Greta (NSW)

Greta lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Greta (NSW) is estimated at around 3,790, reflecting an increase of 441 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was reported as 3,349 people. This growth rate of 13.2% exceeded the Rest of NSW's 5.9%. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 3,471 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 70 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 183 persons per square kilometer. Greta's population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is predicted to grow by 1,612 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 34.1% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Greta among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Greta has received around 25 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 126 homes were approved, with a further 21 approved in FY-26 so far. Each year, an average of 7.7 people have moved to Greta for each dwelling built over these five years.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $462,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $3.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting Greta's residential character. Compared to Rest of NSW, Greta has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 75th percentile nationally for areas assessed.

New building activity consists of 74.0% detached houses and 26.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Greta's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 96.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Greta reflects a developing area, with around 164 people per approval. Looking ahead, Greta is expected to grow by 1,293 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Greta has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones are AVID Waterford Community Extension - Chisholm, Anvil Creek Urban Release Area, Wyndham Street Bridge Replacement, Greta, and West Street Greta Shared Pathway Construction Program. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Greta has been broadly consistent with national averages

Greta has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented in the area. The unemployment rate is 3.6%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, there are 2,014 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.3% lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Greta is high at 77.1%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, a low 11.2% of residents work from home. The leading employment industries are mining, health care and social assistance, and construction.

Mining is particularly strong, with an employment share 5.9 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry and fishing is under-represented, with only 1.2% of Greta's workforce compared to 5.3% in Regional NSW. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the number of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, Greta's labour force decreased by 0.5%, while employment declined by 0.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced an employment decline of 1.2% and a labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Greta's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Greta is below the national average. The median income is $52,071 and the average income stands at $64,089. This contrasts with Regional NSW's figures of a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $56,684 (median) and $69,767 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Greta cluster around the 55th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 36.3% of the community (1,375 individuals), mirroring the region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 62nd percentile.

Greta is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Greta's latest Census data shows 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings. Regional NSW has 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Greta's home ownership is 25.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.2% and rented at 20.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Greta is $1,755, higher than Regional NSW's $1,733. Median weekly rent in Greta is $360, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Greta's mortgage repayments are lower at $1,863 and rents are less at $375.

Greta has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.1% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 21.2% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Greta faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.4%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (39.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.3% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Greta has 33 operational public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 42 unique routes, facilitating 603 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 282 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, Greta sees most commuters traveling outward, with cars being the predominant mode at 98%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, an average of 86 trips is made daily, translating to roughly 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Greta is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges for Greta, as assessed by AreaSearch.

Mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions impact both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 52% (~1,981 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.4%) and asthma (9.5%), with 65.3% reporting no medical ailments compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Greta has 13.0% of residents aged 65 and over (492 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings.

The latest Census data sees Greta placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greta's population showed low cultural diversity, with 92.4% born in Australia, 94.7% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 56.0%, similar to Regional NSW's 55.9%. Ancestry wise, Australian (32.1%), English (29.9%), and Irish (7.9%) were the top groups.

Notably, Polish (2.2% vs regional 0.5%), Australian Aboriginal (6.1% vs 4.6%), and Maori (0.9% vs 0.3%) had higher representations than average in Greta.

Greta's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Greta's median age of 33 is significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 and the national average of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably higher in Greta at 15.7% compared to Regional NSW, while the 65-74 cohort is lower at 7.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.1%, and the 35-44 cohort has risen from 14.2% to 15.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 14.7% to 13.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Greta, with the 45-54 group expected to grow by 50%, reaching 672 people from 447.