Aberglasslyn

Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The estimated population of Aberglasslyn is around 6,979 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 427 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,552. AreaSearch validated this estimate using resident population data from June 2024 and new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 1,122 persons per square kilometer, in line with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Aberglasslyn's growth rate of 6.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW at 5.9%. Interstate migration contributed around 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas. The suburb of Aberglasslyn is expected to grow by 2,401 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 28.1% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Aberglasslyn when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Aberglasslyn recorded around 27 residential properties granted approval per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 136 homes were approved, with a further 26 approved in FY-26. On average, 5.3 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years.

This demand outpaces supply, potentially putting upward pressure on prices and increasing buyer competition. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $358,000. In FY-26, $99,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Aberglasslyn has significantly less development activity, which is 66.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 72.0% detached dwellings and 28.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban character focused on family homes. This shows a change from the current housing mix of 92.0% houses, reflecting reduced development site availability and shifting lifestyle demands. Aberglasslyn has around 282 people per approval, indicating a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Aberglasslyn is expected to grow by 1,964 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Aberglasslyn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), Truegain Site Remediation, Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, and Dalmore Park Employment Hub. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Aberglasslyn exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs, particularly in essential services. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.3%, lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. The workforce participation rate is high at 73.1% compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%.

According to Census data, 18.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining. The area has a strong specialisation in mining, with an employment share 4.1 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.9% of local workers, lower than Regional NSW's 5.3%.

Over the past year, labour force decreased by 1.0% and employment by 0.9%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment contract by 1.2% and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aberglasslyn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Aberglasslyn has a median income among taxpayers of $60,472 and an average income of $76,272 in the financial year 2023. These figures are higher than those for Regional NSW, which have a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. By September 2025, estimates suggest that these incomes would have grown to approximately $65,830 (median) and $83,030 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86%. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Aberglasslyn are at the 69th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that the largest segment, comprising 39.6% or 2,763 residents, earns between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which is consistent with broader trends across metropolitan regions where 29.9% fall into this category. In Aberglasslyn, housing costs consume 16.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Aberglasslyn, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aberglasslyn was at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.5% and rented ones at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Aberglasslyn was $430, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Aberglasslyn's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.6% of all households, including 43.5% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.4%, with lone person households at 13.2% and group households making up 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Aberglasslyn shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 14.2%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 10.9% while certificates make up 35.4%.

Educational participation is high at 33.1%, including 13.2% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Aberglasslyn shows 40 active stops operating within the area, all of which are bus services. These stops are covered by 30 different routes that together facilitate 328 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport options is rated highly, with residents typically situated just 180 metres from their nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most Aberglasslyn residents commute outward to other areas for work or leisure. Despite this, the car remains the primary mode of transport, used by 97% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling in Aberglasslyn, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of Aberglasslyn residents work from home, a figure that might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages out to around 46 trips per day, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aberglasslyn is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's assessment shows significant health challenges in Aberglasslyn. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high among both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is prevalent at 57%, compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW (~3,982 people). Mental health issues (10.4%) and asthma (9.5%) are the most common conditions. 68.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age residents have a higher chronic condition prevalence than average. Only 9.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (642 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors align with national rankings, indicating some challenges.

Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Aberglasslyn, as per the census data from June 2016, showed below-average cultural diversity. It had 89.5% of its population born in Australia, with 93.2% being citizens and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 57.3% of Aberglasslyn's population, slightly higher than the Regional NSW average of 55.9%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (32.5%), English (29.6%), and Irish (7.3%). Notably, some ethnic groups had different representations compared to regional averages: Australian Aboriginal was higher at 5.5% in Aberglasslyn versus 4.6% regionally, Welsh was at 0.6% compared to 0.5%, and Maltese was at 0.5% versus 0.4%.

Aberglasslyn hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Aberglasslyn is 32 years, which is notably lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Regional NSW, Aberglasslyn has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (17.0%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (5.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the latest data, the age group of 15 to 24 has grown from 12.9% to 14.5%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 15.8% to 17.0%. Conversely, the age group of 5 to 14 has declined from 17.2% to 15.8%. By 2041, Aberglasslyn is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 group projected to grow by 39%, reaching 1,651 people from the current figure of 1,186.