Tenambit

Tenambit has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The Tenambit statistical area's population is estimated at approximately 3,317 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 229 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,088. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,283 residents following examination of ABS' ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 113 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of around 1,500 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Tenambit's population growth rate of 7.4% since the 2021 Census exceeded the non-metro area's rate of 5.7%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, the Tenambit (SA2) is expected to grow by 754 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 19.4% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tenambit recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Tenambit has averaged around 15 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 76 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 2.4 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over these years, indicating robust demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $401,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. This year has seen $80,000 in commercial approvals registered, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Tenambit has significantly less development activity, 60.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New building activity shows 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of medium-density options that cater to various price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives.

This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 88.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 246 people per dwelling approval, Tenambit shows a developing market. Population forecasts indicate that Tenambit will gain 642 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tenambit has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to affect the region: East Maitland Catalyst Area, Raymond Terrace and Heatherbrae Strategy 2020-2040. Other key projects include Stony Pinch Urban Development and Maitland Local Housing Strategy 2041. The following details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Tenambit faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Tenambit's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 5.4%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 1,332 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 53.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area specializes in mining, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.9% compared to the regional 5.3%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited, indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.0%, with employment declining by 2.9%, causing a slight drop in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.1%, with an increase in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tenambit's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.4% in five years and 13.6% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Tenambit's median income among taxpayers is $46,201 and average is $56,610. This is lower than the national average. Rest of NSW has a median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tenambit are approximately $50,294 (median) and $61,626 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Tenambit fall between the 17th and 17th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.8% of residents (1,021 people), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tenambit, with only 81.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 15th percentile.

Tenambit is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tenambit, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.9% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 12.0% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is comparable to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tenambit stood at 36.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.9% and rented ones at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent in Tenambit was $345, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Tenambit's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,625 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $345 compared to the national figure of $375.

Tenambit features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.8% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.2%, with lone person households at 29.9% and group households making up 1.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Tenambit faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualifications, at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (30.0%). Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 29 active transport stops in Tenambit. These stops offer bus services only. There are 31 routes serving these stops, providing a total of 487 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 140 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 69 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tenambit is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tenambit faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 49% (~1,637 people) have private health cover, compared to 54.8% across Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common conditions, impacting 12.5% and 11.5% of residents respectively.

However, 55.9% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.6% (749 people), compared to 15.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity: 92.4% of residents were born in Australia, 93.2% were citizens, and 97.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (58.5%), slightly higher than the Rest of NSW average (57.0%). The top three ancestry groups were English (32.8%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (8.7%).

Notably, Polish residents were overrepresented (1.0% vs 0.7%), as were Australian Aboriginal (6.6% vs 5.1%) and Maori (0.6% vs 0.4%) residents.

Tenambit's median age exceeds the national pattern

Tenambit's median age is 41 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group constitutes 13.4%, higher than the Rest of NSW figure. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort makes up 10.3%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 10.5% to 11.4%, while the 65 to 74 cohort decreased from 12.1% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tenambit's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 37%, adding 166 residents to reach 611. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 6% (20 people).