Lochinvar

Lochinvar lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Lochinvar's population is estimated at around 2,923 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,828 people (166.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,095 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,884 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1,005 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 133 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Lochinvar's 166.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW (5.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of regional areas across the nation, is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to expand by 2,720 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 91.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lochinvar among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Lochinvar experienced around 245 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 1,226 homes. As of FY-26164 approvals have been recorded. The average population growth per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 was 0.1 people per year. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $358,000.

This financial year has seen $508,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Lochinvar records 1332.0% more development activity per person. New building activity comprises 66.0% detached dwellings and 34.0% townhouses or apartments. Population forecasts indicate Lochinvar will gain 2,681 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should adequately meet housing demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Population forecasts indicate Lochinvar will gain 2,681 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Lochinvar has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are Lochinvar Ridge, AVID Waterford Community Expansion, Hillcrest Lochinvar, and Thornton Industrial Estate Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lochinvar ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Lochinvar has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent. The unemployment rate is 1.9%.

Employment stability has been maintained over the past year. As of December 2025666 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.0% lower than Regional NSW's 3.9%. Workforce participation in Lochinvar is significantly lower at 30.4%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 23.2% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts.

Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, mining, and construction. Mining is particularly strong with an employment share 5.3 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing, however, is under-represented at 1.5% compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. Local employment opportunities exist but many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, Lochinvar saw employment increase by 0.3% and labour force by 0.3%, keeping unemployment flat. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lochinvar's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Lochinvar suburb is $61,021 and average income stands at $76,965. This contrasts with Regional NSW's figures of a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $66,427 (median) and $83,784 (average). Census data reveals household incomes rank at the 82nd percentile ($2,287 weekly). Income brackets indicate that 35.5% of locals (1,037 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends showing 29.9% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 31.1%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout Lochinvar. Housing accounts for 13.4% of income and strong earnings rank residents within the 84th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Lochinvar is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lochinvar's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lochinvar was at 35.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.4% and rented ones at 12.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Lochinvar was $370, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Lochinvar's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 compared to the national figure of $375.

Lochinvar features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.5% of all households, including 39.3% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 15.4% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Lochinvar aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.0%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational skills are prominent, with 49.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such credentials - advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 36.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lochinvar has 28 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 64 individual routes that facilitate 721 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 168 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward, primarily by car at a rate of 97%. Lochinvar has an average vehicle ownership of 2.1 per dwelling, surpassing the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 23.2% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 103 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lochinvar is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lochinvar faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 1,675 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.7% and 9.1% of residents respectively. A total of 67.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (432 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. National rankings for health indicators are broadly in line with the general population.

The latest Census data sees Lochinvar placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lochinvar's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 92.1% of its population being citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Lochinvar is Christianity, comprising 63.5% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (35.3%), English (27.4%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, Hungarian representation is higher in Lochinvar at 0.7%, compared to 0.2% regionally, as is Polish representation at 1.0% versus 0.5%. Additionally, Australian Aboriginal representation stands at 5.2%, slightly higher than the regional average of 4.6%.

Lochinvar's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Lochinvar is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Regional NSW, Lochinvar has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (15.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (8.2%). According to the 2021 Census, the median age in Lochinvar decreased by one year from 40 to 39, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. The key changes show that the proportion of the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 12.7% to 15.4%, while the proportion of residents aged 65 to 74 has declined from 10.6% to 8.2%. Additionally, the proportion of those aged 55 to 64 has decreased from 12.2% to 10.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Lochinvar's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The number of residents aged 25 to 34 is projected to more than double, increasing by 450 people (100%) from 450 to 901.