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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Elermore Vale is $970k, with units at $721k. House values have moved 4.5% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Elermore Vale has an estimated 6,277 residents, up from 6,057 at the 2021 Census — a change of 220 people, or 3.6%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. That puts 1,255 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of regional ABS updates alongside 66 validated new addresses identified since the Census date, the suburb of Elermore Vale is estimated to have a population of roughly 6,277 as of Aug 2026. This marks an expansion of 220 people (3.6%) over the 6,057 people recorded at the 2021 Census, building upon the resident population of 6,248 calculated following the ABS release of June 2025 ERP data. The suburb exhibits a density ratio of 1,255 persons per square kilometer, placing it above the national benchmark assessed across AreaSearch locations.
While trailing the Rest of NSW (5.1%) by just 1.5 percentage points, the suburb of Elermore Vale demonstrates sound growth fundamentals, with overseas migration serving as the primary demographic driver by accounting for approximately 62.0% of recent population gains. Projections utilised by AreaSearch draw from the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia dataset using 2022 as the base year, supplemented where necessary by the NSW State Government's SA2 projections released in 2022 with 2021 as their base. Cohort-specific growth rates from these datasets are further applied across all areas between 2032 and 2041. Over the coming years, demographic expansion in the suburb of Elermore Vale is projected to track slightly below the national regional median, with aggregated SA2 modelling pointing to an addition of 752 persons by 2041, representing an overall rise of 11.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
108 new dwellings have been approved in Elermore Vale over the past five years, an average of 21 a year. That is 3.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 21 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 33% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 11, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Annual residential approvals within Elermore Vale average roughly 21 dwellings, with 108 homes sanctioned over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 11 approved during FY-25 to date, based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS building statistics. Supply and demand have generally remained in equilibrium across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) with 1.9 new residents arriving per approved home, although this metric has surged to 4.6 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, highlighting growing buyer demand and emerging supply constraints. Construction costs for new dwellings average $438,000.
In addition, commercial building approvals have reached $4.9 million this financial year, underscoring the area's predominantly residential character. Recent residential building activity comprises 67.0% townhouses or apartments compared to 33.0% detached houses. This shift toward medium and higher-density living addresses land availability constraints and changing buyer preferences, offering accessible price points for downsizers, first-home purchasers, and investors in contrast to the established housing stock, where detached houses account for 79.0%. With approximately 656 people per approval, the locality displays the hallmarks of an established urban environment. According to the latest quarterly estimate from AreaSearch, the local population is projected to expand by 723 residents through to 2041. While current dwelling construction is tracking in line with demographic projections, prospective purchasers may face heightened competition as local headcounts expand.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Elermore Vale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Elermore Vale, worth an estimated $1.2 billion. A further 32 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.83 billion. 8 are already under construction and 10 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure investment, capital works, and planning frameworks play a central role in shaping regional outcomes. AreaSearch has documented 17 projects expected to influence the surrounding area, with prominent initiatives comprising Western Corridor Road Upgrades - Longworth Avenue and Minmi Road, Duncan Close Residential Development, Infinite Early Learning Elermore Vale, and Eden Estates.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Infinite Early Learning Elermore Vale
A 141-place early learning centre now open and enrolling at Elermore Vale, offering long day care for children aged 6 weeks to school age. Formed in 2025 by a group of early learning professionals with over 30 years combined sector experience, the purpose-built facility includes dedicated age-group rooms and an in-house cook providing all meals. The service was formally approved by the regulator on 22 January 2026.
John Hunter Health and Innovation Precinct
The $835 million John Hunter Health and Innovation Precinct is a major redevelopment of the John Hunter and John Hunter Children's Hospitals. The centerpiece is a new seven-storey Acute Services Building delivering an expanded Emergency Department, 22 operating theatres, increased ICU capacity, and specialized care units. Construction is advancing rapidly toward completion in 2026, followed by operational commissioning and subsequent refurbishment works.
Eden Estates
State-led rezoning proposal for a 574 hectare masterplanned community spanning Newcastle and Lake Macquarie. The proposal would deliver up to 4,200 dwellings including affordable and key worker housing, employment land, community facilities, open space and biodiversity conservation areas. Following assessment by the State Significant Rezoning Evaluation Panel, the proposal was endorsed in January 2025 and approved to proceed as a state-led rezoning on 3 March 2025. Technical investigations and planning assessment continue prior to formal rezoning.
Duncan Close Residential Development
Staged residential development comprising 49 multi-dwelling homes and a 50 lot community title subdivision with internal roads, landscaping, shared open space and associated civil works. The project received development approval from the City of Newcastle and has subsequently progressed to construction, with a Principal Certifier appointment lodged in early 2026.
6-10 Council Street Apartments
A 5-storey apartment development in Wallsend town centre providing 28 residential dwellings. The project features low-rise construction with 50 car spaces and is positioned to take advantage of local amenities and transport connections.
Western Corridor Road Upgrades - Longworth Avenue and Minmi Road
Major dual-lane road upgrades along Longworth Avenue and Minmi Road in Wallsend. The project includes widening to four lanes, intersection improvements, cycling and pedestrian connections, and stormwater upgrades. Daracon is the principal contractor. Works commenced in March 2025 and are expected to complete in late 2026. The estimated project value is $40 million, supported by a $7.61 million contribution from the NSW Government's Accelerated Infrastructure Fund.
Lambton Park Master Plan
A comprehensive master plan approved by Newcastle Council to guide the future development of Lambton Park. The plan focuses on enhancing facilities, community engagement, heritage preservation, and recreational opportunities while maintaining the park as an open green space. Key developments include Lambton Pool upgrades, heritage rotunda preservation, improved accessibility, tennis courts, bowling club facilities, childrens playgrounds, walking tracks, and the transformation of the former Baby Health Centre into a modern cafe.
Newcastle Link Road and Minmi Road Intersection Upgrade
The NSW Government is carrying out project planning for the intersection upgrade of Newcastle Link Road and Minmi Road, Cameron Park to improve future traffic flow, journey reliability and safety. The upgrade is needed to address increased congestion from population growth and future development in the area.
2,969 residents of Elermore Vale are employed, from a labour force of 3,132. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 60.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,168, about 82% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Elermore Vale possesses a qualified local workforce with strong representation in essential service sectors, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 5.2% according to AreaSearch statistical aggregations. As of March 2026, 2,969 residents are employed, with the local jobless rate sitting 1.1% above the Regional NSW benchmark of 4.1%, while overall labour force participation aligns closely with the 60.6% recorded across Regional NSW. Census figures indicate that 25.1% of employed locals worked remotely, though this proportion reflects the influence of Covid-19 lockdown measures. Local employment is heavily concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.
The health care & social assistance sector is particularly prominent, employing residents at 1.3 times the regional average. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 0.2% of the workforce compared to 5.3% regionally. Given its primarily residential character, local job opportunities within the area remain limited relative to its resident worker population, as shown in Census data. Over the year to March 2026, the local labour market contracted, with the workforce shrinking by 0.8% and total employment falling by 2.8%, which drove a 1.9 percentage points increase in the jobless rate based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM figures. Over the same timeframe, Regional NSW recorded a 0.9% drop in employment, a 0.4% contraction in the labour force, and a 0.5 percentage point increase in unemployment. National forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 project nationwide job growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sectoral rates vary. Weighted against Elermore Vale's specific industry distribution, local employment is projected to expand by 7.0% over five years and 14.6% over ten years (representing an illustrative sectoral weighting that does not incorporate local demographic forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Elermore Vale is $1,567 a week (about $81,000 a year), with median personal income at $712 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,951 a year against an average of $62,471. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to postcode ATO records from financial year 2023 analysed by AreaSearch, taxpayer incomes in the suburb of Elermore Vale sit below national benchmarks, with a median of $52,951 and an average of $62,471, compared to $52,390 (median) and $65,215 (average) across Regional NSW. Adjusting for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 places estimated local earnings at roughly $58,416 (median) and $68,918 (average) as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household levels, incomes sit between the 30th and 39th percentiles in Census evaluations.
The largest individual earnings bracket encompasses 30.3% of taxpayers (1,901 people) taking home between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the 29.9% share seen regionally. Severe housing cost pressures leave households with only 83.7% of income remaining after accommodation costs (39th percentile), placing the suburb in the 5th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Elermore Vale had 2,298 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 79% detached houses and 2% apartments. 36% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 37% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,842 a month. Rent absorbs 24.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The local housing stock at the most recent Census was composed of 79.2% houses alongside 20.8% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and 'other' dwellings), contrasting with 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings in Regional NSW. Outright home ownership stood at 37.1%, trailing the regional level, while 36.4% of properties were mortgaged and 26.5% were rented. Median housing costs showed monthly mortgage repayments of $1,842 and weekly rental payments of $380, compared to regional benchmarks of $1,733 and $330. Nationally, local mortgage commitments remain below the Australian median of $1,863, whereas local rents surpass the countrywide average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Elermore Vale counted 2,298 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 69.8% of all households in the area, consisting of couples with children (30.4%), couples without children (26.7%), and single parent families (11.5%). The remaining 30.2% comprises non-family living arrangements, primarily lone person households (26.8%) along with group households (3.5%). The average household size stands at 2.5 people, exceeding the Regional NSW figure of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
26.0% of adults in Elermore Vale hold a university qualification, including 18.1% with a bachelor degree and 5.7% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.0% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 859 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,041 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in Elermore Vale sits below wider state levels, as 26.0% of individuals aged 15+ hold higher education degrees compared to 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees make up the largest share at 18.1%, with postgraduate qualifications at 5.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. Vocational education is well represented, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ possessing technical qualifications, consisting of certificates (25.0%) and advanced diplomas (10.1%). Formal learning engagement is substantial across the community, with 27.0% of residents actively undertaking studies. Among those attending educational institutions, 8.8% are in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 5.3% enrolled in tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Elermore Vale reaches 87 stops on 65 routes, timetabled for about 1,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 130 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Elermore Vale is supported by 87 active bus stops across 65 separate routes, delivering a collective 1,111 weekly passenger trips. Access to transit is rated as excellent, with dwellings situated an average of 128 meters from their closest stop. Reflecting the suburb's residential nature, outbound commuting predominates, with private vehicles accounting for 95% of travel and households maintaining an average of 1.4 vehicles. In addition, 25.1% of residents were working remotely at the 2021 Census during COVID-19 conditions. Transit services provide an average of 158 daily trips across the broader network, representing roughly 12 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
59.8% of residents in Elermore Vale report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 79% of areas nationally. 9.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch health metrics indicate notable health challenges for Elermore Vale, characterised by elevated morbidity and chronic illness rates compared to broader benchmarks, particularly across older cohorts. Furthermore, private health insurance uptake is comparatively restrained, covering approximately 52% of the population (~3,242 people). Arthritis and mental health conditions represent the most prevalent diagnoses locally, reported by 10.6% and 10.5% of residents respectively, whereas 59.8% of the community reported having no medical conditions compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Chronic conditions are elevated among working-age individuals. Residents aged 65 and over total 1,431 people (22.8% of the population), and while older cohorts experience various health hurdles, their comparative outcomes remain less pronounced against national senior figures than the wider community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Elermore Vale is largely Australian-born, at 84.5% of residents, with 12.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (28.8%) and Australian (27.9%). 3.3% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Elermore Vale is relatively modest, with 84.5% of the population born in Australia, 92.2% holding citizenship, and 87.6% using only English at home. Christianity is the predominant faith, practiced by 53.5% of residents, which compares to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The leading reported ancestral backgrounds among residents are English (28.8%), Australian (27.9%), and Scottish (8.8%). Several other backgrounds exhibit higher concentrations than typical regional benchmarks, including Macedonian at 2.0% (vs 0.4%), Polish at 1.3% (vs 0.5%), and Welsh at 0.9% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Elermore Vale is 41. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 26.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of the suburb of Elermore Vale is younger than Regional NSW at the upper age brackets. August 2026 estimates indicate that young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) make up 28.1% of the population, compared to 23.5% regionally, while those in the middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64) represent 21.2%, versus 23.8% across the broader region. The median age is estimated at 41 as at August 2026, reflecting a decrease from 42 at the 2021 Census and remaining 2 years below the regional median of 43 recorded at that Census.
The share of young to middle aged adults has increased from 24.7% at the Census to an estimated 28.1%, with this demographic expected to drive the largest expansion by 2041, increasing by 412 (23%) to 2,176.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Elermore Vale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 66 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,057 at the 2021 Census → 6,277 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL11397). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.