Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn
Statistical Area - sa2

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is around 20,425 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 2,695 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 17,730 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,286 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 1,309 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 150 persons per square kilometer. Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's growth of 15.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area's growth of 5.1%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 68.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 9,220 persons based on latest population numbers, marking an overall increase of 39.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has seen approximately 333 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 1665 homes were approved, with another 156 in FY26 so far. On average, 1.3 new residents per year have been associated with each new home over the past five financial years.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand dynamic. The average construction value of new properties is $289,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY26, there has been $658,000 in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn shows moderately higher new home approvals, at 48.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

The area's developer interest is significantly above the national average, indicating robust activity. Recent construction comprises 66.0% standalone homes and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options to cater to diverse price brackets. This shift from the current 90.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring more affordable housing alternatives. The area has approximately 43 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts predict Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn will gain 8078 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 41 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Truegain Site Remediation, Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), and Dalmore Park Employment Hub, with the following list providing more details on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.6%, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent, unemployment rate is 3.6%.

As of June 2025, 8910 residents are employed, matching Rest of NSW's 3.7% unemployment rate but with higher participation at 63.5%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining. Mining shows strong specialization, with an employment share 4.1 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 1.5%, compared to 5.3% regionally.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data analysis. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 4.2% and employment declined by 4.7%, increasing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. Rest of NSW saw employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, May 2025, project national expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn's mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.0%% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn had a higher than average national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $54,089 and the average income stood at $68,221, compared to Rest of NSW's figures of $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $60,910 (median) and $76,824 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn cluster around the 51st percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 36.3% of the community (7,414 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 29.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 55th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. In Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, the home ownership rate was 26.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.0% and rented properties at 31.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,869, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent figure stood at $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.9% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate stands at 13.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent (9.5%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 34.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education. Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's five schools have a combined enrollment of 3,998 students as of the latest data. The area exhibits typical Australian school conditions with an ICSEA score of 963, indicating balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with three primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has 187 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 94 individual routes, facilitating 2,252 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 180 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 321 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn faces significant health challenges with a higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to the average, particularly among older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~10,968 people) of the total population has private health cover. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 10.6 and 9.3% of residents respectively. However, 64.1% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across the Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 14.9% (3,035 people) aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among this age group require more attention than the broader population.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 90.4% of its population born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 59.2%, compared to 57.0% regionally. Top ancestral groups were Australian (33.3%), English (30.6%), and Scottish (7.4%).

Notable differences included higher representation of Australian Aboriginal (5.5% vs regional 5.1%), Polish (0.8% vs 0.7%), and Welsh (0.6% vs 0.6%) groups.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is younger than the national pattern

Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn has a median age of 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% locally compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 14.3% to 15.3%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 8.9% to 7.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 25-34 cohort showing the strongest projected growth of 52%, adding 1,623 residents to reach 4,751.