Chisholm (NSW)

Chisholm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Nov 2025, the suburb of Chisholm's (NSW) population is estimated at around 7,150. This reflects an increase of 2,573 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,577. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,861 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 867 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 963 persons per square kilometer. Chisholm's growth rate of 56.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area (5.1%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to grow by 5,670 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 55.4% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Chisholm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis shows Chisholm averaged around 250 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 1,251 homes were approved, with 75 more expected in FY-26. Each new home brought an average of 1.3 new residents over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value was $393,000 per dwelling, below the regional average. This year, $3.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a residential character for the area. Compared to Rest of NSW, Chisholm had 358.0% more new home approvals per person as of FY-26. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Nationally, developer confidence in Chisholm is strong, reflected in its above-average new building activity. New dwelling construction consists of 75.0% detached dwellings and 25.0% townhouses or apartments, shifting from the current housing mix of 100.0% houses.

This change may be due to reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands. With around 26 people per dwelling approval, Chisholm exhibits growth area characteristics. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates indicate a population increase of 3,964 residents. Current development patterns suggest that new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Chisholm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Chisholm Plaza, Raymond Terrace and Heatherbrae Strategy 2020-2040, Sophia Waters Estate, and Sophia Waters Sportsground. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Chisholm performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Chisholm has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 0.7%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, there are 2,833 residents in work, and the unemployment rate is 3.0% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is high at 78.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Chisholm has a strong specialization in mining, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.4% of Chisholm's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. During the year to June 2025, Chisholm's labour force decreased by 3.9%, alongside a 3.8% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Chisholm's employment mix indicates that local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Chisholm is extremely high nationally. The median assessed income is $68,549 while the average income stands at $79,813. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures of a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $77,193 (median) and $89,877 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Chisholm, between the 89th and 94th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort spans 39.0% of locals (2,788 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 29.9% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners (43.3% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Chisholm. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 94th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Chisholm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Chisholm's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.6% houses and 0.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Non-Metro NSW's 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Chisholm stood at 18.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 61.7% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,344, exceeding Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,862. Median weekly rent in Chisholm was $550, higher than Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Chisholm's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,344 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Chisholm features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 92.2% of all households, consisting of 56.5% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 6.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 7.8%, with lone person households at 6.6% and group households making up 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.7.

Chisholm shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Chisholm's residents aged 15+ have higher university qualification rates than broader benchmarks. 27.3% hold such qualifications compared to SA4 region's 15.2% and SA3 area's 17.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (13.5%) and certificates (28.5%).

Educational participation is high at 34.3%, including primary education (14.0%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (4.4%). St Aloysius Catholic Primary School and St Bede's Catholic College serve 1,462 students in the area, which has typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1041). Educational provision consists of one primary and one secondary institution.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Chisholm indicates that there are currently 24 active transport stops in operation. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with a total of 46 individual routes providing passenger trips weekly. The collective number of weekly passenger trips across these routes is 395.

Residents' access to public transport is rated as good, with an average distance of 271 meters to the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 56 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Chisholm's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Chisholm. Younger cohorts particularly have a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 58% of the total population (4,178 people), compared to 52.8% across Rest of NSW. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.1% and 8.1% of residents respectively. 73.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of NSW. As of 2021, 7.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (564 people), lower than the 15.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Chisholm records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Chisholm's population showed cultural diversity similar to its region, with 84.1% born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 87.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, at 60.7%, compared to 57.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.4%), English (29.4%), and Scottish (6.9%).

Notable differences included Korean representation at 0.7% in Chisholm versus 0.1% regionally, Indian at 4.3% versus 0.8%, and Welsh at 0.6% each.

Chisholm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Chisholm is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and also substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Chisholm has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (20.9%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (5.3%). This 35-44 concentration is well above the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the age group of 35 to 44 has grown from 19.4% to 20.9% of the population. Conversely, the age group of 55 to 64 has declined from 8.2% to 6.8%. By the year 2041, Chisholm is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the leading demographic shift being a growth of 64% (954 people) in the 35 to 44 age group, reaching a total of 2,449 from the previous count of 1,494.