outcomes with a low prevalence of common conditions among the general population. However, this is higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 57% (~3,915 people) have private health cover, compared to 52.8% in Rest of NSW. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.4%) and asthma (9.5%), with 68.3% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Rest of NSW. Aberglasslyn has 8.8% (603 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the 15.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Aberglasslyn's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 89.5% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Aberglasslyn, comprising 57.3% of people, compared to 57.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (32.5%), English (29.6%), and Irish (7.3%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 5.5% in Aberglasslyn compared to the regional average of 5.1%. Welsh and Maltese representations are also notable, with Welsh at 0.6% (matching the regional figure) and Maltese at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 0.3%.

Aberglasslyn hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Aberglasslyn as of 2021 is 32 years, which is lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and also notably under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Aberglasslyn has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34, at 16.6%, but fewer residents aged 65-74, at 5.6%. Between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 12.9% to 14.0%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 decreased from 17.2% to 16.0%. By 2041, Aberglasslyn's age composition is expected to shift significantly, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 66%, reaching 1,893 people from the current 1,139.