Lochinvar

Lochinvar lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Lochinvar's population is estimated at around 3,109 people. This reflects a significant increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,095 people, an 183.9% growth rate. The latest estimated resident population (ERP) by AreaSearch, based on ABS data released in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date, is 2,893 people. This results in a population density of 142 persons per square kilometer. Lochinvar's growth rate exceeded both the non-metro area (5.1%) and the state average during this period. Interstate migration contributed approximately 68% to overall population gains, although all drivers were positive factors.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Lochinvar in the top 10 percent of regional areas nationally. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by 826 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a decline of 35.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lochinvar among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Lochinvar has experienced around 247 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 1,238 homes. So far in FY-26117 approvals have been recorded. The average number of people moving to the area per dwelling built over these five years is approximately 0.1 person per year.

New supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $358,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. In FY-26, $484,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating the area's residential nature compared to other regions. Lochinvar records 1681.0% more construction activity per person than Rest of NSW, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity shows 66.0% detached dwellings and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, representing a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 96.0% houses. This suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options.

With around 4 people per dwelling approval, Lochinvar shows characteristics of a growth area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Lochinvar may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Lochinvar has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Lochinvar Ridge, AVID Waterford Community Expansion, Hillcrest Lochinvar, and Thornton Industrial Estate Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Lochinvar shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Lochinvar has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominently represented.

The unemployment rate in Lochinvar is 2.0%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025645 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate at 1.7% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation stands at 63.9%, exceeding Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The leading employment industries among Lochinvar residents include health care & social assistance, mining, and construction.

Mining is particularly strong, with an employment share 5.3 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.5% of Lochinvar's workforce compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population data. Between Jun-24 and Jul-25, Lochinvar's labour force decreased by 3.4% and employment by 3.7%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a similar unemployment rate increase of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that over five years, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6%. Over ten years, this expansion is forecast at 13.7%. Applying these projections to Lochinvar's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that median income in Lochinvar is $61,021 and average income stands at $76,965. This compares to Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $68,716 (median) and $86,670 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank at the 82nd percentile ($2,287 weekly). Income brackets indicate that 35.5% of locals fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the area showing 29.9% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners (31.1%) are above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout Lochinvar. Housing accounts for 13.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 84th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Lochinvar is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lochinvar's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lochinvar was at 35.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.4% and rented ones at 12.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $370, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Lochinvar's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Lochinvar features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.5% of all households, including 39.3% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 15.4% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Lochinvar aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.0%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 49.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (36.7%). Educational participation is high at 29.9%, comprising primary (11.0%), secondary (8.4%), and tertiary education (4.1%).

Lochinvar's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,666 students, serving distinct age groups with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 989). The area functions as an education hub with 53.6 school places per 100 residents, attracting students from surrounding communities and exceeding the regional average of 17.6.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Lochinvar shows that there are currently 27 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. In total, these stops are serviced by 64 individual routes, collectively providing 810 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Lochinvar is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 168 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes is 115 trips per day, equating to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Lochinvar are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Lochinvar shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions more prevalent than average among both younger and older age groups. Approximately 57% (~1,782 people) have private health cover, higher than Rest of NSW's 52.8%.

Mental health issues affect 9.7% and arthritis impacts 9.1% of residents. 67.5% report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has 15.3% (475 people) aged 65 and over, similar to the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Lochinvar placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lochinvar's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with its population comprising 92.1% citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lochinvar, accounting for 63.5%, compared to 57.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (35.3%), English (27.4%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, Hungarian (0.7%) and Polish (1.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Lochinvar compared to regional averages of 0.1% and 0.7%, respectively. Additionally, Australian Aboriginal representation is slightly higher at 5.2% compared to the regional average of 5.1%.

Lochinvar's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Lochinvar is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 0-4 age cohort makes up 8.8% of Lochinvar's population, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 8.6%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 12.7% to 13.9%, while the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 10.6% to 8.6%. By 2041, Lochinvar's population is projected to change significantly demographically. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 9 people (19%), from 49 to 59. Those aged 65 and above will account for all the projected growth, while the 75-84 and 65-74 cohorts are predicted to decline in population.