Rankin Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Rankin Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Rankin Park's population is estimated at around 2,781 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 234 people (9.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,547 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,740, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,891 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 9.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW (5.9%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of regional areas across the nation is projected, with the suburb expected to increase by 430 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 14.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rankin Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rankin Park averaged approximately 9 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 46 homes were approved, with an additional 3 approved so far in FY-26. This translates to roughly 2.3 people moving to the area per new home constructed over these years.

The average construction value for new homes is approximately $401,000. In FY-26, around $2.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered. New development consists of about 33% detached houses and 67% townhouses or apartments. Rankin Park currently has around 680 people per dwelling approval.

Population forecasts indicate an increase of approximately 389 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Rankin Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely affecting this region: John Hunter Health and Innovation Precinct, Vida at 2 Turrug Street Whitebridge, Infinite Early Learning Elermore Vale, and Elermore Fields Estate. The following details these key projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Rankin Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Rankin Park has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.5% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 1,501 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.4% lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Rankin Park was high at 68.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. Census responses indicated that 33.1% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Rankin Park had a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented, with only 0.0% of Rankin Park's workforce compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. The predominantly residential area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 1.6% while labour force increased by 1.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. During this period, Regional NSW experienced an employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offered further insight into potential future demand within Rankin Park. These projections estimated that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Rankin Park's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though these figures were simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and did not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Rankin Park suburb shows median taxpayer income of $66,614 and average income of $78,814 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is above national average, contrasting with Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $72,516 and average income $85,797, considering Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Rankin Park cluster around 74th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 34.6% (962 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. High earning households, exceeding $3,000 weekly, constitute 30.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of income. SEIFA income ranking places Rankin Park in the 7th decile.

Rankin Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rankin Park's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 98.8% houses and 1.2% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rankin Park was 43.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.3% and rented at 11.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Rankin Park was $450, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Rankin Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rankin Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.9 percent of all households, including 36.2 percent couples with children, 31.7 percent couples without children, and 11.8 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up 18.1 percent, with lone person households at 15.9 percent and group households comprising 2.9 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Rankin Park demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Rankin Park's residents aged 15 and above have a notably higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 35.3% of its residents hold university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. This educational advantage is largely due to bachelor degrees, which are held by 23.7% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.0% of residents holding such qualifications; advanced diplomas account for 11.2%, while certificates make up 22.8%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rankin Park has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 31 different routes that together facilitate 460 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 151 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most residents commute outwards, primarily by car, which remains the dominant mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Rankin Park, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 33.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, an average of 65 trips are made daily, translating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Rankin Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Rankin Park shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks. Mortality rates and health conditions are standard across both young and old age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (1,614 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.7%) and asthma (9.1%). 64.5% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to the 63.3% across Regional NSW. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. The area has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over (556 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. National rankings for health indicators are broadly in line with the general population.

Rankin Park ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Rankin Park, surveyed in June 2016, had a culturally diverse population with 87.6% born in Australia, 94.8% being citizens, and 92.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practised by 48.5%, compared to 55.9% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.9%), Australian (29.1%), and Irish (8.4%).

Notably, Welsh (1.0%) and Polish (1.0%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5%. Macedonian representation was equal at 0.4% both locally and regionally.

Rankin Park's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Rankin Park is 39 years, significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Regional NSW, Rankin Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (15.9%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (8.6%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 25-34 grew from 11.6% to 14.1%, while the population aged 55-64 declined from 9.6% to 8.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Rankin Park's age structure. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 28%, reaching 503 people from the current 392. Conversely, the 65-74 and 15-24 age groups are projected to experience population declines.