Tenambit

Tenambit has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Tenambit's population is estimated at around 3,332 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 244 people (7.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,088 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,283 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 143 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,507 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tenambit's 7.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW (5.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally is projected, with the suburb expected to grow by 779 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 21.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Tenambit when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Tenambit averaged around 18 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 93 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved in FY-26 to date. This averages out to approximately 2 new residents per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years, indicating stable market conditions. However, this has eased to around 1.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting better supply availability.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $401,000, slightly above the regional average, signifying a focus on quality developments. This year, $80,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, predominantly reflecting residential development activity. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Tenambit has significantly less development activity, at 52.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The current building activity shows 77.0% detached dwellings and 23.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

Tenambit reflects a developing area, with around 149 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tenambit is projected to gain approximately 730 residents by 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, but buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Tenambit has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region: East Maitland Catalyst Area, Raymond Terrace and Heatherbrae Strategy (2020-2040). Other notable projects include Stony Pinch Urban Development and Maitland Local Housing Strategy (2041), with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Tenambit recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Tenambit has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs well represented. Essential services sectors are prominent, and the unemployment rate is 5.4%. As of December 2025, 1,345 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.9% compared to Regional NSW's 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Tenambit lags at 52.3%, against Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census data, 19.8% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area shows significant specialization in mining, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.9%.

Over the year to December 2025, Tenambit's labour force decreased by 1.0% and employment fell by 0.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment contract by 1.2%, labour force fall by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tenambit's industry mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Tenambit's median income among taxpayers is $46,201. The average income in this suburb is $56,610. Both figures are lower than the national averages. In comparison, Regional NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tenambit would be approximately $50,294 (median) and $61,626 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Tenambit all fall between the 17th and 17th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 30.8% of residents (1,026 people), a pattern also seen at regional levels where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tenambit, with only 81.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 15th percentile nationally.

Tenambit is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Tenambit, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.9% houses and 12.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tenambit was at 36.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.9% and rented dwellings at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Tenambit was $345, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Tenambit's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tenambit features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 68.8% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.2%, with lone person households at 29.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Regional NSW average.

Tenambit faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 10.3%, while certificates make up 30%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Tenambit indicates 29 active public transport stops, all bus services. These stops are served by 31 routes, offering a total of 487 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 140 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Tenambit's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode at 96%, with an average vehicle ownership of 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 19.8% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 69 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Tenambit is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tenambit faces significant health challenges, as identified by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions affects both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 49% of the total population (~1,644 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, impacting 12.5 and 11.5% of residents respectively. However, 55.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 23.9% of residents aged 65 and over (796 people), with health outcomes among seniors presenting some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit's population was found to be predominantly born in Australia, with 92.4%, and a majority were citizens at 93.2%. English was the language spoken at home by 97.9% of residents. Christianity was the primary religion, comprising 58.5% of Tenambit's population, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 55.9%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (32.8%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (8.7%). Notably, Polish ethnicity was overrepresented at 1.0%, compared to the regional average of 0.5%. Additionally, Australian Aboriginal and Maori ethnicities showed higher representation than regional averages, at 6.6% and 0.6% respectively.

Tenambit's median age exceeds the national pattern

Tenambit's median age is 41 years, lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 but higher than Australia's national average of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 13.4%, higher than the Regional NSW figure, while the 45-54 cohort stands at 10.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group grew from 8.2% to 9.3%, and the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 11.1% to 10.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tenambit's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 38%, adding 170 residents to reach 617. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 7% (27 people).