Wallsend - Elermore Vale

Population growth drivers in Wallsend - Elermore Vale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Wallsend-Elermore Vale's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 21,849 as of November 2025. This figure represents a 4.3% increase from the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 20,958. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,691 in June 2024 and an additional 262 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,015 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate since the census is 4.3%, which is within 0.8 percentage points of the non-metro area's growth rate of 5.1%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in Wallsend-Elermore Vale.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, they utilise NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends project an above median population growth for locations outside capital cities. Wallsend-Elermore Vale is expected to expand by 3,041 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 13.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Wallsend - Elermore Vale among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Wallsend-Elermore Vale has seen approximately 91 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 456 homes were approved, with an additional 40 approved so far in FY26. Each dwelling built over this period has attracted an average of 2.2 new residents per year.

New homes are constructed at an average cost of $410,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year alone, $10.4 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating moderate commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Wallsend-Elermore Vale has roughly three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 55th percentile nationally in terms of new dwelling approvals. The current development mix consists of 30% detached dwellings and 70% attached dwellings, a shift from the existing housing mix which is predominantly houses (80%). This change reflects reduced availability of development sites and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability needs.

With around 337 people per dwelling approval, Wallsend-Elermore Vale exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Future population growth projections estimate an increase of approximately 2,883 residents by 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, although increasing competition among buyers can be expected as the population expands.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 38 projects that could impact the area, with key ones including Western Corridor Road Upgrades - Longworth Avenue and Minmi Road, 6-10 Council Street Apartments, Duncan Close Residential Development, and Infinite Early Learning Elermore Vale. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Wallsend - Elermore Vale shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Wallsend - Elermore Vale has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.6% in June 2025, 1.9% higher than the previous year's rate of 2.7%.

This compares to Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of NSW at 56.4%. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Health care & social assistance has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 0.5% employment compared to 5.3% regionally. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9%, labour force increased by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.1%, labour force expanded by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National unemployment rate is higher at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wallsend - Elermore Vale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Wallsend - Elermore Vale SA2 was $53,183 and the average was $62,737 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is slightly lower than national averages, with Rest of NSW having a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $59,889 (median) and $70,648 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Wallsend - Elermore Vale ranked modestly between the 31st and 34th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 31.5% of locals (6,882 people) fell into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region where 29.9% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe with only 82.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 31st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Wallsend - Elermore Vale, as per the latest Census data, 79.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 20.4% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This differs from Non-Metro NSW's figures of 70.5% for houses and 29.5% for other dwellings. Home ownership in Wallsend - Elermore Vale stood at 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.8% and rented ones at 33.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,777, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent in the area was $380, compared to Non-Metro NSW's figure of $400. Nationally, Wallsend - Elermore Vale's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 66.3% of all households, including 26.5% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.7%, with lone person households at 28.9% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the average for the Rest of NSW.

Educational outcomes in Wallsend - Elermore Vale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational qualifications in Wallsend as of 2021 show that 23.8% of residents aged 15 years or older hold university degrees, compared to the state average of 32.2%. The most common degree held is a bachelor's degree at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 5.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.2% of residents aged 15 years or older holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 26.6%. Educational participation is high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (8.3%), secondary (6.6%), and tertiary (6.2%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.3% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Wallsend-Elermore Vale shows that there are 203 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 105 individual routes providing service. Each week, these routes facilitate 2,570 passenger trips collectively.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located an average of 136 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 367 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Wallsend - Elermore Vale is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Wallsend - Elermore Vale faces significant health challenges, affecting both younger and older residents. Private health cover stands at approximately 51% (around 11,164 people), compared to the Rest of NSW average of 55.6%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 11.5% and 10.1% of residents respectively. However, 59.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.0% (4,367 people), than the Rest of NSW average of 16.7%. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly similar to those of the general population.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Wallsend-Elermore Vale had a cultural diversity index below average, with 84.6% of its population born in Australia, 89.6% being citizens, and 87.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 51.8% of the population. However, Islam was overrepresented at 2.5%, compared to the regional average of 1.7%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.0%), Australian (28.4%), and Scottish (8.3%). Notably, Macedonian (1.2%) and Polish (1.1%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Wallsend - Elermore Vale's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Wallsend - Elermore Vale is 39 years, which is significantly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 years but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Wallsend - Elermore Vale has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 years (17.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 years (9.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 years has increased from 14.7% to 17.3%, while the proportions of those aged 55-64 years and 65-74 years have decreased from 11.2% to 9.9% and 10.7% to 9.4%, respectively. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Wallsend - Elermore Vale's age structure, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 30% (1,121 people), reaching a total of 4,899 from 3,777. Conversely, the 65-74 and 55-64 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.