Abermain

Population growth drivers in Abermain are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Abermain's estimated population is around 2,723. This reflects a growth of 179 people since the 2021 Census, which reported 2,544 residents. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,634 residents following examination of ABS's June 2024 ERP data release and additional 30 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 177 persons per square kilometer. Abermain's growth rate of 7.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area average of 5.7%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas until 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate a significant population increase in Abermain, forecast to expand by 1,004 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 39.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Abermain among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Abermain shows an average of approximately 28 new dwelling approvals per year. From FY-21 to FY-25, around 140 homes were approved, with another 3 approved in FY-26 so far. This results in about 3.1 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years.

The demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically impacts prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average construction cost value of new homes is around $351,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled approximately $2.5 million, indicating limited focus on commercial development. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Abermain has similar development levels per person, suggesting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

However, building activity has slowed in recent years nationally, despite strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 80% detached houses and 20% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Abermain's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The area has approximately 157 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Abermain is projected to grow by around 1,079 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Development keeps pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population expands.

Abermain has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include the Weston Bears Facility Upgrade, Weston Commercial Centre Masterplan, Weston Public Preschool, and Hunter Expressway (M15). The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Abermain lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Abermain has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors, and an unemployment rate of 6.4% as per AreaSearch's aggregated statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,186 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.6% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 59.8%, slightly above Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing. Notably, mining has a strong presence with an employment share 3.2 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 5.2% compared to the regional average of 9.6%.

The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, labour force decreased by 2.8% and employment also decreased by 2.8%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable at 6.4%. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced a 0.5% employment decline and a 0.1% labour force decline, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment to 3.9%. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9% compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Abermain's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Abermain has a median taxpayer income of $48,877 and an average income of $57,298 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than average on a national basis, with Rest of NSW having a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $53,208 (median) and $62,375 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Abermain rank modestly, between the 22nd and 32nd percentiles. In terms of income distribution, the largest segment comprises 33.2% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (904 residents), which aligns with the region where this cohort likewise represents 29.9%. After housing expenses, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses.

Abermain is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Abermain, as per the latest Census, 94.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 5.2% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Abermain stood at 35.9%, with mortgaged properties at 43.8% and rented dwellings at 20.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,430, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Abermain was $320, slightly higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $340. Nationally, Abermain's median mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,430 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Abermain features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.2% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 15.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.8%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 3.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Abermain faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 7.1%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. The highest qualifications held are bachelor degrees at 5.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.3%). Vocational credentials are common, with 45.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.2%) and certificates (37.8%). Educational participation is high, with 28.5% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (12.0%), secondary education (7.2%), and tertiary education (2.1%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Abermain shows that there are 24 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 31 individual routes providing service to the area. This results in 283 weekly passenger trips being made through these stops.

The accessibility of transport in Abermain is rated as good, with residents on average located just 251 meters from their nearest transport stop. The service frequency across all routes averages out to approximately 40 trips per day, which equates to about 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Abermain is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Abermain faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 50% (~1,351 people) have private health cover, lower than the Rest of NSW's 53.7%, and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 11.8% and 11.1% of residents respectively.

However, 57.9% report being free from medical ailments, compared to 62.6% in Rest of NSW. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.0% (381 people), compared to the Rest of NSW's 16.9%. Senior health outcomes align with those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Abermain placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Abermain, surveyed in June 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population at 96.1%, with 95.4% being citizens and 98.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 51.1%. Nationally, it stood at 55.7%.

Ancestry-wise, Australians made up 36.2%, followed by English at 32.9% and Australian Aboriginal at 7.7%. Spanish heritage was notably higher than regional averages at 0.5% vs 0.2%, Welsh at 0.6% vs 0.5%, and New Zealand at 0.6% vs 0.5%.

Abermain's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Abermain is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 15.1% of Abermain's population compared to the Rest of NSW figure. Meanwhile, the 65-74 cohort makes up 8.2%. Post-2021 Census data reveals that the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.2% to 14.1%, while the 25-34 cohort has risen from 13.4% to 15.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 11.9% to 10.7%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 13.9% to 12.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Abermain, with the 35-44 age group projected to grow by 63% (243 people), reaching 627 from its current figure of 383.