Mayfield East

Mayfield East has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of the Mayfield East statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 1,851 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 57 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,794 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,809 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 10 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,985 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Mayfield East (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 3.2% since census, positioning it within 2.5 percentage points of the non-metro area's growth rate of 5.7%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering these projections, an above median population growth is expected nationally for non-metropolitan areas by 2041. The Mayfield East (SA2) is projected to grow by 262 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of 14.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mayfield East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mayfield East has had limited development activity over the past five years, with an average of one approval per year, totalling seven. This is typical of rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is constrained by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It's important to note that the small sample size can significantly influence annual growth and relativity statistics.

Mayfield East has lower development levels than Rest of NSW and national averages. Recent building activity shows a 50% split between detached dwellings and medium to high-density housing, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. This is a significant change from the current housing mix, which is 83% houses. The location has approximately 1840 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mayfield East is projected to add 261 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep up with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Future projections show Mayfield East adding 261 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mayfield East has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No local infrastructure changes or major projects were identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area. Key projects include the Mayfield Concept Plan, Newcastle Port Logistics Hub, Hunter Valley Hydrogen Hub, and Hunter Net Zero Manufacturing Centre of Excellence.

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Mayfield East has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mayfield East has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.5% as of the past year, with estimated employment growth at 2.9%.

As of September 2025, 1,092 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was 69.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food, with a strong specialization in health care & social assistance at 1.3 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence at 0.5% compared to 5.3% regionally.

Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the past year, employment increased by 2.9% while labour force rose by 3.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.5%, labour force decline by 0.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts projected employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections suggested Mayfield East's employment could increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.8% over ten years based on industry-specific weighting extrapolations.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Mayfield East is $59,514, with an average of $69,793, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023. These figures are slightly higher than the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively for Rest of NSW. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,787 (median) and $75,977 (average). Census data from 2021 indicates that income levels in Mayfield East cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. Specifically, 33.5% of individuals in Mayfield East fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Housing costs consume 18.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mayfield East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mayfield East, as per the most recent Census evaluation, 83.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 16.9% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mayfield East stood at 23.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.4% and rented ones at 38.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent was $420, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Mayfield East's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Mayfield East features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.0% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 39.0%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households making up 7.7%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Mayfield East exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Mayfield East is notably high, with 34.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data available. This compares favourably to broader benchmarks of 21.3% in Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 9.7% and certificates for 23.0%.

Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 26.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data available. This includes 9.1% in tertiary education, 7.6% in primary education, and 3.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 12 operational transport stops in Mayfield East, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 distinct routes, together facilitating 1,280 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents situated an average of 116 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 182 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 106 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mayfield East is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mayfield East faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 55% (~1,009 people) have private health cover, compared to 56.7% in the rest of NSW.

Mental health issues affect 13.7% of residents, while asthma impacts 7.9%. 63.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in the rest of NSW. The area has 13.4% (248 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the 16.7% in the rest of NSW. Seniors' health outcomes present challenges, mirroring general population trends.

Mayfield East ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mayfield East, surveyed in 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 87.7% born there. Citizenship was high at 93.5%, and English-only speakers at home were 92.7%. Christianity was the majority religion, practiced by 36.7%.

Judaism, while small at 0.5%, was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.1%. Top ancestral groups were English (30.8%), Australian (25.6%), and Irish (11.3%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) was slightly overrepresented compared to the regional 0.8%, as were Polish (1.0% vs 0.8%) and Macedonian (0.7% vs 0.8%).

Mayfield East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Mayfield East's median age is 35 years, which is significantly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 23.3% in Mayfield East compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.7%. This concentration of residents aged 25-34 is well above the national average of 14.5%. Following the Census conducted on 28 August 2021, younger residents have shifted the median age down by one year to 35 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has grown from 20.6% to 23.3%, and those aged 35 to 44 increased from 16.6% to 17.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55 to 64 has declined from 11.4% to 9.8%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mayfield East's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at a rate of 26%, adding 113 residents to reach a total of 545. Conversely, the 65-74 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.