Tenambit

Tenambit has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Tenambit's population is estimated at around 3,309 people. This reflects a growth since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,088 people. The increase of 221 people (7.2%) was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,294 residents based on latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and an additional 113 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,497 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tenambit's growth rate exceeded both the non-metro area (5.1%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors including natural growth and overseas migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate an above median growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally, with Tenambit expected to grow by 757 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 19.7% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tenambit when compared nationally

Between financial years 2021 and 2025, Tenambit averaged approximately 19 new dwelling approvals per year. Over these five years, around 97 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved in the current financial year of 2026. Each year, about 1.9 new residents have been associated with each dwelling constructed between 2021 and 2025, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this has decreased to around 1 person per dwelling over the past two years, suggesting better supply availability.

The average construction cost value for new homes is approximately $401,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year, Tenambit has registered $350,000 in commercial approvals, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, Tenambit has about half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person when measured against the Rest of NSW.

Nationally, it ranks among the 82nd percentile of assessed areas. However, building activity has increased recently. The majority of new building activity consists of detached dwellings at 73.0%, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 27.0%. This sustains Tenambit's suburban identity, characterized by family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Tenambit reflects a developing area, with around 125 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 653 residents by 2041. Development appears to be keeping pace with projected growth, although increasing competition among buyers can be expected as the population expands.

Tenambit has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project potentially affecting this region: East Maitland Catalyst Area, Raymond Terrace and Heatherbrae Strategy (2020-2040), Stony Pinch Urban Development, and Maitland Local Housing Strategy (2041).

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Employment drivers in Tenambit are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Tenambit has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate is 5.5%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, there are 1,331 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Tenambit is lower at 53.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Mining has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with only 0.9% of employment compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.5%, alongside a 5.5% decline in employment, resulting in an increase in unemployment rate by 0.9 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, the labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tenambit's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Tenambit's median income among taxpayers was $46,201 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $56,610 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of NSW which were $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $52,027 (median) and $63,749 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Tenambit all fall between the 17th and 17th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 30.8% of locals (1,019 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, similar to the surrounding region where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tenambit, with only 81.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 15th percentile nationally.

Tenambit is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tenambit, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.9% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 12.0% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This is similar to Non-Metro NSW's dwelling structure which was 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tenambit stood at 36.9%, with mortgaged properties at 30.9% and rented ones at 32.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tenambit was $1,625, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. The median weekly rent in Tenambit was recorded as $345, compared to Non-Metro NSW's figure of $375. Nationally, Tenambit's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,625 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also less at $345 compared to the national figure of $375.

Tenambit features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.8% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.2%, with lone person households at 29.9% and group households making up 1.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Tenambit faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 30.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.6% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education. Tenambit Public School serves the area, enrolling 306 students as of a specific date. The school caters exclusively to primary education, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.2, below the regional average of 17.6, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 28 active stops operating in Tenambit, offering mixed bus services. These stops are served by 31 unique routes, facilitating a total of 509 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents generally located 140 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 72 trips daily across all routes, amounting to roughly 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tenambit is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tenambit faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 49% (~1,633 people) have private health cover, lower than the Rest of NSW's 52.8% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues (12.5%) and arthritis (11.5%) are the most prevalent conditions in Tenambit, with 55.9% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW.

Residents aged 65 and over comprise 22.6% (747 people), higher than the Rest of NSW's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors align with those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Tenambit placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Tenambit's population, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity: 92.4% were born in Australia, 93.2% were citizens, and 97.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 58.5%, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW's 57.0%. The top ancestral groups were English (32.8%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (8.7%).

Notably, Polish (1.0% vs regional 0.7%) and Australian Aboriginal (6.6% vs 5.1%) groups were overrepresented, while Maori was slightly higher at 0.6%.

Tenambit hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tenambit's median age is 41 years, which is lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 but exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 13.5%, higher than Rest of NSW, while the 45-54 cohort makes up 10.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census and onwards, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 10.5% to 11.4% of Tenambit's population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 12.1% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tenambit's age profile. The 25 to 34 cohort is expected to grow by 37%, adding 164 residents to reach a total of 611. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort is projected to show minimal growth of just 7% (25 people).