Hamilton South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hamilton South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Hamilton South is around 4,087. This represents an increase of 30 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,057. The current estimate reflects an examination of ERP data by AreaSearch in June 2024, indicating a resident population of 4,077, plus two validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,434 persons per square kilometer, placing Hamilton South in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration was the primary driver for this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by these projections, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 are used, with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Hamilton South is expected to increase by 428 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 12.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Hamilton South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Hamilton South averaged approximately four new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 24 homes. In FY-26 so far, one approval has been recorded. On average, 5.7 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding new supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $725,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to the rest of NSW, Hamilton South shows substantially reduced construction activity, 79.0% below the regional average per person, which generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years. This level is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent building activity consists entirely of attached dwellings, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 60.0% houses). This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Hamilton South shows a developed market with around 345 people per dwelling approval.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Hamilton South is projected to add 501 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Hamilton South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects expected to influence the region. Notable ones are The Merewether Residences, Lingard Private Hospital Expansion, Parkway Avenue Roundabout Safety Improvements, and Rail Bridge Row Affordable Housing Development. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Hamilton South lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Hamilton South has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 7.2% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.8%. As of June 2025, 2,007 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.5% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was somewhat below standard at 52.7%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services.

The area has a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.4% of Hamilton South's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force increased by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Hamilton South's employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch reports median taxpayer income in Hamilton South was $48,640 in financial year 2022. Average income stood at $67,687. Nationally, average income was $51,391 and $63,065 across Rest of NSW. By September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $54,774 and average income $76,222, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data shows Hamilton South incomes rank modestly, between 30th and 42nd percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution in Hamilton South is polarized: 36.9% earn less than $800/week and 28.6% more than $3,000/week. Predominant income cohort is $400 - $799 (22.1%), differing from surrounding regions where $1,500 - $2,999 is predominant (29.9%). After housing expenses, 86.1% of income remains for other expenses. Hamilton South's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Hamilton South displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hamilton South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 60.1% houses and 39.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hamilton South was at 32.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 22.9% and rented ones at 44.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,383, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $162, lower than Non-Metro NSW's $400 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Hamilton South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863.

Hamilton South features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 58.2% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 41.8%, with lone person households at 37.3% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Hamilton South demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Hamilton South is notably high, with 38.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 25.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.7% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 9.3% and certificates for 19.4%. Educational participation is high, with 33.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.5% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 7.5% in tertiary education.

However, educational facilities appear to be located outside Hamilton South's immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 24 active transport stops in Hamilton South. These are served by buses on 20 different routes, offering a total of 1,186 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated excellent, with residents typically located 132 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run an average of 169 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Hamilton South is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Hamilton South faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54%, covering around 2,194 people. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 10.9% and 9.3% of residents respectively. A total of 62.7% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. Hamilton South has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.9%, or 854 people, compared to the state average of 16.7%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are challenging but better than those of the general population.

Hamilton South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Hamilton South has a lower cultural diversity, with 86.1% citizens, 85.6% born in Australia, and 89.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 53.7%, compared to 47.7% regionally. The top three ancestry groups are English (29.2%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.8%).

Notably, Welsh (1.0%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.8%. Macedonian (0.9%) and Greek (3.1%) also have higher representation than the region's 0.8% average.

Hamilton South hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Hamilton South's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Hamilton South has a higher percentage of residents aged 45-54 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (11.3%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 grew from 10.6% to 12.4%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 55 to 64 decreased from 14.1% to 12.7%, and those aged 45 to 54 dropped from 15.4% to 14.3%. By 2041, Hamilton South's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 32%, reaching 667 people from 506. Meanwhile, the populations aged 5-14 and 65-74 are expected to decline.