Wallsend - Elermore Vale

Population growth drivers in Wallsend - Elermore Vale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Wallsend-Elermore Vale's population is approximately 22,010 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,052 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,958. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,691 in June 2024 and the addition of 262 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,022 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 5.0% since the census is within 0.7 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (5.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for locations outside capital cities. The area is expected to expand by 3,041 persons to reach a total of approximately 25,051 in 2041, reflecting an increase of 12.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Wallsend - Elermore Vale among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Wallsend - Elermore Vale saw approximately 91 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. A total of 456 homes were approved during this period, with an additional 45 approved in FY26 as of current data. Each dwelling built, on average, gained around 2.2 new residents annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating a healthy demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for these new homes was $225,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $10.4 million in commercial approvals registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Rest of NSW, Wallsend - Elermore Vale had approximately three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person during this period. Nationally, it ranked around the 55th percentile among assessed areas for new dwelling approvals. The current development composition consists of 30% detached dwellings and 70% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the previous housing mix, which was predominantly houses (80%).

This change reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 337 people per dwelling approval, Wallsend - Elermore Vale exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the region is expected to grow by approximately 2,722 residents by 2041. Current development appears well-suited to meet future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 38 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Western Corridor Road Upgrades for Longworth Avenue and Minmi Road, 6-10 Council Street Apartments, Duncan Close Residential Development, and Infinite Early Learning Elermore Vale. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Wallsend - Elermore Vale shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Wallsend-Elermore Vale has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5%. As of September 2025, there are 11,056 residents employed, while the unemployment rate is 4.0%, which is 1.2% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 63.9%, slightly above Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, 22.7% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, with healthcare standing out at 1.3 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, while labour force grew by 3.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1 percentage point. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw a 0.5% decrease in employment, a slight contraction in labour force (-0.1%), and an unemployment rate increase of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wallsend-Elermore Vale's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Wallsend - Elermore Vale SA2 is $56,533 and the average is $66,010 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is slightly lower than national averages, with Rest of NSW's median income being $52,390 and average income $65,215. By September 2025, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes would be approximately $61,542 (median) and $71,858 (average). According to the 2021 Census, income rankings in Wallsend - Elermore Vale are modest, between the 31st and 34th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 31.5% of locals (6,933 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 31st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Wallsend - Elermore Vale, as per the latest Census, 79.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 20.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Wallsend - Elermore Vale was 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.8% and rented ones at 33.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,777, higher than Non-Metro NSW's $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was $380, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Wallsend - Elermore Vale's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 66.3% of all households, including 26.5% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.7%, with lone person households at 28.9% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Educational outcomes in Wallsend - Elermore Vale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Wallsend's Elermore Vale region has 23.8% of residents aged 15 and above with university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%. This gap suggests potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 26.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.3% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 6.2% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Wallsend-Elermore Vale indicates that there are 239 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 104 individual routes providing 2,584 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 136 meters from their nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuting patterns show outward movement towards other areas. Car remains the dominant mode of transport, used by 94% of residents. Vehicle ownership averages at 1.3 per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect conditions related to COVID-19. The service frequency across all routes averages at 369 trips per day, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this data, showing the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Wallsend - Elermore Vale is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Wallsend - Elermore Vale faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups, with private health cover at approximately 52% compared to the average SA2 area's rate. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 11.5% and 10.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 59.9% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Rest of NSW's 63.3%. Working-age population faces notable health challenges due to higher chronic condition rates. The area has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over (4,399 people), lower than Rest of NSW's 23.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Wallsend-Elermore Vale, surveyed in 2016, had a cultural diversity below average. 84.6% of its population were born in Australia, with 89.6% being citizens and 87.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 51.8%.

Islam's representation stood out at 2.5%, higher than the Rest of NSW's 0.8%. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.0%), Australian (28.4%), and Scottish (8.3%). Notable divergences included Macedonian (1.2% vs regional 0.4%), Polish (1.1% vs 0.5%), and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.5%) groups.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Wallsend - Elermore Vale is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Wallsend - Elermore Vale has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (17.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (9.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 25 to 34 years increased from 14.7% to 17.3% of the population. Conversely, the age groups of 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 experienced declines, dropping from 11.2% to 9.9% and from 10.7% to 9.4%, respectively. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Wallsend - Elermore Vale's age structure. The 25 to 34 age group is expected to grow by 29%, reaching a population of 4,899 from the current 3,805. Conversely, the age groups of 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 are projected to experience population declines.