Mayfield East

Mayfield East has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Mayfield East is estimated at around 1,800 people. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,794 people, representing a rise of 6 individuals (0.3%). The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,772 following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024, along with validation of an additional 10 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,903 persons per square kilometer, placing Mayfield East in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for this population growth was overseas migration.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected nationally for non-metropolitan areas. Mayfield East is expected to grow by 263 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 17.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mayfield East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mayfield East has seen very limited development activity over the past five years, with an average of one approval per year, totalling six. This low level of development is typical in rural areas due to modest housing needs and limitations imposed by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It's important to note that the small sample size can significantly impact annual growth and relativity statistics.

Compared to Rest of NSW and national averages, Mayfield East has substantially lower development levels. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mayfield East is projected to add 313 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, which could potentially intensify buyer competition and support price increases.

Mayfield East has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure can significantly impact local performance. No projects were identified by AreaSearch as likely impacting this area. Major initiatives include Mayfield Concept Plan, Newcastle Port Logistics Hub, Hunter Net Zero Manufacturing Centre of Excellence, and Newcastle Future Transit Corridor. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Mayfield East maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Mayfield East has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.1% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of June 2025, 1,099 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Mayfield East is 69.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.5% of Mayfield East's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.0%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mayfield East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.8% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Mayfield East's median income among taxpayers was $59,514 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $69,793 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of NSW which were $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates suggest median income will be approximately $67,019 and average income around $78,594, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. Census data from 2021 shows household, family, and personal incomes in Mayfield East cluster at the 60th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 33.5% of locals (603 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, mirroring the metropolitan region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 18.7% of income in Mayfield East. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mayfield East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mayfield East, as per the latest Census data, 83.1% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 16.9% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This differs from Non-Metro NSW where 70.5% were houses and 29.5% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Mayfield East stood at 23.1%, with mortgaged properties at 38.4% and rented ones at 38.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. Median weekly rent in Mayfield East was $420 compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Mayfield East's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Mayfield East features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.0% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.0%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 7.7%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Mayfield East exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Mayfield East, educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and above, 34.4% have university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 32.7% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 9.7% and certificates for 23.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in tertiary education, 7.6% in primary education, and 3.6% pursuing secondary education. Mayfield East Public School serves the area, enrolling 323 students as of a recent count. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with an Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score of 1060, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. Secondary educational options are available in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 12 operational transport stops in Mayfield East, offering a variety of bus services. These stops are served by 23 distinct routes, facilitating a total of 1,409 weekly passenger trips. Residential accessibility to public transport is deemed excellent, with residents situated an average of 153 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 201 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 117 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mayfield East is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant issues in Mayfield East, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 55%, covering about 981 people. The most common conditions are mental health issues affecting 13.7% of residents and asthma impacting 7.9%. A total of 63.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in the rest of NSW. The area has 13.4% of residents aged 65 and over (241 people), lower than the 16.7% in the rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly similar to those of the general population.

Mayfield East ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mayfield East was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 87.7% of its population born in Australia and 93.5% being citizens. English is spoken exclusively at home by 92.7% of the population. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mayfield East, comprising 36.7% of the population.

However, Judaism is significantly overrepresented compared to the rest of NSW, making up 0.5% of Mayfield East's population versus 0.1%. The top three ancestry groups based on parental country of birth are English (30.8%), Australian (25.6%), and Irish (11.3%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) is slightly overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.8%, as are Polish (1.0% vs 0.8%) and Macedonian (0.7% vs 0.8%) populations in Mayfield East.

Mayfield East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At age 35 years, Mayfield East's median age is significantly lower than both the Rest of NSW average of 43 years and the Australian median of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 23.3%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.7%. This concentration of younger residents is well above the national average of 14.5%. Following the census conducted on August 10, 2021, the median age decreased by one year to 35 years due to an increase in younger residents. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 grew from 20.6% to 23.3%, and those aged 35-44 increased from 16.6% to 17.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55-64 declined from 11.4% to 9.8%. Demographic projections suggest that Mayfield East's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 30%, adding 125 residents, reaching a total of 545. Conversely, the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.