Adamstown - Kotara

Adamstown - Kotara has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Adamstown-Kotara's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 17,627, reflecting a growth of 1,027 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 6.2% rise from the previous population of 16,600. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 17,326 in June 2024 and an additional 244 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 2,197 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Adamstown-Kotara's growth rate of 6.2% since the 2021 census exceeded Rest of NSW's 5.9%, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 47.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the population is expected to increase by approximately 1,237 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 5.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Adamstown - Kotara among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Adamstown-Kotara recorded approximately 77 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 387 homes. As of FY26188 approvals have been granted. Each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 accommodated an average of 2.2 new residents per year. The average construction cost for new homes was $254,000, lower than the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options.

This financial year has seen $12.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting steady investment activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Adamstown-Kotara had 16.0% lower construction activity per person but ranked at the 57th percentile nationally. New building activity comprised 41.0% detached houses and 59.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current 82.0% houses. This area has a population density of around 276 people per approval. By 2041, Adamstown-Kotara is projected to gain 936 residents.

With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially exceeding current population forecasts.

Adamstown - Kotara has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely influencing the area. Notable projects include The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Woolworths Broadmeadow - Stage 1 Demolition. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Adamstown - Kotara shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Adamstown-Kotara has an educated workforce with prominent essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.7% in September 2025, below the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%.

As of September 2025, 10,002 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 1.1% lower than the regional average. Workforce participation was high at 73.4%, compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. A significant portion, 31.7%, worked from home based on Census responses, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.

The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing had lower representation at 0.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.0% while labour force rose by 3.7%, leading to a unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand in Adamstown-Kotara. Applying these projections to the local employment mix indicates that employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Adamstown-Kotara SA2 has a high national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $62,424, with an average income of $75,743. This compares to Rest of NSW's figures of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,955 (median) and $82,454 (average). According to the 2021 Census, income in Adamstown-Kotara clusters around the 70th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 30.7% of the population (5,411 individuals) falls within the $1,500-$2,999 income range, consistent with broader regional trends at 29.9%. Economic strength is evident through 31.7% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, with residents ranking within the 73rd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Adamstown - Kotara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Adamstown-Kotara, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 18.0% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is similar to Non-Metro NSW's dwelling structure, which was 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown-Kotara stood at 35.4%, with mortgaged properties at 37.2% and rented dwellings at 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure for Adamstown-Kotara was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Adamstown-Kotara's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Adamstown - Kotara features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.3%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households making up 4.5%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Adamstown - Kotara exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Adamstown-Kotara's educational attainment exceeds broader standards significantly. Among residents aged 15+, 34.0% possess university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. This high level positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.1%, while certificates make up 22.4%. Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown-Kotara has 219 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 59 routes, serving 3068 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 124 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area, with cars being the dominant mode at 92%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a high 31.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 438 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this data, illustrating the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Adamstown - Kotara's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Adamstown-Kotara. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low, particularly among younger cohorts.

Private health cover was high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 9,976 people), compared to 51.9% across Rest of NSW. Mental health issues impacted 9.5% of residents, with asthma affecting 7.9%. A total of 68.7% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Rest of NSW. Under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area has 15.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,665 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Adamstown - Kotara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown-Kotara had a lower than average cultural diversity, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 48.7% of Adamstown-Kotara's population. Notably, Judaism was slightly overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to the region's 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.6%). Some ethnic groups showed notable variations: Welsh at 0.9% (vs regional 0.5%), Macedonian at 1.3% (vs 0.4%), and Scottish at 8.7% (vs 8.0%) were overrepresented in Adamstown-Kotara.

Adamstown - Kotara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Adamstown - Kotara is 36 years, significantly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 years, and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group represents 15.4% of the population compared to Rest of NSW, while the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 7.3%. According to data from the Census conducted in August 2021, the 25-34 age group has grown from 13.5% to 15.4%, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 12.0%, and the 75-84 group has dropped from 6.0% to 5.0%. Population forecasts for Adamstown - Kotara indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 22% (595 people), reaching a total of 3,312 from the current figure of 2,716. Conversely, the 75-84 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.