Lochinvar

Lochinvar lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Lochinvar's estimated population is around 2920. This reflects a 1825 person increase (166.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported 1095 people. Post-Census, AreaSearch estimates resident population at 2884, following June 2024 ABS ERP data release and 994 new addresses validated since Census date. This results in a density ratio of 133 persons per square kilometer. Lochinvar's growth exceeded non-metro area (5.7%) and state levels, marking it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 68% to overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 base year. For uncovered areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future trends predict exceptional growth, placing Lochinvar in the top 10% of regional areas nationally. By 2041, population is expected to expand by 824 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a 31.2% decline over 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lochinvar among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Between FY21-FY25, Lochinvar had approximately 245 dwelling approvals annually, totaling around 1,225 homes. As of FY26, there have been 157 approvals. On average, 0.1 people moved to the area per dwelling built during this period. This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $358,000. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $508,000, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. Lochinvar has seen 1663.0% more development activity per person than the Rest of NSW, reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. The dwelling mix shows 66.0% detached dwellings and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a range of medium-density options. This is a significant change from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses. Lochinvar has around 4 people per dwelling approval, indicating growth area characteristics.

Despite population projections showing stability or decline, reduced housing demand pressures are expected to benefit potential buyers in Lochinvar.

Lochinvar has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Lochinvar Ridge, AVID Waterford Community Expansion, Hillcrest Lochinvar, and Thornton Industrial Estate Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Lochinvar ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Lochinvar's workforce spans white and blue collar jobs, with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.8% as of AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, Lochinvar had 654 employed residents, an unemployment rate of 2.0%, and a workforce participation rate of 63.9%. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, mining, and construction. Mining was particularly strong with an employment share 5.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented at 1.5% compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population data.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, Lochinvar's labour force decreased by 1.6%, employment declined by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lochinvar's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 shows median income in Lochinvar suburb is $61,021 and average income is $76,965. This compares to Rest of NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ended June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $66,427 (median) and $83,784 (average). Census data reveals median household income ranks at the 82nd percentile ($2,287 weekly). Income brackets indicate 35.5% of locals (1,036 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to broader trends in the area at 29.9%. A substantial proportion, 31.1%, earn above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing expenses consume 13.4% of income. Strong earnings place residents within the 84th percentile for disposable income. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Lochinvar is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Lochinvar, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lochinvar stood at 35.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.4% and rented ones at 12.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent in Lochinvar was $370, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Lochinvar's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 compared to the national figure of $375.

Lochinvar features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.5% of all households, including 39.3% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 15.4% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Lochinvar aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.0%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common (11.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 49.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (36.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.0% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lochinvar has 28 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 64 individual routes, together providing 721 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 168 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 103 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Lochinvar are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators in Lochinvar suggest below-average outcomes, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average among both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 1,674 people), compared to 54.8% across Rest of NSW.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.7% and 9.1% of residents respectively. Around 67.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (around 446 people), which is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Lochinvar placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lochinvar's cultural diversity was assessed as below average, with 92.1% of its population being citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lochinvar, comprising 63.5% of the population, compared to 57.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups in Lochinvar are Australian (35.3%), English (27.4%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, Hungarian ethnicity is overrepresented in Lochinvar at 0.7%, compared to 0.1% regionally, as is Polish ethnicity at 1.0% versus 0.7%. Additionally, Australian Aboriginal representation is notably higher in Lochinvar at 5.2%, compared to 5.1% regionally.

Lochinvar's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Lochinvar is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 0-4 age cohort makes up 8.7% of Lochinvar's population, higher than the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 age group constitutes 8.6%, lower than the regional average. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of people aged 25 to 34 has increased from 12.7% to 13.9%, while those aged 65 to 74 have decreased from 10.6% to 8.6%. By 2041, Lochinvar's population is projected to change significantly demographically. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 12 people (a 26% increase) from 46 to 59. The aging population trend is evident with those aged 65 and above accounting for all the projected growth. Conversely, the 75-84 and 65-74 age groups are expected to experience population decreases.