Adamstown - Kotara

Adamstown - Kotara has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Adamstown-Kotara's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 17,396. This figure represents a 4.8% increase from the 2021 Census count of 16,600 people. The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 17,326, with an additional 199 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density of 2,169 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 4.8% growth since the census is close to the non-metro area's 5.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 47.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to increase by approximately 1,237 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 6.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Adamstown - Kotara among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Adamstown - Kotara has recorded approximately 77 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 387 homes. As of FY-26, nine approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 has resulted in a gain of 2.2 new residents per year, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $254,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $12.9 million in commercial approvals, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Adamstown - Kotara shows 16.0% lower construction activity per person but ranks among the 57th percentile nationally. New building activity comprises 41.0% detached houses and 59.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 82.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points, appealing to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Adamstown - Kotara reflects a low-density area with around 276 people per approval.

Population forecasts indicate an increase of 1,167 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Adamstown - Kotara has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects likely influencing the area. Notable projects include The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Woolworths Broadmeadow - Stage 1 Demolition. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Adamstown - Kotara shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Adamstown-Kotara has a highly educated workforce with key services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is low at 2.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.0% over the past year as of September 2025.

There are 10,002 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is high at 68.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population to local population counts. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, while labour force increased by 3.7%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.5% and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Adamstown-Kotara's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Adamstown-Kotara SA2 had very high national income levels according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Median income among taxpayers was $58,506 and average income stood at $72,791, compared to Rest of NSW's $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates are approximately $65,884 (median) and $81,970 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, incomes in Adamstown-Kotara cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals 30.7% of the population (5,340 individuals) fall within the $1,500-$2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 31.7% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Adamstown - Kotara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Adamstown-Kotara's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.1% houses and 18.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown-Kotara stood at 35.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.2% and rented ones at 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent figure was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Adamstown-Kotara's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $410 compared to the national figure of $375.

Adamstown - Kotara features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.3%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Adamstown - Kotara exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Adamstown-Kotara significantly surpasses broader benchmarks. As of 2016 Census data, 34.0% of residents aged 15 years and over held university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Trade and technical skills were also prominent, with 33.5% of residents aged 15 years and over holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (22.4%).

Educational participation was notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the census date. This included 10.5% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown-Kotara has 180 active public transport stops. These include both train and bus services. There are 59 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 3,143 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 124 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 449 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Adamstown - Kotara's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Adamstown-Kotara residents show relatively positive health outcomes, with a low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, but higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 56% (~9,741 people) have private health cover, which is very high compared to other areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (affecting 9.5% of residents) and asthma (7.9%). Around 68.7% claim to be free from medical ailments, higher than the Rest of NSW average at 64.9%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (15.3%, or 2,654 people) compared to the Rest of NSW (16.7%). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to certain challenges.

Adamstown - Kotara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown-Kotara has a cultural diversity below average, with 87.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Adamstown-Kotara, comprising 48.7% of people. Judaism is overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, with 0.1% of Adamstown-Kotara's population identifying as Jewish.

The top three ancestry groups are English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.6%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Welsh at 0.9%, Macedonian at 1.3%, and Scottish at 8.7% in Adamstown-Kotara compared to regional figures of 0.8%, 0.8%, and 8.4% respectively.

Adamstown - Kotara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Adamstown-Kotara is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 14.9% of the population, higher than Rest of NSW, while the 65-74 cohort makes up 7.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 14.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has decreased from 6.0% to 5.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Adamstown-Kotara. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 28% (719 people), reaching 3,312 from 2,592. Conversely, the 75-84 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.