Adamstown

An assessment of population growth drivers in Adamstown reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Adamstown's population is estimated at 6,944 as of Feb 2026, reflecting a growth of 609 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 9.6% rise from the previous population count of 6,335. The current resident population estimate of 6,822 is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,276 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Adamstown's growth since the 2021 Census exceeded that of both Rest of NSW (5.9%) and its SA3 area, marking it as a notable growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of non-metropolitan areas nationally is expected. By 2041, Adamstown's population is projected to expand by 568 persons, reflecting a gain of 6.4% in total over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Adamstown when compared nationally

Adamstown has seen approximately 59 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 296 homes were approved, with an additional 121 so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years accommodates about 1.1 new residents per year.

This indicates a balanced supply and demand scenario, maintaining stable market conditions. The average construction value of new properties is around $518,000, suggesting a focus on premium segments with upmarket properties. In FY-26, Adamstown has recorded approximately $7.9 million in commercial development approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Adamstown exhibits 67.0% more construction activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers. New developments consist of 41.0% detached dwellings and 59.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 68.0% houses). This trend towards compact living provides affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 130 people per dwelling approval, Adamstown exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate Adamstown to add approximately 446 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections and offering good conditions for buyers.

Adamstown has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a local area is significantly influenced by changes to its infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified six such projects that are expected to impact this particular area. Among these key projects are The Merewether Residences, Adamstown Renewal Corridor, Woolworths Broadmeadow - Stage 1 Demolition, and Broadmeadow Place Strategy.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Adamstown maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Adamstown has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%. Over the past year, employment stability has been relatively high.

As of December 2025, 3,946 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.4% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Adamstown stands at 71.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 29.4% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance (1.3 times the regional average), education & training, and public administration & safety.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.3% compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 0.0%, labour force by 1.4%, and unemployment rose by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment contract by 1.2%, labour force fall by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Adamstown's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Adamstown suburb's income level is higher than average nationally, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Adamstown's median taxpayer income is $57,756 and average income stands at $71,858, compared to Regional NSW's figures of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $62,873 (median) and $78,225 (average). Census data shows Adamstown's household, family and personal incomes cluster around the 63rd percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 30.8% earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,138 residents), similar to broader area trends at 29.9%. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 57th percentile and SEIFA income ranking places Adamstown in the 7th decile.

Adamstown displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Adamstown, as per the latest Census, consisted of 67.6% houses and 32.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown was at 27.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (31.6%) or rented (40.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Adamstown was $2,100, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Adamstown was recorded at $395, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Adamstown's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Adamstown features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 63.3% of all households, including 26.4% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.7%, with lone person households at 29.6% and group households comprising 6.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Regional NSW average.

Adamstown shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Adamstown's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 32.9% have university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. This educational advantage positions Adamstown favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.4% and certificates at 22.9%. Educational participation is high in Adamstown, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 8.1% in tertiary education, and 7.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown has 83 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 33 different routes that together facilitate 1,733 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 127 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the primary mode of transport, used by 90% of residents. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 29.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 247 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Adamstown is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Adamstown faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~3,842 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues impacting 10.4% of residents and asthma impacting 7.9%. A total of 68.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 13.2% of residents aged 65 and over (916 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Adamstown ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown, as per the data, had a lower than average cultural diversity level. The population born in Australia was 87.6%, with 92.0% being citizens and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.2%.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%. The top three ancestral groups were English (29.7%), Australian (28.7%), and Irish (10.0%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Macedonian was overrepresented at 1.2% (regional: 0.4%), Welsh at 0.7% (regional: 0.5%), and Serbian at 0.4% (regional: 0.2%).

Adamstown's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Adamstown's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below Regional NSW's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age cohort is notably over-represented in Adamstown at 19.0%, compared to the Regional NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 17.1% to 19.0% of Adamstown's population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.2% to 11.0%. Demographic modeling suggests that Adamstown's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 22%, adding 294 residents to reach a total of 1,614. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 55-64 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.