Greta (NSW)

Greta lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Analysis of ABS population updates for the suburb of Greta (NSW) and new addresses validated by AreaSearch indicates an estimated population of around 3,790 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a growth of 441 people, representing a 13.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,349 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 3,471 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 70 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 183 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Greta's growth rate since the 2021 census exceeded that of both Rest of NSW (5.9%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is predicted to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national regional areas, with an expected increase of 2,545 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 74.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Greta among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Greta has seen approximately 25 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS data. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 128 homes were approved, with an additional 17 in FY-26 to date. Each year, about 7.6 people move to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This demand outpaces supply, potentially influencing prices and buyer competition. Developers focus on premium properties, with new dwellings valued at around $462,000 on average. In FY-26, $3.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Rest of NSW, Greta has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 75th percentile nationally for areas assessed.

Detached houses make up 74.0% of new building activity, while attached dwellings account for 26.0%, maintaining Greta's low-density character. This represents a shift from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses, reflecting reduced development sites and changing lifestyle demands. Greta has around 160 people per approval, indicating a developing area. By 2041, Greta is projected to grow by 2,819 residents. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Greta has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones are AVID Waterford Community Extension - Chisholm, Anvil Creek Urban Release Area, Wyndham Street Bridge Replacement, Greta, and West Street Greta Shared Pathway Construction Program. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Greta has been broadly consistent with national averages

Greta maintains a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notably in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate stands at 3.5%, as per AreaSearch's statistical area aggregation. As of September 2025, Greta has 2011 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.8% below Rest of NSW's rate.

Workforce participation is high at 77.9%. Census data reveals 11.2% of residents work from home. Leading industries include mining, healthcare & social assistance, and construction. Greta specializes in mining, with employment share five times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.2%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by working population vs resident population count. Over a year, labour force decreased by 1.7% and employment by 1.9%, raising unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Greta's mix, local employment is expected to increase by 5.6% in five years and 12.4% in ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Greta, median income is $52,071 and average income is $64,089. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures: median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,684 (median) and $69,767 (average). Census data indicates that Greta's household, family, and personal incomes are around the 55th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 36.3% of Greta residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the region where 29.9% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 62nd percentile.

Greta is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Greta, as per the latest Census, 96.1% of dwellings were houses with 3.9% being other types such as semi-detached homes or apartments. This is higher than Non-Metro NSW's house proportion of 82.6%. Home ownership in Greta stood at 25.6%, lower than Non-Metro NSW's rate, with most dwellings either mortgaged (54.2%) or rented (20.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,755, above the Non-Metro NSW average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Greta was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Greta's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Greta has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.1% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 21.2% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Greta faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (39.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Greta has 33 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 42 routes, collectively providing 603 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents located an average of 282 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 98%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 86 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Greta is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant health challenges for Greta, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups, with private health cover at approximately 52% of the total population (~1,981 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (10.4%) and asthma (9.5%). A majority, 65.3%, report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Rest of NSW. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to higher chronic condition rates. Greta has 11.5% of residents aged 65 and over (435 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning with general population rankings nationally.

The latest Census data sees Greta placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greta's population was found to be predominantly born in Australia, with 92.4%. A majority were citizens, at 94.7%, and spoke English only at home, at 96.7%. Christianity dominated Greta's religious landscape, making up 56.0% of its population, compared to 55.9% across the Rest of NSW.

The top three ancestry groups in Greta were Australian (32.1%), English (29.9%), and Irish (7.9%). Notably, Polish ethnicity was overrepresented at 2.2%, compared to 0.5% regionally. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal (6.1%) and Maori (0.9%) populations were higher than their respective regional averages of 4.6% and 0.3%.

Greta's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Greta is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of NSW, Greta has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (17.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (6.5%). Between the 2016 Census on August 9th and the 2021 Census on August 10th, the population aged 35 to 44 grew from 14.2% to 15.5%, while the 25 to 34 age group increased from 16.3% to 17.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group declined from 12.2% to 10.8%. By 2041, Greta is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition. Leading this demographic shift, the 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 82%, adding 538 people and reaching a total of 1,198 from 659.