Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is approximately 20,425 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 2,695 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,730. The growth was inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,286 in June 2024 and an additional 1,309 validated new addresses after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 150 persons per square kilometer. Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's growth rate of 15.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area average of 5.1% and the state's growth, indicating it as one of the region's leading growth areas. Interstate migration contributed approximately 68.2% to this population increase.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by the ABS data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections anticipate exceptional growth for Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn over the period from 2022 to 2041, with an expected increase of 9,220 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 39.5% over the 17-year span.

The level of residential development activity in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has seen approximately 333 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21-FY25, 1665 homes were approved, with another 194 in FY26 so far. On average, 1.3 new residents arrived annually for each new home over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost of new properties is $289,000. This year, there have been $658,000 in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to Rest of NSW, Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has moderately higher new home approvals, at 48.0% above the regional average per person over five years. Recent construction comprises 66.0% standalone homes and 34.0% townhouses or apartments, diversifying medium-density options. This shift from the area's existing housing (90.0% houses) indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyle needs.

The location has approximately 43 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts estimate Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn will gain 8078 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially exceeding current population growth forecasts.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly impact local performance. AreaSearch identified 41 potential influence projects. Key initiatives include Truegain Site Remediation, Max McMahon Oval Amenities Redevelopment, Melville Ford Bridge Replacement (Milton Morris Bridge), and Dalmore Park Employment Hub. Below details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.4%, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, strong manufacturing and industrial sectors, and an unemployment rate of 3.4%, as of September 2025. It has 9,060 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 0.4% lower than Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 63.5%. Dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining, with mining particularly strong at 4.1 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 1.5% compared to 5.3% regionally. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data.

From September 2024 to September 2025, labour force decreased by 2.3%, and employment declined by the same percentage, keeping unemployment flat. Rest of NSW saw employment decline of 0.5%, labour force drop by 0.1%, with unemployment rising to 3.8%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.0% in five years and 12.9% in ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,089 and an average income of $68,221 in the financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures compared to Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,910 (median) and $76,824 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 to 2,999 captures 36.3% of the community's individuals, with a total of 7,414 people. This is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region, where 29.9% fall into the same category. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 55th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn was at 26.9%, with mortgaged properties making up 42.0% and rented dwellings accounting for 31.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,869, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.9% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 26.7% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (34.5%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn has 187 active public transport stops. These include train and bus services. There are 94 individual routes operating in the area.

They collectively provide 2,252 weekly passenger trips. The average distance residents live from the nearest stop is 180 meters. On average, there are 321 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 12 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn faces significant health challenges with a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average figures, particularly amongst older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~10,968 people) of the total population has private health cover. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 10.6 and 9.3% of residents respectively. Conversely, 64.1% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.9%, comprising 3,035 people. Health outcomes among these seniors require further attention due to the challenges they present.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Rutherford North-Aberglasslyn showed cultural homogeneity with 90.4% of residents born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated the religious landscape here, comprising 59.2%, slightly higher than the regional average of 57.0%. Ancestry-wise, Australians made up 33.3%, followed by English (30.6%) and Scottish (7.4%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal people were relatively more represented at 5.5% compared to the region's 5.1%. Polish (0.8%) and Welsh (0.6%) populations also mirrored regional figures closely.

Rutherford (North) - Aberglasslyn's population is younger than the national pattern

Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn has a median age of 35 years, which is significantly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and slightly younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% locally compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 age group is under-represented at 7.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 14.3% to 15.3%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 8.9% to 7.9%. Demographic projections suggest that Rutherford North - Aberglasslyn's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 25-34 cohort, which is projected to grow by 52%, adding 1,623 residents to reach a total of 4,751.