Aberglasslyn

Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Aberglasslyn's population is estimated at around 6,979 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 427 people (6.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,552 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6,542 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 88 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,122 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 6.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW (5.9%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas is forecast, with the suburb expected to grow by 3,119 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 46.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Aberglasslyn among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Aberglasslyn shows approximately 28 residential properties approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 140 homes were approved, with an additional 26 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 5.3 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This high demand relative to supply typically drives up prices and intensifies buyer competition. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $358,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $99,000, indicating the area's residential focus. Compared to Rest of NSW, Aberglasslyn has significantly less development activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban character with a focus on family homes. This represents a shift from the current housing mix of 92.0% houses, reflecting reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Aberglasslyn has a low density, with approximately 261 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to grow by 3,268 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Aberglasslyn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 12 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), Truegain Site Remediation, Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, and Dalmore Park Employment Hub. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Aberglasslyn exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, and essential services sectors are well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data as of September 2025. There are 3,512 residents employed, which is 0.6% lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 73.4%, higher than Rest of NSW's 61.5%. Census responses show that 18.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining. Mining employs a significant share at 4.1 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.9%, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, labour force decreased by 2.7% and employment fell by 2.8%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.5%, labour force fell by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Aberglasslyn's employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Aberglasslyn has an income level above the national average, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Aberglasslyn is $60,472, with an average income of $76,272. This compares to figures for Rest of NSW of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $65,830 (median) and $83,030 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Aberglasslyn are at the 69th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 39.6% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (2,763 residents), which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 29.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Aberglasslyn, as evaluated at the Census 2016, comprised 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberglasslyn was 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.5% and rented at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was $430, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Aberglasslyn's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.6% of all households, including 43.5% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.4%, with lone person households at 13.2% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Aberglasslyn shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 14.2%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 40 active transport stops in Aberglasslyn, served by a mix of buses. These stops are covered by 30 individual routes, offering 328 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 180 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature; car remains dominant at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 46 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aberglasslyn is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's health assessment for Aberglasslyn shows significant health challenges. The prevalence of common health conditions is high across both younger and older age groups.

Mental health issues affect 10.4% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.5%. Approximately 68.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. Private health cover is high at about 57%, compared to the regional average of 51.9%. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic conditions than average. Only 8.8% of Aberglasslyn's population is aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors show some challenges, generally in line with national rankings.

Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Aberglasslyn was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 89.5% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 92.5% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Aberglasslyn is Christianity, which makes up 57.3% of people, compared to 55.9% across Rest of NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (32.5%), English (29.6%), and Irish (7.3%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 5.5% in Aberglasslyn compared to 4.6% regionally, while Welsh (0.6%) and Maltese (0.5%) groups are also slightly overrepresented.

Aberglasslyn hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Aberglasslyn as of 2021 is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of NSW, Aberglasslyn has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34, at 17.0%, but fewer individuals aged 65-74, at 5.5%. Since the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has grown from 15.8% to 17.0%, while the proportion of those aged 15 to 24 increased from 12.9% to 14.0%. Conversely, the proportion of individuals aged 5 to 14 has declined from 17.2% to 15.8%. By June 30, 2041, Aberglasslyn is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 59%, adding 697 people and reaching a total of 1,884 from the previous figure of 1,186.