Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is 20,659 as of May 2026. This is an increase of 2,929 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,730. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 19,955 in June 2025 and an additional 1,404 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 151 persons per square kilometer. Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's growth rate of 16.5% since the 2021 census exceeded Rest of NSW's 4.9%. Growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 67.2% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is forecasted to increase by 8,475 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 37.6% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has seen approximately 333 dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 1665 homes were approved, with a further 296 approved in FY26 so far. On average, each new home attracts about 1.3 new residents yearly over these five years.

The average construction value of new properties is $289,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year has seen $658,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn shows moderately higher new home approvals, at 48.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. Recent construction comprises 66.0% standalone homes and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 90.0% houses) suggests decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles' need for diverse affordable housing options.

The location has approximately 43 people per dwelling approval, suggesting a growing market. AreaSearch quarterly estimates project Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn to gain around 7770 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 42 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), Dalmore Park Employment Hub, and Truegain Site Remediation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.5%, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, particularly in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.5%. As of December 2025, there are 9,092 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 0.4% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation is at 60.5%, similar to Regional NSW. Home-based work accounts for 17.7% of jobs. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining. Mining employment is notably high at 4.1 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 1.5%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force decreased by 0.6% and employment declined by 0.6%, leaving unemployment stable. Regional NSW saw a 1.2% employment decline and a 0.8% labour force decrease during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across sectors. Applying these projections to Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn SA2 had an above-average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $58,237 and the average income stood at $74,140, compared to Regional NSW's figures of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $64,247 (median) and $81,791 (average) as of March 2026. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 36.3% of the community earns between $1,500 and $2,999 (7,499 individuals), which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 29.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, placing disposable income at the 55th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, as per the latest Census evaluation, 89.7% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 10.3% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This distribution contrasts with Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn stood at 26.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.0% and rented ones at 31.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,869, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in the area was $400, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.9% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates of 13.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (34.5%). Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn reveals that there are 198 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of train and bus services. There are 92 individual routes that collectively provide 2,139 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 180 meters from the nearest transport stop. As it is primarily a residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transport at 96%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 17.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 305 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn faces significant health challenges as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are critical issues affecting both younger and older age groups.

The area has a high private health cover rate of approximately 56% (~11,589 people), compared to Regional NSW's 51.9%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 10.6 and 9.3% of residents respectively. However, 64.1% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, similar to Regional NSW's 63.3%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.6% (3,020 people), compared to Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn showed lower cultural diversity, with 90.4% born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 59.2%, compared to Regional NSW's 55.9%. Top ancestry groups were Australian (33.3%), English (30.6%), and Scottish (7.4%).

Notable ethnic group representations included Australian Aboriginal at 5.5% (vs regional 4.6%), Polish at 0.8% (vs 0.5%), and Welsh at 0.6% (vs 0.5%).

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is younger than the national pattern

Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn has a median age of 35 years, which is lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 and Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 15.2% of the local population, higher than the regional average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group increased from 12.0% to 13.3%, and the 65-74 age group decreased from 8.9% to 7.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn's age profile, with the 25-34 cohort expected to grow by 47%, adding 1,487 residents and reaching a total of 4,632.