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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Waratah - North Lambton is $1.00m, with units at $735k. House values have moved 5.5% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Waratah - North Lambton has an estimated 13,178 residents, up from 12,883 at the 2021 Census — a change of 295 people, or 2.3%. 155 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 2,579 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the assessments by AreaSearch, the population of Waratah - North Lambton is approximately 13,178 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 295 individuals (2.3%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 12,883 people. This population variance is calculated using the estimated resident population of 13,151 reported by the ABS as of June 2025 alongside an extra 155 validated new addresses documented since the Census date. Such a population size results in a density ratio of 2,578 persons per square kilometer, which ranks in the top quartile of all nationwide areas analyzed by AreaSearch.
The post-census growth of 2.3% in Waratah - North Lambton is within 2.6 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (4.9%), indicating strong demographic competitiveness. This population increase was mostly fueled by net overseas migration, which served as virtually the sole source of population growth in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 areas, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline year. For any SA2 locations where this data is unavailable, projections from the NSW State Government at the SA2 level are utilised, which were published in 2022 using 2021 as the baseline year. Demographic growth projections by age bracket from these datasets are additionally applied to all locations for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic shifts, population growth is projected to exceed the median for regional parts of Australia, with the locality expected to gain 1,699 persons by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total rise of 12.7% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
272 new dwellings have been approved in Waratah - North Lambton over the past five years, an average of 54 a year. That is 4.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 38 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 29% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 37, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Waratah - North Lambton has recorded approximately 54 new residential approvals annually, amounting to 272 homes during the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 34 approvals have been registered. With an average of only 0.9 new residents per year per dwelling built during the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the residential supply is meeting or outstripping demand, offering home buyers more options while supporting the potential for population growth to exceed projections, while new dwellings are being constructed at an average value of $263,000—which is lower than regional benchmarks—indicating more budget-friendly options for buyers.
Furthermore, $9.9 million in commercial building approvals have been logged during the current financial year, pointing to steady development in the commercial sector. When contrasted with the Rest of NSW, Waratah - North Lambton exhibits roughly 75% of the per capita building activity, placing it in the 24th percentile of all analyzed locations nationally, which suggests fewer options for buyers while bolstering demand for existing homes. New residential builds consist of 29.0% standalone houses and 71.0% multi-unit dwellings. This emphasis on higher-density housing options provides more affordable points of entry and caters to downsizers, investors, and those purchasing their first home. This represents a significant shift from the established housing stock (which stands at 78.0% houses), indicating a decline in available development parcels and responding to changing lifestyle preferences and budget constraints. Having approximately 683 people for every residential approval, Waratah - North Lambton presents a highly established market. Demographic projections indicate that Waratah - North Lambton will add 1,672 residents by 2041 (calculated from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly figures). Construction activity is keeping pace reasonably well with the anticipated growth, though purchasers may experience heightened competition as the population expands.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Waratah - North Lambton
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Waratah - North Lambton, worth an estimated $61 million. A further 70 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $12.4 billion. 19 are already under construction and 20 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning works, and development schemes play a crucial role in shaping the performance of a suburb. A total of 23 initiatives have been identified by AreaSearch as having potential impacts on the immediate area. Key projects include the Former Waratah Gasworks Redevelopment, the Waratah Park Masterplan, the Callaghan Campus Heart, and the Hunter Indoor Sports Centre (HISC), with the accompanying details highlighting those of greatest local significance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Former Waratah Gasworks Remediation
A $25 million NSW Government project to remediate contaminated residential land at the former Waratah Gasworks site, which operated from 1889 to 1926. Works cover 13 properties on Ellis and Turton Roads, involving demolition, excavation, and removal of over 20,000 tonnes of contaminated material including a 56-metre underground gasholder, tar wells, and purifier beds containing cyanide, lead, and benzo(a)pyrene. Eleven lots have been remediated; seven properties are being rebuilt by the government, four will be sold as remediated vacant land, and two remain under remediation.Home construction commenced July 2025 and is expected to be complete by mid-2026.
Waratah Park Masterplan
City of Newcastle's 10-year masterplan for Waratah Park to improve sporting and recreation facilities. The endorsed plan includes upgraded rugby, cricket and oztag fields, LED sports lighting, irrigation and drainage improvements, new amenities, accessible parking, shared pathways, fitness stations, a multi-sport court and playground improvements. Implementation is staged over approximately 10 years, with Stage 1 works progressing as funding is allocated through Council budgets.
Mayfield Concept Plan
Development of a 90-hectare port-side site for diversified trade and renewable energy logistics. Key active works include a $36 million waterside berth extension at the Multipurpose Terminal to accommodate vessels up to 300 metres, awarded to Brady Marine and Civil in April 2026. This complements previous investments in heavy-lift cranes for wind turbine and battery components. Simultaneously, EnergyCo is progressing the adjacent Newcastle Logistics Precinct on the former Intertrade site to provide storage for the Central-West Orana Renewable Energy Zone, with procurement for hardstand and infrastructure ongoing through 2026.
Newcastle Inner City Bypass - Rankin Park to Jesmond
The 3.4 km Rankin Park to Jesmond section is the fifth and final stage of the Newcastle Inner City Bypass. Construction has reached a major milestone with the bypass alignment fully connected and all major bridges completed. Remaining works include final road surfacing, northern interchange ramps, traffic systems, shared user paths and landscaping before opening. The project will remove up to 30000 vehicles per day from surrounding local roads, improve access to John Hunter Hospital, reduce travel times and enhance pedestrian and cyclist connections.
CREST Georgetown (by GWH)
Residential apartment development located in Georgetown, adjacent to Broadmeadow, by local developer GWH. Part of GWH's portfolio of new homes in the Newcastle region, with units currently for sale.
Lambton Park Master Plan
A comprehensive master plan approved by Newcastle Council to guide the future development of Lambton Park. The plan focuses on enhancing facilities, community engagement, heritage preservation, and recreational opportunities while maintaining the park as an open green space. Key developments include Lambton Pool upgrades, heritage rotunda preservation, improved accessibility, tennis courts, bowling club facilities, childrens playgrounds, walking tracks, and the transformation of the former Baby Health Centre into a modern cafe.
Hunter Indoor Sports Centre (HISC)
A proposed 12-court multi-purpose indoor sports complex on Wallarah and Blackley Ovals in New Lambton, designed to replace the ageing 1970s Newcastle Basketball Stadium at Broadmeadow which must be vacated by early 2028 to make way for the Broadmeadow Place Strategy housing redevelopment. The facility includes a 2,000-seat show court, allied health suites, gym and movement studio, cafe, function rooms, accessible change rooms, social spaces and car parking. It will cater to basketball, netball, volleyball, futsal, pickleball and badminton, and serve more than 6,000 active members plus regional users.The State Significant Development Application (SSD-65595459) was first exhibited in October-November 2024, then re-exhibited from 21 August to 17 September 2025 following a Response to Submissions. The amended proposal shifts the building further west and updates traffic and flood management plans. A final determination by the NSW Independent Planning Commission is expected in early 2026.
John Hunter Health and Innovation Precinct
The $835 million John Hunter Health and Innovation Precinct is a major redevelopment of the John Hunter and John Hunter Children's Hospitals. The centerpiece is a new seven-storey Acute Services Building delivering an expanded Emergency Department, 22 operating theatres, increased ICU capacity, and specialized care units. Construction is advancing rapidly toward completion in 2026, followed by operational commissioning and subsequent refurbishment works.
7,338 residents of Waratah - North Lambton are employed, from a labour force of 7,728. Unemployment sits at 5.0%, with participation at 68.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce in Waratah - North Lambton is characterized by high levels of education, strong representation in essential services, and an unemployment rate of 5.0%. As of March 2026, there are 7,338 employed residents, with the local unemployment rate sitting 0.9% higher than the Regional NSW rate of 4.1%, while workforce participation is significantly elevated (68.9% in comparison to 60.6% in Regional NSW). Based on Census records, a substantial 25.2% of the working population operated from home, though this figure should be interpreted in the context of pandemic lockdown restrictions.
The primary employment fields for local residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The district exhibits a strong concentration in health care & social assistance, with its employment share tracking at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing plays a minimal role, accounting for 0.3% of local employment compared to 5.3% across the region. Although there are local jobs available, the ratio of Census workers to the local population suggests that a substantial number of residents travel to other locations for employment. According to the analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch, the local labour force contracted by 0.4% in the 12 months leading up to March 2026, while employment levels fell by 2.2%, leading to a 1.7 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Regional NSW experienced a 0.9% drop in employment, a 0.4% reduction in the labour force, and a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts issued by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 can provide additional perspective on prospective local demand in Waratah - North Lambton. These forecasts, which span five-year and ten-year horizons, have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate future growth trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rate of growth varies widely by industry. Applying these sectoral projections to the employment composition of Waratah - North Lambton suggests local jobs could grow by 7.1% over five years and 14.7% over ten years (this represents a basic weighted projection for visualization and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Waratah - North Lambton is $1,639 a week (about $85,000 a year), with median personal income at $787 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $57,030 a year against an average of $65,553. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The income level in the Waratah - North Lambton SA2 is slightly below the national median, according to the latest tax data compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median taxpayer income in the Waratah - North Lambton SA2 is $57,030, with the average income recorded at $65,553, compared to Regional NSW figures of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, contemporary estimates would stand at approximately $62,915 (median) and $72,318 (average) as of March 2026. Census statistics show that household, family, and individual incomes are all moderate in Waratah - North Lambton, ranking between the 44th and 46th percentiles.
Income distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly earnings bracket includes 32.9% of the population (4,335 residents), which aligns with the broader metropolitan trend of 29.9% in this bracket. Housing affordability pressure is significant, with residents retaining only 81.4% of their income, placing the area in the 41st percentile, while the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Waratah - North Lambton had 4,987 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 78% detached houses and 11% apartments. 33% are owned with a mortgage, 41% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,937 a month. Rent absorbs 23.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing in Waratah - North Lambton at the time of the latest Census consisted of 77.6% houses and 22.4% other dwelling types (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative housing options), compared to Regional NSW where houses made up 82.6% and other dwellings made up 17.4%. The rate of outright home ownership in Waratah - North Lambton was lower than the Regional NSW average, standing at 25.7%, with the remaining properties being purchased under a mortgage (33.2%) or occupied by tenants (41.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the locality was considerably higher than the Regional NSW average at $1,937, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $380, compared to Regional NSW figures of $1,733 and $330.
On a national scale, mortgage repayments in Waratah - North Lambton exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Waratah - North Lambton counted 4,987 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 80% of areas nationally, against 25% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.3 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the majority of households at 60.7%, which includes 22.1% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent households. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 39.3%, consisting of single person households at 30.2% and share houses at 9.1%. The median household occupancy of 2.3 people is slightly below the Regional NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.9% of adults in Waratah - North Lambton hold a university qualification, including 21.0% with a bachelor degree and 6.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.6% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 3,260 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 993 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational attainment of the population is distinct within the region, with university graduation rates (29.9% of residents aged 15+) sitting above the Rest of NSW average of 21.3% and the wider SA4 region average of 26.1%, showing a strong focus on tertiary studies. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 21.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational and technical training is also highly represented, with 33.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a trade qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (24.6%). Enrolment in education is remarkably high among local residents, with 32.0% of the population currently undertaking formal studies.
This includes 11.4% of the population attending tertiary institutions, 7.8% in primary schools, and 5.7% completing secondary school education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Waratah - North Lambton reaches 129 stops on 72 routes, timetabled for about 5,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 130 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of public transport options shows 129 active transit stops in Waratah - North Lambton, consisting of a combination of train and bus facilities. These transport stops are connected to 72 different routes, which together provide 5,643 weekly passenger trips. Transport connectivity is classified as excellent, with residents living an average of 127 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the predominantly residential character of the suburb, most working residents travel out of the area for work, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 89%. Car ownership averages 1.2 per household, which is below the regional benchmark.
A substantial 25.2% of working residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may be influenced by pandemic conditions. Transit service frequency averages 806 daily trips across all active routes, which translates to roughly 43 weekly trips per individual stop. The associated map displays the 100 closest transit stops relative to the center of the suburb.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.5% of residents in Waratah - North Lambton report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 94% of areas nationally. 8.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 11.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Significant health issues are apparent in Waratah - North Lambton based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality patterns and the occurrence of chronic illnesses, with several medical conditions showing distinct impacts on both younger and older demographics, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is slightly below the SA2 average at roughly 52% of the population (~6,839 individuals). Mental health conditions and asthma were identified as the most common illnesses in the area, affecting 12.3% and 8.4% of the population respectively, while 63.5% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW.
Working-age residents exhibit higher than average rates of chronic health conditions. Residents aged 65 and older represent 15.2% of the local population (2,008 individuals), which is lower than the Regional NSW average of 23.4%. Health profiles among older residents present some challenges, with national percentiles generally mirroring the trends of the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Waratah - North Lambton is largely Australian-born, at 84.5% of residents, with 11.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (28.8%) and Australian (27.7%). 3.9% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Waratah - North Lambton displays lower levels of cultural diversity relative to broader benchmarks, with citizens making up 87.3% of the community, Australian-born residents accounting for 84.5%, and English-only speakers at home representing 88.5%. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 46.5% of the local population. However, the most notable religious concentration above regional levels is Islam, which accounts for 2.2% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional NSW. Looking at ancestral backgrounds (the birthplaces of parents), the three most common ancestries in Waratah - North Lambton are English at 28.8% of the population, Australian at 27.7%, and Irish at 9.0%.
There are also distinct concentrations of other ethnic backgrounds: Macedonian is overrepresented at 0.5% of the local population (compared to 0.4% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (compared to 0.5% regionally), and Welsh at 0.7% (compared to 0.5% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Waratah - North Lambton is 34. That is 2 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 37.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 34, Waratah - North Lambton is notably younger than Regional NSW where the median is 43, and similarly younger than the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to the Regional NSW average, there is a pronounced concentration of residents in the 25 - 34 age bracket (22.0% locally), while the 65 - 74 cohort is under-represented (7.6%). This concentration of 25 - 34 year-olds is significantly above the national benchmark of 14.6%. Since 2021, younger residents have reduced the median age in the area by 1.5 years to 34.
Specifically, the 25 to 34 age bracket expanded from 18.5% to 22.0% of the population, and the 35 to 44 age bracket grew from 12.2% to 14.8%. Conversely, the cohort aged 85 and over decreased from 4.9% to 2.7%, and the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 11.1% to 9.2%. Population projections for 2041 indicate notable demographic shifts for Waratah - North Lambton, led by a 27% increase in the 25 to 34 cohort (adding 771 people) to reach 3,668 from 2,896, while both the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 brackets are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Waratah - North Lambton
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 155 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (12,883 at the 2021 Census → 13,178 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (111031234). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.