Branxton

Branxton lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Branxton's population is estimated at around 2,483 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 228 people (10.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,255 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,320 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 78 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 77 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. The suburb of Branxton's 10.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area (5.1%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to increase by 1,691 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 76.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Branxton among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Branxton has seen approximately 22 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 110 homes were approved in the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with a further 9 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 5.7 new residents per year for every home built during this period.

The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which typically exerts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $462,000. In FY-26, there have been $5.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Branxton has similar development levels per person, suggesting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

The recent construction in Branxton comprises 75% detached dwellings and 25% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. This marks a shift from the current housing pattern of 94% houses, possibly due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has approximately 149 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Population forecasts suggest Branxton will gain 1,907 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Branxton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Twelve projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Woolworths Huntlee Retail Centre, Huntlee New Town, AVID Waterford Community Extension - Chisholm, and Huntlee Local Water Centre 2. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Branxton positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Branxton has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently featured. The unemployment rate is 1.2%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of June 2025, 1,318 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is high at 65.4%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment industries include mining, health care & social assistance, and construction. Mining stands out with employment levels seven times the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance has lower representation, at 11.3% versus the regional average of 16.9%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by Census working population vs resident population comparison. In the year to June 2025, labour force decreased by 4.2%, and employment declined by 4.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.1% with a labour force growth of 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Branxton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Branxton had a median taxpayer income of $54,795 and an average of $67,441. Nationally, the median was lower at $50,389 with an average of $64,896. In Rest of NSW, the median was $49,459 and average was $62,998. By September 2025, estimates suggest Branxton's median income could be approximately $61,705 and average $75,945, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census ranked Branxton's household incomes at the 81st percentile ($2,266 weekly). Income analysis showed that 33.9% of individuals earned between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting a broader area trend where 29.9% fell within this range. Branxton exhibited affluence with 33.4% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and services. After housing costs, residents retained 87.3% of income. The SEIFA income ranking placed the area in the 5th decile.

Branxton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Branxton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.6% houses and 6.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 90.9% houses and 9.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Branxton was at 35.0%, similar to Non-Metro NSW. Dwellings were either mortgaged (50.9%) or rented (14.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,037, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Branxton was $350, slightly higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $340. Nationally, Branxton's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,037 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $350 versus the national figure of $375.

Branxton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.8% of all households, including 41.2% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.2%, with lone person households at 16.2% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Branxton fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, substantially below NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 45.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (35.5%). Educational participation is high at 30.6%, including primary education (11.9%), secondary education (7.6%), and tertiary education (3.5%).

Branxton Public School and Rosary Park Catholic School serve 823 students collectively, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 977) offering balanced educational opportunities. Both schools focus on primary education, while secondary options are available nearby. The area functions as an education hub with 33.1 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 13.0, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Branxton has 32 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 46 routes that facilitate 673 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 306 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency stands at 96 daily trips across all routes, translating to about 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Branxton is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Branxton faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups, but slightly more so among older cohorts.

Approximately 54% (~1,330 people) of Branxton's total population has private health cover. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 10.0 and 8.6% of residents respectively. However, 67.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.6% across Rest of NSW. Branxton has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.3% (379 people) than the Rest of NSW's 16.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Branxton require more attention than those of the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Branxton placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Branxton's population showed low cultural diversity, with 93.4% born in Australia, 94.1% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 62.0%, compared to 55.7% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.7%), English (31.5%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notably, Polish (1.4%) and Maltese (0.8%) populations were higher than regional averages (Polish: 0.5%, Maltese: 0.3%). However, the Australian Aboriginal population was lower at 4.6% compared to the regional average of 6.3%.

Branxton's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Branxton is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 35-44 year-olds are prominent at 13.9%, while the 65-74 group is smaller at 9.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 10.8% to 12.2%, and the 35-44 cohort has increased from 12.7% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 13.0%. By 2041, demographic projections show that the 45-54 age cohort is expected to rise significantly, expanding by 294 people (91%) from 322 to 617.