Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn
Statistical Area - sa2

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is around 20,261 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 2,531 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,730 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,287 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 1,250 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 148 persons per square kilometer. Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's growth rate of 14.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area's growth rate of 4.8%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 68.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, placing Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn in the top 10 percent of non-metropolitan areas nationally. The area is expected to increase by 9,220 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, with an overall increase of 40.7% over these 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has seen approximately 333 dwelling approvals annually. From FY21 to FY25, around 1665 homes were approved, with a further 108 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 1.3 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over the past five financial years.

The average construction value of these new properties has been $358,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. Commercial approvals in FY26 totalled $658,000, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to the rest of NSW, Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn shows moderately higher new home approvals, with 48.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period ending FY25. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 66.0% standalone homes and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an expanding range of medium-density housing options.

The area currently has approximately 43 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn will gain around 8242 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 41 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are Truegain Site Remediation, Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), and Dalmore Park Employment Hub. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.6%, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent, with an unemployment rate of 3.6% as of June 2025.

There are 8,910 residents employed, aligning with the Rest of NSW's unemployment rate of 3.7%. The workforce participation rate is higher at 63.5%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining. Mining stands out with an employment share 4.1 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 1.5% compared to 5.3% regionally.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 4.2%, employment declined by 4.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections suggest Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn's growth may be approximately 6.0%% over five years and 12.9% over ten years based on its current employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn had a higher than average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $54,089 and the average income stood at $68,221, compared to Rest of NSW's figures of $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $60,910 (median) and $76,824 (average). Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn cluster around the 51st percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 36.3% of the community earns between $1,500 - 2,999 (7,354 individuals), similar to metropolitan trends at 29.9%. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 55th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, as assessed in the latest Census, 89.7% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 10.3% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW where 87.1% were houses and 13.0% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn stood at 26.9%, with mortgaged properties making up 42.0% and rented dwellings accounting for 31.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,869, surpassing Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. Weekly rent in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn averaged $400, higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $375. Nationally, mortgage repayments in the area were higher at $1,869 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $400 against the national average of $375.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.9% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate of 13.4% is significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 10.2% and certificates for 34.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education. Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 3,998 students. The area offers balanced educational opportunities, with an ICSEA score of 963, typical of Australian schools. Education provision is balanced, with 3 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has 187 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of train and bus routes, totalling 94 individual routes. Collectively, these provide 2,252 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 180 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 321 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn faces significant health challenges with a higher prevalence of common conditions compared to average.

This is particularly true for older age cohorts. Approximately 54% (~10,880 people) have private health cover in the area. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 10.6 and 9.3% of residents respectively. Only 64.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 14.9% (3,010 people) aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 90.4% born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 59.2%. This is slightly higher than the regional average of 57.0%.

The top three ancestral groups were Australian (33.3%), English (30.6%), and Scottish (7.4%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal people made up 5.5%, Polish people 0.8%, and Welsh people 0.6% of the population, which was similar to or slightly higher than regional averages.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is younger than the national pattern

Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn has a median age of 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% locally compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 14.3% to 15.3% of the population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 8.9% to 7.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25-34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 53%, adding 1,649 residents to reach 4,751.