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Sales Activity
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Population
Fletcher lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends
As of November 2025, Fletcher's population is estimated at around 8,707, reflecting an increase of 693 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Fletcher by AreaSearch in June 2024 was 8,555, with an additional 67 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density of 1,408 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Since the 2021 Census, Fletcher's population grew by 8.6%, exceeding the non-metro area's growth rate of 5.1%. Natural growth contributed approximately 47% of overall population gains during recent periods. For future projections until 2041, AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered SA2 areas and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas.
Exceptional growth is predicted, placing Fletcher in the top 10 percent of non-metropolitan areas nationally, with an expected increase of 4,020 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 43.9% over the 17-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Recent residential development output has been above average within Fletcher when compared nationally
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows around 39 new homes approved annually in Fletcher. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 196 homes were approved, with a further 20 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 4.3 new residents per year arriving for each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.
The supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $461,000. There have been $1.3 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Fletcher's development levels are similar to the rest of NSW, preserving market equilibrium with surrounding areas.
Building activity shows 60.0% detached houses and 40.0% medium and high-density housing, expanding medium-density options across price brackets. This represents a shift from the area's existing housing composition, currently 92.0% houses. Fletcher has around 412 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developed market. Population forecasts suggest Fletcher will gain 3,824 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Fletcher has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
Eleven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, with key ones being the Widening and Upgrade of Minmi Road, Fletcher Village, Residential Flat Building at John T Bell Drive and Matfen Close in Maryland, and Fletcher Green Estate. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
M1 Pacific Motorway Extension to Raymond Terrace
A $2.1 billion, 15-kilometre dual carriageway motorway extension from Black Hill to Raymond Terrace, bypassing Hexham and Heatherbrae. Key features include a 2.6-kilometre viaduct over the Hunter River, Main North Rail Line, New England Highway, and floodplains; new interchanges at Black Hill, Tarro, Tomago, and Raymond Terrace; and widening of Hexham Straight. Construction is progressing steadily across the full 15-kilometre alignment, with key milestones including the completion of piling in the Hunter River, installation of bridge girders and deck pours on the 2.6-kilometre viaduct and various interchanges, and the opening of new sections of road, such as a bridge at Black Hill. The project is jointly funded by the Australian and NSW governments and is expected to open to traffic in mid-2028. It will reduce peak travel time by 7-9 minutes and remove up to 25,000 vehicles per day from key congestion points, supporting approximately 2,700 jobs during construction.
Fletcher Village
Fletcher Village is a neighbourhood shopping centre anchored by a Coles supermarket and Liquorland, supported by sixteen specialty retailers. It provides convenient local shopping amenities and is a carbon neutral property with 100% renewable energy for base building services.
Maryland Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the Maryland Shopping Centre into Maryland Village, including a new Woolworths supermarket with Direct to Boot, specialty shops such as BWS, Bakers Delight, Terry White Pharmacy, Barber Collective Co, Mr Lees Chinese Takeaway, Maryland Tavern, and Maryland Medical Centre, along with enhanced community facilities. The centre spans over 14,000 sqm land with 7,000 sqm lettable area. Opened in June 2024.
Materials Recovery Facility at Summerhill Waste Management Centre
Development of a Materials Recovery Facility at Summerhill Waste Management Centre to process up to 85,000 tonnes of recyclables per year. The facility will sort household yellow-lid bin recyclables and commercial sector waste into paper, cardboard, glass, plastics, steel and aluminium for remanufacturing. Originally awarded to iQRenew for $56.7M but contract was rescinded in December 2023 due to unresolved commercial and technical issues. Council is reassessing options while development application remains under assessment by Hunter and Central Coast Regional Planning Panel.
Eden Estates
State-significant masterplanned residential precinct spanning approximately 574 hectares across Newcastle and Lake Macquarie LGAs. The rezoning proposal seeks to deliver up to 4,200 new dwellings, employment lands, community facilities, open space and conservation areas. Declared a Priority Precinct by the NSW Government in 2024 with public exhibition of the draft planning package occurring November-December 2024.
Widening and Upgrade of Minmi Road
Widening of Minmi Road to provide two lanes in each direction from Summerhill Road to Maryland Drive, including improved cycling and pedestrian connections, right turn lanes, and traffic flow enhancements to reduce congestion in the western corridor. The project is part of the Western Corridor Road Upgrades, with construction underway since March 2025.
Fletcher Green Estate
A major ongoing residential development by Winten Property Group in Minmi, NSW, comprising around 3000 house blocks in multiple stages. Located 20km from Newcastle CBD, surrounded by green spaces, with recent completions of initial stages and ongoing land sales.
Terra Townhouses
A state-of-the-art architecturally designed community featuring 20 three-bedroom townhouses set within the award-winning Sanctuary Estate in Fletcher.
Employment
The labour market strength in Fletcher positions it well ahead of most Australian regions
Fletcher has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the past year (AreaSearch data aggregation).
As of June 2025, 4,914 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation is high at 76.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Health care & social assistance shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%.
The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.9%, labour force by 2.3%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point unemployment rise. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, and a 0.4 percentage point unemployment increase. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industries. Applying these projections to Fletcher's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.9% over five years and 14.5% over ten years (simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Fletcher's median income among taxpayers is $61,892, with an average of $72,978. This is high nationally compared to Rest of NSW's median of $49,459 and average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $69,697 (median) and $82,181 (average). Census 2021 income data ranks Fletcher's household, family, and personal incomes highly nationally, between the 80th and 91st percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 39.6% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, mirroring metropolitan regions where 29.9% occupy this bracket. A substantial proportion of high earners (38.1%) in Fletcher earn above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Fletcher is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region
The dwelling structure in Fletcher, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fletcher was at 17.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (54.1%) or rented (28.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,217, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $510, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Fletcher's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Fletcher features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households account for 87.5% of all households, including 54.9% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.5%, with lone person households at 8.4% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Fletcher shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators
The region's educational profile is notable, with university qualification rates at 31.3% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of NSW average of 21.3% and the SA4 region's rate of 26.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 34.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (23.5%).
Educational participation is high, with 37.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 14.3% in primary, 9.8% in secondary, and 6.4% in tertiary education. Bishop Tyrrell Anglican College serves the area, enrolling 850 students. The region exhibits above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1081). All schools offer integrated K-12 education. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.8, below the regional average of 15.5, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Fletcher has 30 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 42 different routes offering a total of 802 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good accessibility to these stops, with an average distance of 254 meters to the nearest one.
Service frequency is high, with an average of 114 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 26 weekly trips per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Fletcher's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions
Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Fletcher, with younger cohorts particularly showing a very low prevalence of common health conditions.
Approximately 4855 people, or about 56% of the total population, have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.7% and 8.5% of residents respectively. A total of 74.7% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 64.9% across Rest of NSW. As of 2016, 7.3% of Fletcher's population is aged 65 and over (635 people), which is lower than the 16.7% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention compared to the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Fletcher was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics
Fletcher's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 23.8% born overseas and 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Fletcher, comprising 51.0% of its population. Islam, however, was significantly overrepresented at 5.0%, compared to just 1.7% across Rest of NSW.
Regarding ancestry, Australians made up 27.4%, English 25.9%, and Other 10.0%. Notably, Indians were overrepresented in Fletcher at 5.6% (versus 0.9% regionally), Koreans at 0.8% (versus 0.2%), and Macedonians at 0.6% (versus 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Fletcher hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide
The median age in Fletcher is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Fletcher has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (19.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of Fletcher's population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 13.9% to 14.9%, while the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has declined from 19.0% to 17.6%. By 2041, Fletcher is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 35 to 44 age group projected to grow by 51%, reaching 2,554 people from the current 1,689.