Abermain

Population growth drivers in Abermain are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Abermain's population was estimated at around 2,731 as of Feb 2026. This reflected an increase of 187 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,544. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,634 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 177 persons per square kilometer. Abermain's growth of 7.4% since the 2021 census exceeded Rest of NSW's 5.9%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 68.0%.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecasted, with the suburb expected to expand by 965 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 31.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Abermain among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Abermain averaged around 27 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 136 homes were approved, with a further 3 approved so far in FY-26. Each year, on average, 3.1 people moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years.

This demand significantly outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $351,000. In FY-26, $2.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating limited commercial development focus.

Compared to the Rest of NSW, Abermain has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability in line with regional patterns. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. New development consists of 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 172 people per dwelling approval, Abermain shows characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Abermain is forecasted to gain 868 residents through to 2041. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Abermain has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects that may impact this region. Notable ones are the Weston Bears Facility Upgrade, Weston Commercial Centre Masterplan, Weston Public Preschool, and Hunter Expressway (M15). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Abermain lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Abermain's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with significant representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 6.6%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, Abermain has 1,193 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 9.2% (2.6% above Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%).

Workforce participation is at 61.3%, on par with Regional NSW. Census data shows that only 10.9% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing, with mining particularly notable, employing at 3.2 times the regional average. However, education & training employs just 5.2% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 9.6%.

The area may have limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Abermain's labour force decreased by 1.1%, with employment declining by 0.9%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW saw an employment decline of 1.2% and a labour force decline of 0.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project that Abermain's employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Abermain's current employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Abermain had a median taxpayer income of $48,877 and an average income of $57,298 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Regional NSW having a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215 during the same period. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income in Abermain would be approximately $53,208 and the average income $62,375, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. In Abermain, household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly between the 22nd and 32nd percentiles in the 2021 Census figures. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 33.2% of residents (906 people), similar to regional levels where 29.9% occupied this bracket. After housing expenses, 85.6% of income remained for other expenses.

Abermain is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Abermain, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.8% houses and 5.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Abermain was at 35.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (43.8%) or rented (20.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,430, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Abermain was $320, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Abermain's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Abermain features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.2% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 15.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.8%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 3.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Abermain faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 7.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 5.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.2%) and certificates (37.8%). Educational participation is high at 28.5%, comprising primary education (12.0%), secondary education (7.2%), and tertiary education (2.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 7.2% in secondary education, and 2.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 24 operational public transport stops in Abermain, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 31 separate routes, offering a total of 283 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents located an average of 251 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward; cars remain the primary mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding regional norms. Only 10.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census data).

Service frequency across all routes averages 40 trips daily, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Abermain is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's assessment reveals significant health challenges across Abermain. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence indicate marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts for a range of health conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 50% (~1,355 people), lower than Regional NSW's 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 11.8% and 11.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 57.9% report no medical ailments, compared to Regional NSW's 63.3%. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Abermain has 14.3% of residents aged 65 and over (390 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Abermain placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Abermain's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 96.1% of its population born in Australia, 95.4% being citizens, and 98.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Abermain, comprising 51.1% of people, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (36.2%), English (32.9%), and Australian Aboriginal (7.7%).

Spanish ethnicity was notably overrepresented at 0.5%, Welsh at 0.6%, and New Zealand at 0.6%.

Abermain's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Abermain is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 14.8% of Abermain's population, higher than the Regional NSW figure. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort makes up 8.3%, which is less prevalent compared to Regional NSW. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 12.2% to 15.4% of Abermain's population, while the 25 to 34 cohort has risen from 13.4% to 14.8%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 13.9% to 12.6%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 11.9% to 10.7%. Population forecasts for Abermain indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the 35 to 44 age group projected to grow by 49% (204 people), reaching a total of 625 from its current figure of 420.