Adamstown - Kotara
Statistical Area - sa2

Adamstown - Kotara has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Adamstown-Kotara's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 17,396 people. This figure represents a growth of 796 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,600. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates; the resident population was 17,326 in June 2024, with an additional 199 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,169 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 4.8% since the census is close to that of non-metro areas (5.1%), indicating strong fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 47.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends, a population increase just below Australia's regional median is expected, with the area projected to expand by 1,237 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 6.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Adamstown - Kotara among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Adamstown - Kotara has recorded approximately 77 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 387 homes. As of FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.2 new residents per year were gained for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction cost value of new homes was $254,000 during this period.

In FY-26, $12.9 million in commercial approvals have been recorded. Compared to the rest of NSW, Adamstown - Kotara shows 16.0% lower construction activity per person and ranks at the 57th percentile nationally. The new building activity consists of 41.0% detached houses and 59.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from existing housing patterns which are currently 82.0% houses. Adamstown - Kotara has a population density of around 276 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate the area will gain 1,167 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply is expected to meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Adamstown - Kotara has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of sixteen projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable among these are The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Woolworths Broadmeadow - Stage 1 Demolition. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Adamstown - Kotara shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Adamstown-Kotara has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services. The unemployment rate is 2.5%, lower than the Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was 2.0%. As of June 2025, 9,922 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below the regional average. Workforce participation is high at 68.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.

The area specializes in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, while unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1% and a rise in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Adamstown-Kotara's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Adamstown-Kotara has a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers is $58,506 and the average income stands at $72,791, compared to figures for Rest of NSW's which are $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $65,884 (median) and $81,970 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, incomes in Adamstown-Kotara cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 30.7% of the population (5,340 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 31.7% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Adamstown - Kotara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Adamstown-Kotara's dwelling structures in the latest Census showed 82.1% houses and 18.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown-Kotara was 35.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.2% and rented ones at 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. Median weekly rent in Adamstown-Kotara was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Adamstown-Kotara's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375 at $410.

Adamstown - Kotara features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.7% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.3%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Adamstown - Kotara exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Adamstown-Kotara is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. 34% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.3% and graduate diplomas at 3.2%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.1% and certificates for 22.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education. There are 8 schools operating within Adamstown-Kotara, educating approximately 3,672 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1055). The educational mix includes 5 primary schools, 2 secondary schools, and 1 K-12 school. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 21.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.6, indicating that Adamstown-Kotara serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown-Kotara has 180 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 59 different routes, collectively facilitating 3,143 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 124 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 449 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Adamstown - Kotara's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Adamstown-Kotara residents have relatively positive health outcomes.

Common health conditions' prevalence is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts. Approximately 56% (~9,741 people) of the population has private health cover. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.5 and 7.9% of residents respectively. About 68.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. The area has 15.3% (2,654 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 16.7% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Adamstown - Kotara ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown-Kotara had a cultural diversity index below average, with 87.2% of its residents born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 48.7% of the population. Notably, Judaism had a slight overrepresentation at 0.1%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.6%). Some ethnic groups showed notable divergences: Welsh was overrepresented at 0.9% (vs regional 0.8%), Macedonian at 1.3% (vs regional 0.8%), and Scottish at 8.7% (vs regional 8.4%).

Adamstown - Kotara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Adamstown-Kotara is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group has a strong representation at 14.9% compared to Rest of NSW, while the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 7.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 14.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has declined from 6.0% to 5.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Adamstown-Kotara, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 28% (719 people), reaching a total of 3,312 from 2,592. Conversely, the 75-84 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.