Greta (NSW)

Greta lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Greta (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 3,782 people. This reflects a growth of 433 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,349 people. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,471 in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 70 validated new addresses since the Census date. The Greta (NSW) (SA2) has a population density ratio of 182 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. The area's growth rate of 12.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area (5.7%) and the state average. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch's projections for Greta (NSW) (SA2) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are utilized. According to these aggregated projections, the Greta (NSW) (SA2) is expected to grow significantly over the period from 2022 to 2041. By 2041, the area's population is projected to increase by 2,554 persons, reflecting a total increase of 75.0% over the 17-year span.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Greta among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Greta has seen approximately 25 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 128 homes were approved, with a further 17 approved in FY-26. On average, 7.6 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This demand outpaces supply, potentially influencing prices and competition among buyers. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $462,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. In FY-26, $3.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Rest of NSW, Greta has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 75th percentile nationally.

The area's building activity consists of 74.0% detached houses and 26.0% attached dwellings, maintaining its low-density character. This represents a shift from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses. Greta reflects a developing area with around 160 people per approval. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Greta's population will grow by 2,838 residents. If development rates continue at their current pace, housing supply may not keep up with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Greta has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include AVID Waterford Community Extension - Chisholm, Anvil Creek Urban Release Area, Wyndham Street Bridge Replacement, Greta, and West Street Greta Shared Pathway Construction Program. The following details projects of highest relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Greta has been broadly consistent with national averages

Greta's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. The unemployment rate is 3.5%.

As of September 2025, 2,008 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation in Greta is 68.5% versus Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment industries include mining, healthcare & social assistance, and construction. Mining is particularly strong, representing 5.9 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Analysis from AreaSearch shows Greta's labour force decreased by 1.7% over a year while employment fell by 1.9%, raising unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 indicates NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections suggest Greta's employment should increase by 5.6% in five years and 12.4% in ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Greta, median income is $52,071 and average income is $64,089. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 is approximately $56,684 and estimated average income is $69,767. Census data indicates that incomes in Greta cluster around the 55th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 36.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 - $2,999, mirroring the region where 29.9% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, leaving disposable income at the 62nd percentile.

Greta is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Greta's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 90.9% houses and 9.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greta was 25.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.2% and rented ones at 20.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,755, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Greta was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $340. Nationally, Greta's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Greta has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.1% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 21.2% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Greta faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.4%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (39.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (11.3%), secondary (7.7%), and tertiary (2.6%) levels.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 33 active transport stops in Greta, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 42 individual routes, facilitating 603 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents positioned on average 282 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 86 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 18 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Greta is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Greta faces significant health challenges with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across the board, but to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~1,977 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.4 and 9.5% of residents respectively. A total of 65.3% of residents declare themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.6% across Rest of NSW. The area has 11.8% of residents aged 65 and over (446 people), which is lower than the 16.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Greta placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greta's population showed low cultural diversity, with 92.4% born in Australia, 94.7% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 56.0% of Greta's population, slightly higher than the 55.7% regional average. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (32.1%), English (29.9%), and Irish (7.9%).

Notably, Polish people were overrepresented at 2.2%, compared to the regional 0.5%. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal people comprised 6.1%, slightly higher than the regional 6.3%, and Maori people made up 0.9%, higher than the regional 0.3%.

Greta's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Greta is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and also substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of NSW, Greta has a higher concentration of 25-34 year-olds at 17.1%, but fewer 65-74 year-olds at 6.7%. Between 9 August 2021 Census and present day, the 35-44 age group in Greta has grown from 14.2% to 15.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 12.2% to 10.9%. By 2041, Greta is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 group leading this demographic shift by growing by 86%, reaching 1,202 people from an initial count of 646.