Fletcher (NSW)

Fletcher lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the Fletcher (NSW) statistical area (Lv2), as estimated by AreaSearch, was around 8,221 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census count of 8,014 people, representing a growth of 207 individuals or approximately 2.6%. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 8,148 based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 67 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio for this period was 1,330 persons per square kilometer, surpassing the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade ending in 2025, the Fletcher (NSW) (SA2) exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 3.0%, outperforming its SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Looking ahead, exceptional growth is predicted for the Fletcher (NSW) (SA2), placing it among the top 10 percent of non-metropolitan areas nationally. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to increase by 4,029 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 52.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Fletcher recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Fletcher has seen approximately 34 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, around 174 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 4.8 new residents have arrived per dwelling constructed each year during this period.

This indicates that supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $461,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. There have been $819,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of NSW, Fletcher records 19.0% less building activity per person and places among the 17th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings.

New building activity shows 57.0% detached houses and 43.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 92.0% houses. Fletcher reflects a highly mature market with around 889 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate Fletcher will gain approximately 4,319 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Fletcher has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Notable ones include the Widening and Upgrade of Minmi Road project, Fletcher Village development, Residential Flat Building at John T Bell Drive and Matfen Close in Maryland, and the Fletcher Green Estate.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Fletcher significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Fletcher has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.4%, lower than the national average, and it experienced a 3.0% employment growth over the past year based on AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 4,986 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Fletcher is high at 76.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Notably, health care & social assistance has a strong representation with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, labour force increased by 3.6%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.5% and a slight increase in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Fletcher's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Fletcher's median income among taxpayers is $61,892, with an average of $72,978. This is higher than the national average and compares to Rest of NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Fletcher would be approximately $67,376 (median) and $79,444 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Fletcher rank highly nationally, between the 80th and 91st percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 39.6% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,255 residents), mirroring the metropolitan region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. A substantial proportion of high earners, 38.1%, earn above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity in Fletcher. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fletcher is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The latest Census evaluation of Fletcher's dwelling structure showed 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fletcher was at 17.7%, with the remainder being mortgaged (54.1%) or rented (28.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Fletcher was $2,217, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent figure in Fletcher was recorded at $510, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Fletcher's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fletcher features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.5% of all households, including 54.9% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.5%, with lone person households at 8.4% and group households making up 3.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4 people.

Fletcher shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 31.3%, higher than the Rest of NSW average of 21.3% and the SA4 region average of 26.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 34.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 23.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.3% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that Fletcher has 30 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 42 different routes, together offering 803 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents on average being located 254 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 114 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fletcher's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows notable results across Fletcher, with younger cohorts experiencing particularly low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 56% (~4,584 people) of the total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.7 and 8.5% of residents respectively. A majority, 74.7%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. Fletcher has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 7.3% (600 people), compared to the 16.7% in Rest of NSW. While health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population, they still present some challenges.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Fletcher was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fletcher's population showed high cultural diversity, with 23.8% born overseas and 22.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Fletcher, accounting for 51.0% of its population. Islam, however, was overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, comprising 5.0% versus 1.7%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (27.4%), English (25.9%), and Other (10.0%) were the most represented groups in Fletcher. Notable divergences included Indian (5.6%, vs regional 0.9%), Korean (0.8%, vs regional 0.2%), and Macedonian (0.6%, vs regional 0.8%).

Fletcher hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Fletcher is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Fletcher has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (19.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the proportion of Fletcher's population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 13.9% to 14.9%, while the proportion of those aged 5 to 14 has declined from 19.0% to 17.6%. By the year 2041, Fletcher is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition, with the 35-44 age group projected to grow by 60%, adding 962 people and reaching a total of 2,557 from the current figure of 1,594.