Branxton

Branxton lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025 the Branxton statistical area's population is estimated at around 2,584. This reflects an increase of 329 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,255. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,403 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 78 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 81 persons per square kilometer. The Branxton's 14.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area (5.7%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 73.0%.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the Branxton (SA2) expected to increase by 1,703 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 70.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Branxton among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Branxton shows approximately 25 new homes approved annually. From FY-21 to FY-25, around 129 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 4.9 new residents per year for every home built over the past five financial years.

The demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $462,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This year, $797,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. When compared to Rest of NSW, Branxton has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability in line with regional patterns. However, building activity has slowed in recent years.

The national average is significantly lower, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity shows 70.0% detached dwellings and 30.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 94.0% houses). This suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 149 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Future projections estimate Branxton adding 1,818 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Branxton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Twelve infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting a particular area. Key projects include Woolworths Huntlee Retail Centre, Huntlee New Town, AVID Waterford Community Extension - Chisholm, and Huntlee Local Water Centre 2. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Branxton positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Branxton has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notably in manufacturing and industrial sectors. As of September 2025, its unemployment rate is 1.1%.

It has an aggregated statistical area data-based unemployment rate that is 2.7% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Branxton is high at 65.4%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The leading employment industries among residents are mining, health care & social assistance, and construction. Mining has particularly notable concentration with employment levels 7.0 times the regional average.

Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 11.3% versus the regional average of 16.9%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Branxton's labour force decreased by 1.4%, with employment declining by 1.5%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In comparison, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Branxton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 12.1% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Branxton's median income among taxpayers is $54,795. The average income in the suburb is $67,441. These figures are comparable to national averages. In contrast, Rest of NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Branxton's median income would be approximately $59,650 by September 2025, with the average estimated at $73,416. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Branxton rank at the 81st percentile, with a weekly income of $2,266. Income analysis shows that 33.9% of the community (875 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 29.9% fall within this earnings band. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 33.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Branxton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Branxton, as per the latest Census evaluation, 93.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Branxton stood at 35%, similar to Non-Metro NSW, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.9% and rented ones at 14.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,037, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Branxton was $350, slightly higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $340. Nationally, Branxton's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $350 compared to the national figure of $375.

Branxton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.8% of all households, including 41.2% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.2%, consisting of 16.2% lone person households and 1.7% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Branxton fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

In the area, university qualification rates are lower than NSW's average, at 16.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualifications, at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (35.5%). Educational participation is high, with 30.6% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary (11.9%), secondary (7.6%), and tertiary (3.5%) levels of education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Branxton has 35 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 47 different routes, collectively facilitating 648 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 306 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 92 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Branxton is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Branxton faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, particularly among older age cohorts, at a slightly higher degree.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~1,385 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.0% and 8.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 67.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.6% across Rest of NSW. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (395 people), which is lower than the 16.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, requiring more attention than the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Branxton placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Branxton's population is predominantly Australian-born, with 93.4% having been born in Australia. This figure stands out as it is higher than the average for Rest of NSW. Similarly, 94.1% of Branxton residents are citizens, and a vast majority, 97.4%, speak English exclusively at home.

The primary religion in Branxton is Christianity, which accounts for 62.0% of the population, slightly higher than the regional average of 55.7%. Regarding ancestry, Australian-born parents make up the largest group at 33.7%, followed by English at 31.5%, and Irish at 8.9%. Notably, Polish residents comprise 1.4% of Branxton's population, which is higher than the regional average of 0.5%. Similarly, Maltese residents account for 0.8%, compared to the regional average of 0.3%. However, Australian Aboriginal representation in Branxton stands at 4.6%, slightly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 6.3%.

Branxton's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Branxton is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that individuals aged 35-44 are notably prominent at 13.9%, while those aged 65-74 constitute a smaller proportion at 9.1% compared to the Rest of NSW figure. Between 2021 and the present, the population aged 25-34 has grown from 10.8% to 12.3%, and the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.7% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 age cohort has decreased from 14.3% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Branxton's age structure, with the 45-54 age group expected to rise substantially by 87%, from 333 to 623 people.