Adamstown - Kotara

Adamstown - Kotara has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Adamstown - Kotara's population is 17,396 as of Nov 2025. This figure shows an increase of 796 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,600. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 17,326 in June 2024 and an additional 199 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,169 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 4.8% growth since the census is close to the non-metro area's 5.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 47.3% of overall population gains recently, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends, the area is expected to increase by just below the median of Australia's regional areas, expanding by 1,237 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 6.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Adamstown - Kotara among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Adamstown-Kotara has recorded around 77 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 387 homes. As of FY26, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.2 new residents per year are gained for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, reflecting robust demand that supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $518,000.

This financial year has seen $12.9 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Adamstown-Kotara records 16.0% less building activity per person but ranks among the 57th percentile nationally. New building activity comprises 41.0% standalone homes and 59.0% medium and high-density housing, a shift from the current housing mix of 82.0% houses. This trend reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 276 people per dwelling approval, Adamstown-Kotara is characterised as a low density area.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,167 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Adamstown - Kotara has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 16 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Woolworths Broadmeadow - Stage 1 Demolition. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Adamstown - Kotara demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Adamstown-Kotara has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.5% as of June 2025, lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%.

The area experienced employment growth of 2.0% over the past year. As of June 2025, 9,922 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2%, and workforce participation at 68.1%, higher than the Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a notably high concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.3% of Adamstown-Kotara's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, labour force grew by 2.5%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, the Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.1%, labour force expand by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Adamstown-Kotara's employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Adamstown - Kotara SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $58,506 and an average level of $72,791. These figures are high compared to national levels of $49,459 and $62,998 for Rest of NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $65,884, with average income estimated at $81,970. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Adamstown - Kotara cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. The largest segment comprises 30.7% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (5,340 residents). A substantial proportion, 31.7%, earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the area. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, while disposable income ranks residents within the 73rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Adamstown - Kotara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Adamstown-Kotara, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 18.0% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW's composition of 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown-Kotara stood at 35.4%, with mortgaged properties making up 37.2% and rented dwellings accounting for 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, surpassing Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Adamstown-Kotara's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Adamstown - Kotara features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.3%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households making up 4.5%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Adamstown - Kotara exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Adamstown-Kotara is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of the latest data, 34.0% of residents aged 15 years and above hold university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.5% of residents aged 15 years and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.1% while certificates account for 22.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown-Kotara has 180 operational public transport stops. These include train and bus services. There are 59 unique routes serving these stops, collectively facilitating 3,143 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living 124 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 449 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Adamstown - Kotara's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Adamstown - Kotara indicates a relatively positive health profile.

The prevalence of common health conditions among its residents is quite low compared to the general population, but higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts. Approximately 56% (~9,741 people) of the total population have private health cover, which is very high. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.5% and 7.9% of residents respectively. About 68.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.9% across Rest of NSW. The area has 15.3% (2,654 people) of its population aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 16.7% in Rest of NSW. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Adamstown - Kotara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown-Kotara has a lower than average cultural diversity, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Adamstown-Kotara, accounting for 48.7% of its population. Notably, Judaism is slightly overrepresented compared to the rest of NSW, with 0.1% of Adamstown-Kotara's population identifying as such.

The top three ancestry groups are English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.6%). Other ethnicities with notable differences include Welsh at 0.9%, Macedonian at 1.3%, and Scottish at 8.7%.

Adamstown - Kotara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Adamstown-Kotara is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group constitutes 14.9% of the population, compared to Rest of NSW, while the 65-74 cohort represents 7.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 14.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has decreased from 6.0% to 5.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Adamstown-Kotara. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 28% (719 people), reaching 3,312 from 2,592. Conversely, the 75-84 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.