Adamstown - Kotara

Adamstown - Kotara has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Adamstown - Kotara's population is around 17,627 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,027 people (6.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,600 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,326 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 244 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,197 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Adamstown - Kotara's 6.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW (5.9%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 47.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of Australia's regional areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,237 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Adamstown - Kotara among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Adamstown - Kotara has recorded around 77 residential properties granted approval each year, totalling 387 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26188 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.2 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), reflecting robust demand that underpins property values, new homes are being built at an average construction cost of $254,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. There have also been $12.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity.

Compared to the rest of NSW, Adamstown - Kotara shows 16.0% lower construction activity (per person) while it places among the 57th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New building activity consists of 41.0% detached houses and 59.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 82.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. At around 276 people per approval, Adamstown - Kotara reflects a low density area.

Population forecasts indicate Adamstown - Kotara will gain 936 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Adamstown - Kotara has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 16 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Woolworths Broadmeadow - Stage 1 Demolition, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Adamstown - Kotara shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Adamstown - Kotara features a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.1%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of December 2025, 9,882 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.8% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (72.8% compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 31.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area shows particularly strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.4% while the labour force increased by 1.5%, resulting in unemployment rising by 1.1 percentage points. By comparison, Regional NSW recorded an employment decline of 1.2%, a labour force decline of 0.8%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Adamstown - Kotara. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Adamstown - Kotara's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Adamstown - Kotara SA2's income level is very high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Adamstown - Kotara SA2's median income among taxpayers is $62,424 and the average income stands at $75,743, which compares to figures for Regional NSW's of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $67,955 (median) and $82,454 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Adamstown - Kotara cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals 30.7% of the population (5,411 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 31.7% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Adamstown - Kotara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Adamstown - Kotara, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 82.1% houses and 18.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Adamstown - Kotara was lagging that of Regional NSW, at 35.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (37.2%) or rented (27.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional NSW average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410, compared to Regional NSW's $1,733 and $330. Nationally, Adamstown - Kotara's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Adamstown - Kotara features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 71.7% of all households, comprising 33.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.3%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households comprising 4.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Adamstown - Kotara exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Adamstown - Kotara significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 34.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 21.3% in Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 33.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (22.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 219 active transport stops operating within Adamstown - Kotara, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 59 individual routes, collectively providing 3,068 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 124 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A high 31.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 438 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Adamstown - Kotara's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Adamstown - Kotara, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~9,976 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 7.9% of residents, respectively, while 68.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 15.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,665 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Adamstown - Kotara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown - Kotara was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Adamstown - Kotara is Christianity, which makes up 48.7% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Adamstown - Kotara are English, comprising 30.0% of the population, Australian, comprising 28.5% of the population, and Irish, comprising 9.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 0.9% of Adamstown - Kotara (vs 0.5% regionally), Macedonian at 1.3% (vs 0.4%) and Scottish at 8.7% (vs 8.0%).

Adamstown - Kotara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 36-year median age in Adamstown - Kotara is significantly below Regional NSW's average of 43 and similarly younger than Australia's 38 years. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 15.4% compared to Regional NSW, whereas the 65 - 74 cohort is less prevalent at 7.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 13.5% to 15.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 12.0% and the 75 to 84 group dropped from 6.0% to 5.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Adamstown - Kotara. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 22% (595 people), reaching 3,312 from 2,716. Conversely, the 75 to 84 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.