Maryland (Newcastle - NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Maryland reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of the suburb of Maryland (Newcastle - NSW) is estimated at around 8,277 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 563 people (7.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,714 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 8,123, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,823 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Maryland's 7.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area (5.1%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of locations outside of capital cities, is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to grow by 3,979 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 47.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Maryland recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Maryland has seen approximately 13 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 69 homes were approved, with an additional 14 approved in FY-26 so far. This results in about 12.6 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

However, supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $461,000. In FY-26, Maryland has registered $230,000 in commercial approvals, indicating its residential nature. Compared to the rest of NSW, Maryland shows substantially reduced construction, which is 68.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Nationally, this activity is also below average, suggesting possible planning constraints.

Recent construction comprises 70.0% detached dwellings and 30.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing diverse price points from family homes to compact living. This shift indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more affordable housing options. Maryland has approximately 529 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is forecasted to gain 3,958 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Maryland has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Eight projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. These include the widening and upgrade of Minmi Road, a residential flat building at John T Bell Drive and Matfen Close in Maryland, multi-dwelling housing development at 25-29 Prospero Street in Maryland, and the redevelopment of Maryland Village Shopping Centre.

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AreaSearch analysis places Maryland well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Maryland has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.0%.

As of June 2025, 4635 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was higher at 65.6%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employed only 0.4% of local workers, lower than Rest of NSW's 5.3%.

Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, labour force by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.1%, labour force expanded by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with differing rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Maryland's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Maryland's median taxpayer income was $46,768 and average income was $55,145 in financial year 2022, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below the national average of $62,998 for Rest of NSW, which had a median income of $49,459. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $52,665 (median) and $62,099 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Maryland rank modestly, between the 42nd and 52nd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 37.6% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting a pattern seen in the broader area where 29.9% occupy this income range. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 54th percentile.

Maryland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Maryland's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.4% houses and 9.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maryland was 31.6%, similar to Non-Metro NSW's rate. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (45.3%) or rented (23.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Maryland was $1,760, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. Median weekly rent in Maryland was recorded at $400, matching Non-Metro NSW's figure. Nationally, Maryland's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Maryland features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.0% of all households, including 36.8% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.0%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Maryland fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.8%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (30.7%).

Educational participation is high at 29.9%, including primary education (9.4%), secondary education (8.2%), and tertiary education (5.9%). Maryland Public School and Glendore Public School serve a total of 1,058 students in the area, which has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1000) with balanced educational opportunities. Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Maryland's public transport analysis shows 65 active stops operating within the state. These are served by a mix of buses along 35 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 993 weekly passenger trips.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 163 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 141 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 15 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Maryland is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Maryland faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is low, at approximately 49% of the total population (~4,038 people), compared to 55.6% across Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Maryland, affecting 11.1 and 10.0% of residents respectively. However, 63.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.9% across Rest of NSW. Maryland has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.7%, with 1,133 people in this age group, compared to 16.7% in Rest of NSW. The health outcomes among seniors are challenging but broadly align with the general population's health profile.

Maryland ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maryland's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.8% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 87.8% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Maryland is Christianity, comprising 52.6% of the population, compared to 47.7% across Rest of NSW. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (29.4%), English (29.1%), and Scottish (7.5%).

Notably, Polish (1.3%) and Macedonian (1.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Maryland compared to regional averages of 0.8% each, while Welsh is slightly underrepresented at 0.7%.

Maryland's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Maryland is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of NSW's average of 43 and close to the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 15-24 are prominent at 14.6%, while those aged 65-74 comprise 8.3%. Since 2021, the 25-34 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.4% of the population, while the 5-14 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 25-34 age cohort is expected to increase significantly, rising by 808 people (68%) from 1,191 to 2,000.